国外 1. 花旗：预计9月核心通胀将有所降温 花旗经济学家预计，9月份核心CPI将上涨0.28%，低于8月份的0.35%。虽然关税可能会使商品价格保持 坚挺，但住房通胀放缓应会缓解整体服务通胀。政府关门可能会推迟数据的发布，但花旗表示，劳动力 市场走软和房价降温降低了持续通胀的风险。 2. 巴克莱：黄金上涨反映市场对现有财政与货币秩序的不信任 巴克莱全球研究主席Ajay Rajadhyaksha在一份报告中表示，今年黄金价格的上涨，标志着市场对现有财 政和货币秩序的不信任感正在加剧。他指出，四个主要经济体——美国、英国、法国和日本——的债务 负担均超过各自GDP的100%，而它们的财政状况仍在恶化。他补充说："最重要的是，几乎没有政治意 愿去进行财政整顿。"与此同时，其他传统的避险资产，例如日元和瑞士法郎，正在失去部分吸引力。 Rajadhyaksha称，黄金通常在经济摇摇欲坠或金融市场崩溃时上涨。他认为，尽管金融市场目前表现健 康，但黄金最近的上涨应该引起政策制定者的警惕。 3. 荷兰国际：预计黄金牛市将持续，但"世界和平"可能导致金价下跌 荷兰国际集团认为黄金的牛市仍有进一步上涨空间。该机构预计黄金价格将 ...

投资要点 ▌ 总量观点 10 月海外关注美国政府停摆、经济数据及 10 月降息预期。 预计中上旬美国政府延续关门，目前市场反应还算温和， 警惕持续关门引发的资产波动放大。国内：关注短期增量 对冲政策、中长期十五五风向和 10 月底 APEC 中美进展。A 股震荡整固后蓄势上行，关注政策催化、景气修复和降息 受益三大方向。 行业选择：关注三大方向：1）政策催化（十五五规划受益 的半导体、机器人、工业软件、军工等）；2）景气修复 （三季报盈利预期改善的 AI、创新药、新能源等）；3）降 息受益（联储预防式降息延续利好的有色、非银等）。 ▌ 本期金股组合： 电子：中微公司（688012.SH） 电子：复旦微电（688385.SH） 中小盘：思泉新材（301489.SZ） 电子：长飞光纤（601869.SH） 汽车：模塑科技（000700.SZ） 电力设备：美湖股份（603319.SH） 新能源：深圳新星（603978.SH） 有色：洛阳钼业（603993.SH） 有色：兴业银锡（000426.SZ） 化工：江山股份（600389.SH） 2025 年 10 月 08 日 十月策略和十大金股 —10 月十大金股 注： ...

此外，长飞光纤表示，公司注意到近期市场对算力数据中心相关光纤光缆产品，尤其是空芯光纤关注度 较高。目前与数据中心相关的光纤光缆产品占全球光纤光缆需求总量的比例较小，其中，空芯光纤作为 行业前沿产品，其应用仍处于早期阶段，尚未形成规模销售、尚未形成稳定的价格及利润水平，后续业 务发展也有待于产业链的进一步成熟。目前，空芯光纤相关业务尚未对公司财务数据产生明显影响。 消息面上，长飞光纤近期发布公告称，9月19日，原第一大股东Draka Comteq B.V.已于2025年通过香港 联交所出售公司3759.53万股H股股份，占公司总股本的5%。此次交易完成后，Draka Comteq B.V.正式 完成了对公司H股股票的清仓。值得注意的是，截至今年3月底，DrakaComteqB.V.和中国华信邮电科技 有限公司并列长飞光纤第一大股东，持股比例都是23.73%。 长飞光纤（601869）光缆(06869)再跌超6%，截至发稿，跌5.14%，报54.45港元，成交额3.55亿港元。 ...

