Core Viewpoint - The 14th Five-Year Plan emphasizes key industries such as aerospace, low-altitude economy, hydrogen energy, nuclear fusion, and embodied intelligence, presenting clear strategic opportunities for the machinery sector [1][3]. Investment Highlights - In November, the CITIC Machinery sector declined by 5.02%, underperforming the CSI 300 Index by 1.78 percentage points, ranking 26th among 30 CITIC primary industries [2]. - Among the sub-industries, aerial work platforms, other transportation equipment, and shipbuilding saw positive growth, with increases of 2.22%, 1.35%, and 0.31% respectively, while lithium battery equipment, forklifts, and photovoltaic equipment experienced significant declines [2]. Policy and Growth Opportunities - The new emerging industries outlined in the 14th Five-Year Plan, particularly aerospace, low-altitude economy, hydrogen energy, nuclear fusion, and embodied intelligence, are highly relevant to the machinery industry, providing clear strategic guidance and new investment opportunities [3]. Market Adjustment and Defensive Value - The market experienced notable adjustments in November, with previously weak sectors like shipbuilding and aerial work platforms performing relatively well, while strong sectors such as solid-state battery equipment and humanoid robots faced significant pullbacks [4]. - The recommendation is to focus on domestic demand-driven sectors with stable fundamentals and high dividend yields, such as engineering machinery and high-speed rail equipment [4]. Growth Potential and Investment Opportunities - Despite recent adjustments in themes like humanoid robots and AIDC supporting equipment, the long-term growth logic remains intact, with continued investment opportunities as market sentiment improves and risk appetite increases [5]. - The company suggests maintaining focus on traditional engineering machinery leaders and shipbuilding leaders, as well as key players in humanoid robots and AIDC construction beneficiaries [5].

分析师：郑婷 登记编码：S0730524110001 zhengting@ccnew.com 投资要点： 第1页 / 共12页 河南研究：经济数据跟踪（2025 年 10 月） 电话： 0371-65585629 地址： 郑州郑东新区商务外环路10号18楼 地址： 上海浦东新区世纪大道 1788 号 T1 座 22 楼 全国经济运行情况：2025 年 10 月份，全国规模以上工业增加值同 比增长 4.9%，社会消费品零售总额同比增长 2.9%，全国固定资产 投资（不含农户）累计同比下降 1.7%，房地产开发投资累计同比 下降 14.7%。总体来看，10 月份"反内卷"治理成效有所显现，高 技术制造业发展支撑经济韧性，但同时主要经济指标均有回落，内 需不足问题持续显现。往后看，主要经济指标回暖仍受到政策效应 退坡、前期需求透支、地产深度调整等系列因素阻力，但财政已通 过提前下达专项资金的方式进行托举，11 月人民日报文章《保持财 政政策取向不变力度不减》也指出"我国财政资源和举债空间仍然 充裕"。因此，预期四季度经济整体仍较具韧性。 河南省经济运行情况：2025 年 10 月份，河南省规模以上工业增加 值同比增 ...

四方新材于2021年3月10日在上交所上市，发行数量为3,090.00万股，发行价格42.88元/股，保荐机 构为中原证券股份有限公司，保荐代表人为战晓峰、白凯。 2024年，四方新材实现营业收入14.12亿元，同比下降28.93%；实现归属于上市公司股东的净利 润-1.64亿元，上年为1296.45万元；实现归属于上市公司股东的扣除非经常性损益的净利润-1.76亿元， 上年为961.13万元；经营活动产生的现金流量净额为1180.28万元，同比下降87.50%。 上市首日，四方新材盘中最高价报61.75元，为该股上市以来最高价。该股目前处于破发状态。 四方新材首次公开发行股票募集资金总额132,499.20万元，扣除发行费用后募集资金净额123,512.30 万元。四方新材于2021年2月25日披露的招股说明书显示，该公司原拟募集资金123,512.30万元，拟用于 装配式混凝土预制构件项目、干拌砂浆项目、物流配送体系升级项目、补充流动资金。 四方新材首次公开发行股票的发行费用总计8,986.90万元，其中，保荐和承销费用7,732.69万元。 中国经济网北京11月25日讯 四方新材(605122.SH)今 ...

