BEKE(02423)
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贝壳-W(02423):2024年业绩公告点评:调结构提减值夯实基础,提份额稳费率迎接增长
Soochow Securities· 2025-03-20 03:32
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Insights - The company achieved a total revenue of 93.46 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 20.2%. However, the adjusted net profit decreased by 26.4% to 7.21 billion yuan [7][8] - The company's gross transaction value (GTV) reached 3.35 trillion yuan, showing a positive growth of 6.6% year-on-year, which supported stable revenue growth [7] - The report highlights a decline in gross margin by 3.3 percentage points to 24.6%, primarily due to a decrease in the revenue share from the higher-margin existing home business [7] - The company expanded its market share in the new home sector, with a GTV decline of 3.3% but an increase in market share by 1.7 percentage points to 11.4% [7] - The home decoration and rental businesses experienced significant growth, with the home decoration GTV increasing by 27.3% to 16.9 billion yuan and the rental business expanding its managed properties from 210,000 to 430,000 units [7] Financial Summary - The company's total revenue forecast for 2024 is 93.46 billion yuan, with projected revenues of 109.63 billion yuan in 2025 and 127.49 billion yuan in 2026 [1][8] - The adjusted net profit is expected to be 6.59 billion yuan in 2025 and 8.50 billion yuan in 2026, with a forecasted EPS of 1.82 yuan and 2.35 yuan respectively [1][8] - The report projects a decrease in the adjusted net profit for 2025 and 2026 due to market fluctuations, with revised estimates of 9.70 billion yuan and 11.62 billion yuan respectively [7]
贝壳-W(02423):港股公司信息更新报告:主业份额有望持续提升,积极投入利润增长或承压
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2025-03-20 03:11
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform" (Maintain) [1] Core Views - The company's market share is expected to continue increasing, with significant expansion in new business segments. Despite uncertainties in the real estate transaction market, the company's platform advantages and store expansion are driving market share growth. The home decoration and rental businesses are expected to drive secondary growth. The current stock price of HKD 60.0 corresponds to a PE ratio of 26.7/23.5/21.5 for 2025-2027, maintaining the "Outperform" rating [6][8]. Financial Performance Summary - In Q4 2024, the company's revenue was HKD 31.1 billion, a year-on-year increase of 54.1%, slightly above Bloomberg consensus expectations of HKD 28.8 billion. This was driven by better-than-expected property transaction volumes and new home fee rates. However, the non-GAAP net profit was HKD 1.34 billion, below expectations of HKD 1.77 billion due to lower gross margins and higher-than-expected expenses [7]. - The company's GTV for existing homes in Q4 2024 grew by 59.1% year-on-year, with revenue increasing by 47.5%. The GTV for new homes increased by 49.3%, with revenue rising by 72.7%. The new business segments, including home decoration and rental services, saw revenue growth of 12.8% and 109%, respectively [7][8]. Financial Projections - The company has revised its non-GAAP net profit forecasts for 2025-2026 to HKD 7.33 billion and HKD 8.33 billion, down from previous estimates of HKD 8.98 billion and HKD 10.37 billion. A new forecast for 2027 projects a net profit of HKD 9.14 billion, with year-on-year growth rates of +1.5%/+13.6%/+9.7% for 2025/2026/2027, respectively. The diluted EPS is projected at HKD 2.1/2.4/2.6 for the same years [6][10].
贝壳-W:港股公司信息更新报告:主业份额有望持续提升,积极投入利润增长或承压-20250320
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2025-03-20 03:09
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform" (Maintain) [1] Core Views - The company's market share is expected to continue increasing, with significant expansion in new business segments. Despite uncertainties in the real estate transaction market, the company's platform advantages and store expansion are driving market share growth. The home decoration and rental businesses are expected to drive secondary growth. The current stock price of 60.0 HKD corresponds to a PE ratio of 26.7/23.5/21.5 for 2025-2027, maintaining the "Outperform" rating [6][8]. Financial Summary and Valuation Indicators - The company reported a revenue of 311 billion CNY for Q4 2024, a year-on-year increase of 54.1%, slightly above Bloomberg consensus expectations. However, the non-GAAP net profit was 13.4 billion CNY, below expectations due to lower gross margins and higher expenses [7]. - The company has adjusted its non-GAAP net profit forecasts for 2025-2026 to 73.3 billion CNY and 83.3 billion CNY, respectively, down from previous estimates of 89.8 billion CNY and 103.7 billion CNY. A new forecast for 2027 is set at 91.4 billion CNY, with year-on-year growth rates of +1.5%/+13.6%/+9.7% [6][10]. - The company’s revenue projections for 2023A to 2027E are as follows: 77,777 million CNY, 93,457 million CNY, 104,460 million CNY, 116,695 million CNY, and 126,005 million CNY, with corresponding year-on-year growth rates of 28.2%, 20.2%, 11.8%, 11.7%, and 8.0% [10].