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for the communication industry, suggesting a potential shift towards a "stronger gets stronger" dynamic due to technological and capital barriers [1]. Core Insights - The communication industry is experiencing a transformation driven by technology and policy support, with a shift in demand from traditional to emerging services [1][39]. - The industry is expected to enter a recovery phase in Q3 2025, with capital expenditure expansion driven by technological breakthroughs and new infrastructure initiatives [39]. - The demand for AI computing power, accelerated commercialization of 5G-A, breakthroughs in 6G technology, and the rise of the "low-altitude economy" are key factors driving the industry's upgrade [1][39]. Supply Capacity Analysis - The report highlights the growth in the optical communication sector, particularly in high-speed optical modules, driven by AI computing demand and increased capital expenditure from global cloud service providers [3][10]. - The domestic penetration rate of traditional optical fiber and cable is nearing saturation, prompting companies to accelerate international expansion [5][4]. - The communication equipment integration market is recovering, with the Asia-Pacific region leading in 5G system integration and services [6]. Demand Matching Capability Analysis - The demand for optical modules, especially high-speed products for data centers, is robust, with a projected shipment increase from 6.4 million units in 2023 to over 31.9 million units by 2025 [3]. - The communication equipment market is experiencing strong growth, with a year-on-year revenue increase of 18.9% in Q2 2025, despite a contraction in 5G investment [11]. - The telecommunications service sector is seeing a shift towards emerging businesses, with significant growth in AI computing and quantum communication services [15][30]. Industry Chain Position Analysis - The communication industry is characterized by a high degree of market concentration, particularly among leading companies in optical communication and equipment integration [24][27]. - The report notes that traditional communication services are facing saturation, with new business areas becoming the core of competitive differentiation [28]. Innovation Capability Analysis - The report emphasizes the importance of policy support for technological advancements, particularly in AI, 6G, and satellite communication [31][32]. - Significant R&D investments are being directed towards AI and 6G technologies, with major companies like China Mobile leading initiatives in these areas [34]. Credit Rating Situation Analysis - The communication industry is witnessing a favorable credit environment, with a total bond issuance of 17.35 billion yuan in Q2 2025, primarily from leading companies [36][37]. - The report indicates that the dual barriers of technology and capital for leading firms will become more pronounced, reinforcing the trend towards market consolidation [36]. Cycle Development Outlook - The communication industry is expected to see revenue and profit growth, with cash flow recovery anticipated in Q3 2025 [38]. - The report forecasts a transition to an expansion phase driven by new infrastructure investments and a focus on domestic demand [39]. Key Segment Development Trends - The optical communication sector is evolving towards ultra-high-speed, intelligent, and integrated solutions, supporting the AI computing network [40]. - The commercialization of 5G-A and advancements in 6G technology are expected to enhance the capabilities of communication equipment integrators [41]. - Telecommunications services are anticipated to diversify, with new opportunities arising from the low-altitude economy and satellite internet developments [42].

注：本文系新闻报道，不构成投资建议，股市有风险，投资需谨慎。 数据宝统计，截至14:42，长飞光纤成交额32.89亿元，创上市以来新高。最新股价下跌4.53%，换手率 7.21%。上一交易日该股全天成交额为29.31亿元。 据天眼查APP显示，长飞光纤光缆股份有限公司成立于1988年05月30日。注册资本75790.5108万人民 币。（数据宝） （原标题：长飞光纤成交额创上市以来新高） ...

