Macro Insights - The economic growth rate in August is expected to be supported by exports and consumption policies, despite a significant slowdown in the real estate sector, with a target of 5% annual growth remaining achievable [1][15][12] - The industrial added value in July grew by 5.7% year-on-year, with the manufacturing sector showing resilience, particularly in high-tech products and equipment manufacturing [12][13] - Fixed asset investment growth slowed to 1.6% year-on-year in the first seven months, primarily due to a decline in real estate investment, which fell by 12% [13][14] Strategy Insights - Current channels for resident capital entering the market include increasing financing balances and active personal investor accounts, leading to a positive feedback loop in the market [2] - The "anti-involution" market trend can be analyzed through policy expectations and real-world transmission, indicating a shift from theme-driven to profit-driven market dynamics [2] - The technology and small-cap sectors are expected to continue outperforming as more external funds enter the market [2] Industry Reports - The consumer electronics sector is anticipated to see significant opportunities with the upcoming release of new products, particularly in AI-related applications [8] - The coal mining industry is experiencing a continuous improvement in fundamentals, with the price of thermal coal expected to rise [8] - The healthcare sector, particularly innovative drugs, is projected to maintain a positive outlook due to improved profitability [8]

华住集团首席执行官金辉表示："二季度公司延续了规模与盈利的双轨增长。面对市场供给增加的 压力，我们仍保持较高的入住率，展现出强劲的运营韧性。" 金辉透露，未来将通过对老产品的持续升级迭代，以及加强收益管理和本地营销能力，推动单店 RevPAR的增长。 截至上半年，华住集团在营酒店总数达12137家，同比增长18%；在营客房总数1184915间，同比增 加18.3%。 报告期内，集团新开业酒店597家，其中经济型酒店和中档酒店占比分别达44%、42%。待开业酒 店2947家，期末运营中及待开业酒店合计覆盖城市达1522个。 8月20日，华住集团发布2025年第二季度财务业绩。 财报显示，今年二季度华住集团的酒店营业额269亿元，同比增长15%。同期，集团收入达64亿 元，同比增长4.5%，经调整净利润13.5亿元，同比增长7.6%，经调整EBITDA（息税折旧及摊销前利 润）23亿元，同比增长11.3%。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The hotel industry is transitioning from a phase of "revenge spending" to a more rational consumption pattern, leading to intensified competition and reduced availability of "low-hanging fruit" for hotel companies. In this context, Huazhu Group has demonstrated strong internal growth factors and is advancing towards higher quality growth through product iteration, operational optimization, and cost control [1][4]. Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, Huazhu Group reported hotel revenue of 26.9 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15%. The group's total revenue reached 6.4 billion yuan, up 4.5%, with adjusted net profit at 1.35 billion yuan, reflecting a 7.6% increase. Adjusted EBITDA was 2.3 billion yuan, growing by 11.3% [2]. Market Context - The hotel industry in China has seen significant growth, with the number of hotel establishments rising from 252,400 in 2021 to 348,700 in 2024, an increase of nearly 100,000 [4]. - Consumer sentiment has shifted towards rationality, emphasizing value for money, which has intensified competition in the market [4]. Key Operational Metrics - In Q2 2025, Huazhu's RevPAR (Revenue per Available Room) was 235 yuan, 96.2% of the same period in 2024. The ADR (Average Daily Rate) was 290 yuan, at 98.1% of the previous year, and the occupancy rate was 81%, down from 98.4% [5]. - In contrast, the overall Chinese hotel market saw a 5% decline in RevPAR during the same period, indicating Huazhu's strong performance relative to the market [5]. Competitive Advantages - Huazhu Group maintains a diverse brand matrix with over 30 sub-brands, focusing on economy and mid-range hotels, which positions it well in a market where consumers are increasingly price-sensitive [8]. - The company has expanded its hotel network to 12,137 properties, an 18% increase year-on-year, and has enhanced its presence in mid-to-high-end segments, with a 23.3% growth in mid-to-high-end properties [11]. Membership and Customer Engagement - Huazhu's membership base grew by 17.5% to 288 million, with member booking nights increasing by 28.8% in Q2 [12]. Supply Chain and Franchise Support - Huazhu introduced nine service commitments to franchisees, enhancing procurement reliability and setting new industry standards. This includes commitments to quality, pricing, and service efficiency [13]. - The company’s strong supply chain capabilities allow for cost reductions and improved service quality, which supports franchisee profitability [13]. Future Outlook - Analysts suggest that despite a slight decline in RevPAR in Q3, the strong leisure travel demand and Huazhu's extensive membership system position the company favorably for future growth, maintaining a "strongly recommended" rating [15].