Industry Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the public utility sector [1] Core Insights - The data center industry in China is expected to reach a market size of 304.8 billion yuan and over 10 million standard racks by 2024, both achieving a year-on-year growth of over 20% [2][25] - The emergence of AI technologies, particularly large models, is driving significant demand for computing power, which is expected to enhance the growth of data centers [3][65] - The increasing electricity demand from data centers is projected to lead to a transformation towards greener computing solutions [4][111] Summary by Sections 1. Progress of China's Data Center Industry - The development of China's data center industry has evolved through four stages, with computing power becoming the driving force in the digital economy since 2020 [9][18] - The market is characterized by a significant regional distribution, with the "East Data West Computing" initiative promoting a balanced development across eight hubs and ten clusters [32][38] 2. AI's Impact on Data Center Demand - The launch of DeepSeek in January 2025 is expected to significantly increase the rack utilization rate in third-party data centers [3][79] - The average rack utilization rate in China was 56.4% by the end of 2023, indicating a mismatch between supply and demand [56] - The global demand for computing power is projected to grow at a rate exceeding 50% annually, with AI applications driving this growth [65][71] 3. Electricity Demand and Green Transformation - Data centers' electricity costs typically account for over 50% of their total operating costs, with some internet clients seeing this figure rise to 70-80% [95] - The International Energy Agency (IEA) predicts that global data center electricity consumption will double from 415 TWh in 2024 to approximately 945 TWh by 2030, with a compound annual growth rate of about 15% [101] - By 2030, China's data center electricity demand is expected to reach between 300 billion and 700 billion kWh, representing 2.3% to 5.3% of the total electricity consumption [108][109]

Core Viewpoint - The China Three Gorges Corporation has initiated the first charging experiment for its integrated photovoltaic and all-vanadium flow battery energy storage project in Xinjiang, marking it as the largest all-vanadium flow energy storage project in China [1]. Group 1: Project Overview - The project features a capacity of 1 million kilowatts of photovoltaic energy and 200,000 kilowatts/1 million kilowatt-hours of all-vanadium flow energy storage [1]. - The charging experiment aims to activate the all-vanadium flow electrolyte, enabling energy storage and release capabilities [1]. - The energy storage station consists of 80 storage units, with the initial experiment conducted on one unit, showing normal operational parameters [1]. Group 2: Technology and Advantages - The all-vanadium flow battery utilizes a "liquid storage" mode, storing energy in liquid tanks and cycling vanadium ion solutions through the battery stack to achieve energy storage and release [2]. - This technology offers three core advantages: 1. Extremely long cycle life, with up to 16,000 cycles, significantly surpassing lithium batteries' 2,000-3,000 cycles, and a stable lifespan exceeding 20 years [3]. 2. High safety due to the non-flammable and non-explosive nature of the electrolyte [4]. 3. Long-duration energy storage capability, addressing the intermittent nature of renewable energy sources like wind and solar, thus stabilizing power supply [4]. Group 3: Implications for Energy Transition - The all-vanadium flow battery's characteristics support large-scale integration of renewable energy into the grid, transforming renewable energy from a "volatile power source" to a "stable power source" [4]. - This technology is crucial for achieving China's dual carbon goals and transitioning to a clean, low-carbon energy structure [4].