Macro and Industry - The State Administration for Market Regulation has initiated an antitrust investigation against Nvidia for violating the Anti-Monopoly Law of the People's Republic of China and the announcement regarding the approval of restrictive conditions for Nvidia's acquisition of Mellanox Technologies [1] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology is working on the "14th Five-Year" new battery industry development plan, focusing on supply-side structural reforms and regional coordinated development in the lithium battery industry [5] Fund Sales and Performance - The Asset Management Association of China released the top 100 fund sales institutions for the first half of the year, with Ant Group leading in various categories, including equity fund scale and non-monetary fund scale, both exceeding one trillion [2] - In the first eight months, the national public budget revenue reached 148.198 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 0.3%. The stamp duty on securities transactions amounted to 118.7 billion, reflecting a significant year-on-year increase of 81.7% [3] Listed Companies - Yaojie Ankang's stock price surged by 115% on its listing day, reaching a market value of over 120 billion HKD, marking a 30-fold increase since its IPO price of 13.15 HKD [6] - Puran Co. achieved a 20% limit-up in stock price after announcing plans to acquire a controlling stake in its affiliate, which is linked to a semiconductor company [7] - Tencent's market capitalization has returned to 6 trillion HKD, with a stock price increase of 290% since its lowest point in October 2022 [8] - Changfei Optical Fiber's stock has risen by 26.11% over three trading days, with a focus on the early-stage application of hollow-core fiber products [9] - Shanghai Construction's stock hit the limit down after a five-day winning streak, marking a significant drop from its recent high [10] Fund Managers - A total of 15 active equity fund managers have entered the "100 billion club" as of the second quarter of 2025, with notable managers from firms like China Europe Fund and Huitianfu Fund leading in management scale [12][13]

Group 1: Optical Components and Storage - Fuzhicheng Technology has seen a stock increase with its subsidiary Fuchuang Optoelectronics focusing on optical components for lithography machines [2] - Major US storage companies have reached historical highs, while Taiwanese manufacturers have fully booked DDR4 production capacity for Q4 [2] - Demingli specializes in enterprise-level storage solutions for servers, data centers, and cloud computing [2] Group 2: Tourism and Robotics - Yunnan Tourism is one of the few comprehensive tourism listed companies in Yunnan, collaborating with Zhejiang Human Machine Center to develop core technologies for tourism scene robots [2][3] - Public companies like Gongyuan and Xinyang Technology are investing in robotics and automation solutions for various industries [3] Group 3: Defense and Energy - Guorui Technology is involved in the information project for the C919 large aircraft [4] - Tianwo Technology's subsidiary is a key player in national defense product research and production [4] - Companies like Ganfeng Lithium are making progress in solid-state battery research, covering critical areas such as sulfide electrolytes and lithium metal anodes [4] Group 4: Real Estate and Film Industry - Shahe Holdings focuses on real estate development and sales [6] - Wanda Film is a leading cinema investment and operation brand in China, while Bona Film has a comprehensive layout in the film industry [6] Group 5: Marine Economy and Mining - The National Development and Reform Commission is working on the "14th Five-Year" marine economy development plan [7] - Companies like Deyun Holdings are expanding mining operations, increasing annual extraction capacity significantly [7]

Group 1 - Company provides cooling systems for packaging lithography machines for Shanghai Micro Electronics Equipment Group, with a revenue increase from 625.83% to 756.71% [2] - Company offers lithography objectives, contributing to the optical industry [2] - Major US storage leaders have reached historical highs; Taiwanese manufacturers have fully booked DDR4 production capacity for Q4 [2] - Company’s enterprise-level storage is primarily used in servers, data centers, and cloud computing [2] - Huawei plans to launch the world's strongest super node in Q4, with a computing power scale of 8192 cards [2] - Company is a leading player in the global fiber optic cable industry, with advanced hollow core technology [2] - Company’s Micro TEC products have been validated by leading enterprises and are now in mass production [2] - Company is expanding its business in the energy storage sector through precision box systems [2] Group 2 - Company’s controlling shareholder has changed to Yang Gongyi Fan [3] - Company develops chips using the CK802 32-bit core architecture from Pingtouge [3] - Company’s photoresist substrate products are currently in the customer engagement phase [3] - Company has signed a strategic cooperation agreement with Suzhou Nengda to jointly develop flexible electronic skin [3] - Company focuses on the development of intelligent cleaning robots based on a skateboard chassis [3] - Company invests in smart elderly care robot projects, integrating AI with home care [3] Group 3 - Company is a hardware supplier for Leju Robotics [4] - Company participates in the information technology project for the C919 large aircraft [4] - Company is a leading cinema investment and operation brand in China [4] - Company has signed a strategic cooperation framework with Huawei to collaborate in network, cloud computing, and big data [4] Group 4 - Company is a major player in the historical cultural scenic area development, managing several national 5A scenic spots [5] - Company is the second-largest shareholder of Tianke He Da, which is a global leader in SiC chip manufacturing [5] - Company’s main products include silicon carbide crystal growth furnaces [5] - Company has seen price increases in express delivery services across multiple regions [5] Group 5 - Company has been awarded a project for intelligent cockpit domain controllers, with a total amount of approximately 5.6 billion [6] - Company is a leading construction firm in Xinjiang with comprehensive qualifications [6] - Company’s controlling shareholder has changed to Yang Gongyi Fan [6] - Company is deeply involved in AI computing server connections and assembly for Apple hardware [6] Group 6 - Company has a long-standing partnership with Huawei on smart water projects [7] - Company’s subsidiary has mining rights for a gold mine, with an expanded mining scale approved [7] - Company produces silver ion antibacterial fabrics using SILVER+ technology [7]

