Core Viewpoint - The majority of A-share listed real estate companies are expected to report significant losses for the year 2025, indicating a challenging market environment for the industry [1][2]. Group 1: Loss Predictions - Out of 52 listed real estate companies, 40 are expected to report losses for 2025, which means over 80% of these companies are projected to be in the red [1]. - Five companies are expected to report losses exceeding 10 billion yuan, with Vanke leading at a projected loss of 820 billion yuan, followed by China Fortune Land Development, Greenland Holdings, Overseas Chinese Town, and Gemdale [2][3]. - Vanke's cumulative losses for 2024 and 2025 are projected to be nearly 1,315 billion yuan, surpassing the total profits from 2019 to 2023 [3]. Group 2: Reasons for Losses - The losses are attributed to declining property prices and significant impairment provisions that companies have had to make over the past two years [9][10]. - Many companies had previously anticipated a market recovery and began to recognize inventory impairments, but the continued market downturn has forced them to increase these provisions [10]. Group 3: Companies Reporting Profits - Twelve companies are expected to report profits, with Jinke Real Estate projected to achieve a net profit of 300 billion to 350 billion yuan, primarily due to successful restructuring [12][13]. - Poly Developments and China Merchants Shekou are also expected to report profits, albeit with significant declines compared to 2024, primarily due to impairment provisions [16][17]. Group 4: Market Dynamics - The list of loss-making companies includes a mix of private, state-owned, and central enterprises, indicating that the nature of the company does not correlate with the likelihood of losses [7]. - State-owned platform companies, which previously supported land acquisitions, are now facing increased pressure due to the ongoing market decline [8]. Group 5: Future Outlook - The upcoming annual report season in March and April 2025 will provide more detailed insights into the operational conditions of these companies [25].

商业不动产 REITs，资产出表再添工具 [Table_Industry] 房地产 首批商业不动产 REITs 申报 | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 涂力磊(分析师) | 021-23185710 | tulilei@gtht.com | S0880525040101 | | 谢皓宇(分析师) | 010-83939826 | xiehaoyu@gtht.com | S0880518010002 | | 陈昭颖(分析师) | 021-23183953 | chenzhaoying@gtht.com | S0880525100002 | 本报告导读： 我国首批商业不动产 REITs 覆盖酒店、办公、配套商业及商业综合体等多元业态， 扩大了底层资产的覆盖范围，通过盘活多类型成熟资产，对改善企业现金流和业绩 具有实质利好，引导行业向新模式转型发展。 股票研究 /[Table_Date] 2026.01.31 证 券 研 究 报 股 票 投资要点： [Table_Report] 相关报告 房地产《核心销售趋于均衡，投 ...

2026 年 01 月 31 日 首批 8 单商业不动产 REITs 正式申 报！ ——公募 REITs 周度跟踪（2026.01.26-2026.01.30） 相关研究 《四季报出炉，5 单 REITs 申报终 止——公募 REITs 周度跟踪 （2026.01.19-2026.01.23）》 2026/01/24 《运营整体向好，板块内部分化— —公募 REITs 周度跟踪 （2026.01.12-2026.01.16）》 2026/01/17 《市场开门红，三单项目集中获问 询——公募 REITs 周度跟踪 （2026.01.05-2026.01.09）》 2026/01/10 债 券 研 究 证 券 研 究 报 告 黄伟平 A0230524110002 huangwp@swsresearch.com 杨雪芳 A0230524120003 yangxf@swsresearch.com 研究支持 曹璇 A0230125070001 caoxuan@swsresearch.com 联系人 曹璇 A0230125070001 caoxuan@swsresearch.com 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 中庚基金 ...

