Core Viewpoint - The stock of Shenghe Resources has shown a modest increase of 2.04% as of January 5, 2023, with significant trading activity and a total market capitalization of 38.51 billion yuan [1]. Group 1: Stock Performance - As of January 5, 2023, Shenghe Resources' stock price is 21.97 yuan per share, with a trading volume of 447 million yuan and a turnover rate of 1.17% [1]. - Year-to-date, the stock has increased by 2.04%, with a 5-day increase of 2.28%, a 20-day increase of 6.96%, and a 60-day decrease of 12.71% [1]. Group 2: Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Shenghe Resources reported a revenue of 10.456 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 26.87%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 788 million yuan, reflecting a significant year-on-year increase of 748.07% [2]. Group 3: Shareholder Information - As of December 20, 2025, the number of shareholders of Shenghe Resources is 210,400, a decrease of 6.11% from the previous period, while the average number of circulating shares per person has increased by 6.50% to 8,329 shares [2]. - The company has distributed a total of 1.039 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 561 million yuan distributed over the past three years [3]. - As of September 30, 2025, the top ten circulating shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited and various ETFs, with notable changes in their holdings [3].

Group 1 - The core point of the news is that Shenghe Resources experienced a decline of 1.01% in stock price, reaching 21.46 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 366 million CNY and a turnover rate of 0.96%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 37.616 billion CNY [1] - Shenghe Resources Holdings Co., Ltd. is located in Chengdu, Sichuan Province, established on July 1, 1998, and listed on May 29, 2003. The company's main business involves rare earth smelting, separation, deep processing, and trading, as well as zirconium-titanium mining and processing [1] Group 2 - From the perspective of major fund holdings, data shows that one fund under the Fortune Fund has a significant position in Shenghe Resources. The Fortune CSI Rare Earth Industry ETF (159713) increased its holdings by 151.89 thousand shares in the third quarter, totaling 258.96 thousand shares, which accounts for 4.54% of the fund's net value, ranking as the fifth-largest holding [2] - The Fortune CSI Rare Earth Industry ETF (159713) was established on August 5, 2021, with a latest scale of 1.315 billion CNY. Year-to-date, it has achieved a return of 79.19%, ranking 149 out of 4189 in its category; over the past year, it has returned 73.29%, ranking 151 out of 4188; and since inception, it has returned 31.32% [2]

Core Insights - The report highlights the positive outlook for strategic metals investment opportunities due to favorable supply-demand dynamics and resource nationalism [3][5][11]. Market Review: Strategic Metals Lead Nonferrous - From the beginning of the year until December 18, 2025, the nonferrous metals sector has risen by 78.53%, ranking second among all industries. Strategic metals have shown significant gains, with tungsten up 136.7%, cobalt up 69.1%, and rare earth permanent magnets up 56.7% [7]. Cobalt: Supply Tightening from Congo (DRC) - The Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) has implemented an export quota system for cobalt, leading to a projected supply-demand imbalance of -7.5/-3.3/-3.3 million tons for 2025-2027. The DRC's export ban and subsequent quota system are expected to keep cobalt prices elevated [3][14][16]. Rare Earths: Supply Expectations Tightening - The rare earth sector is experiencing tightening supply due to strategic export controls and a lack of public quota announcements. The price of light rare earths has seen fluctuations, with a peak price of 64.30 million yuan/ton for praseodymium and neodymium oxides in August 2025, followed by a decline [22][26][46]. Tungsten: Continued Supply-Demand Gap - The tungsten market is facing a supply squeeze due to mining restrictions and declining ore grades. Demand remains stable, supported by applications in military and photovoltaic sectors, suggesting that tungsten prices are likely to rise [3][5]. Tin: Supply Tightness and AI Demand Growth - The resumption of tin production in Myanmar is slow, with significant delays expected. However, the rapid development of AI is emerging as a new growth driver for tin demand [3][5]. Antimony: Export Recovery Expected - The suspension of export restrictions to the U.S. is anticipated to boost China's antimony exports, which currently account for 36% of its production. The lifting of these restrictions is expected to enhance export volumes significantly [5]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies benefiting from the tightening supply of strategic metals, including Huayou Cobalt, China Rare Earth, and Xiamen Tungsten. Specific recommendations include companies with significant cobalt production quotas in the DRC and those involved in rare earth processing [5][3].

