恩捷股份：拟购买中科华联100%股份 15日起复牌；安博通等公司拟赴港上市；中国高科：筹划控制权 变更事项 15日起停牌；芯原股份：终止重大资产重组事项；*ST步森：终止筹划重大资产重组；摩尔线 程：拟使用不超75亿元闲置募集资金进行现金管理；长安汽车：控股子公司深蓝汽车拟增资扩股募资规 模约61.22亿元；保利发展：拟发行可转债募资不超50亿元…… 今日看点 芯原股份：公司原拟通过发行股份及支付现金的方式购买芯来智融半导体科技（上海）有限公司（以下 简称"标的公司"或"芯来智融"）97.0070%股权并募集配套资金，本次交易预计构成重大资产重组。自筹 划重大资产重组事项以来，公司严格按照相关法律法规要求，积极稳步推进并基本完成本次重大资产重 组包括审计和评估在内的各项工作。在推进各项工作过程中，标的公司管理层及交易对方提出的核心诉 求及关键事项与市场环境、政策要求及公司和全体股东利益存在偏差。近日，公司接到标的公司管理层 及交易对方关于终止本次交易的通知，为切实维护公司及全体股东利益，经充分审慎研究，公司同意终 止本次重大资产重组交易。 ▼聚焦一：恩捷股份：拟购买中科华联100%股份 15日起复牌 公司拟通 ...

Investment Rating - Industry investment rating: Stronger than the market (maintained) [2] Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes the necessity of lowering mortgage rates to enhance home buying attractiveness, with a focus on potential market stabilization in the second half of 2026 to 2027 [4] - The report highlights the importance of the upcoming annual report season in March and April 2026, where companies with strong inventory structure and product capabilities are expected to benefit [4] - The report expresses optimism regarding Hong Kong real estate investment opportunities in 2026, following the recent interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and the Hong Kong Monetary Authority [4] Summary by Sections Market Monitoring - New home transactions in 50 key cities reached 18,000 units, a week-on-week increase of 6.2%, while second-hand home transactions in 20 key cities also increased by 4.6% [11] - As of December 12, 2025, the inventory in 16 cities was 91.77 million square meters, with a slight week-on-week increase of 0.1% and a de-stocking cycle of 22.5 months [14] Capital Market Monitoring - The real estate sector saw a decline of 2.62% this week, underperforming the CSI 300 index, which fell by 0.08% [26] - The current PE ratio for the real estate sector is 59.07 times, significantly higher than the CSI 300's 13.91 times, indicating a valuation at the 94.33 percentile over the past five years [26] Key Company Insights - China Overseas Development is highlighted as a leading central enterprise with a low valuation of 0.34 times PB and a dividend yield of 4.3% [6] - China Resources Land is noted for its stable dividend policy, maintaining around 10 billion RMB in dividends from 2021 to 2024, with a current dividend yield of 5.1% [6] - Other companies such as Country Garden, Greentown China, and China Merchants Shekou are also recommended based on their strong operational capabilities and market positioning [6]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the real estate industry is "Positive" and maintained [10] Core Insights - The central economic work conference's statements regarding real estate provide important clues for understanding next year's industry policies. The policy goals continue to focus on risk prevention and market stabilization, with the potential for policy windows to open as thresholds approach. Inventory reduction may involve traditional demand support measures and tools like old renovation or storage. Supply optimization aims to enhance the quality of new residential buildings. The reform of the housing provident fund system may involve higher-level considerations beyond basic aspects like withdrawal, limits, and interest rates [2][8] - The policy goal of stabilizing the market has significantly boosted market expectations, but since April, marginal downward pressure has increased. The probability of easing industrial policies is gradually rising, and the pace of implementation is merely a timing issue. The rapid decline in industry volume and price may have passed, with structural highlights in core areas and quality properties. The current stock prices of quality real estate companies are not far from their bottom, providing room for rebound as market valuations