铜作为新时代的"黄金"，在中美贸易摩擦的背景下，其战略价值日益凸显。供应端方面，全球铜矿品位 下降、资本开支长期不足带来的新增矿山项目有限以及矿端扰动加剧共同制约供应增长，导致铜精矿市 场持续偏紧。需求端来看，受益于全球宽松货币周期与绿色转型趋势，电力投资、新能源汽车及数据中 心建设等领域对铜的需求形成有力支撑。在铜精矿供应紧张与绿色需求爆发的背景下，铜价中枢有望保 持上行态势。基于资源稀缺性与产业链地位，建议重点关注资源储量丰富、产能规划明确的头部企业紫 金矿业(601899.SH)与洛阳钼业(603993.SH)。 铝：电解铝供需偏紧，行业维持高景气度 智通财经APP获悉，中原证券发布研报称，在铜精矿供应紧张与绿色需求爆发的背景下，铜价中枢有望 保持上行态势。该行预计2026年电解铝平均价格水平在2.2万元/吨左右。同时随着电解铝企业盈利能力 不断增强，公司纷纷提高分红比例，股息率在不断提升，板块具有红利属性。受到美联储进入降息周 期、国内一系列利好政策施放显效、经济保持向好态势，海内外对有色金属需求增加，该行维持有色金 属及新材料行业评级为"强于大市"，建议关注铜、铝、黄金和超硬材料板块。 在美联储货币 ...

Core Viewpoint - The report from Zhongyuan Securities indicates that a series of AI industry catalytic events will occur in 2026, strengthening the leading position of top optical module manufacturers due to their technological, customer, and scale advantages. The current valuation of the communication industry index is below the ten-year average, and the industry maintains a "stronger than the market" investment rating based on performance growth expectations and valuation levels [1][2]. Summary by Sections Review of 2025 - In early 2025, the DeepSeek large model boosted market sentiment, and the three major operators completed the deployment of DeepSeek computing power private networks, enhancing their cloud service capabilities. Domestic cloud manufacturers provided positive capital expenditure guidance, leading to an increase in industry valuations. However, from February to April, the industry index experienced significant fluctuations due to concerns over U.S. tariff policies and future demand for optical modules. By mid-April, the easing of tariff policies and validation of AI computing power demand led to a gradual recovery in the industry index and valuations. In late July, North American cloud manufacturers raised their capital expenditure guidance, further catalyzing the industry. Since September, leading manufacturers faced short-term performance fatigue due to product iterations and customer structure adjustments, raising concerns about unclear downstream business models [2]. Outlook for 2026 - A series of AI industry catalytic events are expected, including the mass production of NVIDIA's next-generation Rubin GPU, the release of Google's new large model Gemini, and clear capital expenditure guidance from cloud manufacturers. AI smartphones equipped with large models are anticipated to become personalized smart assistants, potentially driving the next wave of smartphone upgrades. The development of key 6G technologies by telecom operators is expected to accelerate revenue growth from AI computing power. The report is optimistic about the high industry prosperity and strong growth potential of optical modules, optical devices, optical chips, and the increasing penetration of AI smartphones, as well as the stable operations of quality dividend assets in telecom operators [3][4]. Capital Expenditure Outlook for Leading Cloud Manufacturers - The demand for 800G is increasing, and the industry is transitioning from 800G to 1.6T technology. Leading optical module manufacturers are expected to further highlight their advantages due to technological leadership, stable customer relationships, and scalable delivery capabilities. The development of AI is driving the construction of large data centers, benefiting optical device manufacturers. The long R&D and expansion cycles for optical chips create high barriers in technology, talent, customer validation, and capital, leading to a persistent supply-demand gap for certain optical chips. The increasing demand for domestic controllable solutions is expected to translate into performance for domestic computing power. Recommended companies to watch include: NewEase, Huagong Technology, Guangxun Technology, Yuanjie Technology, Shijia Photon, and Taicheng Light [4]. AI Smartphones and Market Trends - Generative AI smartphones are set to provide users with new interactive experiences, multimodal content generation capabilities, personalized services, and innovative application ecosystems. The continuous improvement of edge AI computing power and large model capabilities is expected to further increase the market penetration of AI smartphones. Innovations and upgrades in AI smartphones are likely to lead to higher average selling prices and improved profit margins. The growth in edge AI shipments will drive sustained growth in core product lines of consumer electronics components [5]. Telecom Operators' Performance - The three major telecom operators are considered quality dividend assets with high dividend yield potential, offering cash dividends twice a year. The quality of traditional business revenue is improving, and a decrease in capital expenditure is expected to lower future depreciation and amortization costs, maintaining stable operations. Additionally, telecom operators are likely to leverage their advantages in data centers, big data, and network infrastructure to reconstruct business models with the help of AI. Investment recommendations include focusing on the optical module, optical device, and optical chip sectors, as well as AI smartphone and telecom operator sectors [6].