每经记者｜陈荣浩 每经编辑｜段炼 陈梦妤 昔日地产板块的配套行业，正在成为房企核心人才的新赛场。 1月27日，保利物业的四条公告打破了物管行业的平静，这距离该公司上一次关键人事变动已过去三年。2023年1月，吴兰玉接任董事长，姚玉成空降出任 总经理。 而此次，因工作调整辞任总经理的姚玉成，其职位由47岁的王英男接棒，后者履历几乎贯穿地产开发全链条。 头部物企的人事变动并非行业孤例，随着地产行业的深度调整，拥有稳定现金流的物业板块反而成了"香饽饽"，越来越多地产高管也开始转投物企。据 《每日经济新闻》记者（以下简称每经记者）统计，仅2026年以来，保利物业、建业新生活、弘阳服务已陆续迎来了地产背景高管。 图片来源：每经媒资库 地产大佬去物业 2026年开年，多位地产老将集体奔赴物管赛道。 1月27日，保利物业连发四条公告，官宣管理层换血，深耕地产领域15年的王英男接棒姚玉成出任总经理。 事实上，约半个月前，保利发展将运营管理中心与产品管理中心合并为不动产运营中心，集团架构调整的信号刚释放，王英男调任的消息便已传开。 中国企业资本联盟副理事长柏文喜向每经记者指出，保利发展这一架构调整，标志着集团层面已打破开发与运 ...

今年，雨花台聚焦城市发展和民生改善需求，推出了位于数字城、新滨江等重点功能片区的多幅重点土地资源，地块指标设置坚持"差异化定位、精准化 匹配"原则。既有在雨核片区挖潜推出的"小而美"地块，也有秦淮河边的低密宅地，还有学校边的高层住宅用地，可满足多元化的住房需求。推介会上， 雨花台区同步推出了雨花新村二化机厂、粮仓π.数字文旅产业园、三山片区等一批待更新项目，涵盖了城镇老旧居住区域改造、老旧街区(厂区)更新改造 等多个类型，将进一步推动存量空间提质增效。 座谈交流环节，与会企业围绕土地指标、片区建设、合作模式、审批服务等话题展开深入交流，并就地块出让策略等提出了意见建议。区领导及相关部门 负责人现场回应企业关切，表示将全程做好服务保障，进一步提档工程审批的"雨花速度"。通讯员喻华轩扬子晚报/紫牛新闻记者张昊 1月29日下午，2026年南京首场土地招商推介活动在雨花台区智慧城市软件产业基地召开。活动以"数字赋能智造兴城"为主题，聚焦雨花台区的产业发展 优势和土地资源价值，现场集中推介了多幅优质地块，并发布了雨花台区城市更新机会清单。 本次活动上，雨花台区倾听企业诉求、共商发展合作。华润置地、保利发展（600048 ...

Group 1 - The first land promotion conference in Nanjing for 2026 was held on January 29, focusing on key areas such as Digital City and New Binjiang, and released an urban renewal opportunity list for Yuhuatai District [1][3] - The event attracted 15 major real estate companies, including China Resources Land and Poly Developments, as well as 10 urban renewal operators, showing strong interest in the promoted land resources and urban renewal list [3] - The promoted land resources include various types of plots, such as "small but beautiful" plots in the Yuhua core area, low-density residential land along the Qinhuai River, and high-rise residential land near schools, catering to diverse housing needs [3] Group 2 - Yuhuatai District has gathered 381 AI companies and 50,000 AI talents, aiming to create an AI and software integration zone with a target of attracting 1,000 AI companies and 100,000 AI talents, striving for a core output value of 100 billion [5] - During the discussion, participating companies engaged in in-depth exchanges regarding land indicators, area construction, cooperation models, and approval services, indicating a favorable residential supply-demand relationship in areas like Yuhua core, marking a good investment window for land [5] - Officials responded to companies' concerns, committing to enhance service guarantees and improve the "Yuhua speed" of project approvals [5]

January 29, 2026 09:53 AM GMT China Property | Asia Pacific Thoughts After Recent Rally We think the recent sentiment-driven outperformance of the China property industry (11%YTD vs. 7% for MSCI China) is likely unsustainable, given the fragile housing market and the sector's high valuation. We see multiple near-term headwinds leading to a potential sector pullback into results season. | M January 29, 2026 09:53 AM GMT | | Idea | | --- | --- | --- | | China Property Asia Pacific | Morgan Stanley Asia Limite ...