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [6] Core Views - The company reported steady growth in Q2, with hotel revenue reaching approximately 26.92 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.0%, and a net profit of 1.54 billion yuan, up 44.7% [1][10] - The company is strategically shifting focus from direct-operated stores to franchise operations, with franchise revenue growing by 22.8% in Q2, while direct-operated store revenue declined [2][13] - The company has adjusted its full-year RevPAR expectations downward, anticipating a low single-digit decline, while maintaining revenue growth expectations of 2%-6% [4][15] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Q2 revenue was 6.43 billion yuan, a 4.5% increase year-on-year, with adjusted net profit at 1.35 billion yuan, up 7.6% [1][10] - The adjusted EBITDA grew by 11.3% year-on-year [1] - The company’s total hotel operating revenue for Q2 was approximately 26.92 billion yuan, with a significant contribution from Huazhu China [10] Business Strategy - The company is focusing on franchise business growth, with franchise room numbers increasing by 20.0% year-on-year, while direct-operated store revenue and profit declined [2][13] - The company is strategically reducing the number of direct-operated stores while optimizing existing store profitability through rent agreements and efficiency improvements [2] Market Trends - The mixed RevPAR for Huazhu China in Q2 was 235 yuan, a decrease of 3.8% year-on-year, with same-store RevPAR down 7.9% [3][14] - The company is actively renovating older stores and launching new brands to adapt to market changes, with a focus on high-quality hotel development [3][14] Future Outlook - The company has revised its full-year RevPAR forecast to a low single-digit decline, reflecting ongoing market uncertainties [4][15] - The company plans to enhance its membership program, which has grown to 288 million members, contributing significantly to revenue [4][15] - The company has announced a semi-annual dividend policy totaling 250 million USD, reflecting strong shareholder returns [4][15]

Group 1 - The company achieved revenue of 6.4 billion yuan in Q2 2025, a year-on-year increase of 4.5%, reaching the upper limit of the guidance growth rate of 1%-5% [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.54 billion yuan, up 44.7%, driven by asset-light transformation, a 2.3 percentage point increase in gross margin, and foreign exchange gains of 435 million yuan, leading to a 6.6 percentage point increase in net profit margin [1] - Management franchise and licensing revenue reached 2.9 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 22.8%, exceeding the guidance growth rate of 18%-22% [1] Group 2 - The company opened 595 new stores in mainland China in Q2 2025, a year-on-year increase of 4.9%, with a net increase of 452 stores [1] - As of the end of Q2 2025, the total number of stores in mainland China reached 12,016, a year-on-year increase of 18.4%, with franchise stores accounting for 95.4% [1] - The company has a store reserve of 2,925, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 2.3%, actively working towards the annual guidance of opening 2,300 new stores and a net increase of 1,700 stores [1] Group 3 - The mainland RevPAR decreased by 3.8% to 235 yuan in Q2 2025, with occupancy rate down 1.6 percentage points to 81.0% and ADR down 1.9% to 290 yuan [2] - The company expects Q3 2025 revenue growth rate of 2%-6%, with a 4%-8% growth rate excluding the DH segment, and a franchise business revenue growth rate of 20%-24%, accelerating compared to Q2 2025 [2] - The company has issued a total of 550 million USD in dividends this year, corresponding to a dividend yield of 5.3% [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company [3][6]. Core Insights - The company reported Q2 2025 revenue of 6.43 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.5%, aligning with the guidance of 0%-5% [1][6]. - Adjusted EBITDA and net profit for Q2 2025 were 2.27 billion yuan and 1.35 billion yuan, respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth of 11.3% and 7.6% [1][6]. - The company anticipates Q3 2025 revenue growth of 2%-6%, with domestic hotel revenue expected to grow by 4%-8% [1][6]. Financial Performance - The company achieved a gross margin of 41.6%, an increase of 2.3 percentage points year-on-year [6]. - The operating profit margin for Q2 2025 was 27.8%, up by 2.2 percentage points year-on-year [6]. - The company’s total revenue for 2023 is projected at 21.882 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 58% [2][8]. Operational Metrics - The number of domestic hotels reached 12,016, representing an 18.4% increase year-on-year [6]. - The company has a robust pipeline with 2,947 hotels awaiting opening, sufficient to support its annual opening plan [6]. - The overall hotel occupancy rate, average daily rate, and RevPAR showed a slight decline, with year-on-year changes of -1.6 percentage points, -1.9%, and -3.8%, respectively [6]. Shareholder Information - The total share capital is 3,069 million shares, with a market capitalization of 80.7 billion HKD [3][6]. - The major shareholder, Qi Qi, holds a 31.21% stake in the company [3].