登记编码：S0730511010001 zhanggang@ccnew.com 021-50586990 传媒互联网领涨 A 股小幅上行 ——市场分析 分析师：张刚 相关报告 《市场分析：观望情绪提升 A 股宽幅震荡》 2025-11-21 《市场分析：银行地产行业领涨 A 股震荡整 固》 2025-11-20 《市场分析：船舶贵金属领涨 A 股小幅上行》 2025-11-19 联系人： 李智 电话： 0371-65585629 地址： 郑州郑东新区商务外环路10号18楼 地址： 上海浦东新区世纪大道 1788 号 T1 座 22 楼 证券研究报告-市场分析 发布日期：2025 年 11 月 24 日 投资要点： ◼ A 股市场综述 周一（11 月 24 日）A 股市场先抑后扬、小幅震荡上行，早盘股指高 开后震荡回落，盘中沪指在 3816 点附近获得支撑，随后股指维持震 荡，尾盘企稳回升，盘中船舶制造、文化传媒、航天航空以及软件 开发等行业表现较好；能源金属、保险、航空机场以及化肥等行业 表现较弱，沪指全天基本呈现小幅上行的运行特征。创业板市场周 一震荡上扬，创业板成分指数全天表现强于主板市场。 ◼ 后市研判 ...

National Economic Data - From January to October 2025, the national general public budget revenue reached CNY 18,649 billion, a year-on-year increase of 0.8%[12] - Tax revenue accounted for CNY 15,336 billion, growing by 1.7% year-on-year, while non-tax revenue fell by 3.1% to CNY 33,126 billion[12] - General public budget expenditure totaled CNY 22,582 billion, up 2% year-on-year, with central government expenditure increasing by 6.3% to CNY 34,727 billion[12] Government Fund Budget - Government fund budget revenue for the same period was CNY 34,473 billion, down 2.8% year-on-year[14] - Expenditure from the government fund budget surged by 15.4% to CNY 80,892 billion[14] Monetary Policy and Interest Rates - The Loan Prime Rate (LPR) remained unchanged at 3.0% for 1-year loans and 3.5% for loans over 5 years as of November 20, 2025[22] - The average interest rate for the 7-day reverse repurchase agreement stood at 1.4%[47] Energy Consumption - In October 2025, total electricity consumption reached 857.2 billion kWh, marking a year-on-year increase of 10.4%[26] - Cumulative electricity consumption from January to October was 86,246 billion kWh, up 5.1% year-on-year[27] Market Performance - The Shenzhen Component Index fell by 5.13% this week, while the Hang Seng Index dropped by 5.09%[66] - The Shanghai Composite Index decreased by 3.90%, reflecting a broader market downturn[69] Sector Performance - The banking sector showed the least decline at -0.89%, while the electric equipment sector faced the largest drop at -10.54%[75] - The basic chemical sector also experienced significant losses, declining by 7.47%[75] Financing and Debt Issuance - As of November 21, 2025, cumulative issuance of government bonds increased by 19% compared to the same period in 2024, while local government bonds rose by 27%[54] - Corporate bonds saw a significant decline of 60% year-on-year in issuance[54] Institutional Fund Flow - This week, institutional funds saw a net outflow from the medical biology sector amounting to CNY 32.15 billion, while the electronic sector experienced a net outflow of CNY 50.32 billion[78] - The banking sector was the only one to see a net inflow of CNY 0.6 billion[78]

