Group 1 - Dairy stocks continue to show strong performance, with China Shengmu (01432) up 9.09% to HKD 0.48, Yurun Dairy (09858) up 3.53% to HKD 4.4, Mengniu Dairy (02319) up 1.46% to HKD 16.67, and Ausnutria (01717) up 1.19% to HKD 2.55 [1] - The implementation plan for the childcare subsidy system was released on July 28, which will provide a subsidy of HKD 3,600 per child per year for children under three years old starting from January 1, 2025, benefiting over 20 million families [1] - The policy is expected to directly boost the consumption of dairy products, particularly infant formula [1] Group 2 - Guosen Securities is optimistic about the reversal of the beef cycle in 2025, predicting that meat prices will continue to rise until 2027 [1] - The domestic raw milk supply and demand situation is expected to improve in the second half of 2025, leading to a potential price recovery [1] - The improvement in raw milk prices is favorable for the profitability of dairy farming, and the upward trend in the beef cycle is expected to significantly enhance the income from culling dairy cows and selling calves, recommending Yurun Dairy, Modern Dairy, and China Shengmu for their high performance recovery potential [1]

Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - A total of 142 stocks reached their 52-week highs as of August 12, with notable performers including Yingmei Holdings (02028), Elite Group (01775), and Fuying Global Group (01620) achieving high rates of 164.89%, 84.78%, and 40.63% respectively [1]. Stock Performance - **Top Performers**: - Yingmei Holdings (02028) closed at 0.223 with a peak of 0.249, marking a 164.89% increase [1]. - Elite Group (01775) closed at 0.350 with a peak of 0.425, reflecting an 84.78% increase [1]. - Fuying Global Group (01620) closed at 0.180, reaching its peak at 0.180, showing a 40.63% increase [1]. - **Other Notable Stocks**: - Aoya Group (02425) increased by 34.36% [1]. - Fuyiy International Holdings (01470) saw a rise of 28.30% [1]. - Huajian Medical (01931) experienced a 27.58% increase [1]. 52-Week High Rankings - The ranking of stocks that reached their 52-week highs includes: - Yingmei Holdings (02028) at 164.89% [1]. - Elite Group (01775) at 84.78% [1]. - Fuying Global Group (01620) at 40.63% [1]. 52-Week Low Rankings - The report also highlights stocks that reached their 52-week lows, with notable declines including: - Jiadeng International Group (08153) at -15.25% [4]. - Kun Group (00924) at -12.86% [4]. - Zhongjia Guoxin (00899) at -10.00% [4].

Group 1 - The Hong Kong stock market saw a significant rise in dairy stocks, with Australia Asia Group increasing by over 37%, Modern Dairy by 15%, and other companies like Original Ecology Dairy and China Shengmu rising over 10% [1][2] - The Chinese dairy industry is undergoing a strategic transformation from "scale expansion" to "value enhancement," driven by global supply chain adjustments and consumption upgrades [1] - Solid dairy products such as cheese and butter are becoming key drivers for innovation in the catering industry and the development of healthy food, with the B-end dairy product market expected to exceed 40 billion yuan by 2024 and reach 70.3 billion yuan by 2028 [1] Group 2 - Australia Asia Group's stock rose by 37.67% to a latest price of 2.010, with a total market value of 1.971 billion yuan [2] - Modern Dairy's stock increased by 15.08% to a price of 1.450, with a market capitalization of 11.478 billion yuan [2] - Other notable increases include Original Ecology Dairy at 10.53% (0.420, 0.197 billion yuan), China Shengmu at 10.23% (0.485, 0.4065 billion yuan), and YouRan Dairy at 8.44% (4.370, 17.011 billion yuan) [2]

