Core Viewpoint - The photovoltaic industry is experiencing significant price increases in polysilicon, monocrystalline silicon wafers, and solar cells, while photovoltaic module prices are lagging behind. The market for polysilicon has not yet shown substantial recovery, requiring more positive factors for further performance [1][3]. Group 1: Policy and Industry Dynamics - The central financial committee proposed to regulate low-price disorderly competition in the photovoltaic industry, guiding companies to enhance product quality and promote the orderly exit of outdated production capacity [1]. - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology held discussions with photovoltaic companies, emphasizing the need for comprehensive governance of low-price competition [1]. - Specific policies for capacity reduction in the photovoltaic industry are expected to be gradually introduced in the second half of the year, which will accelerate the industry's recovery [1]. Group 2: Market Performance and Trends - In June 2025, the domestic newly installed photovoltaic capacity was 14.36 GW, a year-on-year decline of 38.45%, while the cumulative new capacity for the first half of the year reached 212.21 GW, a year-on-year increase of 107.07% [2]. - In July, domestic polysilicon production was approximately 107,800 tons, a month-on-month increase of 5.7%, but a year-on-year decrease of 41.5% for the cumulative production from January to July [3]. - The price of polysilicon, monocrystalline silicon wafers, and solar cells has significantly increased, while the price of photovoltaic modules has not yet responded similarly [3]. Group 3: Investment Recommendations - The industry is currently at a historically low valuation level, and as capacity reduction progresses, supply and demand are expected to improve [4]. - It is recommended to focus on "capacity clearance" and "new technology iteration" as key investment themes, particularly in leading companies in polysilicon, photovoltaic glass, BC cells, and perovskite cells [4].

Group 1: Company Overview - Zhongyuan Securities' stock price closed at 4.49 yuan on July 30, down 1.54% from the previous trading day, with a trading volume of 810,329 hands and a transaction amount of 365 million yuan [1] - Zhongyuan Securities is a comprehensive securities company based in Zhengzhou, Henan Province, offering services in securities brokerage, investment banking, and asset management [1] Group 2: Industry Trends - The internationalization process of the brokerage industry is accelerating, with several firms expanding overseas through listings in Hong Kong or increasing capital in their Hong Kong subsidiaries [1] - Currently, 13 mainland brokerage firms have achieved "A+H" dual listings, with Zhongyuan Securities being one of them [1] - In 2024, some leading brokerages are expected to see significant growth in international business revenue, with CITIC Securities reporting a 116% year-on-year increase in net profit from international operations [1] Group 3: Market Activity - On July 30, Zhongyuan Securities experienced a net outflow of 13.864 million yuan in principal funds, indicating a trend of net outflow for the day [2]

Market Overview - On July 24, the A-share market opened lower but rose slightly, with the Shanghai Composite Index facing resistance around 3608 points[3] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3605.73 points, up 0.65%, while the Shenzhen Component Index rose 1.21% to 11,193.06 points[9] - Total trading volume for both markets was 18,742 billion yuan, slightly lower than the previous trading day[9] Sector Performance - Strong performers included securities, non-ferrous metals, semiconductors, and energy metals, while precious metals, banks, insurance, and electric power sectors lagged[4] - Over 80% of stocks in the two markets rose, with energy metals and small metals leading the gains[9] Valuation Metrics - The average price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for the Shanghai Composite and ChiNext indices are 14.75 times and 40.41 times, respectively, indicating a mid-range valuation over the past three years[4] - The trading volume is above the median of the past three years, suggesting a healthy market activity level[4] Economic Outlook - China's economy continues to show moderate recovery, driven by consumption and investment[4] - Long-term capital inflows are increasing, with steady growth in ETF sizes and continuous inflow from insurance funds, providing significant support to the market[4] Investment Strategy - Investors are advised to focus on sectors with high mid-year performance growth and technology growth strategies, while also considering high-dividend banks and public utilities[4] - Short-term market expectations lean towards steady upward fluctuations, with a need to monitor policy, capital flow, and external market changes closely[4]

