KWEICHOW MOUTAI(600519)
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张坤四季报:困难只是暂时的,中国消费“有鱼可钓”!
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-26 03:19
炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报,权威,专业,及时,全面,助您挖掘潜力主题机会! 来源:市值风云基金研究部 随着公募基金2025年四季报披露,顶流基金经理的动向再次成为市场焦点。 易方达基金张坤,作为长期价值投资的代表人物,其报告中的每一个数字与每一句观点,都引发了广泛 解读。 一、旗下四只产品业绩分化 2025年四季度,张坤在管规模降至483亿元,单季度缩水超80亿。 其管理的四只基金业绩呈现出明显的结构性分化,其中三只主投A股的基金表现相对承压,规模最大的 易方达蓝筹精选混合(005827.OF)四季度亏损近9%,跑输业绩基准超6%,25年全年收益不到7%。 与此同时,部分医药与传媒股也遭到明显减持,比如京东健康被两只基金砍仓约一半,此外,腾讯控 股、分众传媒等也出现在减持名单中。 然而,主投海外的易方达亚洲精选股票(118001.OF)则成为亮点,四季度实现了4.5%的正回报,跑赢 业绩基准超2%,而且该基金25年全年涨幅近42%。 | 序号 | 证券代码 | 证券名称 | ﮏ | 基金规模合并值 [交易日期]最新(.. [单位]亿元 | 区间复权单位净值增长率(区... 起始交易日期 2025-01-01 【 ...
食品饮料周报(26年第4周):各品类春节备货有序进行,预制菜国标将征求意见-20260126
Guoxin Securities· 2026-01-26 02:59
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform the Market" rating for the food and beverage sector [4][5][11]. Core Views - The food and beverage sector is expected to perform well in 2026, driven by cost advantages, efficiency improvements, innovation, and potential recovery opportunities in the liquor segment [3][11][15]. - The report highlights a diversified performance across sub-sectors, with beverages outperforming food and liquor categories [2][11]. Summary by Relevant Sections 1. Sector Overview - The food and beverage sector saw a cumulative decline of 1.37% this week, with A-shares down 1.57% and H-shares up 1.21% [1]. - Key performers included companies like Hao Xiang Ni and Wei Zhi Xiang, with significant weekly gains [1]. 2. Sub-sector Insights - **Liquor**: - Moutai's price remains stable with an upward trend, and the focus is on sales momentum during the Spring Festival. Recommendations include Moutai, Shanxi Fenjiu, and Luzhou Laojiao [2][11]. - **Beverages**: - The dairy segment is seeing orderly preparations for the Spring Festival, with a focus on leading companies like Yili. Recommendations include Nongfu Spring and Dongpeng Beverage [2][15]. - **Snacks**: - The report emphasizes strong alpha stocks in the snack sector, particularly in konjac products, with companies like Weidong and Yanjinpuzi showing strong innovation [2][13]. - **Catering Supply Chain**: - The sector is entering a peak season for inventory and sales, with new standards for prepared dishes being solicited for public opinion [2][14]. 3. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests a focus on four main lines for investment: cost advantages, efficiency improvements, innovation-driven companies, and potential recovery in the liquor sector [3][11]. - Recommended stocks include Baba Foods, Dongpeng Beverage, Weidong, and Shanxi Fenjiu, which have shown resilience and growth potential [17][19]. 4. Earnings Forecasts - Key companies are projected to maintain strong earnings growth, with Moutai expected to achieve a stable performance and Yili showing significant recovery potential [4][15][19]. - The report provides detailed earnings forecasts for several companies, indicating a positive outlook for the food and beverage sector [4][19].
