FF305 翌日披露報表 (股份發行人 ── 已發行股份或庫存股份變動、股份購回及/或在場内出售庫存股份) 表格類別： 股票 狀態： 新提交 公司名稱： 貝殼控股有限公司 呈交日期： 2025年11月18日 如上市發行人的已發行股份或庫存股份出現變動而須根據《香港聯合交易所有限公司（「香港聯交所」）證券上市規則》(「《主板上市規則》」)第13.25A條 / 《香港聯合交易所有限公司GEM證券 上市規則》(「《GEM上市規則》」)第17.27A條作出披露，必須填妥第一章節 。 | 第一章節 | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1. 股份分類 | 不同投票權架構公司普通股 | 股份類別 A | | 於香港聯交所上市 | 是 | | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 02423 | 說明 | | | | | | A. 已發行股份或庫存股份變動 | | | | | | | | | | 已發行股份（不包括庫存股份）變動 | | 庫存股份變動 | | | | | 事件 | 已發行股份（不包括庫存股份）數 目 | 佔有關事件前的現有已發 行股份 ...

Core Viewpoint - The event titled "Protecting Housing Payments, Settling in Zhongshan" marks the launch of Beike's commitment to housing payment security, promising to cover losses if consumers follow the established safety standards [1][3] Group 1: Service Commitment - Beike Zhongshan has introduced a "platform guarantee" service commitment, which ensures that if consumers operate according to the "Housing Payment Security Guarantee Standards" and still incur losses, Beike will initiate a compensation mechanism to cover the relevant payments [1][3] - This commitment upgrades the previous "funds custody" approach, extending the security of real estate funds from the custody phase to the entire transaction cycle [3] Group 2: Operational Procedures - The city manager of Beike Zhongshan, Meng Yungui, emphasized that as long as consumers follow the standard operating procedures, Beike will guarantee the transaction funds [3] - Prior to signing, customers will receive SMS reminders not to make any unauthorized payments such as deposits or intention fees; transaction funds during signing will be processed through a custody payment system [3] - After signing, an official follow-up group will be established for each transaction, ensuring timely feedback once payments are completed [3] Group 3: Market Impact - The platform guarantee concept introduced by Beike is expected to bring new development to the Zhongshan real estate market, enhancing confidence in transaction safety for both parties involved, as well as for the housing fund center and banks [3]

Core Viewpoint - The company is actively developing non-housing businesses to mitigate cyclical risks and is shifting to a defensive posture by enhancing cost efficiency and increasing shareholder returns to improve investment value [1] Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company's net profit was 747 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 36.1%, while adjusted net profit was 1.286 billion yuan, down 27.8% [2] - The total transaction volume for the company in Q3 2025 was 736.7 billion yuan, remaining stable year-on-year, with net revenue of 23.1 billion yuan, an increase of 2.1% [1] - The company's adjusted net profit projections for 2025-2027 are 5.719 billion, 6.244 billion, and 6.995 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding net profits of 3.832 billion, 4.153 billion, and 4.773 billion yuan [1] Business Segments - In the real estate transaction service sector, the company is piloting a tenant-separation mechanism in Shanghai to enhance marketing and sales capabilities for sellers [2] - The housing rental service is integrating AI with operations, contributing over 100 million yuan in profit in Q3 2025, with both home decoration and rental services achieving profitability at the city level [2] - The company's existing housing business net revenue was 6 billion yuan in Q3 2025, a decrease of 3.6%, while the total transaction volume for existing housing was 505.6 billion yuan, an increase of 5.8% [2] New Housing Business - The new housing business net revenue was 6.6 billion yuan in Q3 2025, down 14.1%, with total transaction volume at 196.3 billion yuan, a decrease of 13.7% [3] - The GTV for the new housing business under the Beilian model accounted for 81.7% in Q3 2025, showing a slight increase from the previous quarter [3] Share Buyback - The company has actively implemented a share buyback plan, with a quarterly buyback amount reaching 281 million USD, the highest in nearly two years [3] - As of the end of Q3 2025, the total amount spent on buybacks this year was approximately 675 million USD, a year-on-year increase of 15.7%, representing about 3% of the total share capital as of the end of 2024 [3]