Core Viewpoint - The E Fund Hong Kong Stock Connect Dividend Mixed A Fund (005583) reported a profit of 231 million yuan for the first half of 2025, with a net value growth rate of 10.82% and a fund size of 2.656 billion yuan as of the end of June 2025 [2][33]. Fund Performance - As of September 5, the fund's unit net value was 0.872 yuan, with a three-month net value growth rate of 14.38%, a six-month growth rate of 19.92%, a one-year growth rate of 43.07%, and a three-year growth rate of 17.40% [2][6][28]. - The fund's three-year Sharpe ratio was 0.0855, ranking 372 out of 875 comparable funds [26]. - The fund's maximum drawdown over the past three years was 33.73%, with the largest single-quarter drawdown occurring in Q1 2022 at 29.54% [28]. Market Analysis - The fund manager noted several changes in the Hong Kong stock market compared to last year, including the underperformance of high-dividend indices relative to broad indices, significant internal differentiation within high-dividend indices, and a slowdown in incremental capital inflow after a rapid increase in Q1 [2][3]. - The fund manager expressed a relatively positive outlook on underperforming sectors such as utilities, which have lower valuations and are in a capital expenditure downcycle, potentially improving shareholder returns [3]. Valuation Metrics - As of June 30, 2025, the fund's weighted average price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio was approximately 9.63 times, compared to the industry average of 15.75 times. The weighted average price-to-book (P/B) ratio was about 0.31 times, while the industry average was 2.52 times [11]. - The weighted average price-to-sales (P/S) ratio was approximately 0.28 times, with the industry average at 2.16 times, indicating that the fund's valuations are significantly lower than the industry averages [11]. Fund Holdings - As of June 30, 2025, the fund had a total of 38,800 holders, with a total of 3.406 billion shares held. Institutional investors accounted for 70.43% of the holdings, while individual investors made up 29.57% [37]. - The fund's top ten holdings included Longyuan Power, China Mobile, Sinopec Engineering, Sinochem Fertilizer, Beijing Enterprises Water Group, Mengniu Dairy, Xinhua Wenhui, Sinopec Kantons, Datang Renewable, and Sichuan Chengyu Expressway [42].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the green electricity sector [8]. Core Insights - The acceleration of subsidy recovery signals a significant improvement in the financial health of renewable energy operators, enhancing cash flow and potentially allowing for the reversal of previously recognized receivable impairments [2][10]. - The green certificate market is experiencing a recovery, with prices increasing due to improved supply-demand dynamics, which is expected to restore the narrative around the green electricity sector [2][10]. Summary by Sections Subsidy Recovery - In August, several companies received substantial subsidy payments, indicating a faster recovery process for industry-wide subsidies. For instance, Solar Energy, Jinko Technology, and Longyang Energy received subsidies of 1.68 billion, 939 million, and 633 million RMB respectively, accounting for 74.6%, 78.3%, and 74.5% of their annual recovery totals [10]. - The cumulative subsidy recovery from January to August for these companies increased by 258.6%, 340.5%, and 272.0% year-on-year, with total amounts far exceeding the entire recovery for 2024 [10]. Green Certificate Market - The green certificate trading volume reached 68.21 million in July, with a year-on-year increase of 126.08% for the first seven months of 2025. The average price of green certificates rose to 4.61 RMB per unit, a 35.42% increase from the previous month [10]. - The price of green certificates for 2025 has reached 6.88 RMB per unit, reflecting a 6.17% increase, which translates to a compensation of 0.007 RMB per kilowatt-hour for renewable energy generation [10]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on quality coal-fired power operators such as Huaneng International, Datang Power, and Guodian Power, as well as hydropower companies like Yangtze Power and State Power Investment Corporation [10]. - For the renewable energy sector, it recommends companies like Longyuan Power, China Nuclear Power, and Zhongmin Energy, highlighting their potential for growth amid favorable policy changes [10].

Core Viewpoint - The power sector is experiencing a significant rise in stock prices, driven by a record-breaking electricity consumption in July and favorable conditions for thermal power companies [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - Longyuan Power (001289)(00916) increased by 6% to HKD 7.42 [1] - China Power (02380) rose by 3.65% to HKD 3.41 [1] - Huaneng International (600011)(00902) gained 2.79% to HKD 5.89 [1] - China Resources Power (00836) climbed 2.51% to HKD 18.78 [1] Group 2: Electricity Consumption - In July, the total electricity consumption in China reached 1.02 trillion kWh, marking the first time it surpassed 1 trillion kWh in a month [1] Group 3: Industry Insights - Dongguan Securities reported that the rapid development of renewable energy is squeezing the market share of thermal power, leading to a year-on-year decline in revenue for several thermal power companies [1] - Despite the decline in revenue, companies like Huaneng International and Huadian International (600027) achieved year-on-year growth in net profit due to falling fuel prices [1] - Average coal prices have decreased year-on-year, which is beneficial for the profitability of thermal power companies [1] Group 4: Future Outlook - Bank of America noted that the performance of Chinese power stocks in the first half of the year largely met expectations [1] - Guosheng Securities projected that the overall performance of the power sector will align with expectations, with thermal power seeing revenue decline but profit increase, while hydropower remains stable and green energy faces pressure [1] - The current electricity prices are expected to bottom out and rebound, with demand recovery anticipated to boost electricity consumption and continued decline in fuel costs [1]

Core Viewpoint - The power sector is experiencing a significant rise in stock prices, driven by a record electricity consumption milestone and favorable market conditions for thermal power companies [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - Longyuan Power (00916) increased by 6% to HKD 7.42 [1] - China Power (02380) rose by 3.65% to HKD 3.41 [1] - Huaneng International (00902) gained 2.79% to HKD 5.89 [1] - China Resources Power (00836) saw a 2.51% increase to HKD 18.78 [1] Group 2: Electricity Consumption - In July, the total electricity consumption in China reached 1.02 trillion kilowatt-hours, marking the first time it surpassed one trillion kilowatt-hours in a month [1] Group 3: Industry Analysis - Dongguan Securities reported that the rapid development of renewable energy is squeezing the market share of thermal power, leading to a decline in revenue for several thermal power companies [1] - Despite the decline in revenue, companies like Huaneng International and Huadian International achieved year-on-year growth in net profit due to falling fuel prices [1] - Average coal prices have decreased year-on-year, contributing to improved profitability for thermal power companies [1] Group 4: Future Outlook - Bank of America noted that the performance of Chinese power stocks in the first half of the year generally met expectations [1] - Guosheng Securities projected that the mid-year report for the power industry in 2025 would show a decline in revenue but an increase in profits for thermal power, stable performance for hydropower, and pressure on green energy [1] - The current electricity prices are expected to bottom out and rebound, with demand recovery anticipated to boost electricity consumption, while fuel costs continue to decline [1]