rise. Emphasis should be placed on quality real estate firms with low inventory, good locations, and product strength, as well as stable cash flow from leading brokerage firms, commercial real estate, and state-owned property management companies [4][8] Market Performance - This week, the Yangtze River Real Estate Index decreased by 2.55%, with an excess return of -2.47% relative to the CSI 300, ranking 29th out of 32 industries. Year-to-date, the real estate index has increased by 3.87%, with an excess return of -12.55% relative to the CSI 300, ranking 27th out of 32 [5][14] - The performance of the real estate sector was poor this week, primarily driven by declines in development-related stocks, while property management and rental stocks showed mixed results [5] Policy Developments - The central economic work conference emphasized city-specific policies to control increments, reduce inventory, optimize supply, and deepen the housing provident fund system reform. It aims to stabilize the real estate market and encourage the acquisition of existing properties for affordable housing [6][16] - Local policies include Shenzhen's optimization of housing provident fund withdrawal regulations, allowing full withdrawals for families with one property and 60% for those with two. Shandong has introduced a housing "old-for-new" program, including three models: selling old for new, exchanging old for new, and demolishing old for new [6][16] Sales Data - This week, the sample cities' new housing transaction area saw a four-week rolling year-on-year decline of 45.6%, while second-hand housing transactions dropped by 28.6%. Year-to-date, new housing transaction area has decreased by 15.8%, while second-hand housing has increased by 4.2% [7][17] - As of December 12, the new housing transaction area in 37 cities showed a month-on-month decline of 41.7%, while second-hand housing transactions decreased by 36.3% [7][17]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the industry [4] Core Insights - The Shanghai land market is showing signs of recovery with improved land quality and increased willingness among developers to acquire land [8] - The land supply in Shanghai for 2025 is reported at 1.6524 million square meters, a year-on-year increase of 2.16%, while the planned construction area is 3.2134 million square meters, a decrease of 3.71% [12][19] - The average premium rate for land transactions in Shanghai reached 15.75% in 2025, an increase of 5.47 percentage points year-on-year, with total land transfer fees amounting to 140.022 billion yuan, up 1.46% year-on-year [23] Summary by Sections 1. Shanghai Land Supply and Transaction Situation - The total area of land released for construction in Shanghai in 2025 is 1.6524 million square meters, with a planned construction area of 3.2134 million square meters [12] - The transaction area of construction land in 2025 is 1.6402 million square meters, a decrease of 5.63% year-on-year, while the planned construction area transacted is 3.1610 million square meters, down 14.46% year-on-year [19] - The average transaction floor price is 44,297.15 yuan per square meter, an increase of 8.63% year-on-year, and the average land price is 85,358.89 yuan per square meter, up 7.50% year-on-year [21] 2. Shanghai Land Auction Analysis - The top 10 high-premium land parcels are primarily located in the Pudong New Area and Hongkou District, indicating higher auction activity in these central urban areas compared to suburban regions [38] - The auction market in 2025 saw no failed bids, reflecting a robust demand for land [47] 3. