Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index fell by 0.28%, down 73 points, closing at 25,878 points, while the Hang Seng Tech Index decreased by 0.80%. The early trading volume in Hong Kong stocks was HKD 138.2 billion [1]. AI Sector - AI concept stocks experienced a decline, with concerns over high valuations intensifying. Institutions suggest that the long-term outlook for Hong Kong tech stocks remains attractive. HuiLiang Technology (01860) dropped over 6%, and Kingsoft (03888) fell by 2.81% [1]. Lithium Battery and Healthcare - Longpan Technology (02465) saw a midday increase of over 9% due to ongoing price hikes in the lithium battery midstream, with institutions predicting further price momentum. Yimai Sunshine (02522) rose by 3.27% following several directors' share purchases, indicating a positive outlook for the "AI + healthcare" sector amid new policies [1]. Duty-Free Industry - China Duty Free Group (01880) rose over 4% against the market trend, marking its first interim dividend. Recent policy developments are expected to boost growth in the duty-free industry [1]. Fuel Cell Vehicles - Yihua Tong (02402) increased by 7.7%, with significant cash flow improvement in the first three quarters, and the potential for accelerated release of fuel cell vehicles [1]. Other Companies - Tianli International Holdings (01773) rose by 4.9% as its AI companion has been implemented in over 100 schools nationwide [2]. - Mixue Group (02097) increased by 2.89% due to a planned cold chain cooperation with Anjun Express in Brazil [3]. - Huishang Bank (03698) rose by 4%, reporting a net profit of CNY 14.149 billion for the first three quarters, with expectations for future inclusion in the stock connect [3]. - Sanhua Intelligent Control (02050) fell by 1.94% as Goldman Sachs indicated overly optimistic robot expectations, with market attention on Tesla's trillion-dollar compensation plan [4]. - HOME CONTROL (01747) dropped by 13% after being named by the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission for high shareholding concentration [5]. - Changfei Optical Fiber and Cable (06869) fell by 2.81%, with Q3 net profit declining nearly 11%. UBS stated that the impact of hollow-core fiber on profitability is limited in the short term [6].

Core Viewpoint - Changfei Fiber's stock price has experienced significant fluctuations, with a year-to-date increase of 173.18% but a recent decline of 11.08% over the past five trading days [1] Company Overview - Changfei Fiber Optic Cable Co., Ltd. is located in Wuhan, Hubei Province, and was established on May 31, 1988, with its listing date on July 20, 2018 [2] - The company focuses on the telecommunications industry, particularly in the fields of telecom operators and data communication, offering a complete industrial chain including optical fiber preform, optical fibers, cables, and related products [2] - The revenue composition is as follows: optical transmission products 60.25%, optical interconnection components 22.61%, and others 17.13% [2] Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Changfei Fiber achieved operating revenue of 10.275 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 18.18%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 18.02% to 470 million yuan [2] - Since its A-share listing, the company has distributed a total of 2.129 billion yuan in dividends, with 943 million yuan distributed over the past three years [3] Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders increased by 112.91% to 48,200, with an average of 0 circulating shares per person [2] - The top ten circulating shareholders include new entrants such as Debon Xinxing Value A, holding 3.7323 million shares, while Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited reduced its holdings by 2.7622 million shares [3]

Group 1 - Changfei Optical Fiber and Cable (06869.HK) has seen a decline of nearly 4%, currently down 3.61% at HKD 33.62 [1] - The trading volume reached HKD 104 million [1]

Core Viewpoint - Changfei Fiber Optics (601869) experienced a nearly 4% decline in stock price, closing at HKD 33.62 with a trading volume of HKD 104 million, following the release of its financial results [1] Financial Performance - In Q3, Changfei Fiber Optics reported revenue of RMB 3.891 billion, representing a year-on-year increase of 16.27% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 11.46% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for Q3 was RMB 174 million, showing a year-on-year decline of 10.89% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 20.75% [1] - For the first three quarters, the total revenue reached RMB 10.275 billion, up 18.18% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was RMB 470 million, down 18.02% year-on-year [1] Market Sentiment and Future Outlook - UBS recently published a report indicating that current market sentiment reflects the growth potential of Changfei's high-margin data communication business and initial optimism regarding hollow fiber optics, suggesting moderate future upside [1] - The report highlights that hollow fiber optics have long-term development potential, with expectations for technology maturation and significant revenue contributions over the next 2-3 years, although the short-term impact on profitability remains limited [1]