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Outperform" rating to the company, projecting net profits of RMB 5.72 billion, 6.24 billion, and 6.99 billion for 2025-2027, with a 2025 PE valuation of 38x, equating to a fair value of RMB 60.83 or HKD 66.85 per share [4][16]. Core Insights - The company is actively developing non-housing businesses to mitigate cyclical risks and is focusing on cost reduction and efficiency improvements while increasing shareholder returns to enhance investment value [1]. - In Q3 2025, the total transaction volume was RMB 736.7 billion, stable year-on-year, with net income of RMB 23.1 billion, up 2.1% year-on-year. However, net profit decreased by 36.1% year-on-year to RMB 747 million [17]. - The existing home business showed a net income of RMB 6 billion, down 3.6% year-on-year, while the new home business net income was RMB 6.6 billion, down 14.1% year-on-year [18]. - The company has implemented a significant buyback plan, with Q3 2025 buybacks reaching USD 281 million, marking a two-year high [19]. Financial Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at RMB 77.78 billion, with a growth rate of 28.2%. The net profit for 2023 is expected to be RMB 5.88 billion, reflecting a substantial increase of 524.5% [3]. - The company’s gross profit margin is expected to decline slightly from 24.55% in 2024 to 22.23% in 2027, indicating a trend of increasing costs relative to revenue [10]. - The company’s total assets are projected to grow from RMB 133.15 billion in 2024 to RMB 156.70 billion in 2027, while total liabilities are expected to increase from RMB 61.70 billion to RMB 84.51 billion over the same period [5]. Business Performance - The company’s existing home transaction volume increased by 5.8% year-on-year to RMB 505.6 billion in Q3 2025, while the new home transaction volume decreased by 13.7% year-on-year to RMB 196.3 billion [18]. - The rental services segment has shown strong growth, contributing over RMB 100 million in profit in Q3 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 45.3% [17][7]. - The company’s home furnishing and rental services achieved profitability at the city level, with profit contributions to gross profit reaching a historical high [17].