从资金流向上来看，当日小金属板块主力资金净流出6.01亿元，游资资金净流出9743.78万元，散户资金 净流入6.98亿元。小金属板块个股资金流向见下表： 证券之星消息，12月26日小金属板块较上一交易日上涨2.12%，中矿资源领涨。当日上证指数报收于 3963.68，上涨0.1%。深证成指报收于13603.89，上涨0.54%。小金属板块个股涨跌见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 002738 | 中矿 资源 | 80.22 | 8.04% | 30.54万 | 24.04亿 | | 002842 | 翔鹭钨业 | 14.59 | 7.68% | 79.39万 | 11.36亿 | | 002378 | 章源钨业 | 15.25 | 5.98% | 118.62万 | 17.77亿 | | 001280 | 中国翘业 | 64.43 | 3.34% | - 36.20万 | 23.04亿 | | 000960 | 锡业股份 | 27.79 | 3.16% | 44.71万 ...

（文章来源：证券日报） 证券日报网讯 12月23日，盛和资源在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示，截至2025年12月20日公司股东 人数为210429户。 ...

Core Conclusions - The small metal sector is expected to benefit from the rising demand in the AI industry, presenting new investment opportunities [6] - The report maintains an "overweight" rating for the small metal sector, indicating a positive outlook for the industry [7] Industry Overview - The small metal sector significantly outperformed the market in 2025, with an annual cumulative return of 83.54%, surpassing the cumulative return of the Shenwan Nonferrous Metals Index (82.05%) and the CSI 300 Index (20%) [10][13] - The rare earth sector is projected to maintain an upward trend in 2026 due to strong demand recovery and supply-side policy constraints, indicating that the industry cycle is not yet over [10] - The tungsten market is entering a new price cycle driven by supply constraints and emerging demand, suggesting a strategic value for investors [10] - The antimony market is experiencing a new phase characterized by supply rigidities and policy relaxations, with potential price increases anticipated in 2026 [10] - The tin market is also entering a new phase with supply constraints and demand upgrades, indicating a resilient supply-demand balance [10] - The demand for new metal materials is expected to grow alongside the rapid development of the AI industry, particularly for permanent magnetic materials and high-end copper alloys [10] Investment Recommendations - Recommended stocks in the rare earth sector include Northern Rare Earth, Zhenghai Magnetic Materials, and Jinli Permanent Magnet, with a focus on China Rare Earth and Shenghe Resources [6] - For tungsten, attention is drawn to Zhongtung High-tech and Xiamen Tungsten [6] - In the antimony sector, recommended stocks include Huayu Mining, Huaxi Nonferrous, and Hunan Gold [6] - For tin, focus on Tin Industry Co. and Huaxi Nonferrous [6] - In the new materials sector, recommended stocks include Bowei Alloy and Srey New Materials [6] Supply and Demand Dynamics - The rare earth industry is experiencing a strong price increase driven by supply-side constraints and a recovery in export demand, with the price of praseodymium-neodymium oxide increasing by 45.49% in 2025 [31] - The global rare earth production is expected to grow moderately, with China's production leading the market, indicating a dominant position in both production and reserves [41] - Domestic supply indicators for light rare earths are showing a significant slowdown in growth, with the supply structure increasingly dominated by major players [48]

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Recommended" [3] Core Views - Short-term lithium prices are expected to remain volatile, with a positive outlook on antimony, cobalt, tungsten, and tin due to a reassessment of strategic metal values [1][2][7] - Supply concerns in the nickel market are supported by the lack of new approvals from Indonesia's RKAB, which may lead to price stabilization [1][28] - The cobalt market is expected to see continued price increases due to structural supply tightness, with Congo's export regulations impacting availability [2][5][16] - Antimony prices are anticipated to converge towards higher overseas prices due to export controls and tight domestic supply [6][17] - The lithium market is experiencing a strong demand backdrop, with expectations of continued inventory depletion supporting prices [7][17] - The rare earth market is tightening due to Vietnam's export ban, which is expected to support prices [9][18] - Tin prices are supported by ongoing supply concerns from overseas sources, particularly from Myanmar and Congo [11][20] - Tungsten prices are expected to remain supported due to supply constraints and regulatory controls [12][21] - The uranium market is facing supply tightness, which is likely to support prices amid geopolitical uncertainties [14][22] Summary by Sections Nickel and Cobalt Industry Update - Nickel prices are under pressure due to stable demand but cautious purchasing from smelters, with LME nickel closing at $14,420 per ton, down 2.04% [1][28] - Cobalt prices are expected to rise further, with Congo's export regulations causing supply constraints [2][5][16] Antimony Industry Update - Domestic antimony prices are lower compared to international prices, but supply tightness is expected to support future price increases [6][17] Lithium Industry Update - Lithium carbonate prices have increased, with a strong demand outlook from the electric vehicle sector [7][17] Rare Earth Industry Update - Vietnam's recent export ban on rare earths is expected to tighten global supply and support prices [9][18] Tin Industry Update - Tin prices are supported by supply concerns from Myanmar and Congo, with LME tin prices rising to $41,905 per ton [11][20] Tungsten Industry Update - Tungsten prices are expected to remain high due to supply constraints and regulatory measures [12][21] Uranium Industry Update - The uranium market is facing supply tightness, with prices supported by geopolitical factors and production delays [14][22]