酒价内参1月26日价格发布 十大单品涨跌互现青花郎领涨
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-26 01:17
新浪财经"酒价内参"过去24小时收集的数据显示,中国白酒市场十大单品的终端零售均价在1月26日呈弱 势分化。如果十大单品各取一瓶整体打包售卖,今日总售价为8889元,较昨日下跌4元。市场在经历结构 性调整后,终端均价波动收窄,多数核心单品延续振荡走势,显示行业仍处于再平衡阶段。今日市场四涨 五跌一平。上涨端,青花郎领涨11元/瓶,已连续四天走升;五粮液与梦之蓝M6+分别上涨4元/瓶、3元/瓶 形成腰部支撑;青花汾20微涨1元/瓶。下跌端,精品茅台回调8元/瓶;习酒君品和古井贡古20均下跌5元/ 瓶;飞天茅台受i茅台平台常态化供应影响,环比下跌4元/瓶;国窖1573微跌1元/瓶;水晶剑南春价格与昨 日持平。 | 中国知名白酒大单品 圈 | 市场真实成交终端价 | | | --- | --- | --- | | 品名/规格 | 今日价格(元) | 較昨日(元) | | 贵州茅台酒 (飞天) | 1647/瓶 | -4元 | | 53度/500ml | | | | 贵州茅台酒(精品) | 2348/瓶 | -8元 | | 53度/500ml | | | | 五粮液普五八代 | 806/瓶 | 4元▲ | | 52度 ...
传统消费正淡出公募十大重仓股 新生代基金经理偏爱新消费
Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang· 2026-01-25 23:26
这种变化折射出了公募消费赛道的分化现状:一方面,部分基金仍在坚守传统消费,有的白酒股已被连 续重仓36个季度;另一方面,手办潮玩、谷子经济和医美带来的新消费,则成为一批新生代基金经理的 新宠。 人民财讯1月26日电,最新披露的2025年公募基金四季报显示,主动权益基金前十大重仓股出现了一个 新变化,即科技、新能源个股占了九席,剩下一席给了贵州茅台(600519)。 ...
“中国茅台对您说”之五文化篇:活态流转——茅台文化的守与兴
Zheng Quan Ri Bao Wang· 2026-01-25 23:09
2025年10月份,工信部研究起草了《关于推动历史经典产业高质量发展的指导意见(2026—2030年)》 (征求意见稿),让酿酒产业从"限制性产业"变身承载文明的"文化瑰宝"。 这种定位的转变,在赤水河畔的茅台镇早有生动注脚:这里的"茅酒之源"既是全国重点文保单位,也是 年产600吨基酒的生产车间;每年在这里举办的端午敬麦仪式习俗,也通过新媒体传播甚远。"茅台酒 节""红缨子高粱丰收季""茅友嘉年华""中国茅台·国之栋梁"等特色文化IP,也彰显着茅台从"濮人善 酿"到现代千亿营收这一文化脉络的自信延续与活化实践。 活态遗产:文保单位里的酿造传承 茅台镇的文化故事,是大自然写就的开篇。这座海拔450米的小镇,坐落在赤水河中游的河谷间,特有 的小气候——冬暖夏热、高温高湿、少雨少风的环境让空气中漂浮着岁月积淀的微生物群落。河岸的紫 红色土壤微酸肥沃,赤水河的水硬度低、微量元素丰富,三者共同构成了酿酒的"黄金三角"。 早在商周时期,这里的先民就开始酿造美酒;汉武帝时期的"枸酱",更被视作茅台酒的雏形。1867年, 四川泸州盐务总办华联辉重建"成义烧房",此后荣和、恒兴烧房相继兴起,奠定茅台酒的根基。 走进"茅酒之源 ...
解码公募基金2025年四季报:主动权益基金重仓电子、医药生物等行业
Zheng Quan Ri Bao Zhi Sheng· 2026-01-25 17:07
本报记者 方凌晨 作为以追求超额收益为主要目标的基金品类,主动权益基金的相关动向备受市场关注。随着公募基金 2025年四季报披露完毕,主动权益基金的规模、收益、重仓行业等最新情况一一揭晓。 整体来看,2025年第四季度,主动权益基金维持较高的股票仓位运作,价值风格的主动权益基金表现更 优。持仓A股方面,电子、医药生物和电力设备为主动权益基金前三大重仓行业,中际旭创、新易盛、 宁德时代为其前三大重仓个股。 具体到重仓个股,截至2025年末,主动权益基金在A股市场的前十大重仓股依次为中际旭创、新易盛、 宁德时代、紫金矿业、寒武纪、立讯精密、贵州茅台、东山精密、美的集团和阳光电源。 调仓动作方面,2025年第四季度,主动权益基金增持前三名个股分别是中际旭创、中国平安和东山精 密。 从管理人维度来看,截至2025年末,仅有易方达基金、中欧基金两家管理人的主动权益基金规模突破 2000亿元,分别达2660.46亿元、2316.10亿元;广发基金、富国基金、汇添富基金、华夏基金等管理规 模则均在1000亿元以上。在这些主动权益基金规模靠前的公募基金管理人中,中欧基金的主动权益基金 规模占其在管产品总规模的比例最高,为33 ...