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on leading real estate companies with stable performance and high safety margins, such as China Merchants Shekou, Binjiang Group, and Huafa Group [47] - Beneficiary stocks recommended include Yuexiu Property, Greentown China, China Overseas Development, and China Resources Land [47] - For the property sector, recommended companies include China Resources Vientiane Life, China Overseas Property, Poly Property, and China Merchants Jinling [47]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for major real estate companies, indicating a positive outlook for the sector [3]. Core Insights - The real estate industry is entering a "quality era," with a recovery in the opening sales rate, which is a key indicator of market sentiment and profitability trends [2][11]. - The opening sales rate in key cities for the first three quarters of 2025 was 56%, an increase of 8 percentage points compared to the entire year of 2024, and a 16 percentage point increase from Q3 2024 [2][26]. - The report highlights that the improvement in sales rates is driven by enhanced product quality and design, with average renovation costs in nine cities rising by 7% in the first three quarters of 2025 compared to 2024 [2][26]. Summary by Sections 1. Finding the Turning Point in the New Housing Market - The opening sales rate is identified as the most effective indicator for gauging market sentiment and predicting profitability trends [2][11]. - Historical data shows that the opening sales rate can effectively signal the start of a market rally [2][15]. 2. "Good Houses" Driving Sales Rate Improvement - The overall sales rate has shown a stable upward trend, with key cities experiencing a recovery from a low of 41% in Q3 2024 to 56% in the first three quarters of 2025 [2][26]. - The report emphasizes that the improvement in sales rates reflects genuine sales recovery rather than structural issues [2][26]. 3. City and Sector Analysis - There are significant differences in sales rates across different cities, with top-tier companies showing clear operational advantages [2][26]. - The report categorizes cities into three tiers based on their sales performance, indicating a narrowing range of high sales rate cities over the past decade [2][26]. 4. Performance and Characteristics of Real Estate Companies - Most major real estate companies have improved their sales rates in 2025, with leading firms like Poly, Jinmao, and China Overseas Development showing notable increases [2][26]. - The report suggests that companies with high land acquisition scores and strong sales performance are likely to perform well in 2026 [2][26]. 5. Key Company Valuations and Financial Analysis - The report provides detailed financial metrics for major companies, including Vanke, China Merchants Shekou, and Poly Developments, all rated as "Buy" with projected reasonable values indicating potential upside [3].

保利发展控股集团股份有限公司 向特定对象发行可转换公司债券 第四次临时受托管理事务报告 （2025 年度） 证券代码：600048 证券简称：保利发展 债券代码：110817 债券简称：保利定转 债券受托管理人 二〇二五年十二月 重要声明 本报告依据《公司债券发行与交易管理办法》《关于保利发展控股集团股份 有限公司向特定对象发行可转换公司债券之债券受托管理协议》（以下简称"《受 托管理协议》"）《保利发展控股集团股份有限公司向特定对象发行可转换公司 债券募集说明书》（以下简称"《募集说明书》"）等相关规定，由本次债券受 托管理人中国国际金融股份有限公司（以下简称"中金公司"）编制。中金公司 对本报告中所包含的从上述文件中引述内容和信息未进行独立验证，也不就该等 引述内容和信息的真实性、准确性和完整性做出任何保证或承担任何责任。 本报告不构成对投资者进行或不进行某项行为的推荐意见，投资者应对相关 事宜做出独立判断，而不应将本报告中的任何内容据以作为中金公司所作的承诺 或声明。在任何情况下，投资者依据本报告所进行的任何作为或不作为，中金公 司不承担任何责任。 1 中金公司作为保利发展控股集团股份有限公司（以下简称 ...

2025 年 12 月 14 日 防观/行业 相关研究 证券分析师 研究支持 顾铮 A0230125070004 guzheng@swsresearch.com 联系人 顾铮 A0230125070004 guzheng@swsresearch.com 申万宏源研究微信服务号 经济工作会议定调,着力稳定房地产、积极稳妥化解风险 － 地产及物管行业周报（2025/12/6-2025/12/12） 本期投资提示: 袁豪 A0230520120001 yuanhao@swsresearch.com 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 地产行业数据：新房、二手房成交环比均回落，新房成交推盘比下降。上周(12.6-12.12)34 个重点 ● 城市新房合计成交 242.3 万平米，环比-12.3%，其中，一二线环比-12.9%，三四线环比-2.6%。12 月(12.1-12.12)34 城一手房成交同比-32%，较 11 月+4.3pct。其中，一二线同比-32%，三四线同比 -34.4%，分别较 11 月+2.9pct 和+18.9pct。上周 13 城二手房合计成交 111.4 万平米，环比-0.4%； 1 ...