Core Points - The "Beike Cup" 2025 Vocational Skills Invitation Competition was successfully held in Shanghai, aiming to enhance the professional skills of home decoration service providers and support the construction of quality housing in China [1][4][26] - The event was organized by the China Timber Industry Association and involved various stakeholders, including educational institutions and industry representatives, to promote collaboration between education and industry [3][6][15] Group 1: Event Overview - The competition serves as a platform to select and motivate high-quality home decoration service providers, directly impacting consumer experience and industry quality upgrades [1][4] - The event featured participation from various industry leaders and educational institutions, highlighting the importance of collaboration in vocational training [3][6] Group 2: Industry Insights - The president of the China Timber Industry Association emphasized that high-standard vocational competitions can enhance practitioners' skills and service awareness, contributing to the core competitiveness of enterprises [4] - The vice president of Shanghai Sci-Tech Vocational College noted that the event aligns with national strategies for deepening industry-education integration and promoting high-quality vocational education [6] Group 3: Skills Development - The Secretary-General of the China Timber Industry Association's Home Decoration Branch pointed out the importance of skills in the current information age, advocating for competitions to improve craftsmanship and address industry shortcomings [9] - The event included practical competitions in customized furniture installation, tile laying, and painting, with judges evaluating participants on various criteria [22][24] Group 4: Future Directions - Beike is committed to enhancing the quality of service delivery through a structured talent cultivation mechanism, which includes skill training and quality control [26] - The company plans to continue investing in vocational skills training and technological empowerment to drive the industry towards healthier and higher-quality development [26]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report indicates that the stabilization of the residential balance sheet suggests a potential bottoming out in the real estate market, but the speed of improvement will determine the duration of this bottoming process [3][4] - The report highlights that since 2021, China's housing prices have cumulatively declined by 37%, which is longer than the average decline of 34% over 6.1 years in 42 countries, indicating that while the price drop is significant, the adjustment period in China is still relatively short [22][7] - The report identifies five major opportunities in the industry, including the stabilization of the residential asset-liability ratio, a decrease in the housing price-to-income ratio, improving rental yields, a bullish stock market potentially boosting wealth effects, and a deep clearing of supply-side issues [3][4] Group 2 - The industry outlook predicts a structural bottoming out, with opportunities arising for quality housing and commercial real estate, driven by policies focusing on demand recovery and high-quality development [3][4] - The report anticipates that the core cities will stabilize sooner due to healthier supply-demand relationships, with a forecast for sales volume and price declines to narrow in 2025-2026 [3][4] - The report maintains a "positive" rating for the real estate sector, recommending specific companies in the quality housing and commercial real estate segments, as well as undervalued firms and property management companies [3][4]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that the company, Beike-W (02423), is rated "Buy" by Guotai Junan, with projected adjusted net profits for 2025-2027 being 57.19 billion, 62.44 billion, and 69.95 billion respectively, and a target price of 66.85 HKD per share based on a 38x PE valuation for 2025 [1] - The company is actively developing non-property businesses to mitigate cyclical risks and is focusing on cost reduction and efficiency improvements while increasing shareholder returns to enhance investment value [1] - In Q3 2025, the total transaction volume was 736.7 billion, remaining stable year-on-year, while net income increased by 2.1% to 23.1 billion, although net profit decreased by 36.1% to 0.747 billion [1] Group 2 - The second-hand property business is steadily expanding, with net income from existing properties at 6 billion, down 3.6% year-on-year, while total transaction volume increased by 5.8% to 505.6 billion [2] - The commission rate for existing properties was 1.19%, with the Lianjia existing property commission rate at 2.53% and the Beilian existing property commission rate at 0.38% [2] - The new property business saw a decline in net income by 14.1% to 6.6 billion, with total transaction volume down 13.7% to 196.3 billion in Q3 2025 [2] Group 3 - The company has actively implemented a share repurchase plan, with a record high repurchase amount of 281 million in Q3 2025, bringing the total repurchase amount for the year to approximately 675 million, a 15.7% increase year-on-year [3] - Since the initiation of the repurchase program in September 2022, the cumulative repurchase amount has reached approximately 2.3 billion, accounting for about 11.5% of the total share capital before the program started [3]

国泰海通发布研报称，予贝壳-W(02423)"增持"评级。该行预计公司2025-2027年经调整净利润分别为 57.19、62.44、69.95亿元(归母净利润分别为38.32、41.53、47.73亿元)，给予公司2025年38倍PE估值， 对应合理价值为60.83元，换算为每股66.85港元。公司当前积极发展非房业务应对周期风险，抓紧降费 提效动作转为防守姿态，加大股东回馈力度提高投资价值。 国泰海通主要观点如下： 2025年第三季度，公司回购金额达到2.81亿美元，单季度回购金额创近两年来新高。截至2025年第三季 度末，公司今年斥资约6.75亿美元回购股份，金额同比增长15.7%，回购股数占2024年末总股本约3%。 自2022年9月回购项目启动以来，截至2025年9月末，公司累计回购金额约23亿美元，回购股数占回购项 目启动前公司总股本约11.5%。 风险提示：房地产行业面临缩量风险，公司新业务模式有待验证。 2025年3Q，公司总交易额为7367亿元，同比基本持平;净收入为231亿元，同比增加2.1%，2025年3Q， 公司净利润为7.47亿元，同比下降36.1%，经调整净利润为12.86亿元，同 ...