Core Insights - Huazhu Group reported a revenue of 11.8 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 3.5%, and a net profit of approximately 2.4 billion yuan, up 41.2% [1][4] - Key performance indicators in the Chinese market, including average daily rate (ADR), occupancy rate, and revenue per available room (RevPAR), showed a decline compared to the previous year [1][5] - Despite the challenges, Huazhu continues to expand aggressively, with a total of 12,137 stores as of mid-2025, an 18% increase year-on-year, and 2,947 additional stores in the pipeline [1][9] Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, Huazhu's revenue reached 6.4 billion yuan, a 4.5% increase year-on-year, with adjusted net profit of 1.35 billion yuan, up 7.6% [4] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q2 was 2.3 billion yuan, reflecting an 11.3% increase [4] - The operating profit for Q2 was 1.8 billion yuan, a 13.7% increase year-on-year [1] Market Conditions - The hotel industry is facing overall pressure, with STR reporting a 5% decline in average RevPAR for the industry in the first half of 2025 [8] - Huazhu's ADR was 290 yuan, down 1.9% year-on-year, and occupancy rate was 81%, a decrease of 1.6 percentage points [1][5] - RevPAR decreased by 3.8% to 235 yuan [1][5] Expansion Strategy - Huazhu's strategy involves rapid store openings, focusing on economy and mid-range hotels, with 595 new openings in Q2, 44% of which were economy hotels and 42% mid-range [8] - The company aims to balance the pace and quality of new store openings while upgrading existing stores [12][11] Business Segmentation - Huazhu's revenue from its Chinese operations was approximately 9.6 billion yuan, a 5.6% increase, contributing 81.4% to total revenue [14] - The international segment generated about 2.2 billion yuan, a decrease of 4.9%, accounting for 18.6% of total revenue [14] - The management franchise and licensing models are expanding, with 92% of hotel rooms operated under these models, up 2% year-on-year [17] Cost Management - Huazhu's hotel operating costs were 7.356 billion yuan, a 0.82% increase, while the cost per store decreased by 14.19% to 607,900 yuan [10] - The company has achieved a 10% to 20% reduction in procurement costs across various categories [10] Membership and Customer Engagement - As of Q2 2025, Huazhu's membership base reached 288 million, a 17.5% increase year-on-year [14] - The company upgraded its direct booking platform and membership club, introducing a dual guarantee feature to enhance customer service [14] Competitive Landscape - Huazhu ranks first among China's four major hotel groups in terms of revenue, with 23.891 billion yuan, but faces competition from faster-growing peers like Atour [18][20] - The company is also exploring retail opportunities, although results have yet to be significant [21]

Core Viewpoint - The hotel industry in China faces challenges due to rapid supply increases and macroeconomic factors, but H World Group (Huazhu) demonstrates resilience and growth through strategic expansion and operational excellence [1][3]. Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, Huazhu's hotel revenue reached 26.9 billion yuan, a 15% year-on-year increase; total revenue was 6.4 billion yuan, up 4.5% [1]. - Management and franchise income grew by 22.8% to 2.9 billion yuan; adjusted net profit was 1.35 billion yuan, a 7.6% increase; adjusted EBITDA was 2.3 billion yuan, up 11.3% [1]. - The total number of operating hotels reached 12,137, an 18% increase year-on-year, with 1,184,915 rooms, up 18.3% [1]. Expansion Strategy - Huazhu opened 597 new hotels in Q2, with a focus on economy and mid-range hotels, which accounted for 44% and 42% of new openings, respectively [6]. - The company emphasizes high-quality expansion rather than blind growth, targeting underdeveloped markets, including rural areas [3][6]. - The brand matrix is diversifying, with the launch of new hotel versions catering to different market segments [8][10]. Market Position and Trends - The Chinese hotel market is experiencing structural changes, with mid-range hotels becoming the main growth driver [10]. - Huazhu's brands, including Hanting and Qianxi, are positioned to meet the rising demand for quality and affordable accommodations [11]. - The company ranks fourth globally in terms of operating rooms, surpassing InterContinental Hotels Group [8]. Membership and Customer Engagement - Huazhu upgraded its membership program to address consumer concerns about pricing, enhancing member loyalty [12]. - As of Q2, the number of Huazhu members reached 288 million, a 17.5% increase, with member bookings accounting for 65.1% of total room nights [12].

