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中金:维持美丽田园医疗健康(02373)目标价37港元 评级“跑赢行业”
智通财经网· 2025-07-17 01:36
Core Viewpoint - The company maintains its net profit forecast for 2025-2026, with the current stock price corresponding to a P/E ratio of 20x and 18x for the non-deductible net profit for 2025-2026, indicating a 29% upside potential to the target price of HKD 37 [1] Financial Performance - The company expects a revenue of no less than HKD 1.45 billion for 1H25, representing a year-on-year increase of at least 27%, and a net profit of no less than HKD 170 million, reflecting a growth of at least 35%. The adjusted net profit is projected to be no less than HKD 175 million, with a growth of at least 33% [2] - The performance exceeds expectations due to revenue structure optimization leading to improved gross margins, scale effects, and operational efficiency enhancing net profit margins [2] Revenue Growth Drivers - The company anticipates a revenue growth of at least 27% for 1H25, driven by both internal and external factors. Internally, customer traffic is expected to grow by over 10%. Externally, the acquisition of Naieryer is projected to contribute approximately HKD 276 million in revenue, with single-store revenue increasing by over 10% compared to pre-acquisition levels [3] - By business segment, the company expects a net consumption growth of about 30% in lifestyle beauty and health, over 10% in medical beauty, and over 100% in sub-health medical services, with internal net consumption also increasing by over 50% [3] Margin Improvement - The company projects a gross margin increase of 0.8 percentage points and a net margin increase of 0.6 percentage points to 11.7% for 1H25. The net profit margins for internal business and Naieryer are expected to increase by 1 percentage point and 3 percentage points, respectively [4] - The improvement in profitability is attributed to a higher proportion of high-margin business revenue, reduced procurement costs from scale purchasing and deeper collaborations, as well as cost reductions in rent and operational efficiencies driven by digitalization [4] Growth Outlook - The company is optimistic about its growth prospects driven by a dual engine of internal and external growth. Internally, it aims to enhance single-store operational efficiency and increase the penetration of value-added services through digital marketing [5] - Externally, the company is actively exploring merger and acquisition opportunities to enhance market share, with expectations of continued expansion of membership assets and nationwide layout [5]
美丽田园医疗健康(2373.HK):双美+双保健、内生+外延驱动业绩增长
Ge Long Hui· 2025-07-16 03:15
Core Viewpoint - The company is expected to achieve a revenue of no less than 1.45 billion yuan in 25H1, representing a year-on-year increase of 27%, and an adjusted net profit of no less than 175 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 33% [1] Group 1: Performance and Growth - The company maintains strong performance growth despite a complex industry backdrop, showcasing resilience as a market leader [1] - The core business segments, beauty and health, show stable internal growth and external market share expansion, with a year-on-year increase in internal customer flow of 10% in 25H1 [1] - The health management segment is experiencing robust growth driven by functional medicine and women's health services [1] Group 2: Business Model and Strategy - The company employs a "Double Beauty + Double Health" model, providing customers with both emotional and functional value throughout their lifecycle, indicating significant potential for customer base expansion and value enhancement [1] - The board attributes performance improvement to the refinement of the "Double Beauty + Double Health" business model, which has increased the proportion of high-margin business revenue, thereby optimizing the revenue structure and improving gross margin levels [1] Group 3: Shareholder Value and Market Confidence - The company has executed a share buyback, purchasing 60,500 shares for a total transaction amount of 1.762 million HKD, with an average transaction price of approximately 29.12 HKD, reflecting management's confidence in the company's long-term development [1] - The share buyback is expected to enhance the company's market value and shareholder return capabilities [1] Group 4: Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company's net profit forecasts for 25-27 are adjusted to 320 million, 369 million, and 420 million yuan respectively, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 22% [2] - The target price for the company is set at 37.36 HKD, based on a 25x price-to-earnings ratio for 25, reflecting its status as a leading brand in beauty and health [2]
美丽田园医疗健康(02373):双美+双保健、内生+外延驱动业绩增长
HTSC· 2025-07-15 05:18
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained as "Buy" with a target price of 37.36 HKD [6][7]. Core Views - The company is expected to achieve a revenue of at least 1.45 billion RMB in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 27%, and an adjusted net profit of at least 175 million RMB, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 33% [1][6]. - The company's business model, focusing on "Double Beauty + Double Health," is driving robust performance, with a 10% year-on-year increase in organic customer traffic for the first half of 2025 [1][2]. - The management's confidence in the company's long-term development is highlighted by a recent share buyback, which totaled 60,500 shares at an average price of approximately 29.12 HKD [3]. Summary by Sections Performance Forecast - The company has adjusted its net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 to 320 million, 369 million, and 420 million RMB respectively, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 22% [4][10]. - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected to be 1.36, 1.57, and 1.78 RMB respectively [4][10]. Revenue Structure - The board attributes the performance improvement to the continuous refinement of the "Double Beauty + Double Health" business model, which has led to an increase in the proportion of high-margin business revenue [2][10]. Market Position - The company is positioned as a leader in the beauty and health sector, actively optimizing shareholder structure and exploring acquisition opportunities to enhance market value [4][10].
