恒生指数低开0.15%，恒生科技指数跌0.31%。盘面上，乳业概念走强，中国飞鹤涨近1%；新能源汽车 股走弱，理想汽车跌近2%。 中信证券研报称，行情的定位决定了主导资金的行为，资金的行为决定了上涨的行业结构及模式。历史 上增量流动性驱动的行情中，领涨行业大都是持续集中，而不是高切低轮动；背后的本质是资金对效率 的追逐，更倾向于高共识品种，而非在低位品种里"蹲变化"。7月的行情演绎也验证了这一点，行业逐 步向趋势性品种聚焦，而高切低模式效率偏低；近期增量流动性边际上有所放缓，行情需要降温才能行 稳致远。目前我们重点关注的依然聚焦在AI、创新药、资源、恒科以及科创板。 关于港股后市 华泰证券发布港股策略研报称，近期港股回调主因内外预期修正，但中期流动性宽松逻辑不改。配置上 建议寻找景气改善+低估值板块，尤其强调对科技板块的配置；短期交易围绕中报业绩展开，建议关 注：1)估值有性价比且景气改善的游戏和互联网电商龙头；2)前向12个月估值分位数略高但盈利兑现度 高，如港股创新药及非银金融。 浙商证券认为，建议坚持当前中线仓位。行业配置方面，继续采取"1+1+X"均衡配置，但需要注意积极 挖掘年线上方低位个股，做好板 ...

| 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 06186 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 2,000,000,000,000 | USD | 0.000000025 | USD | | 50,000 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | | | | USD | | | | 本月底結存 | | | 2,000,000,000,000 | USD | 0.000000025 | USD | | 50,000 | 本月底法定/註冊股本總額： USD 50,000 FF301 股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年7月31日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 中國飛鶴有限公司 呈交日期: 2025年8月5 ...

于本公告日期，该集团向浦发银行认购的理财及结构性存款金融产品的未到期本金金额合计为人民币28 亿元。 中国飞鹤(06186)公布，于2025年8月4日，公司全资附属公司黑龙江飞鹤以其闲置资金认购若干浦发银 行发售的金额为人民币3亿元的金融产品。 ...

于本公告日期，该集团向浦发银行认购的理财及结构性存款金融产品的未到期本金金额合计为人民币28 亿元。 智通财经APP讯，中国飞鹤(06186)公布，于2025年8月4日，公司全资附属公司黑龙江飞鹤以其闲置资金 认购若干浦发银行发售的金额为人民币3亿元的金融产品。 ...

香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告的內容概不 負 責，對 其 準 確 性 或 完 整 性 亦 不 發 表 任 何 聲 明，並 明 確 表 示，概 不 對 因 本 公 告 全部或任何部份內容而產生或因倚賴該等內容而引致的任何損失承擔任何責 任。 | | | | 所認購 | 預 期 | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 本金金額 | 年收益率 | | | | | | 序號 | 認購日期 | 產品名稱 | （人 民 幣 元） | | % 到期日 | | 產品類型 | 投資範圍 | | 1 | 二零二五年 | 上信紅寶石T+N第101期 | 200,000,000 | 2.60% | | 二零二六年 | 非保本浮動 | 固定收益類資產 | | | 八月四日 | | | | | 六月二日 | 收益型 | | | 2 | 二零二五年 | 上信鑫月豐利FL2001 | 100,000,000 | 2.60% | | 二零二六年 | 非保本浮動 | 固定收益類資產 | | | 八月四日 | 第1 ...

Core Viewpoint - The introduction of a nationwide child-rearing subsidy in China aims to stimulate birth rates and alleviate the financial burden on families, potentially creating a significant consumption market in the mother and baby sector [4][8][12]. Group 1: Subsidy Details - Starting January 1, 2025, families with children under three years old will receive an annual subsidy of 3,600 yuan per child, regardless of the number of children [4][6]. - The total annual subsidy scale is estimated at 72 billion yuan, with 60% expected to be spent on mother and baby consumption, leading to an annual consumption increase of approximately 43.2 billion yuan in the sector [6][8]. - The subsidy is designed to be accessible, with online application systems and some regions already implementing automatic disbursement methods [9]. Group 2: Market Impact - The subsidy is expected to create a consumption increase of around 0.2 percentage points in social retail sales, particularly benefiting essential consumer goods like baby food [11][12]. - The policy is anticipated to activate related industries, potentially generating over 300 billion yuan in additional consumption across sectors such as healthcare and education [11][12]. Group 3: Industry Opportunities - The mother and baby market will see immediate benefits, especially in essential products like formula and diapers, where the subsidy can cover about 30% of expenses [19][20]. - There is a growing opportunity in service consumption, including parent-child travel and childcare services, with the childcare market projected to reach 232.3 billion yuan by 2030 [19][20]. - Companies are encouraged to focus on high-value essential products and enhance user experience through partnerships and improved service delivery [24][26]. Group 4: Long-term Considerations - The subsidy is viewed as a starting point for a broader supportive environment for families, with additional measures needed in childcare services, education, and housing to truly encourage higher birth rates [17][26]. - Companies must innovate and avoid dependency on subsidies, focusing on capturing consumer trends and addressing parenting challenges to maintain competitive advantages in the evolving market landscape [26].