Core Viewpoint - Huazhu Group reported a solid performance in Q2 2025, with significant growth in hotel revenue and adjusted net profit, despite challenges in the overall hotel industry [1][2]. Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, Huazhu Group's hotel revenue reached 26.9 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 15% [1]. - The group's total revenue was 6.4 billion RMB, up 4.5% year-on-year [1]. - Adjusted net profit was 1.35 billion RMB, reflecting a 7.6% increase [1]. - Adjusted EBITDA was 2.3 billion RMB, showing an 11.3% growth [1]. Hotel Operations - As of the end of Q2, Huazhu Group operated 12,137 hotels, an 18% increase year-on-year [1]. - The total number of rooms reached 1,184,915, up 18.3% from the previous year [1]. - The company opened 597 new hotels during the quarter, with 2,947 hotels in the pipeline, covering 1,522 cities [1]. Future Guidance - For Q3 2025, Huazhu Group expects revenue growth of 2% to 6% compared to Q3 2024, or 4% to 8% excluding Huazhu International [1]. - Management and franchise income is projected to grow by 20% to 24% year-on-year [1]. Market Challenges - Despite the positive financial results, the hotel industry faces pressure on average daily rate (ADR), occupancy rate (OCC), and revenue per available room (RevPAR) [2]. - Q2 2025 figures for Huazhu China showed ADR at 290 RMB, OCC at 81%, and RevPAR at 235 RMB, all lower than the same period in 2024 [2]. - The CEO noted that rapid supply growth in the hotel market and macroeconomic factors have created challenges for the industry [2]. Strategic Shift - Huazhu Group is implementing a light-asset strategy, reducing direct operations while focusing on management and franchise models [3][4]. - Revenue from leased and owned hotels decreased by 8.7% to 6.2 billion RMB, while management and franchise income grew by 22% to 5.4 billion RMB, now accounting for 45.4% of total revenue [3][4]. - The shift to a light-asset model has improved gross profit margins, with operating profit margin rising from 22.5% to 24.3% year-on-year [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4][5]. Core Insights - The company reported its mid-year performance for 2025, which met expectations, with a revenue of RMB 6.4 billion in Q2, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 4.5% [4]. - The domestic segment generated RMB 5.1 billion in revenue, up 5.7% year-on-year, exceeding previous guidance [4]. - The company continues to benefit from its asset-light strategy, with management and franchise income growing by 22.8% to RMB 2.9 billion [4]. - The company has accelerated its asset-light transformation in overseas markets, with a significant improvement in operational data for its DH hotels [4]. Financial Data and Earnings Forecast - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2023: RMB 21,882 million - 2024: RMB 23,891 million - 2025E: RMB 25,603 million - 2026E: RMB 26,794 million - 2027E: RMB 28,215 million - The expected net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to be: - 2025E: RMB 4,780 million - 2026E: RMB 5,727 million - 2027E: RMB 6,234 million - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to be RMB 1.54 in 2025E, RMB 1.84 in 2026E, and RMB 2.01 in 2027E [4][5]. Operational Efficiency - The company has 12,137 hotels in operation globally, with a total of 1,184,915 rooms as of Q2 2025 [4]. - The revenue from management and franchise hotels accounted for 45.4% of total revenue in H1 2025, up from 38.5% in the same period last year [4]. - The operating profit margin improved by 2.2 percentage points to 27.8% in Q2 2025, with operating profit increasing by 13.7% to RMB 1.8 billion [4]. Market Performance - The company’s domestic RevPAR (Revenue per Available Room) was RMB 235, down 3.7% year-on-year, while the overseas DH hotels saw a RevPAR of €88, up 7.3% year-on-year [4]. - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of approximately $250 million for H1 2025, reflecting confidence in future cash flows and commitment to shareholder returns [4].