智通港股52周新高、新低统计|7月14日





智通财经网· 2025-07-14 08:41
Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - As of July 14, a total of 138 stocks reached their 52-week highs, indicating a strong performance in the market, with notable leaders including Green Heart Group Holdings, OK Blockchain, and Pearl River Steel Pipe [1]. Group 1: Top Performers - Green Heart Group Holdings (02999) achieved a closing price of 0.013 with a peak of 0.017, marking a 70.00% increase [1]. - OK Blockchain (01499) closed at 0.680, reaching a high of 0.690, reflecting a 48.39% rise [1]. - Pearl River Steel Pipe (01938) had a closing price of 0.335 and a peak of 0.340, resulting in a 33.33% increase [1]. Group 2: Other Notable Stocks - Weishi Jiajie (00856) saw a 32.01% increase, closing at 8.870 with a high of 11.300 [1]. - Cloud Intelligence (09678) reached a high of 520.000, closing at 510.000, which is a 20.99% increase [1]. - China Chengtong Development Group (00217) closed at 0.165 with a peak of 0.166, marking a 14.48% rise [1]. Group 3: Additional Stocks with Significant Increases - Sihuan Pharmaceutical (00460) closed at 1.380, reaching a high of 1.430, which is a 14.40% increase [1]. - Taited Pharmaceutical (03880) had a closing price of 36.950 and a peak of 37.400, reflecting a 13.85% rise [1]. - Beihai Kangcheng-B (01228) closed at 0.850 with a high of 0.960, resulting in a 12.94% increase [1].
美丽田园医疗健康(2373.HK):股东结构优化顺利 龙头经营稳步向上
Ge Long Hui· 2025-07-09 11:06
Group 1 - The company is addressing high operational costs in the industry through internal growth and external acquisitions, solidifying its leading position with advantages in brand strength, channel network, and customer base [1][2] - The major shareholder CPE has successfully exited, leading to an optimized shareholder structure [1] - The company plans to increase its stake in Guangzhou Nairui'er, which, along with the improved liquidity from the optimized shareholder structure, is expected to enhance valuation [1] Group 2 - The company aims to enhance its capital market value with a plan launched in March 2025, focusing on three strategic initiatives: increasing the dividend payout ratio, optimizing the shareholder structure, and implementing a long-term incentive mechanism for management [2] - The company announced plans to further acquire a 20% stake in Guangzhou Nairui'er, increasing its ownership to 90%, which is expected to significantly boost net profit and earnings per share [2] - The company is leveraging its strong brand, channel network, and customer base in the beauty and health management sectors to overcome high operational costs, aiming for further expansion and consolidation of its leading position [2]
美丽田园医疗健康(02373):股东结构优化顺利,龙头经营稳步向上
GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES· 2025-07-08 11:06
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" [1] Core Views - The company has successfully addressed high operational costs in the industry, achieving both organic growth and external acquisitions to solidify its leading position. Its brand strength, channel network, and customer base advantages continue to be validated. Recently, major shareholder CPE has exited, leading to an ongoing optimization of the shareholder structure [2] Financial Summary - Current market capitalization is HKD 6,850 million [3] - Revenue projections show a growth trajectory from RMB 2,145.07 million in 2023 to RMB 3,590.85 million by 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 8.4% [5][7] - Net profit is expected to increase from RMB 215.66 million in 2023 to RMB 417.03 million in 2027, indicating a significant growth rate of 93.4% over the period [5][7] - The company plans to increase its dividend payout ratio to at least 50% of annual net profit from 2025 to 2027, enhancing shareholder returns [6] Earnings Per Share (EPS) Forecast - The EPS estimates have been revised upwards for 2025-2027 to RMB 1.30, RMB 1.43, and RMB 1.77 respectively, reflecting a positive outlook on profitability [6] Shareholder Structure and Strategic Initiatives - The exit of CPE as a major shareholder has led to the introduction of high-quality institutional investors, improving market liquidity and trading activity. The company aims to build a healthier and more diversified shareholder ecosystem [6] - The company is implementing a long-term incentive plan for its core management team, aligning their performance with shareholder value growth [6] Business Model and Market Position - The company is enhancing its stake in Guangzhou Nairui'er by acquiring an additional 20%, increasing its ownership to 90%. This move is expected to significantly boost net profit and earnings per share [6] - The company leverages its strong brand and customer loyalty in the beauty and health management sectors, aiming to overcome high operational costs through a synergistic business model [6]