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Outperform" rating to multiple companies in the consumer staples sector, including Guizhou Moutai, Wuliangye, Luzhou Laojiao, and others [1]. Core Insights - The report highlights that most baijiu wholesale prices have stabilized, with specific price changes noted for various brands. For instance, the price of Feitian Moutai (case) is 1915 yuan, down by 35 yuan from the previous month, and down 665 yuan year-on-year [3][9]. - Discounts on liquid milk and beer have decreased compared to previous months, indicating a shift in pricing strategies within the consumer goods market [5][22]. Summary by Sections Baijiu Pricing - Guizhou Moutai's prices for different products have shown a decline, with Feitian Moutai (case) at 1915 yuan, down 35 yuan month-on-month and 665 yuan year-on-year [3][9]. - Wuliangye's eighth-generation price is 930 yuan, stable compared to last month and unchanged year-on-year [4][9]. - Luzhou Laojiao's Guojiao 1573 remains at 860 yuan, unchanged from last month and down 40 yuan year-on-year [4][9]. Consumer Goods Discounts - The average discount rate for liquid milk has decreased to 79.1% from 73.8% at the end of June, while the median discount rate increased to 80.3% [5][22]. - Beer discounts have also seen a slight increase, with average and median rates at 83.6% and 87.0%, respectively, compared to 81.1% and 84.6% in late June [5][22]. - Discounts for infant formula and instant foods have remained stable, with average rates at 93.0% and 94.3%, respectively [7][22].

农业农村部办公厅发布《关于加快奶业纾困提升奶业高质量发展水平的通知》提出，各地要落实白名单 制度，及时向金融机构推送生产经营水平高、信用良好的奶牛养殖场名单，"点对点"做好金融政策对 接。 推动银行机构持续创新"青贮贷"等金融产品，保障养殖场青贮饲料收储资金需求。要将符合条件的项目 纳入农业农村基础设施融资项目库储备，探索采取贴息补助的办法给予支持。 国泰海通证券发布研报称，7月28日国家育儿补贴制度实施方案公布，"国补"正式进入生育领域，食饮 訾猛团队测算年均发放育儿补贴约千亿，有望发挥乘数效应且有加码可能，提振乳品等行业需求。考虑 到适龄人口发展趋势，国泰海通预计未来出生人口数将有所减少，单年度补贴额度也将随之降低，但仍 为一笔可观的财政支出。对乳制品行业而言，全国层面的育儿补贴有望拉动相关乳品消费，尤其是奶粉 等，有助于提振板块景气度，加速供需缺口收敛。 乳品行业涉及相关港股： 澳优（01717）、H&H国际控股(01112)、蒙牛乳业(02319)、现代牧业(01117)、中国飞鹤(06186)、优然 牧业(09858)、原生态牧业(01431)等。 加强银政企户精准有效对接，引导金融机构通过展期、续 ...

农业农村部办公厅发布《关于加快奶业纾困提升奶业高质量发展水平的通知》提出，各地要落实白名单 制度，及时向金融机构推送生产经营水平高、信用良好的奶牛养殖场名单，"点对点"做好金融政策对 接。 推动银行机构持续创新"青贮贷"等金融产品，保障养殖场青贮饲料收储资金需求。要将符合条件的项目 纳入农业农村基础设施融资项目库储备，探索采取贴息补助的办法给予支持。 国泰海通证券发布研报称，7月28日国家育儿补贴制度实施方案公布，"国补"正式进入生育领域，食饮 訾猛团队测算年均发放育儿补贴约千亿，有望发挥乘数效应且有加码可能，提振乳品等行业需求。考虑 到适龄人口发展趋势，国泰海通预计未来出生人口数将有所减少，单年度补贴额度也将随之降低，但仍 为一笔可观的财政支出。对乳制品行业而言，全国层面的育儿补贴有望拉动相关乳品消费，尤其是奶粉 等，有助于提振板块景气度，加速供需缺口收敛。 乳品行业涉及相关港股： 澳优（01717）、H&H国际控股(01112)、蒙牛乳业(02319)、现代牧业(01117)、中国飞鹤(06186)、优然 牧业(09858)、原生态牧业(01431)等。 加强银政企户精准有效对接，引导金融机构通过展期、续 ...

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market indices continued to decline in the afternoon, with the Hang Seng Tech Index dropping over 3.1% at one point, ultimately closing down 2.72%, marking five consecutive days of decline [1] - The Hang Seng Index and the State-Owned Enterprises Index saw slight increases of 1.36% and 1.18%, respectively [1] Sector Performance - Major technology stocks experienced widespread declines, with Alibaba and JD.com falling nearly 3%, and Baidu down 2% [2] - The automotive sector faced significant pressure, with July retail sales of narrow passenger vehicles reportedly down over 11% month-on-month, leading to increased selling in automotive stocks [2] - Semiconductor stocks underperformed throughout the day, with leading company SMIC dropping nearly 6% [2] - Biopharmaceutical stocks, which had been rising, saw a correction [2] - Oil prices rebounded to around $70 due to geopolitical tensions, benefiting oil stocks, with China Petroleum rising nearly 4% [2] - The "three-child" concept stocks gained momentum, while coal, electricity, and steel sectors showed relative activity as part of the "anti-involution" theme [2] Notable Stock Movements - Li Auto saw a significant drop of over 12%, while other major players like BYD, Xpeng, and NIO fell over 5% [4][9] - Semiconductor stocks led the declines, with SMIC down over 6% and other semiconductor companies also experiencing losses [5][6] - Apple-related stocks declined, with GoerTek falling over 5% and other related companies like Sunny Optical and BYD Electronics also down [7][8] - Oil stocks rose, with China Petroleum and Sinopec both increasing by over 3% [10][11] - The "three-child" concept stocks performed well, with H&H International Holdings rising over 11% [12][13] Capital Flows - Southbound funds recorded a net inflow of HKD 11.714 billion, with the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect contributing HKD 6.427 billion and the Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect contributing HKD 5.287 billion [20] Market Outlook - Analysts suggest that the Hong Kong market may continue to experience a gradual recovery driven by fundamental factors, with a focus on the Hang Seng Tech Index, biopharmaceuticals, and AI concepts [22]