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大行评级丨花旗:渣打第四季业绩好坏参半,重申“中性/高风险”评级
Ge Long Hui· 2026-02-25 02:22
花旗发表研报指,渣打集团2025年第四季经调整税前利润(不包括重组及债务估值调整)为12亿美元,较 市场共识低6%,其中收入较预期低1%(净利息收入高8%,非利息收入低11%),营运开支高4%,贷款减 值则优于预期36%。法定税前利润为8亿美元,较市场共识低23%,因重组开支增加。普通股权一级资 本比率为14.1%,即使股息和股票回购高于预期,仍保持按季稳定。 花旗指出,渣打新的2026财年目标显示市场共识营收将上调,但(基本)成本支出也将增加;而新的法定 有形股东权益报酬率目标为逾12%,与市场共识(11.7%)大致一致。整体而言,该行认为渣打业绩好坏 参半,重申"中性/高风险"评级,目标价为186港元。 ...
渣打集团早盘一度跌超4% 去年第四季度业绩好坏参半
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2026-02-25 02:07
摩根大通研报指出,渣打2025年第四季收入大致符合预期,净利息收入好过预期,但受环球市场业务阶 段性收入下降影响,非净利息收入逊预期。税前利润较市场预期低6%,因成本较预期高4%。股息较市 场预期高40%,而15亿美元的回购计划则符合预期。花旗认为,渣打上季基本税前利润逊但资本回报较 佳。 渣打集团(02888)一度跌超4%,截至发稿,跌2.98%,报192港元,成交额1.24亿港元。 消息面上,渣打集团昨日发布2025年全年度业绩,按固定汇率基准,该集团取得经营收入209亿美元, 同比上升6%,倘剔除重大项目则增加8%;除税前基本溢利79亿美元,同比增加18%;除税前列账基准 溢利70亿美元,同比增加18%;每股基本盈利229.7美仙,拟派发末期股息每股49美仙,并宣布全新的 15亿美元股份回购。 ...
港股异动 | 渣打集团(02888)早盘一度跌超4% 去年第四季度业绩好坏参半
智通财经网· 2026-02-25 02:06
智通财经APP获悉,渣打集团(02888)一度跌超4%,截至发稿,跌2.98%,报192港元,成交额1.24亿港 元。 消息面上,渣打集团昨日发布2025年全年度业绩,按固定汇率基准,该集团取得经营收入209亿美元, 同比上升6%,倘剔除重大项目则增加8%;除税前基本溢利79亿美元,同比增加18%;除税前列账基准 溢利70亿美元,同比增加18%;每股基本盈利229.7美仙,拟派发末期股息每股49美仙,并宣布全新的 15亿美元股份回购。 摩根大通研报指出,渣打2025年第四季收入大致符合预期,净利息收入好过预期,但受环球市场业务阶 段性收入下降影响,非净利息收入逊预期。税前利润较市场预期低6%,因成本较预期高4%。股息较市 场预期高40%,而15亿美元的回购计划则符合预期。花旗认为,渣打上季基本税前利润逊 但资本回报 较佳。 ...
中金:维持渣打集团跑赢行业评级 上调目标价至227.27港元
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2026-02-25 01:42
中金发布研报称,考虑渣打集团(02888)净利息收入预期改善,该行上调公司2026年/2027年经调营业收 入预测2.7%/3.8%至219/225亿美元;维持2026年经调归母普通股净利润基本不变,上调公司2027年经调归 母普通股净利润预测1.7%至56亿美元。公司当前交易于1.2x/1.1x 2026E/2027E P/B。综合考虑业绩预期 与市场风险偏好变化,该行小幅上调公司目标价6.6%至227.27港元,对应1.3x/1.2x 2026E/2027E P/B与 14.8%的上行空间,维持跑赢行业评级。 中金主要观点如下: 2025年业绩符合该行预期 公司公布2025年业绩。2025全年经调口径(后同)营业收入YoY +6.1%至209亿美元,归母普通股净利润 YoY +25.4%至54亿美元;4Q25单季营业收入YoY +0.3%至48亿美元,归母普通股净利润YoY+20.0%至8亿 美元,业绩符合该行预期。 收入端韧性强,实现稳健增长 公司4Q25/2025A营业收入基本符合市场预期,拆分看: 公司4Q25单季净利息收入环比+8%,同比-1%,高于一致预期7.5%。主要由于4Q25 HIBOR高 ...
中金:维持渣打集团(02888)跑赢行业评级 上调目标价至227.27港元
智通财经网· 2026-02-25 01:40
智通财经APP获悉,中金发布研报称,考虑渣打集团(02888)净利息收入预期改善,该行上调公司2026 年/2027年经调营业收入预测2.7%/3.8%至219/225亿美元;维持2026年经调归母普通股净利润基本不变, 上调公司2027年经调归母普通股净利润预测1.7%至56亿美元。公司当前交易于1.2x/1.1x 2026E/2027E P/B。综合考虑业绩预期与市场风险偏好变化,该行小幅上调公司目标价6.6%至227.27港元,对应 1.3x/1.2x 2026E/2027E P/B与14.8%的上行空间,维持跑赢行业评级。 中金主要观点如下: 股息超预期,重视股东回报 公司4Q25单季净利息收入环比+8%,同比-1%,高于一致预期7.5%。主要由于4Q25 HIBOR高于预期, 带动全年净利息收入YoY +0.8%。向前看,公司预计2026年按货币敞口结构计算的加权平均利率将下降 44bp,为控制信用成本而进行的零售部门信贷组合结构优化也将对2026年NII产生约2%的负面影响,综 合考虑信贷规模增长,2026年NII预计与2025年大致持平。 公司4Q25非息收入环比-21.2%,同比+2.3%,低 ...