贝壳-W:收入和经纪市占率均创新高,业绩波动不改长期向好趋势-20250320
申万宏源· 2025-03-20 01:07
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2] Core Insights - The company achieved record high revenue and market share in brokerage, indicating a long-term positive trend despite short-term performance fluctuations [6][7] - The company reported a total transaction volume (GTV) of 3.35 trillion yuan for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 6.6%, with significant contributions from existing home transactions and emerging businesses [6][7] - The company is focusing on shareholder returns, having repurchased shares worth 716 million USD and planned a cash dividend of 400 million USD, representing 5% of the market value at the end of 2024 [6] Financial Data and Earnings Forecast - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2023: 77.777 billion yuan - 2024: 93.457 billion yuan (20% YoY growth) - 2025E: 110.740 billion yuan (18% YoY growth) - 2026E: 122.649 billion yuan (11% YoY growth) - 2027E: 135.786 billion yuan (11% YoY growth) [6][10] - Net profit forecasts are: - 2023: 5.883 billion yuan - 2024: 4.065 billion yuan (-31% YoY) - 2025E: 6.201 billion yuan (53% YoY) - 2026E: 7.544 billion yuan (22% YoY) - 2027E: 9.121 billion yuan (21% YoY) [6][10] - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) is projected to be: - 2023: 1.63 yuan - 2024: 1.15 yuan - 2025E: 1.76 yuan - 2026E: 2.14 yuan - 2027E: 2.58 yuan [6][10] Market Share and Business Segments - The company achieved a record high market share of 31% in existing home transactions for 2024, with a transaction volume of 2.25 trillion yuan, up 10.8% YoY [6][7] - In the new home segment, the company reported a transaction volume of 970 billion yuan, down 3.3% YoY, but maintained a market share of 11.4% [6][8] - The company’s home decoration and rental services saw significant revenue growth, with home decoration revenue increasing by 36% and rental services by 135% [6][8] Investment Analysis Opinion - The report concludes that the company’s revenue and brokerage market share are at record highs, and despite short-term performance fluctuations, the long-term outlook remains positive, thus maintaining the "Buy" rating [6][7]
贝壳-W:加大投入立足长远,受益于市场修复-20250320
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-03-20 00:07
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected price increase of over 15% in the next 6-12 months [4][22]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 93.46 billion yuan for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 20.2%, while the adjusted net profit was 7.21 billion yuan, a decrease of 26.4% [1]. - The decline in net profit is attributed to rising costs and taxes, with operating costs increasing by 25.8% year-on-year, surpassing revenue growth [2]. - The company is focusing on long-term sustainable growth by increasing investments in stores and agents, which is expected to gradually improve performance [4]. Summary by Sections Performance Review - In Q4 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 31.13 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 54.1%, with an adjusted net profit of 1.34 billion yuan, down 21.6% year-on-year [1]. Operational Analysis - The company experienced growth in both existing and new housing revenues, with a notable increase in the monetization rate for new homes [2]. - The gross transaction value (GTV) for existing homes increased by 10.8%, while new homes saw a decrease of 3.3% [2]. Non-Transaction Business Growth - Non-property transaction revenue accounted for 34% of total revenue, up 9.1 percentage points year-on-year, with home decoration and rental income showing significant growth [3]. - Home decoration GTV increased by 27.3%, and rental income surged by 135%, with over 430,000 managed rental units by year-end [3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The forecast for Non-GAAP net profit for 2025-2027 is 8.65 billion, 9.88 billion, and 10.96 billion yuan, with respective growth rates of 20.0%, 14.2%, and 10.9% [4]. - The current stock price corresponds to a PE ratio of 23.1x, 20.2x, and 18.2x for 2025-2027 [4].