Group 1: Market Trends - The paper sector continues its upward trend, with Nine Dragons Paper (02689.HK) leading the gains, rising over 9% after announcing a price increase of 30 CNY/ton for corrugated paper and recycled cardboard starting August 1, reflecting an optimized supply-demand structure in the industry [1] - The brokerage sector saw collective strength, with major Chinese brokerages like Dongfang Securities (03958.HK) and Zhongyuan Securities (01375.HK) rising over 6% and 5% respectively, indicating significant capital inflow into the sector [1] - Urban Beauty (02298.HK) surged 13% as its online GMV for 2024 is projected to reach 1.57 billion CNY, marking a 100% year-on-year increase, showcasing the effectiveness of its new retail transformation [1] Group 2: Company Performance - China Duty Free Group (01880.HK) soared 17% after Macquarie's report indicated a narrowing year-on-year revenue decline from 19.5% in Q4 2024 to 11% in Q1 2025, with a stable gross margin of 33% [1] - The gaming sector experienced a broad increase, with companies like 澳博控股 (00880.HK) and 银河娱乐 (00027.HK) rising over 3%, supported by UBS data showing Macau's average daily gaming revenue in July at 683 million MOP, a 14% year-on-year increase [2] - 雍禾医疗 (02279.HK) saw a 13% increase after forming a strategic partnership with Meituan Health to build a medical-grade hair health service system [2] Group 3: Real Estate and Financing - The Hong Kong real estate sector collectively strengthened, with Country Garden (02007.HK) leading with nearly a 10% rise, driven by improved financing conditions as indicated by the People's Bank of China's report showing a recovery in real estate loan growth [3] - Meilan Airport (0357.HK) rose 10% as CITIC Securities highlighted the significance of Hainan's trade opening, which is expected to benefit the local tourism industry [3] Group 4: Gold Sector Decline - The gold sector faced pressure, with companies like 潼关黄金 (00340.HK) and 大唐黄金 (08331.HK) dropping over 4%, attributed to a decline in spot gold prices below 3,380 USD/oz, driven by reduced safe-haven appeal due to easing trade tensions [4] Group 5: US Market Highlights - Futu Holdings (FUTU.US) rose 2.82% after announcing a long-term strategic partnership with Huaxia Fund to promote the integration of traditional finance and blockchain technology [5] - Japanese automotive stocks surged, with Toyota (TM.US) and Honda (HMC.US) rising over 13% following news of a trade agreement reducing tariffs on Japanese cars [6] - Nuclear power stocks in the US saw significant gains, with Oklo Inc (OKLO.US) rising 9.21%, reflecting a growing interest in nuclear energy [5]

Group 1 - Hong Kong brokerage stocks continue to rise, with Dongfang Securities increasing by 5.01% [1] - Other notable gains include Zhongzhou Securities up by 4.63%, Guolian Ming Sheng up by 3.84%, and Huatai Securities up by 3.43% [1]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share securities sector is experiencing a strong rebound, with notable gains in several companies, indicating a positive market sentiment in this industry [1] Company Summaries - Jinlong Co., Ltd. has reached the daily limit increase, reflecting strong investor interest and confidence in its performance [1] - Bank of China Securities has seen an increase of over 5%, suggesting a robust market position and potential growth prospects [1] - Guosheng Financial Holdings, Guoxin Securities, and Zhongyuan Securities are also experiencing upward movements, indicating a broader positive trend within the securities sector [1]

Market Overview - On July 23, the Hong Kong stock market experienced a significant rally, with the Hang Seng Index rising by 1.62% to close at 25,538.07 points, and the Hang Seng Technology Index increasing by 2.48% [2][3] - The total market turnover for the day was 333.07 billion HKD, with a net outflow of 1.32 billion HKD from southbound funds [2] Tencent Holdings - Tencent Holdings saw a notable increase of 4.94%, closing above 550 HKD per share, marking a new high in over four years, with a market capitalization of 50,594.48 billion HKD [6][5] - The company responded to news regarding the discontinuation of the WeChat real-time intercom feature, stating that a new voice input function has been added to enhance user experience [8] Technology Sector - Internet technology stocks collectively surged, with Kuaishou-W rising by 7.08% and Baidu Group-SW increasing by 6.08% [3] - The Hang Seng Technology Index's performance reflects a year-to-date increase of 28.59% [3] Chinese Brokerage Stocks - Chinese brokerage stocks showed strong performance, with notable gains from Guolian Minsheng (5.46%), Xingsheng International (5.17%), and Zhongzhou Securities (4.85%) [11] - The securities industry is currently benefiting from multiple favorable factors, including a 33% year-on-year increase in new A-share accounts and a significant rise in IPO numbers and financing scale in the Hong Kong market [13] Insurance Sector - The insurance sector was active, with China Life rising by 3.34%, contributing to a year-to-date increase of 51.44% [15] - According to research from China International Capital Corporation, the net profit growth rate for the Chinese insurance industry is expected to be 7.4% year-on-year in the first half of 2025 [18] New Energy Vehicle Sector - NIO-SW experienced an increase of 8.97%, driven by the announcement of dynamic test drive experiences for its new model, the L90, which is set to launch soon [20] Cement Sector - The cement sector faced a downturn, with Huaxin Cement dropping by 9.37% and other related stocks also declining due to a collective pullback in the Yajiang Hydropower Station-related sector [21]

