Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The report highlights that the company has a strong risk resistance capability across its entire industry chain despite a decline in oil prices, with a notable performance in the natural gas sales segment [4][7] - The company reported a decrease in revenue and net profit for the first three quarters of 2025 compared to the previous year, with total revenue of 2,169.256 billion yuan, down 3.86%, and net profit of 126.294 billion yuan, down 4.70% [1][2] - The average Brent oil price for the first three quarters of 2025 was $70 per barrel, a 15% decrease year-on-year, indicating a challenging market environment [4] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 719.157 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.38% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 3.18% [2] - The net profit for Q3 2025 was 42.287 billion yuan, down 3.70% year-on-year but up 13.72% quarter-on-quarter [2] - The company’s basic earnings per share (EPS) for Q3 2025 was 0.23 yuan, a decrease of 3.9% year-on-year but an increase of 15.00% quarter-on-quarter [2] Segment Performance - The oil and gas exploration and development segment faced challenges due to declining oil prices, while the refining segment showed signs of recovery [4] - The company’s oil and gas equivalent production for the first three quarters of 2025 was 1,377.2 million barrels, a year-on-year increase of 2.6% [4] - The natural gas sales segment saw a significant increase, with sales reaching 2,185.41 billion cubic meters, up 4.2% year-on-year [7] Future Outlook - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 167.53 billion yuan, 176.19 billion yuan, and 182.40 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.92, 0.96, and 1.00 yuan [7] - The report maintains a positive outlook on the company's ability to recover performance through cost reduction and efficiency improvements [7]

Core Viewpoint - China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (Sinopec) reported a 15% quarter-on-quarter decline in net profit for Q3, amounting to 8.3 billion RMB, which is 26% lower than the expectations of the research firm [1] Financial Performance - The decline in profit is primarily attributed to lower-than-expected profits from refining and sales operations [1] - The firm estimates a further 22% decline in Q4 earnings due to anticipated decreases in oil prices impacting exploration, refining, and sales profits [1] Earnings Forecast - The earnings forecasts for 2025 to 2027 have been revised downwards by 12% to 14% [1] - The target price for H-shares has been reduced from 4.78 HKD to 4.21 HKD, while the target price for A-shares has been lowered from 6.46 RMB to 5.54 RMB [1]

Core Viewpoint - China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (Sinopec) reported a 15% quarter-on-quarter decline in net profit for Q3, amounting to 8.3 billion RMB, which is 26% lower than expectations due to underperformance in refining and sales operations [1] Financial Performance - Q3 net profit decreased to 8.3 billion RMB, a 15% decline from the previous quarter [1] - The reported profit was 26% below the expectations set by the research firm [1] Future Earnings Forecast - The firm estimates a further 22% decline in Q4 earnings, primarily due to anticipated drops in oil prices affecting exploration, refining, and sales profits [1] - Earnings forecasts for 2025 to 2027 have been revised down by 12% to 14% [1] Investment Rating and Target Price - The firm maintains a "Hold" rating for Sinopec [1] - The target price for H-shares has been reduced from 4.78 HKD to 4.21 HKD [1] - The target price for A-shares has been lowered from 6.46 RMB to 5.54 RMB [1]

Core Viewpoint - Sinopec's performance in Q3 2025 is expected to remain weak, with no signs of improvement in downstream operations, and potential increase in impairment losses compared to the same period last year [1] Summary by Category Financial Performance - Sinopec's Q3 2025 results are projected to be mediocre, reflecting ongoing challenges in the downstream sector [1] - Management has indicated a cautious outlook during the earnings call, suggesting that impairment losses may rise as the year-end approaches [1] Target Price Adjustments - Credit Lyonnais has lowered the target prices for Sinopec's H-shares and A-shares to HKD 4.4 and CNY 6, respectively, from previous targets of HKD 4.5 and CNY 6.3, while maintaining an "outperform" rating [1] Competitive Positioning - Among China's three major oil companies, Sinopec is ranked third in preference, with China National Petroleum Corporation (CNPC) being the top choice, followed by CNOOC [1]

