每经AI快讯，港股石油股延续跌势，截至发稿，中海油(00883.HK)跌2.79%，报20.94港元；中石油 (00857.HK)跌2.3%，报8.5港元；中海油服(02883.HK)跌1.45%，报7.49港元；中石化(00386.HK)跌 1.45%，报4.37港元。 ...

| HK | + | 中国石油股份 | 8.510 | -2.18% | -0.190 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 00857 | | | | | HK | + | 中国海洋石油 | 20.980 | -2.60% | -0.560 | | | | 00883 | | | | | HK | + | 中国石油化工股份 | 4.380 | -1.13% | -0.050 | | | | 00386 | | | | 11月24日早盘，港股"三桶油"集体走弱。截至 10:38， 中国海洋石油跌近3%，中国石油股份跌 2.5%，中国石油化工股份跌超1%。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Oil stocks continue to decline, influenced by geopolitical factors and macroeconomic conditions, particularly the Russia-Ukraine situation and overall market liquidity [1] Group 1: Company Performance - CNOOC (00883) decreased by 2.79%, trading at HKD 20.94 [1] - PetroChina (00857) fell by 2.3%, with a price of HKD 8.5 [1] - China Oilfield Services (601808) (02883) dropped by 1.45%, now at HKD 7.49 [1] - Sinopec (00386) also saw a decline of 1.45%, priced at HKD 4.37 [1] Group 2: Market Influences - International oil prices are experiencing a general decline due to geopolitical factors [1] - Huatai Futures indicates that short-term oil prices are heavily influenced by geopolitical and macroeconomic factors, maintaining a bearish outlook [1] - On November 23, the U.S. White House announced a joint statement regarding constructive talks between the U.S. and Ukrainian delegations in Geneva, focusing on a new 28-point plan to end the Russia-Ukraine conflict [1] - The statement described the discussions as "constructive, focused, and mutually respectful," highlighting significant progress in aligning positions and clarifying the next steps [1]

Core Viewpoint - Oil stocks continue to decline, influenced by geopolitical factors and macroeconomic conditions, particularly the Russia-Ukraine situation and overall market liquidity [1] Company Performance - CNOOC (00883) decreased by 2.79%, trading at HKD 20.94 [1] - PetroChina (00857) fell by 2.3%, with a price of HKD 8.5 [1] - China Oilfield Services (02883) dropped by 1.45%, now at HKD 7.49 [1] - Sinopec (00386) also saw a decline of 1.45%, priced at HKD 4.37 [1] Market Influences - International oil prices are experiencing a general decline due to geopolitical factors [1] - Huatai Futures maintains a bearish outlook on oil prices in the short term, primarily due to the Russia-Ukraine conflict and macroeconomic liquidity [1] - A recent joint statement from the U.S. White House indicates constructive discussions between the U.S. and Ukrainian delegations regarding a new plan to end the Russia-Ukraine conflict, suggesting potential progress in negotiations [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong oil stocks are experiencing a downward trend, with significant declines observed across major companies in the sector [1] Company Performance - CNOOC (China National Offshore Oil Corporation) saw a decline of nearly 3% [1] - Yanchang Petroleum dropped by 2.6% [1] - PetroChina (China National Petroleum Corporation) shares fell by 2% [1] - China Oilfield Services Limited decreased by 1.7% [1] - Sinopec (China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation) experienced a decline of over 1% [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong oil stocks are experiencing a decline, influenced by falling international crude oil prices and potential impacts from a possible peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine [1] Group 1: Market Performance - Chinese offshore oil companies, including CNOOC, PetroChina, and Sinopec, have seen stock declines of nearly 3%, 2%, and over 1% respectively [1] - The overall trend in the oil market indicates a significant drop, with traders assessing the implications of a potential peace agreement that could increase oil supply [1] Group 2: Oil Price Dynamics - International crude oil prices continued to decline, following the largest weekly drop since early October [1] - The market is closely monitoring three key developments: the feasibility of the peace agreement, the potential easing of sanctions on Russia, and the impact of these developments on an already anticipated oversupply in the market next year [1] Group 3: Production Trends - OPEC+ and other oil-producing countries, particularly in the Americas, have been increasing production, contributing to a bearish outlook for oil prices [1] - The current market conditions suggest that oil prices are likely to end the year lower [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong oil stocks are experiencing a decline, driven by falling international crude oil prices and concerns over potential oversupply in the market due to geopolitical developments [1][2] Group 1: Market Performance - Chinese offshore oil stock (00883) fell by 2.88% to 20.920 - Yanchang Petroleum International (00346) decreased by 2.63% to 0.370 - China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (00857) dropped by 2.07% to 8.520 - CNOOC Services (02883) declined by 1.71% to 7.470 - China Petroleum (00386) fell by 1.13% to 4.380 - Kunlun Energy (00135) decreased by 0.83% to 7.200 [2] Group 2: Oil Price Trends - International crude oil prices continued to decline, following the largest weekly drop since early October [1] - Traders are assessing the potential impact of a peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine, which could lead to increased oil supply in an already well-supplied market [1] - Key developments being monitored include the feasibility of the peace agreement, the potential easing of sanctions on Russia, and the implications for an anticipated significant oversupply in the market next year [1]