地产 "十五五"新启航：掘金地产，定位变革新纪元 20260129 当前中国房地产市场的主要驱动力是政策预期的明确和更强烈的改变。自 2025 年四中全会将"房地产高质量发展"写入十五五规划以来，政策预期已 经在隐约发生调整。今年 1 月 1 日，《求是》杂志进一步明确了关于房地产三 性问题的探讨，包括金融属性、居民财富以及宏观经济的重要属性和政策力度 性。这些因素推动了二级市场对地产问题和十五期间房地产定性的大胆猜想和 探讨。此外，证监会不动产 REITs 发行也对整个中国房地产行业价值构成强烈 冲击。 房地产板块在股票市场中的表现如何？ 房地产板块在股票市场中的表现与我们的预期基本一致。当前股价启动顺序通 常先于成交量，成交量先于房价，房价最后体现业绩。从去年四中全会开始到 关注受益于供给侧改革和高质量发展的公司（如蛇口、华润、保利、中 国海外、绿城、滨江新城等）以及受益于 REITs 政策的公司（如新城控 股），REITs 可改善其财务状况。 关注物业板块的分红和特别分红，CPI 上升至 1.5%左右将带来物业公司 价格稳定性和服务贸易提升的弹性，重点关注华润、保利物业、万物云、 碧桂园服务等。 摘要 ...

| | 2025 年中国房地产企业交付规模排行榜 | | | --- | --- | --- | | 序号 | 企业名称 | 交付套数(套) | | l | 碧桂元 | 170000 | | 2 | 中海 | 133200 | | 3 | 保利发展 | 130000 | | 4 | 绿城中国 | 118600 | | 5 | 月科 | 117000 | | ნ | 绿地控股 | 76000 | | 7 | 华润置地 | 71000 | | 8 | 龙湖集团 | 70000 | | 9 | 建发房产 | 57000 | | 10 | 融创中国 | 54000 | | 11 | 建业集团 | 43700 | | 12 | 新城控股 | 38000 | | 13 | 金地集团 | 35000 | | 14 | 越秀地产 | 30000 | | 15 | 邦泰集团 | 28941 | | 16 | 中梁控股 | 27884 | | 17 | 华发股份 | 26000 | | 18 | 滨江集团 | 25020 | | 1 a | 中国金茂 | 23000 | | 20 | 中国铁建地产 | 22800 | | 21 ...

2025年，沈阳精准施策，更好满足居民刚性和改善性住房需求，有效提振购房者信心；组织多场购房活动，持续释放市场潜 力，促进商品房成交。此外，沈阳土地市场再现溢价抢地现象，众多高品质项目扎堆入市，"首开"大捷成常态。 2025年，沈阳哪些房企、哪些楼盘表现抢眼，销量排行榜出炉！ 2025年，华润置地中寰悦府、中海·天钻、沈阳星河湾夺得沈阳商品住宅单盘备案面积排行榜前三甲。从榜单来看，曾经刚需唱 主角的楼市，已经被改善型产品所取代，改善型需求已成沈阳楼市"压舱石"。 | | 124 | 貢数 | 面积(万m²) | 金额(亿元 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1 | 奥 | 2490 | 34.47 | 56.51 | | 2 | 依润量瓶 | 1351 | 19.30 | 36.56 | | 3 | 刀不断 | 1300 | 16.17 | 21.31 | | 4 | 用科 | 1029 | 11.48 | 12.96 | | 5 | 中德开 | 988 | 10.41 | 11.94 | | 6 | 华发 | 758 | 9.44 | 13.07 | | 7 | 保利发 ...