美丽田园医疗健康(02373.HK):基本面扎实 资本市场价值提升计划稳步推进
Ge Long Hui· 2025-07-07 19:03
Core Viewpoint - The company has proposed a capital market value enhancement plan for 2025-2027, focusing on increasing dividend payouts, optimizing shareholder structure, and implementing long-term incentive mechanisms for management [1] Group 1: Capital Market Value Enhancement Plan - The company aims to use no less than 50% of its annual net profit attributable to shareholders for dividends from 2025 to 2027, barring special circumstances [1] - The company plans to attract high-quality long-term institutional investors to improve market liquidity and trading activity [1] - A core management equity incentive plan will be implemented, with performance indicators covering both revenue and profit growth for 2025-2027 [1] Group 2: Shareholder Structure Optimization - As of June 25, 2025, CPE has reached agreements to sell approximately 51 million shares (about 21.77% of total shares), with investors including foreign long-term healthcare funds and leading international hedge funds [1] - The exit of CPE is expected to alleviate upward pressure on the company's stock price and enhance market liquidity through the entry of long-term funds [1] Group 3: Business Growth and M&A Opportunities - The company has shown stable internal growth, with a 14.5% year-on-year increase in rights fees to 510 million yuan and a 9.7% increase in sales to 550 million yuan during the Goddess Festival promotion [1] - The company plans to increase its stake in Nairui by investing 100 million yuan to acquire 20% of its shares, raising its ownership to 90% [1] - The company is positioned to potentially acquire other leading beauty brands to further increase market share and performance [1] Group 4: Profit Forecast - The company has adjusted its profit forecast, expecting net profits attributable to shareholders to be 290 million, 340 million, and 380 million yuan for 2025-2027, representing year-on-year growth of 25%, 17%, and 14% respectively [2] - The corresponding price-to-earnings ratios based on the closing price on July 3 are projected to be 22, 19, and 16 times for the respective years [2]
美丽田园医疗健康(02373.HK):股东结构优化落地 看好美丽健康龙头价值提升
Ge Long Hui· 2025-07-02 18:59
Company Overview - The original major shareholder CPE has reached a series of agreements to sell approximately 51.329 million shares, representing 21.77% of the company's total issued shares (excluding treasury shares), and will no longer be a major shareholder after the completion of this series of transactions [1][2] - The investors involved in this transaction include foreign long-term healthcare funds, strategic investment funds for technological innovation, leading international long-term funds, and high-quality international hedge funds [1] Comments on Shareholder Structure - The exit of CPE and the introduction of international long-term capital are expected to optimize the shareholder structure and improve market liquidity [2] - The entry of high-quality international investors is anticipated to bring rich industry resources and an international perspective, injecting new momentum into the company's business expansion and innovation [2] Business Performance - For the period from January to May 2025, the company reported a more than 20% year-on-year increase in both equity consumption and net consumption [2] - By business segment, the beauty and wellness sector grew by over 20%, medical beauty increased by 10%, and sub-health medical services surged by over 50% [2] - The integration of the acquired company Nairui is progressing smoothly, which is expected to enhance operational efficiency and improve profit margins [2] Growth Strategy - The company is focusing on a "dual beauty + dual wellness" model for synergistic development, with a positive outlook on growth driven by both internal and external factors [2] - Internally, the company is optimizing single-store operational efficiency and increasing the penetration rate of value-added services [2] - Externally, the successful integration of Nairui is expected to continue expanding membership assets and national layout through