贝壳-W(02423):三翼渐丰,科技助力
ZHESHANG SECURITIES· 2025-03-19 14:44
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Insights - The company reported a total transaction volume of 3.35 trillion yuan for 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 6.6%. The existing home transaction volume was 2.25 trillion yuan, up 10.8% year-on-year, accounting for 67.1% of total transactions. The new home transaction volume was 0.97 trillion yuan, down 3.3% year-on-year, with a market share of 11.4%, an increase of 1.7 percentage points from 2023. The company's net revenue for 2024 was 93.5 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 20.2%, while adjusted net profit was 7.21 billion yuan, down 26.4% year-on-year [1][10] Summary by Sections Market Performance - The second-hand housing market showed a 6% increase in transaction area in 35 key cities, while the new housing market saw a 12.9% decline in transaction area nationwide. The company, as a leading internet intermediary, is expected to benefit from the market recovery [2] Operational Efficiency - The company's operating expenses for 2024 were 19.2 billion yuan, with a fee rate of 20.5%, down 1.2 percentage points from 2023. The number of stores increased to 51,573, with active stores at 49,693, a growth of 18.3%. The number of agents reached 500,000, with active agents at 445,000, a year-on-year increase of 12.1% [3] Revenue Growth from New Segments - The home decoration business generated net revenue of 14.8 billion yuan, up 36.1% year-on-year, accounting for 15.8% of total revenue. The rental business saw net revenue of 14.3 billion yuan, a significant increase of 135% year-on-year, contributing to 15.3% of total revenue. The "second curve" revenue contribution reached 34%, an increase of 9 percentage points year-on-year [4] Financial Forecasts - The company is expected to achieve an adjusted net profit of 6.8 billion yuan in 2025, with an adjusted earnings per share of 1.89 yuan. The revenue for 2025 is projected to be 101.37 billion yuan, reflecting an 8% growth [11][10]
BEKE(BEKE) - 2024 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-03-18 12:00
KE (BEKE) Q4 2024 Earnings Call March 18, 2025 08:00 AM ET Company Participants Siting Li - Investor RelationsYongdong Peng - CEO, Co-Founder, Chairman & Executive DirectorTao Xu - CFO & Executive DirectorJizhou Dong - Head of China Consumer & Property Conference Call Participants Timothy Zhao - Equity Research AnalystGriffin Chan - AnalystEddy Wang - AnalystXiaodan Zhang - Equity Research Analyst Operator Hello, ladies and gentlemen. Thank you for standing by for KE Holdings Inc. Fourth Quarter and Fiscal ...
贝壳(02423) - 末期现金股息

2025-03-18 10:56
EF001 免責聲明 發行人所發行上市權證/可轉換債券的相關信息 發行人所發行上市權證/可轉換債券 不適用 其他信息 其他信息 不適用 發行人董事 於本公告日期,本公司董事會由執行董事彭永東先生、單一剛先生、徐萬剛先生及徐濤先生,非執行董事李朝暉先生以及獨立非執 行董事陳小紅女士、朱寒松先生及武軍先生組成。 第 2 頁 共 2 頁 v 1.1.1 | 香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告的內容概不負責,對其準確性或完整性亦不發表任何聲明,並明確表示,概不對因 | | | --- | --- | | 公告全部或任何部份內容而產生或因倚賴該等內容而引致的任何損失承擔任何責任。 | | | 股票發行人現金股息公告 | | | 發行人名稱 | 貝殼控股有限公司 | | 股份代號 | 02423 | | 多櫃檯股份代號及貨幣 | 不適用 | | 相關股份代號及名稱 | 不適用 | | 公告標題 | 末期現金股息 | | 公告日期 | 2025年3月18日 | | 公告狀態 | 新公告 | | 股息信息 | | | 股息類型 | 末期 | | 股息性質 | 普通股息 | | 財政年末 | 2024年1 ...