Group 1 - China Shengmu (01432) saw its stock price increase by over 11% in the afternoon, with a cumulative increase of over 50% in the month [1] - The recent implementation of the "Childcare Subsidy System" by the Central Committee and the State Council is expected to stimulate demand and consumer confidence in the infant formula industry, which has faced pressure in recent years [1] - The policy is viewed as a significant top-down initiative, with expectations for regional policies to follow, potentially leading to a recovery in demand for infant formula by 2025 [1] Group 2 - China Shengmu is the first organic milk brand to receive dual certification from China and the EU, covering the entire dairy industry value chain from pasture planting to high-end liquid milk production [1] - The company is the largest organic raw milk producer in China and has established deep equity ties with downstream dairy enterprises, which helps stabilize raw milk price fluctuations and gain support from these enterprises [1] - Mengniu Group holds a 29.99% stake in China Shengmu, making it the largest shareholder [1]

Group 1 - China Shengmu (01432) saw its stock price increase by over 11%, with a cumulative rise of more than 50% in the month [1] - The recent implementation of a nationwide cash subsidy for child-rearing by the central government is expected to boost demand and consumer confidence in the infant formula industry, which has faced pressure in recent years [1] - The demand for infant formula is anticipated to improve in 2025, driven by the new policy and a favorable demographic trend due to the 2024 zodiac preference [1] Group 2 - China Shengmu is the first organic milk brand to receive dual certification from China and the EU, covering the entire dairy industry value chain from pasture planting to high-end liquid milk production [1] - The company is the largest organic raw milk producer in China and has established deep equity ties with downstream dairy enterprises, which helps stabilize raw milk price fluctuations and secures support from these enterprises [1] - Mengniu Group holds a 29.99% stake in China Shengmu, making it the largest shareholder [1]

Group 1 - The Hang Seng Index rose by 0.09%, gaining 22 points to close at 24,929 points, while the Hang Seng Tech Index fell by 0.39%. The morning trading volume in Hong Kong was HKD 110.2 billion [1] - Dairy stocks led the gains, with expectations that fertility subsidies will boost dairy product demand. Institutions noted that the meat and milk cycle is favorable for livestock companies. Notable stock performances include: Aoyuan Group up 35.62%, Modern Farming up 15%, and China Shengmu up 13% [1] - Hong Teng Precision (06088) saw a rise of over 7% due to the mass production ramp-up of its GB200 series products, while BYD Electronics (00285) increased by over 4% [1] - Zhonghui Biotechnology-B (02627) surged over 16% on its second day of trading, following a nearly 158% increase the previous day, with a total market capitalization exceeding HKD 15 billion [1] - Ping An Good Doctor (01833) rose by 5.6%, reporting significant achievements in its medical AI products and ongoing optimization of its business structure [1] - Huachen China (01114) increased by over 9%, with expected profit growth of 13% to 16% for the first half of the year [1] - Zhenjiu Lidu (06979) rose by over 8%, with institutions suggesting that policy variables are accelerating industry clearing, and performance bottoming is expected as early as the first half of next year [1] Group 2 - Lithium stocks fell in early trading, with strong expectations of a contraction in lithium supply. Analysts indicated that the overall demand increase for the second half of the year lacks imagination. Tianqi Lithium (09696) dropped by 8%, and Ganfeng Lithium (01772) fell by 5% [2]

Group 1 - Dairy stocks have seen significant gains, with Australia Asia Group rising by 35.62% to HKD 1.98, Modern Dairy up by 13.49% to HKD 1.43, and others like Original Ecology Dairy and China Shengmu also experiencing increases [1] - The implementation of the "Childcare Subsidy System" starting January 1, 2025, will provide annual subsidies of HKD 3,600 per child for infants under three years old, potentially leading to an annual distribution of approximately HKD 100 billion, which is expected to boost demand in the dairy sector [1] - The meat and milk cycle is positively impacting livestock companies, with rising beef prices expected to enhance profitability and cash flow for companies like Yuran Dairy, Modern Dairy, and China Shengmu, with projected revenue increases of HKD 440 million, HKD 340 million, and HKD 80 million respectively under a 40% increase in beef prices [1] Group 2 - The upward trend in beef prices is anticipated to accelerate the clearing of social ranch inventories, benefiting the raw milk supply structure and subsequently influencing raw milk prices [1] - There is a recommendation to prioritize investment in leading livestock companies listed in Hong Kong due to the favorable market conditions [1]