Core Viewpoint - Sinopec's performance in Q3 2025 is expected to remain weak, with no signs of improvement in downstream operations, and potential increase in impairment losses compared to the same period last year [1] Company Summary - Sinopec's H-share and A-share target prices have been lowered to HKD 4.4 and RMB 6, respectively, from HKD 4.5 and RMB 6.3, while maintaining an "Outperform" rating [1] - Among China's three major oil companies, Sinopec is ranked third in preference, with PetroChina as the top choice and CNOOC as the second [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report indicates that the oil and petrochemical industry in China is currently experiencing a prolonged downturn due to "involution" competition, but there is potential for a turnaround through policy measures aimed at high-quality transformation and capacity exit [1][2][3] - During the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, the industry faced significant challenges, including overcapacity in low-end products and insufficient high-end offerings, leading to a situation where production increases did not translate into profit growth [17][22] - The report forecasts that oil prices will have a strong bottom support, with Brent crude oil expected to trade in the range of $60-65 per barrel by 2026, driven by steady demand growth and OPEC+ production adjustments [1][3] Group 2 - The report highlights that the refining sector is undergoing significant changes, with leading companies expected to benefit from the exit of outdated capacities and improved profitability due to stricter tax regulations and effective price guidance [2][3] - In the PTA industry, the report notes that the market is highly concentrated, and self-regulation may lead to spontaneous production cuts, which could improve the overall supply-demand balance [3][4] - The trend towards lightweight materials and the substitution of plastics for steel is expected to drive growth in the modified plastics sector, with companies focusing on high-value specialty engineering plastics [4][3]

Group 1 - The core project of China's petrochemical industry, the Guangxi Petrochemical Ethylene Project, successfully commenced production on October 30, with a total investment exceeding 30 billion yuan [1] - This project is the largest million-ton ethylene project in Southwest China, marking a significant milestone in the transition from refining to integrated refining and chemical production for China National Petroleum Corporation (CNPC) [1] - The project features a 1.2 million tons/year ethylene unit and includes 16 main production facilities, with innovations such as the world's largest diesel adsorption separation unit, improving raw material utilization efficiency by over 15% compared to traditional processes [1] Group 2 - The project is expected to reduce oil products by 3.49 million tons annually and increase chemical products by 3.06 million tons, addressing domestic supply gaps in functional rubber and high-end membrane materials [1] - The project aims to transform Guangxi from basic chemicals to high-end chemical new materials, supporting the creation of a trillion-yuan industrial cluster aimed at the ASEAN market [2] - CNPC plans to focus on market demand, management enhancement, and technological breakthroughs to fully release chemical product capacity, contributing to national energy security and the establishment of a modern industrial system [2]

Core Viewpoint - The company, China Petroleum Engineering Co., Ltd., reported a total new contract amount of 99.216 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 5.25% [6]. Financial Data - The financial report for the third quarter of 2025 is unaudited [3][8]. - The company has a guarantee balance of approximately 45.191 billion yuan, which accounts for 170.46% of the audited net assets as of December 31, 2024 [7]. Contract Information - The new contracts signed are categorized as follows: - Domestic contracts: 73.952 billion yuan (74.54%) - Overseas contracts: 25.264 billion yuan (25.46%) - Oil and gas field surface engineering: 24.218 billion yuan (24.41%) - Pipeline and storage engineering: 24.750 billion yuan (24.95%) - Refining and chemical engineering: 20.656 billion yuan (20.82%) - Emerging businesses and future industries: 28.015 billion yuan (28.23%) - Other businesses: 1.577 billion yuan (1.59%) [6]. Investor Communication - The company will hold a performance briefing on November 20, 2025, from 14:00 to 15:00, to discuss the third-quarter results and address investor questions [12][13]. - Investors can submit questions from November 13 to November 19, 2025, through the Shanghai Stock Exchange Roadshow Center [10][14].

10月30日，国家石化产业规划布局重大项目——中国石油广西石化乙烯工程今天在广西钦州港一次投产 成功，这是我国在西南地区建成的最大的百万吨级乙烯工程。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The three major oil companies in Hong Kong, namely China National Petroleum Corporation (CNPC), China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (Sinopec), and China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC), have shown resilience in their stock performance despite broader market trends, with significant profit reports for the third quarter [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - CNPC reported a net profit attributable to shareholders of 42.29 billion yuan, leading the profitability rankings among the three companies [2]. - The combined profit for the three companies in the third quarter reached 83.23 billion yuan, averaging a daily profit of 900.5 million yuan [2]. Group 2: Production and Sales Growth - With the onset of the heating season, natural gas production and sales for the three major oil companies have seen notable increases [1]. - CNOOC's natural gas production increased by 11.6% year-on-year in the first three quarters [2]. - Sinopec's natural gas production reached 31.1 billion cubic meters, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 4.9% [2]. - CNPC's marketable natural gas production grew by 4.6% year-on-year, with domestic production increasing by 5.2% [2].