acquisitions [2] Management Incentives and Profit Distribution - The company has introduced equity incentives for the management team, with performance targets covering revenue and profit for the next three years [3] - A long-term shareholder return mechanism has been established, with plans to allocate no less than 50% of annual net profit attributable to shareholders for dividends from 2025 to 2027 [3] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The profit forecast for 2025-2026 remains unchanged, with the current stock price corresponding to a P/E ratio of 22x for 2025 and 20x for 2026 based on net profit excluding non-recurring items [3] - The target price has been raised by 68% to HKD 37, corresponding to a P/E ratio of 27x for 2025 and 24x for 2026, indicating a 22% upside potential [3]
美丽田园医疗健康(02373.HK):CPE出售21.77%股份重要股价压制因素消退 关注弹性机会
Ge Long Hui· 2025-07-01 02:57
Group 1 - CPE plans to sell approximately 51.32 million shares, representing 21.77% of the total share capital, and will no longer be the major shareholder after the transaction [1] - The entry of long-term quality funds is expected to stabilize and improve the company's shareholding structure, with new shareholders including foreign long-term healthcare funds and leading international hedge funds [1] - The company has successfully implemented key strategic measures, including optimizing the shareholder structure, maintaining high dividends (not less than 50% from 2025 to 2027), and continuing long-term incentive mechanisms [1] Group 2 - The company is expected to achieve a net profit of approximately 290 million in 2025, with a year-on-year growth rate of about 27%, corresponding to a valuation of 23x [2] - The integration of the Nairu brand is yielding continuous results, and the health business is experiencing explosive growth, effectively countering the pressure from the medical beauty sector [2] - The exit of CPE is seen as a factor that alleviates previous stock price pressures, contributing to a more favorable outlook for the company's performance [2]
美丽田园医疗健康(2373.HK):内生扎实、外延提份额 上调目标价
Ge Long Hui· 2025-06-27 18:55
Core Insights - The company has a competitive advantage due to high-quality membership and comprehensive lifecycle management, with traditional beauty services as the foundation and medical beauty and sub-health services extending customer lifecycles, leading to high customer retention [1] - The company is focusing on increasing dividend ratios, optimizing shareholder structure, and implementing long-term incentive mechanisms, which may enhance liquidity and indicate potential for PE valuation recovery [1] - The company has raised its target price and maintains a buy rating [1] Business Performance - In 2024, the beauty and health service revenue reached 1.443 billion, a year-on-year increase of 20.9%, with organic growth of 6%. By the end of 2024, the number of direct and franchise stores reached 239 and 276, respectively, with net new openings of 68 and 77 stores during the year [1] - The company plans to further acquire 20% of Guangzhou Nairui's shares, increasing its stake to 90%, and is expected to continue industry consolidation and business acquisitions to enhance market share and scale effects [1] Medical and Sub-health Services - In 2024, revenue from medical beauty and sub-health services reached 928 million and 201 million, respectively, with year-on-year growth of 9.1% and 98.9%. The penetration rate of beauty members into medical beauty and sub-health services reached 24.9% [2] - The women's special care center generated over 100 million in revenue, with a year-on-year increase of over 300%, accounting for more than 50% of sub-health medical business revenue, and active membership increased by 200% year-on-year [2] Strategic Initiatives - The company is implementing three strategic initiatives to maximize shareholder value: establishing a long-term shareholder return mechanism, attracting quality long-term institutional investors, and implementing a core management equity incentive plan [2] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company forecasts net profits attributable to shareholders of 315 million, 368 million, and 418 million for 2025-2027, maintaining a strong cash position of nearly 1.4 billion by the end of 2024 [3] - The company is assigned a target price of 37.00 HKD for 2025, based on a 25x PE valuation, reflecting its position as a leading brand in beauty and health and its ongoing initiatives to enhance shareholder value [3]