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2026W3:2025全年房价盘点,新房房价-3.0%,二手房价-6.1%
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2026-01-25 13:27
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the real estate industry, indicating a positive outlook for investment opportunities in this sector [4][6]. Core Insights - The report highlights that the new home prices in 70 cities decreased by 3.0% year-on-year, while second-hand home prices fell by 6.1% in 2025, with core cities experiencing a significant decline [1][2]. - The report emphasizes that the real estate sector serves as an early economic indicator, suggesting that investments in this area can reflect broader economic trends [4]. - It notes that the competitive landscape in the industry is improving, with leading state-owned enterprises and select private firms performing well in land acquisition and sales [4]. Summary by Sections New Home Market - In December 2025, new home prices in 70 cities decreased by 0.4% month-on-month and 3.0% year-on-year, with first, second, and third-tier cities showing price changes of -1.7%, -2.5%, and -3.7% respectively [1][11]. - The report indicates that new home prices increased in 5 cities while decreasing in 65 cities throughout the year, with Shanghai showing a consistent month-on-month increase [1]. Second-Hand Home Market - The second-hand home prices in 70 cities fell by 0.7% month-on-month and 6.1% year-on-year, with all cities experiencing a decline [2][12]. - The report notes that after a brief stabilization in some cities post-September 2024, the second-hand home prices resumed their downward trend starting in the second quarter of 2025 [2]. Transaction Volume - For new homes, the transaction volume in 30 cities was 117.7 million square meters, reflecting a 1.3% decrease month-on-month and a 38.1% decrease year-on-year [3][25]. - In the second-hand market, the transaction volume in 15 cities totaled 213.9 million square meters, showing a 3.9% increase month-on-month but a 4.0% decrease year-on-year [3][36]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on real estate-related stocks, particularly in first-tier and select second-tier cities, as these areas are expected to benefit from policy changes and market dynamics [4]. - Specific companies recommended for investment include Green Town China, China Resources Land, and Poly Developments among others [4].
城建发展:预计2025年亏损2.84亿元到4.23亿元
人民财讯1月23日电,城建发展(600266)1月23日公告,预计2025年归属于母公司所有者的净利润亏损 2.84亿元到4.23亿元,上年同期净利润亏损9.51亿元。公司2025年受房地产市场整体影响,部分开发项 目可变现净值低于成本,初步确定上述项目可变现净值,对可变现净值低于成本的部分预计将于本业绩 预告期间计提存货跌价准备。 ...
城建发展(600266.SH):2025年预亏2.84亿元到4.23亿元
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2026-01-23 10:47
格隆汇1月23日丨城建发展(600266.SH)公布,预计2025年年度实现归属于母公司所有者的净利润-2.84亿 元到-4.23亿元;预计2025年年度实现归属于母公司所有者的扣除非经常性损益后的净利润-7.42亿元 到-10.96亿元。 公司2025年出现亏损的主要原因是受房地产市场整体影响,公司部分开发项目存在可变现净值低于成本 的迹象,公司初步确定上述项目可变现净值,对可变现净值低于成本的部分预计将于本业绩预告期间计 提存货跌价准备。 ...
城建发展(600266) - 城建发展2025年年度预亏公告
2026-01-23 10:30
证券代码:600266 证券简称:城建发展 公告编号:2026-03 北京城建投资发展股份有限公司 2025 年年度预亏公告 (二)业绩预告情况 经财务部门初步测算,预计 2025 年年度实现归属于母公司 所有者的净利润-2.84 亿元到-4.23 亿元。 1 本业绩预告适用于净利润为负值的情形。 北京城建投资发展股份有限公司(以下简称"公司")预 计 2025 年年度实现归属于母公司所有者的净利润-2.84 亿元到-4.23 亿元;预计 2025 年年度实现归属于母公司 所有者的扣除非经常性损益后的净利润-7.42 亿元到 -10.96 亿元。 预计 2025 年年度实现归属于母公司所有者的扣除非经常性 损益后的净利润-7.42 亿元到-10.96 亿元。 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假 记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗漏,并对其内容的真实性、准确性 和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示: 一、本期业绩预告情况 (一)业绩预告期间 2025 年 1 月 1 日至 2025 年 12 月 31 日。 (三)本期业绩预告数据未经注册会计师审计。 二、上年同期经营业绩和财务状况 (一)利润总额:-1 ...