Core Viewpoint - Changfei Fiber Optics experienced a nearly 4% decline in stock price following the release of its earnings report, indicating market concerns despite revenue growth in the third quarter [1] Financial Performance - In Q3, Changfei Fiber Optics reported revenue of 3.891 billion RMB, representing a year-on-year increase of 16.27% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 11.46% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for Q3 was 174 million RMB, showing a year-on-year decline of 10.89% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 20.75% [1] - For the first three quarters, total revenue reached 10.275 billion RMB, up 18.18% year-on-year, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 470 million RMB, down 18.02% year-on-year [1] Market Sentiment and Future Outlook - UBS's recent report suggests that current market sentiment reflects optimism regarding the growth potential of Changfei's high-margin data communication business and initial positive expectations for hollow fiber technology [1] - The report indicates that while there is moderate upside potential in the near term, the hollow fiber technology is expected to mature over the next 2-3 years, contributing significantly to revenue as a strategic growth lever for the company [1]

Core Insights - Longfei Fiber's Q3 revenue reached 3.891 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 16.27% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 11.46%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 174 million yuan, down 10.89% year-on-year but up 20.75% quarter-on-quarter [1] - The company's core profitability improved, with operating profit for the first three quarters increasing by 63.3% year-on-year to 611 million yuan, and Q3 profit total increasing by 37.23% year-on-year, driven by revenue growth and improved gross margin [1] Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 10.275 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 18.18%, and net profit attributable to shareholders of 470 million yuan, down 18.02% year-on-year [1] - The comprehensive gross margin for the first three quarters was 28.83%, an increase of 1.01 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to the higher proportion of high-value-added products such as G.654.E and multi-mode fibers [2] - The net profit margin was 4.57%, a decrease of 2.02 percentage points year-on-year, mainly due to a significant reduction in non-operating income and increased tax expenses [2] Growth Drivers - The demand for high-end products driven by AI computing needs is strong, despite short-term pressure on traditional fiber demand from the telecom sector [1] - The G.654.E fiber, preferred for long-distance backbone network upgrades, has gained significant market share in recent group-level procurement by China Telecom [1] - The company is leading in the research and industrialization of hollow-core fibers, and its subsidiary's business in MPO, AOC, and high-speed copper cables has become a strong growth point, benefiting from the construction of AI data centers in North America [1] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company maintains its profit forecast, expecting net profits attributable to shareholders of 865 million yuan, 1.621 billion yuan, and 2.392 billion yuan for 2025-2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 27.96%, 87.48%, and 47.51% respectively [2] - The target price for A-shares is set at 100.55 yuan, reflecting a PE ratio of 47x for 2026, while the target price for H-shares is 53.38 HKD, corresponding to a PE ratio of 23x for 2026 [2]

Core Insights - The article highlights the top and bottom AH premium rates for various stocks as of November 4, with Northeast Electric (00042) leading with a premium rate of 900.00% [1] - The article also discusses the deviation values of these stocks, indicating significant discrepancies between their A-shares and H-shares [1] Summary of Top AH Premium Rates - Northeast Electric (00042) has the highest premium rate at 900.00%, followed by Hongye Futures (03678) at 258.42% and Zhejiang Shibao (01057) at 252.00% [1] - The top ten stocks with the highest premium rates include Sinopec Oilfield Service (01033) at 251.95% and Andeli Juice (02218) at 250.56% [1] Summary of Bottom AH Premium Rates - The stocks with the lowest AH premium rates include CATL (03750) at -17.17%, China Merchants Bank (03968) at 1.22%, and Heng Rui Pharmaceutical (01276) at 5.23% [1] - Other notable mentions in the bottom ten include Midea Group (00300) at 6.99% and Weichai Power (02338) at 11.05% [1] Summary of Deviation Values - Northeast Electric (00042) also leads in deviation value at 64.66%, indicating a significant difference from its average premium rate [1] - Other stocks with high deviation values include Changfei Optical Fiber (06869) at 27.92% and Shandong Molong (00568) at 27.79% [1] - Conversely, the stocks with the lowest deviation values include CNOOC Oilfield Services (02883) at -12.36% and Haohai Biological Technology (06826) at -9.36% [1]

