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渣打银行警告:2026年或成美债“血崩”的起点!
Jin Shi Shu Ju· 2025-05-28 11:16
Core Viewpoint - Standard Chartered's G10 FX Research Head, Steve Englander, warns of an imminent liquidity crisis facing U.S. assets, with 2026 potentially being a critical point for foreign investors' decisions on U.S. debt purchases [1] Group 1: U.S. Debt and Foreign Investment - Over the past decade, U.S. external debt has surged, with fiscal deficits heavily reliant on international capital inflows [1] - If foreign investors lose confidence in U.S. Treasuries and the dollar, the market will quickly feel the pain of "blood loss" [1] - The recent "Beautiful Bill" passed by the Senate failed to alleviate concerns about fiscal sustainability, with economists believing it will exacerbate deficits rather than resolve them [1] Group 2: Economic Indicators and Risks - Despite a 15 basis point decline in 10-year Treasury yields this year, the dollar index has plummeted 8% in 2025, signaling potential risks [1] - The low domestic savings rate in the U.S. poses a significant challenge, making foreign investor confidence crucial for maintaining the debt chain [1] - Englander cites Hemingway's quote about crisis patterns, suggesting that while the U.S. may maintain a "boiling frog" state for a while, 2026 could mark a turning point [1] Group 3: Inflation and Currency Concerns - Inflation and exchange rate risks are core concerns for foreign investors [2] - Even if the Federal Reserve eases monetary policy, rising risk premiums could deter foreign capital, potentially leading to an increase in long-term Treasury yields [2] - The lack of alternative options in the global market is currently delaying the crisis, with international investors likely to adopt a wait-and-see approach regarding tariff conflicts and the effects of the Trump administration's tax reforms and deregulation policies in 2025 [2]
渣打称2026年美元可能面临“大幅”下跌风险
news flash· 2025-05-28 10:48
Core Viewpoint - Standard Chartered warns of a significant risk of a decline in the US dollar by 2026 if President Trump's policies exacerbate the US debt burden without boosting the economy [1] Group 1: Economic Indicators - The report highlights that the US government debt and obligations to foreign investors have been increasing in recent years, posing risks to the dollar and US Treasury bonds [1] - The expanding US deficit is reducing national savings while increasing the demand for foreign savings, leading to a higher current account deficit [1] Group 2: Investor Confidence - If Trump's policies fail to stimulate economic growth and foreign investors lose confidence, maintaining a high current account deficit in the coming months may become challenging [1]
渣打集团(02888) - 翌日披露报表

2025-05-28 10:25
FF305 翌日披露報表 (股份發行人 ── 已發行股份或庫存股份變動、股份購回及/或在場内出售庫存股份) 表格類別: 股票 狀態: 新提交 公司名稱: 渣打集團有限公司 呈交日期: 2025年5月28日 如上市發行人的已發行股份或庫存股份出現變動而須根據《香港聯合交易所有限公司(「香港聯交所」)證券上市規則》(「《主板上市規則》」)第13.25A條 / 《香港聯合交易所有限公司GEM證券 上市規則》(「《GEM上市規則》」)第17.27A條作出披露,必須填妥第一章節 。 | 第一章節 | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | 於香港聯交所上市 | 是 | | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 02888 | 說明 | | | | | | | A. 已發行股份或庫存股份變動 | | | | | | | | | | | | 已發行股份(不包括庫存股份)變動 | | 庫存股份變動 | | | | | 事件 | 已發行股份(不包括庫存股份)數 目 | | 佔有關事件 ...
下一个新台币?对冲基金重金押注韩元大涨!