住宅收益率跟踪研究(1月2026年):通胀好转,资产价格预期受益
Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Overweight" rating for the real estate sector [4]. Core Insights - The report highlights that the rental yield in major cities has shifted from a negative outlook to a neutral stance due to the CPI turning positive and the continuous decline in risk-free rates. This indicates potential stabilization in asset prices in key cities [2]. - The rental yield in first-tier cities has increased from 1.6% in 2020 to 1.9% in 2025, although it remains below the mortgage loan rates and slightly above the risk-free rates. The "rental yield + CPI" metric is expected to improve as the CPI in some first-tier cities turns positive [4]. - Second-tier cities are showing signs of price stabilization, with the "rental yield + CPI" metric improving from 2.3% in 2023 to 2.6% in 2024 and maintaining that level in 2025. Cities like Hefei and Xi'an are expected to see further improvements in their rental yields [4]. Summary by Sections Rental Yield Analysis - The historical rental yield was 1.5%, but when adjusted for CPI, it is not considered low. The report emphasizes the need to differentiate between actual and nominal yields [4]. - The nominal rental yield is adjusted to account for potential inflation, making it a more comparable metric. The report suggests that the high inflation period has made the first-tier cities' rental yield of 1.5% equivalent to an international nominal yield of 3.5% [4]. Market Trends - The report notes that the rental yield plus CPI in first-tier cities is around 2.5%, which is now higher than the risk-free rate. This indicates a potential shift in market dynamics [5]. - The report also points out that the proportion of declining listing prices has increased, indicating a weakening in the second-hand housing market, with about 19% of listings showing price declines [4][18]. Future Outlook - The report anticipates that as the CPI continues to rise and the risk-free rate declines, asset prices in key cities may transition from a negative outlook to a neutral one. This is particularly relevant for second-tier cities, which are expected to have a stronger rental yield plus CPI metric [4].
龍樾海序——北京城建东小口地块案名亮相
Cai Jing Wang· 2026-01-20 05:11
Group 1 - The urban exhibition hall located on the first floor of the Xisanqi Vientiane Plaza in Haidian District has officially opened [1] - The flagship new project of Beijing Urban Construction Real Estate, named Longyue Haixu, was officially unveiled on January 16 [1] - "Longyue" represents the highest-end product line of Beijing Urban Construction [1] Group 2 - On October 30, 2025, Beijing Urban Construction Development (600266) and Beijing Mingjia Consortium acquired the land parcel for the project at a base price of 2.809 billion yuan [1] - The land price translates to a floor price of 32,000 yuan per square meter [1] - The site covers an area of 3.13 hectares, with a planned construction area of 87,800 square meters and a plot ratio of 2.8, with a height limit of 60 meters [1]
城建颐知筑两年收回12%地价款,王岸青给东区开了金手指
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-20 04:32
北京进深 徐迪 房山区2025年度商品住宅网签金额排行榜显示,北京城建颐知筑以2.82亿元的成绩排名第11位,项目操盘手为王岸青。 全年累计网签90套,成交面积约0.93万㎡。 成交均价3.04万元/㎡,约为销售指导价的68折。 | 団 表头选择 ■ 全选 | | 供应套数 | | --- | --- | --- | | 时间(月) | | 供应面积(m2) | | 2025年12月 > | | | | 2025年11月 | > | | | 2025年10月 | > | | | 2025年09月 | > | | | 2025年08月 | > | | | 2025年07月 | > | | | 2025年06月 | > | | | 2025年05月 | > | | | 2025年04月 > | | | | 2025年03月 > | | 68,664.04 | | 汇总 | | 68,664.04 | 从实际网签房源来看,折扣可能更低。 强销节点卡在五一黄金周,来看盘的人不少。 颐知筑当时开盘海报上给出的数字是:首开热销162套。 162套,约为取证房源的三成不到,已经是很保守的数字了。 | 销售楼名 | 准售套数 ...