2025 年 12 月 14 日 行 业 研 究 / 行 业 点 评 相关研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 证券分析师 袁豪 A0230520120001 yuanhao@swsresearch.com 研究支持 顾铮 A0230125070004 guzheng@swsresearch.com 联系人 顾铮 A0230125070004 guzheng@swsresearch.com 经济工作会议定调，着力稳定房地产、积极稳妥化解风险 看好 —— 地产及物管行业周报（2025/12/6-2025/12/12） 本期投资提示： 房地产 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 博时基金 博时基金管理有限公司(researchreport@bosera.com) 使用。1 行 业 及 产 业 - ⚫ 地产行业数据：新房、二手房成交环比均回落，新房成交推盘比下降。上周(12.6-12.12)34 个重点 城市新房合计成交 242.3 万平米，环比-12.3%，其中，一二线环比-12.9%，三四线环比-2.6%。12 月(12.1-12.12)34 城一手房成交同比-32%，较 11 月+ ...

记者丨唐韶葵 编辑丨张伟贤 12月12日，市场传言万科上海区域前设计总、产品领域领军人物蔡亮已正式加盟保利发展。 对此，保利发展上海公司相关人士向21世纪经济报道记者证实，蔡亮确实加盟了保利发展上海公司，负 责产品研发相关工作，具体分管业务暂未明确。该名人士指出，这属于公司常规的人才引进动作，不存 在大方向产品革新。 此次人事变动被业内视为2025年上海地产行业"最具含金量跳槽"，打破了保利"内部提拔为主"的传统。 蔡亮携万科系高端产品打造经验而来，有望为保利上海世博天悦等顶豪项目注入新视野。 当前上海顶豪市场竞争白热化。年底内环核心地块集中入市，华润置地、保利发展、中海地产、招商蛇 口等央企巨头持续加码。在此背景下，保利发展以高管团队重构为支点，叠加年末超26亿元货值房源集 中推盘，全力冲刺上海年度销售亚军席位，剑指头部竞争突围。 保利发展补齐上海战力短板 公开信息显示，蔡亮是一名80后，2003年以万科"新动力"身份入局，历经天津、深圳、福建等地项目操 盘历练，2012年调入上海万科后，主导翡翠滨江、七宝万科广场等标杆项目打造，助力上海万科搭建起 TOD、城市更新等四大产品体系，推动区域规模突破千亿。此后 ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent hiring of Cai Liang by Poly Developments is seen as a strategic move to enhance the company's competitive edge in the Shanghai luxury real estate market, particularly as the market becomes increasingly competitive with major players intensifying their efforts [1][3]. Group 1: Talent Acquisition and Management Changes - Cai Liang, a former senior figure at Vanke, has joined Poly Developments to lead product research and development, marking a significant shift from the company's traditional practice of internal promotions [1][3]. - The hiring of Cai Liang is part of a broader strategy to restructure the executive team at Poly Developments, aiming to address gaps in product, marketing, and research capabilities [3][4]. Group 2: Market Competition and Sales Performance - The luxury real estate market in Shanghai is experiencing fierce competition, with major companies like China Resources, Poly Developments, and China Overseas intensifying their market presence [1][4]. - As of November 2025, Poly Developments reported sales of 395.8 billion yuan, closely trailing China Resources at 417.9 billion yuan, indicating a competitive landscape where the gap is only 22.1 billion yuan [7]. - Poly Developments has achieved a sales area of 57.1 million square meters, with a unit price of approximately 6.93 million yuan per square meter, highlighting its focus on the high-end market [7]. Group 3: Project Launches and Sales Strategy - Poly Developments plans to release over 2.6 billion yuan worth of properties by the end of the year, aiming to secure the second position in annual sales in Shanghai [8][10]. - The company is introducing new housing types, such as the "Yao" unit with high usable space efficiency, to attract buyers in the competitive market [9]. - Recent sales data from the Expo Tianyue project shows a sales rate of 77.9%, with 648 units sold out of 832, indicating a need for improved sales strategies in a challenging market [4][8].