点击注册小程序 截至2025年11月21日，布伦特、WTI 原油分别报收 62.51、57.98 美元/桶，较上周收盘分别下跌2.8%、 3.3%。今年以来国际原油供需格局呈失衡状态，给予油市显著压力，就主要产油组织OPEC来看，2025年4 月开始OPEC+计划逐步增产，原计划至2026年9月结束，每月约13.80万桶/日的增产力度，但5至7月增产 力度已经上调至40万桶/日、8至9月上调至55万桶/日左右，计划提前一年结束，10至12月各增产13.70万桶/ 日。4至11月累计增产274.10万桶/日。10月OPEC产量2846万桶/日，较年初增长6.68%。供应持续增长而需 求转弱，全球原油供需关系从之前的供应趋紧转为供应过剩，全球原油供应过剩幅度从4月的50万桶/日升 至10月的200万桶/日。OPEC+计划明年1-3月暂停增产，有望缓解全球原油供需过剩幅度持续扩大，也反 映出OPEC+平衡油价的诉求。 "三桶油"油价下行期业绩韧性凸显，体现穿越周期属性 2025年前三季度，中国石油、中国石化、中国海油归母净利润分别同比-4.9%、-32.2%、-12.6%，Q3 单季 归母净利润分别同比-3.9%、 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the oil and petrochemical industry [5] Core Views - The international oil market is experiencing a supply-demand imbalance, leading to downward pressure on oil prices. As of November 21, 2025, Brent and WTI crude oil prices were reported at $62.51 and $57.98 per barrel, reflecting declines of 2.8% and 3.3% respectively from the previous week. The OPEC+ group plans to pause production increases from January to March 2026, which is expected to alleviate the oversupply situation [1][4] - The "Big Three" oil companies in China (China National Petroleum Corporation, Sinopec, and CNOOC) have demonstrated resilience during the current downturn in oil prices, with their net profits declining less than many international oil giants. For the first three quarters of 2025, their net profits fell by 4.9%, 32.2%, and 12.6% respectively, showcasing their ability to navigate through cyclical challenges [2] - Anticipated cold winter conditions in 2025 are expected to significantly boost natural gas demand, benefiting the natural gas business of the "Big Three." The companies are enhancing market expansion efforts, leading to rapid growth in natural gas sales. The ongoing market reforms are expected to improve pricing flexibility and profitability in their natural gas operations [3] Summary by Sections Oil Supply and Demand - The global oil supply has shifted from a tightening to an oversupply situation, with the surplus increasing from 500,000 barrels per day in April to 2 million barrels per day in October 2025. OPEC+ has adjusted its production increase plans, reflecting a desire to stabilize oil prices [1] Company Performance - In Q3 2025, the "Big Three" oil companies' net profits showed a smaller decline compared to international peers, indicating their strong performance amid falling oil prices. Their production levels and cost control capabilities have allowed them to maintain profitability above historical levels [2] Natural Gas Outlook - The expectation of a cold winter is likely to drive up natural gas demand, with the "Big Three" positioned to capitalize on this through increased sales and improved pricing structures due to market reforms [3] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests a continued positive outlook for the "Big Three" and the oil service sector, alongside favorable conditions for chemical products in the long term. Specific companies to watch include China National Petroleum Corporation, Sinopec, CNOOC, and various subsidiaries involved in oil services and refining [4]

Core Insights - ADNOC and its subsidiaries Masdar, Borouge, and TA'ZIZ participated in the 8th China International Import Expo to showcase energy projects and engage in cooperation discussions with Chinese clients [1] - ADNOC signed three agreements, including a memorandum of cooperation with CNOOC and an extension of crude oil supply agreement, further solidifying energy cooperation between China and the UAE [1] Group 1 - ADNOC's participation in the expo highlights its commitment to expanding its presence in the Chinese market [1] - The agreements signed indicate a strategic move to enhance bilateral energy relations and secure long-term partnerships [1] - The collaboration with CNOOC reflects ADNOC's strategy to leverage Chinese investments and technology in its energy projects [1]