Group 1: Overall Industry Performance - Chinese power stocks' performance in the first half of the year generally met expectations, with strong earnings and free cash flow from thermal power, wind supply chain, and environmental businesses [1] - However, gas, wind, solar independent power producers, and solar supply chain showed relatively weak performance [1] Group 2: Company Ratings and Target Prices - Huaneng International Power (600011) received a "Buy" rating due to a free cash flow yield of 8%, with the H-share target price raised from HKD 6 to HKD 6.2 [1] - China Resources Power (00836) was rated "Neutral," with the target price decreased from HKD 20.2 to HKD 19.8 due to declining revenue from coal and renewable energy [1] - Huadian International Power (600027) had its rating downgraded from "Buy" to "Neutral," with the H-share target price lowered from HKD 4.9 to HKD 4.6, amid concerns over falling electricity prices and seasonal weakness [1] Group 3: Specific Company Insights - China Everbright Environment (00257) received a "Buy" rating, with a 23% year-on-year increase in pre-tax profit and a doubling of free cash flow, targeting a price of HKD 5.3 [2] - Longyuan Power (001289) was rated "Underperform," with a target price of HKD 6, as its earnings decline was in line with expectations, and attention will be paid to subsidy collection and upcoming provincial power tenders [2]

Core Viewpoint - The report from Guosheng Securities indicates that the overall performance of the power sector in the first half of 2025 meets expectations, with thermal power experiencing a decline in revenue but an increase in profit, hydropower remaining stable, and green energy facing pressure [1][2]. Summary by Category Performance Overview - In the first half of 2025, the power sector (SW) listed companies achieved total operating revenue of 911.6 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 1.54%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders reached 102.7 billion yuan, an increase of 3.44% [2]. - Thermal power generated operating revenue of 572.6 billion yuan, down 3.70% year-on-year, but net profit increased by 6.31% to 44.1 billion yuan [2]. - Hydropower's operating revenue was 87.9 billion yuan, up 4.69% year-on-year, with net profit rising by 10.70% to 26.2 billion yuan [2]. - New energy generation (including nuclear power) faced challenges, with operating revenue of 153.0 billion yuan, a decline of 2.18%, and net profit down 6.42% to 25.1 billion yuan [2]. Thermal Power Insights - The significant drop in coal prices since the beginning of the year has mitigated the pressure from declining volume and price; however, regional price differentiation remains a challenge [2]. - The upcoming comprehensive adjustment of capacity prices in 2026 is expected to reshape the profitability model of thermal power [2]. - Recommended investment themes include stable performance targets with expected stable electricity prices, and high-dividend quality stocks as capital expenditure peaks [2]. Hydropower and Nuclear Power Potential - Hydropower companies are expected to benefit from decreasing interest expenses and the expiration of depreciation on power station units, which will continue to release profit space [3]. - Nuclear power is seeing a normalization in unit approvals, with accelerated investment and technology in nuclear fusion, indicating potential for commercialization [3]. Green Energy Outlook - The "Document 136" promotes the comprehensive entry of new energy into market trading, with rapid installation in the first half of the year leading to increased consumption challenges in the second half, impacting market prices [3]. - Policies supporting green energy consumption, such as direct connections and green certificate policies, are expected to catalyze growth in this sector [3]. - Recommended focus on undervalued green energy stocks, particularly in the Hong Kong market, and wind power operators with stable electricity price expectations [4]. Investment Recommendations - Key thermal power stocks to watch include Huadian International, Huaneng International, Baoneng New Energy, Guangzhou Development, and Guodian Power [4]. - For green energy, prioritize undervalued stocks in the Hong Kong market and wind power operators, with a focus on Xintian Green Energy and Longyuan Power [4]. - In hydropower and nuclear sectors, recommended stocks include Yangtze Power, State Power Investment Corporation, Sichuan Investment Energy, China National Nuclear Power, and China General Nuclear Power [4].

Core Viewpoint - BlackRock has reduced its stake in Longyuan Power (001289)(00916) by selling 18.878 million shares at a price of HKD 6.8373 per share, totaling approximately HKD 129 million, resulting in a new holding of about 159 million shares, representing a 4.79% ownership [1] Summary by Category - **Share Reduction** - BlackRock sold 18.878 million shares of Longyuan Power [1] - The sale price was HKD 6.8373 per share [1] - The total amount raised from the sale was approximately HKD 129 million [1] - **Current Holdings** - After the reduction, BlackRock's remaining shares in Longyuan Power are approximately 159 million [1] - The new ownership percentage is 4.79% [1]

Group 1 - BlackRock reduced its stake in Longyuan Power (00916) by selling 18.878 million shares at a price of HKD 6.8373 per share, totaling approximately HKD 129 million [1] - After the reduction, BlackRock's remaining shareholding is approximately 159 million shares, representing a holding percentage of 4.79% [1]