Core Viewpoint - The small metals sector in A-shares has shown a significant upward trend, with the sector index closing up by 0.79% on December 10, driven by notable price increases in various small metal varieties, particularly tungsten [2][3]. Price Movements - Tungsten prices have surged, with black tungsten concentrate (≥65%) priced at 363,000 yuan/ton, up 153.85% year-to-date; ammonium paratungstate (APT) at 535,000 yuan/ton, up 153.55%; and tungsten powder at 880 yuan/kg, up 178.48%, all reaching historical highs [3][5]. - Other small metals like cobalt and tin have also seen significant price increases, with cobalt averaging 408,000 yuan/ton (up 16.91% since October) and tin futures rising 15.74% since October [3][5]. Factors Driving Price Increases - The price increases are attributed to supply constraints, favorable macroeconomic conditions, and rising downstream demand. Supply-side constraints include strict mining quotas and environmental regulations for tungsten, and slow recovery of tin production in Myanmar [5]. - Macroeconomic factors include strong market expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut, which typically weakens the dollar and supports commodity prices [5]. - Downstream demand is driven by growth in industries such as new energy, semiconductors, and military applications, enhancing the outlook for strategic small metals [5]. Capital Inflows - The small metals sector has seen substantial capital inflows, with a net inflow of 1.732 billion yuan on December 10, ranking high among secondary industries [7]. - Notable companies like Western Materials received a net inflow of 1.274 billion yuan, benefiting from their core supply roles in aerospace and marine engineering [7]. Company Performance - The small metals sector's overall performance has improved, with a total net profit of 13.589 billion yuan in the first three quarters, a year-on-year increase of 41.42% [8]. - Companies like Shenghe Resources and Northern Rare Earth have reported significant profit growth, with increases of 748.07% and 280.27% respectively [8]. Capacity Expansion - Shenghe Resources has disclosed plans for capacity expansion, with its subsidiary's high-performance rare earth polishing powder project progressing as scheduled, expected to be operational by the end of Q1 2026 [9].

Core Viewpoint - The small metals sector in the A-share market has shown a significant upward trend, driven by multiple factors including supply constraints, favorable macroeconomic conditions, and increasing downstream demand [2][5]. Group 1: Price Movements - The small metals sector has experienced notable price increases, particularly in tungsten, which has reached historical highs. As of December 10, black tungsten concentrate (≥65%) is priced at 363,000 yuan/ton, up 153.85% year-to-date; ammonium paratungstate (APT) is at 535,000 yuan/ton, up 153.55%; and tungsten powder is at 880 yuan/kg, up 178.48% [3][5]. - Other metals such as cobalt and tin have also seen significant price increases, with cobalt averaging 408,000 yuan/ton (up 16.91% since October) and tin rising 13.89% over the same period [3][5]. Group 2: Driving Factors - The price increases are attributed to supply-side constraints, such as strict mining quotas and environmental regulations affecting tungsten, and ongoing export restrictions on cobalt from the Democratic Republic of Congo [5]. - The macroeconomic environment is favorable, with strong expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut, which typically weakens the dollar and supports commodity prices [5]. - Downstream demand from industries like new energy, semiconductors, and defense is rapidly growing, boosting expectations for strategic small metals [5]. Group 3: Capital Inflows - The small metals sector has seen significant capital inflows, with a net inflow of 1.732 billion yuan on December 10, ranking high among secondary industries [6]. - Notably, Western Materials received a net inflow of 1.274 billion yuan, with its stock achieving a strong performance in recent trading sessions [6]. - Financing net purchases in the small metals sector reached 1.879 billion yuan in December, with several stocks, including China Uranium Industry, receiving substantial net purchases [6]. Group 4: Performance Metrics - The small metals sector has shown strong performance in 2023, with a total net profit of 13.589 billion yuan in the first three quarters, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 41.42% [7]. - Companies like Shenghe Resources and Northern Rare Earth have reported significant profit increases of 748.07% and 280.27%, respectively [7]. - Shenghe Resources is expanding its production capacity, with a project expected to be operational by the end of Q1 2026 [7].

Core Viewpoint - Shenghe Resources stated that as of November 30, 2025, the number of shareholders will reach 224,115 [2] Summary by Categories - **Company Information** - Shenghe Resources has communicated to investors that the expected number of shareholders by the end of November 2025 is 224,115 [2]