Core Insights - The report highlights significant changes in the Hong Kong Stock Connect holdings, with notable increases and decreases in ownership percentages for various companies [1][2]. Group 1: Increased Holdings - The companies with the largest increases in Hong Kong Stock Connect holdings include: - Hang Seng China Enterprises (02828) with an increase of 5.34%, bringing the total holding to 6.34% [2]. - Yingfu Fund (02800) increased by 3.09%, now at 4.83% [2]. - Chalco International (02068) saw a rise of 1.58%, reaching 21.71% [2]. - Tianqi Lithium (09696) increased by 1.48%, totaling 37.43% [2]. - Kinglong Permanent Magnet (06680) rose by 1.05%, now at 31.20% [2]. Group 2: Decreased Holdings - The companies with the largest decreases in Hong Kong Stock Connect holdings include: - Shandong Molong (00568) decreased by 2.08%, now at 57.95% [2]. - Changfei Optical Fiber (06869) saw a reduction of 1.44%, bringing the total to 62.02% [2]. - Huaneng International Power (00902) decreased by 1.32%, now at 46.41% [2]. - ZTE Corporation (00763) reduced by 1.21%, totaling 52.43% [2]. - Aneng Logistics (09956) decreased by 1.12%, now at 3.85% [2]. Group 3: Five-Day Changes - Over the last five trading days, the companies with the largest increases in holdings are: - Hang Seng China Enterprises (02828) with a 5.27% increase [3]. - Yingfu Fund (02800) increased by 2.67% [3]. - Zhaoyan New Drug (06127) rose by 2.14%, now at 53.64% [3]. - The companies with the largest decreases in holdings over the same period include: - Dongfang Electric (01072) decreased by 3.81%, now at 27.44% [3]. - Fule Glass (06865) saw a reduction of 3.31%, totaling 46.79% [3]. - Shandong Molong (00568) decreased by 3.16%, now at 57.95% [3]. Group 4: Twenty-Day Changes - In the last twenty days, the companies with the largest increases in holdings include: - GX Hang Seng Technology (02837) with an increase of 18.95%, now at 20.60% [4]. - Yingfu Fund (09606) increased by 13.54%, totaling 20.94% [4]. - Kinglong Permanent Magnet (06680) rose by 9.20%, now at 31.20% [4]. - The companies with the largest decreases in holdings over the same period include: - Changfei Optical Fiber (06869) decreased by 7.22%, now at 62.02% [4]. - Haichang Ocean Park (02255) saw a reduction of 4.96%, bringing the total to 10.18% [4]. - Huaneng International Power (01071) decreased by 4.18%, now at 50.99% [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the company [6]. Core Views - The company's revenue for Q3 reached 3.891 billion RMB, representing a year-over-year increase of 16.27% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 11.46%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 10.89% year-over-year to 174 million RMB, despite a quarter-over-quarter increase of 20.75% [1]. - The company is experiencing strong demand for high-end products driven by AI computing needs, particularly in the G.654.E fiber optic cable, which has become a preferred choice for long-distance trunk network upgrades [2]. - The overall gross margin for the first three quarters of 2025 was 28.83%, an increase of 1.01 percentage points year-over-year, while the net profit margin decreased by 2.02 percentage points to 4.57% [3]. - The company expects significant growth in net profit for 2025-2027, with projected figures of 865 million RMB, 1.621 billion RMB, and 2.392 billion RMB, respectively, reflecting year-over-year growth rates of 27.96%, 87.48%, and 47.51% [4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Q3 revenue was 3.891 billion RMB, up 16.27% year-over-year and 11.46% quarter-over-quarter. For the first three quarters of 2025, total revenue was 10.275 billion RMB, a year-over-year increase of 18.18% [1]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders for Q3 was 174 million RMB, down 10.89% year-over-year, while the net profit for the first three quarters was 470 million RMB, down 18.02% year-over-year [1]. - The gross margin for the first three quarters was 28.83%, up 1.01 percentage points year-over-year, while the net profit margin was 4.57%, down 2.02 percentage points year-over-year [3]. Product Development and Market Position - The company is focusing on high-value products, with the G.654.E fiber optic cable gaining significant market share in recent group-level procurement by China Telecom [2]. - The company is leading in the research and industrialization of hollow-core fiber optics, and its MPO, AOC, and high-speed copper cable businesses are strong growth points, benefiting from the construction of AI data centers in North America [2]. Profitability Forecast - The report maintains profit forecasts for 2025-2027, with expected net profits of 865 million RMB, 1.621 billion RMB, and 2.392 billion RMB, indicating substantial growth rates [4]. - The target price for A shares is set at 100.55 RMB, while for H shares, it is 53.38 HKD, based on a projected PE ratio of 47x for 2026 [4].

長飛光纖光纜股份有限公司 Yangtze Optical Fibre and Cable Joint Stock Limited Company* （於中華人民共和國註冊成立的股份有限公司） （股份代號：6869） 莊丹先生 非執行董事 馬杰先生 （主席） 弗雷德里克‧佩森先生 郭韜先生 皮埃爾‧法奇尼先生 哈馬萬德•施羅夫先生 梅勇先生 獨立非執行董事 滕斌聖先生 宋瑋先生 李長愛女士 曾憲芬先生 董事會成員名單與其角色和職能 長飛光纖光纜股份有限公司董事會（「董事會」）成員載列如下： 執行董事 審計委員會 宋瑋先生 （主席） 李長愛女士 曾憲芬先生 提名及薪酬委員會 滕斌聖先生 （主席） 郭韜先生 宋瑋先生 中國武漢，二零二五年十月三十一日 2 * 僅供識別 1 董事會設有三個董事委員會。董事委員會的組成如下： 戰略委員會 馬杰先生 （主席） 莊丹先生 滕斌聖先生 ...