Standard Chartered (SEHK:02888) Earnings Call Presentation
2026-02-24 12:00
Standard Chartered Investor overview February 2026 Standard Chartered history spans over 170 years We operate in the world's most dynamic markets Present in 54 markets; using the power of our network to maximise opportunities for people and businesses who trade, operate, or invest across our markets. Our diverse experience, capabilities and culture set us apart Our locations Europe and America Our Americas franchise is focused on CIB business, and our London headquarters also services our Private Bank clien ...
小摩:渣打集团2026财年ROTE指引若达15%属正面惊喜
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2026-02-24 09:21
该行预料,集团第四季收入增长同比持平,净利息收入预计大致上按季持平,但同比跌幅达高单位数, 被非净利息收入强劲同比增长所抵消。 小摩发布研报称,给予渣打集团(02888)目标价为265港元,评级为"增持",预料市场关注焦点将集中于 渣打管理层对2026年净资产收益率(ROTE)和总回报的指引。该行指,如果2026财年净资产收益率指引 持平或达到15%左右,将被视为一个正面的惊喜。 ...
小摩:渣打集团(02888)2026财年ROTE指引若达15%属正面惊喜
智通财经网· 2026-02-24 09:10
该行预料,集团第四季收入增长同比持平,净利息收入预计大致上按季持平,但同比跌幅达高单位数, 被非净利息收入强劲同比增长所抵消。 智通财经APP获悉,小摩发布研报称,给予渣打集团(02888)目标价为265港元,评级为"增持",预料市 场关注焦点将集中于渣打管理层对2026年净资产收益率(ROTE)和总回报的指引。该行指,如果2026财 年净资产收益率指引持平或达到15%左右,将被视为一个正面的惊喜。 ...
STANCHART(02888) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2026-02-24 09:02
Standard Chartered (SEHK:02888) Q4 2025 Earnings call February 24, 2026 03:00 AM ET Company ParticipantsAman Rakkar - Director and Head of UK Banks CoverageBill Winters - Group Chief Executive OfficerChen Li - Chief Economist and Head of ResearchEdward Firth - Managing DirectorJason Napier - Managing Director and the Head of European Banks ResearchJoseph Dickerson - Managing Director and Head of European Banks ResearchManus Costello - Global Head of Investor RelationsPeter Burrill - Interim Group Chief Fina ...
STANCHART(02888) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2026-02-24 09:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The underlying Return on Tangible Equity for 2025 was 14.7%, with record annual income of $20.9 billion, up 8% year-on-year [3][5] - Profit before tax increased by 18% to $7.9 billion, with earnings per share rising by 37% [12][21] - The full-year net interest income (NII) was $11.2 billion, up 1%, while non-NII increased by 13% year-over-year [13][14] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Corporate and Institutional Banking (CIB) income was $12.4 billion, up 4%, with Global Banking up 15% and Global Markets up 12% [22][23] - Wealth and Retail Banking (WRB) income was $8.5 billion, up 6%, driven by a 24% increase in Wealth Solutions [24][30] - The affluent segment saw a cumulative total of $52 billion in net new money for 2025, reflecting a 14% growth in affluent AUM [24][30] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Underlying customer deposits increased by 12% in the year, with growth in CASA and term deposits across WRB and CIB [20] - Risk-weighted assets were $258 billion, up 4% in 2025, with a CET1 ratio of 14.1% [21] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company plans to shift to reporting on a reported basis, moving away from underlying financials to provide clearer financial disclosures [6][25] - The focus remains on sustainable growth, with a commitment to maintaining a high-performance culture and optimizing resources [7][29] - The company aims to create a distinctive and high-performing institution that delivers growth across all dimensions for clients and shareholders [36] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - The management expressed confidence in the resilience of global trade and capital flows despite geopolitical tensions and market volatility [2][4] - The outlook for 2026 anticipates income growth at the lower end of the historical 5-7% range, with a focus on maintaining a statutory return on tangible equity of greater than 12% [25][26] Other Important Information - A new $1.5 billion share buyback was announced, alongside a 65% increase in the full-year dividend per share [4][21] - The company has mobilized $157 billion in sustainable finance since 2021, aiming for $300 billion by 2030 [34] Q&A Session Summary Question: On investments and account opening capacity in wealth - The company is currently delivering 60,000 new clients per quarter without capacity constraints, with ongoing investments to remove bottlenecks [39][41] Question: On episodic income performance in Q4 - Q4 episodic income was weak due to large client transactions, but overall growth in financial markets remains strong [46][49] Question: On net interest income and HIBOR impact - The majority of the NII increase in Q4 was due to HIBOR movements, and Q4 should not be used as a baseline for future projections [61][65] Question: On guidance for income growth and dividend payout ratio - The company expects double-digit growth in non-interest income, with a focus on broad-based growth across all business lines [71][84]