城建发展:公司将于2026年1月31日前披露2025年年度业绩预告
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2026-01-19 09:31
每经AI快讯,有投资者在投资者互动平台提问:按三季度报推算,贵司大概率年报扭亏为盈,按规定 需要预告,请问贵司什么时候发布年报预报? (文章来源:每日经济新闻) 城建发展(600266.SH)1月19日在投资者互动平台表示,公司将于2026年1月31日前披露2025年年度业 绩预告。 ...
城建发展股价跌7.29%,明亚基金旗下1只基金重仓,持有11.85万股浮亏损失5.92万元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-19 01:49
1月19日,城建发展跌7.29%,截至发稿,报6.36元/股,成交9441.88万元,换手率0.70%,总市值132.02 亿元。 资料显示,北京城建投资发展股份有限公司位于北京市朝阳区北土城西路11号城建开发大厦,成立日期 1998年12月30日,上市日期1999年2月3日,公司主营业务涉及房地产开发、对外股权投资和商业地产经 营。主营业务收入构成为:房地产开发(房屋销售)97.24%,租赁收入2.14%,其他(补充)0.23%,物业管 理0.20%,代建项目收入0.11%,房地产开发(一级土地开发)0.09%。 从基金十大重仓股角度 数据显示,明亚基金旗下1只基金重仓城建发展。明亚中证1000指数增强A(017505)三季度持有股数 11.85万股,占基金净值比例为0.82%,位居第六大重仓股。根据测算,今日浮亏损失约5.92万元。 明亚中证1000指数增强A(017505)成立日期2023年4月25日,最新规模109.33万。今年以来收益 6.07%,同类排名2432/5579;近一年收益37.71%,同类排名2083/4225;成立以来收益30.25%。 明亚中证1000指数增强A(017505)基金 ...
房地产开发2026W2:本周新房成交同比-38.1%,三部门延续居民换购住房个税退税
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2026-01-18 11:18
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the real estate industry [5] Core Insights - The report highlights ongoing government support for the real estate sector through tax policies aimed at reducing transaction costs and promoting housing demand, particularly for first-time buyers and those looking to upgrade [10][11] - The real estate market is currently experiencing a significant decline in new home sales, with a year-on-year decrease of 38.1% in new home transactions across 30 cities [2][23] - The report emphasizes that the current policies are extensions of previous measures and suggests that more substantial policy interventions may be necessary to stimulate the market [11] Summary by Sections Policy Review - The government has extended the personal income tax refund policy for residents purchasing new homes after selling their existing properties, effective from January 1, 2026, to December 31, 2027 [10] - The minimum down payment ratio for commercial property loans has been reduced to 30% to support the commercial real estate market [11] Market Performance - The real estate index decreased by 3.5% this week, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 2.95 percentage points, ranking 30th among 31 sectors [2][12] - New home sales in 30 cities totaled 119.1 million square meters this week, reflecting a 2.4% increase from the previous week but a 38.1% decrease year-on-year [23][25] - In the secondary housing market, transactions in 15 cities totaled 205.8 million square meters, showing a 3.8% increase week-on-week but a 7.6% decline year-on-year [31] Credit Market - A total of 14 corporate bonds were issued by real estate companies this week, with a total issuance of 12.11 billion yuan, marking a 54.8% increase from the previous week [3][40] - The net financing amount for the week was -2.7 billion yuan, indicating a decrease in net financing compared to the previous week [40] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on real estate stocks, particularly those of leading state-owned enterprises and quality private firms, as they are expected to benefit from the improving competitive landscape [3] - Recommended stocks include Green Town China, China Resources Land, and Poly Developments among others [3]