Core Viewpoint - The dairy sector stocks have seen significant gains following the announcement of a new child-rearing subsidy policy, which is expected to boost demand for dairy products and improve the financial outlook for related companies [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - Australia Asia Group (02425) increased by 35.62%, trading at 1.98 HKD [1] - Modern Farming (01117) rose by 13.49%, trading at 1.43 HKD [1] - Yuan Ecological Agriculture (01431) gained 9.21%, trading at 0.415 HKD [1] - China Shengmu (01432) increased by 7.95%, trading at 0.475 HKD [1] - Youran Dairy (09858) rose by 8.19%, trading at 4.36 HKD [1] Group 2: Policy Impact - The newly introduced child-rearing subsidy will provide 3,600 RMB per child annually for children under three years old, starting from January 1, 2025 [1] - The annual issuance of these subsidies is estimated to be around 100 billion RMB, which could have a multiplier effect on demand in the dairy sector [1] Group 3: Market Dynamics - The rising prices of beef cattle are expected to enhance the profitability and cash flow of livestock companies [1] - Under a scenario where cattle prices increase by 40% compared to 2024 levels, it is projected that Youran Dairy, Modern Farming, and China Shengmu could see revenue increases of 440 million, 340 million, and 80 million RMB respectively from cattle sales [1] - The upward trend in beef prices may accelerate the clearing of social ranch inventories, positively impacting the supply of raw milk and subsequently influencing raw milk prices [1] - The focus is recommended on leading livestock companies listed in Hong Kong [1]

Core Viewpoint - The introduction of a new child-rearing subsidy policy in China is expected to significantly boost demand in the dairy industry, leading to notable stock price increases for major dairy companies [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - Dairy stocks have seen substantial gains, with Australia Asia Group (02425) rising by 35.62% to HKD 1.98, Modern Farming (01117) up 13.49% to HKD 1.43, and others like Original Ecology Farming (01431) and China Shengmu (01432) also experiencing increases [1] - The overall positive sentiment in the dairy sector is reflected in the stock performance of leading companies [1] Group 2: Policy Impact - The newly implemented child-rearing subsidy scheme will provide annual subsidies of CNY 3,600 per child for children under three years old starting January 1, 2025, potentially leading to an annual distribution of approximately CNY 100 billion [1] - This subsidy is expected to have a multiplier effect, enhancing demand for dairy products and benefiting the industry as a whole [1] Group 3: Market Dynamics - The current meat and milk cycle is favorable for livestock companies, with rising beef prices expected to improve profitability and cash flow for these firms [1] - Projections indicate that under a scenario where beef prices increase by 40% compared to 2024 levels, companies like Yuran Farming, Modern Farming, and China Shengmu could see revenue increases of CNY 440 million, CNY 340 million, and CNY 80 million respectively from cattle sales [1] - The upward trend in beef prices is anticipated to accelerate the clearing of social ranch inventories, positively impacting the supply of raw milk and subsequently influencing raw milk prices [1]

Group 1 - The Hong Kong dairy stocks experienced a significant rise, with Australia Asia Group increasing over 13%, China Shengmu up over 9%, Modern Dairy and Yurun Dairy rising nearly 8%, and Original Ecology Dairy up 4% [1] - The implementation of the "Childcare Subsidy System" starting January 1, 2025, will provide a subsidy of 3,600 yuan per child per year for families with children under three years old, which is expected to lower family costs and stimulate birth rates and consumption in infant families, particularly in lower-tier cities [1] - This policy is projected to benefit over 20 million families with infants, potentially driving demand for dairy products, especially infant formula [1] Group 2 - Huatai Securities reports that the Chinese dairy industry is undergoing a strategic transformation from "scale expansion" to "value enhancement," driven by global supply chain adjustments and consumption upgrades [1] - Solid dairy products like cheese and butter are becoming key drivers for innovation in the catering industry and the development of healthy food due to their high nutritional value and versatility [1] - The B-end dairy product market is estimated to exceed 40 billion yuan by 2024, with projections for the market size to reach 70.3 billion yuan by 2028, corresponding to a CAGR of 14.3% from 2025 to 2028 [1]