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2025-05-27 08:18
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights a significant increase in trading volume for USD/KRW options, particularly bearish positions, driven by hedge funds seeking to capitalize on potential Korean won appreciation following the recent surge of the New Taiwan Dollar [1][4][6] - The nominal trading amount for USD/KRW put options exceeded $60 million last week, with a ratio of 3:2 compared to call options, indicating a strong preference for bearish bets on the USD/KRW exchange rate [1] - The risk reversal indicator shows that the premium required to hedge against a decline in USD/KRW has approached a 21-year high, reflecting heightened market concerns about the dollar's strength [1][7] Group 2 - The New Taiwan Dollar's unexpected 7% rise this month has reshaped market expectations for Asian currencies, leading investors to believe that the Korean won may replicate this upward movement [4] - The ongoing tariff negotiations between the U.S. and its trading partners have fueled speculation that the Trump administration may favor a weaker dollar, positioning the Korean won as a key tool for hedging against a strong dollar decline [6] - Following the significant fluctuations in the New Taiwan Dollar, there has been a notable increase in bearish interest for USD/KRW options, further stimulated by recent forex-related commentary [7]
重磅活动邀请函 | 2025年彭博亚太区卖方领袖论坛
彭博Bloomberg· 2025-05-27 04:07
香港私人银行与理财通的发展前景 AI新时代:探索现实场景中的金融技术创新 买方视角分享 演讲嘉宾 Kevin Sneader 高盛集团 亚太区联席总裁(除日本外) Muska Chiu 渣打银行 香港投资顾问总监 李学林 法国巴黎银行 香港财富管理主管 罗文辉 华泰证券 首席技术官 Wendy Yuen 中信银行 国际私人及企业银行部主管 Michael Elko 彭博 市场与产品专家主管 Yvonne Man 彭博电视 主持人 Jennifer Yan 彭博北亚地区(除日本) 卖方技术销售主管 扫码立即报名 展望全球,随着不确定性加剧,美元主导地位面临前所未有的压力,地缘博弈也重塑着贸易流 向。投资者更多地将目光投向亚洲——这一活力与韧性兼具的地区经济增速回升,受到寻求稳定 与增长的投资者青睐。与此同时,面对科技给各行业带来的颠覆性影响、ESG要求的持续更新、 货币政策转向、监管环境发展……卖方机构亟需灵活调整战略,从而与时俱进、把握良机。 彭博诚邀您出席 2025年亚太区卖方领袖论坛 !机构高管、行业领袖、资深专家等业界人士将齐聚 一堂,探讨有关银行业与资本市场的热点议题,展望未来趋势,分享真知灼见。 主 ...
渣打集团(02888) - 翌日披露报表

2025-05-26 11:34
FF305 翌日披露報表 (股份發行人 ── 已發行股份或庫存股份變動、股份購回及/或在場内出售庫存股份) 表格類別: 股票 狀態: 新提交 公司名稱: 渣打集團有限公司 呈交日期: 2025年5月26日 如上市發行人的已發行股份或庫存股份出現變動而須根據《香港聯合交易所有限公司(「香港聯交所」)證券上市規則》(「《主板上市規則》」)第13.25A條 / 《香港聯合交易所有限公司GEM證券 上市規則》(「《GEM上市規則》」)第17.27A條作出披露,必須填妥第一章節 。 FF305 FF305 確認 根據《主板上市規則》第13.25C條 / 《GEM上市規則》第17.27C條,我們在此確認,據我們所知所信,第一章節所述的每項股份發行或庫存股份出售或轉讓已獲發行人董事會正式授權批准,並遵 照所有適用上市規則、法律及其他監管規定進行,並在適用的情況下: | 第一章節 | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | 於香港聯交所上市 | 是 | | | 證券代號 ( ...
香港,又有大消息
Zhong Guo Ji Jin Bao· 2025-05-23 13:54
【导读】香港立法会通过《稳定币条例草案》,预计年内生效,渣打等机构正在积极筹备与港元挂钩的 稳定币发行 5月21日,香港立法会通过了《稳定币条例草案》(以下简称《草案》),以在香港设立法币稳定币发 行人的发牌制度,完善对虚拟资产活动在香港的监管框架,以保持金融稳定,同时推动金融创新。 据中国基金报记者了解,目前香港特区政府相关部门及金融监管机构,正积极协助业界做好过渡期安 排,以及稳定币发行的相关筹备工作。 发行人须向金融管理专员 申领牌照 香港特区政府发布声明对此表示欢迎,并指出《稳定币条例》实施后,任何人如在业务过程中在香港发 行法币稳定币,或在香港或以外发行宣称锚定港元价值的法币稳定币,必须向金融管理专员申领牌照。 相关人士须符合储备资产管理及赎回等方面的规定,包括妥善分隔客户资产、维持健全的稳定机制,以 及须在合理条件下按面额处理稳定币持有人的赎回要求。相关人士亦须符合一系列打击洗钱及恐怖分子 资金筹集、风险管理、披露规定及审计和适当人选等要求。金融管理专员会适时就制度的详细监管要求 作进一步咨询。 香港特区政府表示,发牌制度将为公众及投资者提供更好保障。其中,条例只容许指定的持牌机构在香 港销售法币 ...