Group 1 - Hong Kong brokerage stocks experienced significant fluctuations, with Zhongzhou Securities rising over 10% [1] - Guolian Minsheng (601456) increased by more than 8% [1] - CITIC Securities, CITIC Jiantou (601066), and Guotai Junan International all saw gains exceeding 5% [1] Group 2 - A-share accounts can now conduct T+0 trading for Hong Kong stocks without the need for Hong Kong Stock Connect [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is the recognition of Li Zhaoxin, General Manager of Zhongyuan Securities, who ranked 26th in the Growth and Development Securities Firms Leadership TOP List, initiated by Sina Finance to honor outstanding contributions and influence of securities leaders [1][14] - The TOP List evaluates the management achievements of securities leaders over the past year based on a multi-dimensional evaluation system, including industry data, peer evaluation, and online presence, with a focus on creating economic and social value [1][14] Group 2 - Li Zhaoxin, born in 1969, holds a master's degree in management and has multiple professional qualifications, including senior accountant and registered tax agent [2] - Li has held various positions within Zhongyuan Securities since November 2017, including roles as Chief Accountant and Deputy Director of the Executive Committee, and currently serves as General Manager and Deputy Secretary of the Party Committee [2] Group 3 - The evaluation method for leadership includes three main components: industry data evaluation (50%), peer evaluation (40%), and online presence evaluation (10%) [5][8] - Industry data evaluation considers factors such as company size, operational status, risk control, and business quality [5] Group 4 - Zhongyuan Securities reported a revenue growth rate of -14.13% and a net profit growth rate of 16.19%, with a return on assets (ROA) of 0.43% and a return on equity (ROE) of 1.76% [6] - The firm ranked 34th in brokerage business profit margin (69.47%), 47th in investment banking profit margin (-130.87%), and 10th in asset management business profit margin (51.50%) among listed securities firms [6] Group 5 - In the peer evaluation, Zhongyuan Securities scored 75.24, ranking 43rd among 50 listed securities firms and 22nd among 28 industry-specific firms [14] - The online presence evaluation yielded a score of 78.64, placing Zhongyuan Securities 31st among 50 listed firms and 15th among 28 industry-specific firms [14]

联系人： 李智 电话： 0371-65585629 分析师：张刚 登记编码：S0730511010001 zhanggang@ccnew.com 021-50586990 证券基建行业领涨 A 股震荡上行 ——市场分析 相关报告 《市场分析：煤炭有色行业领涨 A 股小幅上 行》 2025-07-18 《市场分析：成长行业走强 A 股震荡上行》 2025-07-17 《市场分析：汽车电力行业领涨 A 股震荡整 固》 2025-07-16 地址： 郑州郑东新区商务外环路10号18楼 地址： 上海浦东新区世纪大道 1788 号 T1 座 22 楼 证券研究报告-市场分析 发布日期：2025 年 07 月 21 日 投资要点： ◼ A 股市场综述 周一（07 月 21 日）A 股市场高开高走、小幅震荡上行，早盘股指高 开后震荡上行，盘中沪指在 3555 点附近遭遇阻力，午后股指维持震 荡，尾盘再度上扬，盘中工程建设、水泥建材、电网设备以及证券 等行业表现较好；银行、保险、教育以及互联网服务等行业表现较 弱，沪指全天基本呈现小幅震荡上行的运行特征。创业板市场周一 小幅上扬，创业板成分指数全天表现与主板市场基本同步。 ◼ ...