香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告之內容概不負責，對其準確 性或完整性亦不發表任何聲明，並明確表示，概不對因本公告全部或任何部份內容而產生或 因倚賴該等內容而引致之任何損失承擔任何責任。 Central China Securities Co., Ltd. （2002年於中華人民共和國河南省成立的股份有限公司，中文公司名稱為「中原証券股份有限公司」， 在香港以「中州証券」名義開展業務） （股份代號：01375） 於本公告日期，本公司董事為張秋雲女士、李文強先生、馮若凡先生、唐進先生及田聖春先 生，陳志勇先生*、曾崧先生*及賀俊先生*。 * 本公司獨立非執行董事 证券代码：601375 证券简称：中原证券 公告编号：2025-034 中原证券股份有限公司 海外監管公告 本公告乃由中原證券股份有限公司（「本公司」）根據香港聯合交易所有限公司 證券上市規則第13.10B條作出。 茲載列本公司於上海證券交易所網站發佈之《中原證券股份有限公司關於召開 2025年第三季度業績說明會的公告》，僅供參閱。 承董事會命 中原證券股份有限公司 董事長 張秋雲 中國，河南 2025年11月21日 关于召开 2 ...

证券代码：601375 证券简称：中原证券 公告编号：2025-034 中原证券股份有限公司 关于召开 2025 年第三季度业绩说明会的公告 中原证券股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）董事会及全体董事保证本公 告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、 准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： 会议召开时间：2025 年 12 月 1 日（星期一）14:00-15:00 二、说明会召开的时间、地点 （一）会议召开时间：2025 年 12 月 1 日（星期一）14:00-15:00 （二）会议召开地点：上证路演中心 （三）会议召开方式：上证路演中心网络互动 会 议 召 开 地 点 ： 上 海 证 券 交 易 所 上 证 路 演 中 心 （ 网 址 ： https://roadshow.sseinfo.com/） 会议召开方式：上证路演中心网络互动 欢迎有意向参加本次说明会的投资者于 2025 年 11 月 24 日（星期一）至 11 月 28 日（星期五）16:00 前登录上证路演中心网站首页点击"提问预征集" 栏目或通过公司投资者关系邮箱（investor@ccnew.com）进 ...

Core Viewpoint - Zhongyuan Securities maintains a "market perform" investment rating for the basic chemical industry, suggesting investment opportunities in sectors benefiting from supply-side improvements and resource attributes under the backdrop of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts [1] Group 1: Industry Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, the basic chemical industry achieved total revenue of 19,924.77 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.69%, and a net profit of 1,170.62 billion yuan, up 7.58% year-on-year, indicating a continued recovery in industry profitability [2] - All 18 sub-industries within the basic chemical sector reported year-on-year revenue and profit growth, with significant differentiation among them, driven by improved supply-demand dynamics and demand recovery [3] Group 2: Profitability Trends - The basic chemical industry's gross margin and net margin have shown signs of recovery since early 2024, with gross margin at 17.69% and net margin at 6.17% in the first three quarters of 2025, both reflecting slight year-on-year increases [4] - Sub-industries such as fluorine chemicals, potash fertilizers, synthetic resins, chlor-alkali, and compound fertilizers have experienced notable improvements in profitability [4] Group 3: Financial Indicators - The basic chemical industry maintains a stable financial position, with a slight decrease in the asset-liability ratio, improved operating cash flow, and a decline in construction projects [5] - Inventory turnover days have increased slightly year-on-year, indicating changes in inventory management [5] Group 4: Regional Performance - Chemical enterprises in Henan province underperformed compared to the overall industry, with revenues of 564.21 billion yuan and 188.98 billion yuan in the first three quarters and third quarter respectively, reflecting declines of 2.21% and 1.03% year-on-year [6] - Net profits for Henan's chemical companies also fell significantly, with a year-on-year decrease of 29.33% and 26.70% for the respective periods [6]