贝壳(02423) - 2024 - 年度业绩

2025-03-18 10:44
Financial Performance - For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2024, total transaction value reached RMB 3,349.4 billion, an increase of 6.6% compared to RMB 3,142.9 billion in 2023[4]. - Net income for the fiscal year was RMB 93.5 billion, up 20.2% from RMB 77.8 billion in 2023[4]. - Adjusted net profit for the fiscal year was RMB 72.1 billion, down from RMB 97.98 billion in 2023[6]. - In 2024, net revenue increased by 20.2% to RMB 93.5 billion from RMB 77.8 billion in 2023, driven by growth in new housing and home decoration businesses[22]. - Total net revenue for 2024 reached RMB 93.46 billion, a 20.1% increase from RMB 77.78 billion in 2023[96]. - Operating profit for 2024 was RMB 3.76 billion, down 21.5% from RMB 4.80 billion in 2023[97]. - Net profit for 2024 was RMB 4,078,180, a decrease of 30.7% compared to RMB 5,889,604 in 2023[105]. - Basic earnings per share decreased to RMB 1.19 from RMB 1.67, reflecting a decline of 28.7%[99]. Business Growth - The number of stores increased to 51,573, representing a growth of 17.7% from 43,817 stores in 2023[6]. - Active agents reached 499,937, a rise of 16.9% from 427,656 agents in 2023[6]. - The total transaction value of existing homes was RMB 2,246.5 billion, a 10.8% increase from RMB 2,028.0 billion in 2023[4]. - The total transaction value for home decoration and furniture was RMB 16.9 billion, up 27.3% from RMB 13.3 billion in 2023[4]. - The home decoration and furnishing business saw a total transaction value growth of 27.3% year-on-year and a revenue increase of 36.1% in 2024, with profit margin rising from 29.0% in 2023 to 30.7% in 2024[13]. - The rental housing service expanded its managed properties to over 430,000 units by the end of 2024, up from over 210,000 units at the end of 2023[15]. Operational Efficiency - The average turnover days for new housing accounts receivable decreased to just 34 days in Q4 2024, indicating improved operational efficiency[12]. - Contribution profit margin for existing housing business decreased from 47.2% in 2023 to 43.2% in 2024, primarily due to increased fixed salary costs for agents[26]. - Contribution profit for home decoration improved from 29.0% in 2023 to 30.7% in 2024, due to refined operational management and enhanced supply chain capabilities[29]. Cash Flow and Investments - Cash flow from operating activities decreased to RMB 9.45 billion in 2024 from RMB 11.41 billion in 2023[49]. - The net cash generated from operating activities for 2024 is RMB 9.4 billion, with a net profit of RMB 4.078 billion, reflecting a difference due to non-cash adjustments of RMB 3.681 billion[54]. - The company’s total cash outflow from investing activities was RMB 9,378,025 in 2024, compared to RMB 3,977,440 in 2023, indicating a significant increase in investment expenditures[106]. Shareholder Returns - The company plans to pay a total dividend of approximately $400 million, reflecting its strong cash reserves and commitment to shareholder returns[19]. - The board approved a final cash dividend of $0.12 per ordinary share and $0.36 per American depositary share, totaling approximately $400 million to be paid from the company's retained earnings[85]. - The company repurchased approximately $716 million worth of American Depositary Shares in 2024, representing about 3.89% of the total shares outstanding as of the end of 2023[19]. Corporate Governance and Compliance - The company has complied with all applicable principles and code provisions of the corporate governance code during the reporting period[80]. - The audit committee has reviewed the unaudited annual results for the year ending December 31, 2024[84]. - The company emphasizes that the decision to distribute dividends is subject to future operational performance, capital requirements, and other relevant factors[86]. Research and Development - Research and development expenses grew by 17.9% from RMB 1.9 billion in 2023 to RMB 2.3 billion in 2024, mainly due to an increase in the number of R&D personnel and technical service costs[36]. - The company is focused on enhancing the C2M service model through data-driven insights to better meet market demands in the residential development sector[16]. Market Position and Strategy - The company emphasized strengthening its "one-stop living service platform" capabilities to drive solid business development and ecological value release[8]. - The company plans to enhance its platform capabilities and expand into new markets, focusing on strategic growth initiatives[94]. - The company aims to leverage AI for personalized customer insights and improve service capabilities across its business lines in 2025[18].
贝壳-W发布年度业绩 归属普通股股东的净利润40.65亿元 同比减少30.91%
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-03-18 10:22
Group 1 - The company reported a net profit attributable to ordinary shareholders of 4.065 billion yuan for the year 2024, a decrease of 30.91% year-on-year [1] - In Q4 2024, the company achieved total net revenue of 31.125 billion yuan, an increase of 54.05% year-on-year, with a net profit of 570 million yuan, down 14.88% year-on-year [1] - The total number of stores reached 51,573 by December 31, 2024, representing a growth of 17.7% year-on-year, while the number of active stores increased by 18.3% to 49,693 [1] Group 2 - The company’s CEO highlighted that the Chinese real estate industry is entering a new phase, with customer demand shifting towards reducing decision-making risks and pursuing housing quality [2] - The total transaction volume on the platform reached 33,494 billion yuan, with net revenue hitting a historical high of 93.5 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 20.2% [2] - The company plans to enhance its strategic direction by integrating technology and humanistic values, aiming to improve consumer experience and service efficiency [2] Group 3 - The CFO noted that both the existing and new housing markets experienced significant recovery following the stimulus policies introduced in September 2024, with an increase in transaction volume for existing homes [3] - The proportion of existing home transactions in the national real estate transaction volume has further increased, indicating a shift in market dynamics [3]