香港立法放行稳定币,3家机构加紧筹备合资公司
21世纪经济报道· 2025-05-23 12:29
Core Viewpoint - Hong Kong's Legislative Council has passed the Stablecoin Ordinance, establishing a licensing system for fiat-backed stablecoin issuers to enhance regulatory frameworks for virtual asset activities and promote financial innovation [2][8]. Group 1: Regulatory Developments - The Stablecoin Ordinance is expected to come into effect within the year, allowing the industry sufficient time to understand the licensing requirements [2][8]. - The licensing system includes transitional arrangements to help the industry comply with the new regulations [7][8]. - The Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA) is developing a regulatory framework for stablecoin issuers due to the increasing interconnectivity between traditional finance and virtual asset markets [7][8]. Group 2: Industry Participation - Five institutions are participating in the first batch of stablecoin issuers, with three of them forming a joint venture to apply for a license to issue a stablecoin pegged to the Hong Kong dollar [4][5]. - The joint venture includes Standard Chartered Bank (Hong Kong), Animo Brands Limited, and Hong Kong Telecommunications, highlighting cross-industry collaboration [4][5]. - Other participants include JD Group's JD Blockchain Technology (Hong Kong) and Yuan Coin Innovation Technology, with plans to issue the HKDR stablecoin on the Ethereum platform [4][6]. Group 3: Strategic Goals and Applications - The joint venture aims to explore the role of stablecoins in financial and payment markets, with a focus on enhancing local and cross-border payment experiences [5][6]. - The stablecoin is seen as a mature use case within the Web 3.0 ecosystem, with potential applications in retail, corporate, and institutional sectors [5][6]. - JD Group plans to leverage stablecoin operations to support its global supply chain and cross-border payments, indicating a broader ambition for international reach [6].
渣打集团(02888) - 翌日披露报表

2025-05-23 08:53
FF305 翌日披露報表 (股份發行人 ── 已發行股份或庫存股份變動、股份購回及/或在場内出售庫存股份) 表格類別: 股票 狀態: 新提交 公司名稱: 渣打集團有限公司 呈交日期: 2025年5月23日 如上市發行人的已發行股份或庫存股份出現變動而須根據《香港聯合交易所有限公司(「香港聯交所」)證券上市規則》(「《主板上市規則》」)第13.25A條 / 《香港聯合交易所有限公司GEM證券 上市規則》(「《GEM上市規則》」)第17.27A條作出披露,必須填妥第一章節 。 | 第一章節 | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | | 於香港聯交所上市 | 是 | | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 02888 | 說明 | | | | | | | | A. 已發行股份或庫存股份變動 | | | | | | | | | | | | 已發行股份(不包括庫存股份)變動 | | | | 庫存股份變動 | | | | | 事件 | 已發行股份(不包括庫存 ...
渣打集团(02888) - 翌日披露报表

2025-05-22 11:44
FF305 翌日披露報表 (股份發行人 ── 已發行股份或庫存股份變動、股份購回及/或在場内出售庫存股份) 表格類別: 股票 狀態: 新提交 公司名稱: 渣打集團有限公司 呈交日期: 2025年5月22日 如上市發行人的已發行股份或庫存股份出現變動而須根據《香港聯合交易所有限公司(「香港聯交所」)證券上市規則》(「《主板上市規則》」)第13.25A條 / 《香港聯合交易所有限公司GEM證券 上市規則》(「《GEM上市規則》」)第17.27A條作出披露,必須填妥第一章節 。 | 第一章節 | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | 於香港聯交所上市 | 是 | | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 02888 | 說明 | | | | | | | A. 已發行股份或庫存股份變動 | | | | | | | | | | | | 已發行股份(不包括庫存股份)變動 | | 庫存股份變動 | | | | | 事件 | 已發行股份(不包括庫存股份)數 目 | | 佔有關事件 ...