Core Viewpoint - Beike-W (02423) is expected to benefit from the continuous expansion of the industry scale, supported by its leading position and strategic nationwide layout, with projected net profits for 2025-2027 showing significant growth [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, Beike achieved operating revenue of 72.39 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 16.1%, demonstrating market competitiveness despite pressure in the real estate market [1] - The company's net profit attributable to the parent company was 2.91 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 16.8%, primarily due to a decline in gross margin from 25.3% to 21.4% [1] - As of the end of Q3 2025, Beike's store count increased by 27.3% year-on-year to 61,393, and the number of agents reached 546,000, up 14.5% year-on-year, indicating ongoing expansion [1] Group 2: Business Segments - The existing housing business saw a transaction volume (GTV) increase of 5.8% year-on-year to 505.6 billion yuan, with net income of 6 billion yuan, down 3.6% from the previous year [2] - The new housing business experienced a GTV decline of 13.7% to 196.3 billion yuan, with net income of 6.6 billion yuan, down 14.1% year-on-year, reflecting a slowdown in the commodity housing market [2] - The home decoration business reported net income of 4.3 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.4% [2] - Rental services generated net income of 5.7 billion yuan, a significant year-on-year increase of 45.3%, attributed to the growth in the "worry-free rental" model [2] - Emerging businesses and others reported net income of 400 million yuan, down from 500 million yuan in the same period last year [2] Group 3: Shareholder Returns - In Q3 2025, Beike's share buyback amounted to 281 million USD, marking the highest quarterly buyback in nearly two years [3] - By the end of Q3 2025, the total buyback for the year reached 675 million USD, a 15.7% increase compared to the same period last year [3] - Since initiating the buyback in September 2022, Beike has repurchased approximately 2.3 billion USD worth of shares, representing 11.5% of the total shares before the buyback [3]

Core Viewpoint - Beike-W (02423) is expected to benefit from the continuous expansion of the industry scale, supported by its strategic nationwide layout and platform advantages, with projected net profits for 2025-2027 being 5.38 billion, 6.54 billion, and 7.29 billion CNY respectively, maintaining a "buy" rating [1] Revenue Growth and Market Position - In the first three quarters of 2025, Beike achieved operating revenue of 72.39 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 16.1%, demonstrating its market competitiveness despite pressure in the real estate market [2] - The company's net profit attributable to the parent company was 2.91 billion CNY, a decrease of 16.8% year-on-year, primarily due to a decline in gross margin from 25.3% to 21.4% [2] - As of the end of Q3, the number of Beike stores increased by 27.3% year-on-year to 61,393, and the number of agents reached 546,000, up 14.5% year-on-year, indicating overall scale expansion [2] Transaction Volume and Business Performance - The existing housing business saw a transaction volume (GTV) increase of 5.8% year-on-year to 505.6 billion CNY, with net income of 6 billion CNY, down 3.6% from the previous year [3] - The new housing business experienced a GTV decline of 13.7% to 196.3 billion CNY, with net income of 6.6 billion CNY, down 14.1% year-on-year due to a slowdown in the commodity housing market [3] - The home decoration business generated net income of 4.3 billion CNY, a 2.4% increase year-on-year, while rental services saw net income of 5.7 billion CNY, up 45.3% year-on-year, attributed to an increase in housing resources under the "worry-free rental" model [3] - Emerging businesses and others reported net income of 400 million CNY, down from 500 million CNY in the previous year [3] Shareholder Returns and Buyback Strategy - In Q3 2025, Beike's buyback amount reached 281 million USD, the highest quarterly buyback in nearly two years [4] - By the end of Q3 2025, the total buyback amount for the year reached 675 million USD, a 15.7% increase year-on-year [4] - Since initiating the buyback in September 2022, the company has repurchased approximately 2.3 billion USD worth of shares, representing 11.5% of the total shares before the buyback, reflecting confidence in future development and enhancing shareholder returns [4]