2025.09. 18 9月18日晚间，沪深两市多家上市公司发布公告，以下是第一财经对一些重要公告的汇总，供投资者 参考。 【品大事】 *ST创兴公告，公司董事长刘鹏因涉嫌犯罪，于2025年9月18日收到杭州市公安局上城区分局的拘留 通知。目前，刘鹏正在公安机关配合调查，其接受调查事项与公司无关。公司董事会根据《公司法》 《公司章程》的有关规定，经董事推举，在刘鹏无法正常履行相关职责期间，由公司董事兼总经理杨 喆代行董事长及公司法定代表人职责。代行职责的期限自推举之日起至刘鹏恢复履行职责或选举产生 新任相关职务人员之日止。 天普股份：股价短期上涨幅度极大，未来存在快速下跌的风险 天普股份公告，公司股价短期上涨幅度极大，目前已积累巨大交易风险，公司股价已严重偏离上市公 司基本面，未来存在快速下跌的风险。 兰石重装：甘肃国投无偿受让兰石集团90%股权 成为间接控股股东 长盈精密：公司与宇树科技之间不存在股权关系 长盈精密公告，公司未发现近期公共传媒报道了可能对公司股票交易价格产生重大影响的未公开重大 信息，但关注到近期公司"互动易"平台有多个问题，咨询公司是否持有宇树科技的股权，公司自 2025年7月29日起，在 ...

Core Viewpoint - Sichuan Huiyuan Optical Communication Co., Ltd. held an online performance briefing on September 12, 2025, to engage with investors and discuss business developments and future strategies [1]. Group 1: Company Developments - The company has established a wholly-owned subsidiary, Hefei Yuanfeng Optoelectronics Co., Ltd., to seek new business growth in the automotive electronics sector, focusing on vehicle lighting, wiring harnesses, and connectors, rather than expanding into the semiconductor field [1]. - Hefei Yuanfeng Optoelectronics is currently in the construction phase, involving factory renovations and equipment purchases [1]. Group 2: Order and Performance Insights - As of June 30, 2025, the company has an undisclosed amount of orders on hand, with no clear response regarding new orders for the third and fourth quarters [1]. - The company aims to enhance performance by focusing on core industries, adopting a differentiated technology route for optical cable business, and expanding into the distribution network sector [1]. Group 3: Shareholder and Governance Issues - The second largest shareholder, Guangzhou Huifu Qiji Partnership (Limited Partnership), has its shares frozen, representing 13.75% of the company's total share capital, which poses a risk of control changes [1]. - Despite the lack of an actual controlling shareholder, the company has established a robust governance structure that does not hinder its development [1]. Group 4: Strategic Acquisitions and Future Plans - The company is exploring the acquisition of control over Sichuan Meifeng, while continuing to deepen its exploration and layout in the automotive electronics field to improve profitability [1].