传统消费正淡出公募十大重仓股 何处寻觅新的“长坡厚雪”
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2026-01-25 17:05
这种变化折射出了公募消费赛道的分化现状:一方面,部分基金仍在坚守传统消费,有的白酒股已被连续重仓36 个季度;另一方面,手办潮玩、谷子经济和医美带来的新消费,则成为一批新生代基金经理的新宠。 传统消费股受冷落 根据天相投顾数据,2025年公募主动权益基金前十大重仓股中仅有一只传统消费股(贵州茅台),其余九只分别 为中际旭创、新易盛、宁德时代、腾讯控股、紫金矿业、阿里巴巴-W、寒武纪、立讯精密、东山精密。 证券时报记者 余世鹏 最新披露的2025年公募基金四季报显示,主动权益基金前十大重仓股出现了一个新变化,即科技、新能源个股占 了九席,剩下一席给了贵州茅台。 比如,景顺长城品质长青持有泡泡玛特近500万股,其中在去年四季度增持了23.36万股。此外,该基金重仓的还有 老铺黄金等新消费资产,以及中际旭创、新易盛等科技成长标的。该基金的基金经理农冰立,是一位新生代基金 经理,他2023年7月开始管理该基金。 此外,睿远港股通核心价值持有泡泡玛特463.80万股,其中有245万股为去年四季度加仓,该基金的基金经理张佳 璐是一位只有3年证券从业经验的新人,2024年12月开始管理该基金。 新消费的另一个热门标的蜜雪集 ...
食品饮料行业周报:茅台批价坚挺旺季氛围渐起,鸣鸣很忙上市催化零食板块-20260125
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2026-01-25 13:08
Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the liquor sector, particularly on premium brands like Guizhou Moutai, Luzhou Laojiao, and Shanxi Fenjiu, while also highlighting the potential of other brands such as Wuliangye and Jinjing Wine [2][7]. Core Insights - The liquor market is undergoing a restructuring phase, with expectations of a double-digit decline in sales year-on-year for Q1 2026, but a potential stabilization in Q2 and a turning point in Q3 [2][7]. - The report anticipates a recovery in the liquor sector by the end of 2026 and into 2027, driven by improved fundamentals and valuation [2][7]. - The consumer goods sector is showing structural improvements, with competition shifting from price to quality, leading to a gradual balance in supply and demand [2][9]. Summary by Sections 1. Weekly Insights on Food and Beverage - The food and beverage sector saw a decline of 1.41% last week, with liquor down 2.80%, underperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 2.25 percentage points [6]. - Notable stock performances included a 19.59% increase for Haoxiangni and a 14.32% rise for Wancheng Group [6]. 2. Market Performance of Food and Beverage Sectors - The report highlights the price stability of Moutai, with a current price of 1560 RMB per bottle, up 20 RMB from the previous week, indicating a positive trend in pricing [8][27]. - The report notes that Moutai's pricing has found a bottom, reducing downward risks significantly, and anticipates a potential increase in sales volume as the Spring Festival approaches [8]. 3. Industry Events and Updates - The report mentions the upcoming IPO of Mingming Hen Mang, a leading snack retail chain, which is expected to catalyze the snack sector [10]. - The report emphasizes the importance of supply chain management and digitalization in enhancing competitive advantages for companies like Mingming Hen Mang [10]. 4. Valuation Table - The food and beverage sector's dynamic PE is currently at 19.27x, with a premium rate of 10%, while the liquor sector's dynamic PE stands at 17.50x, indicating a zero premium [27].
食品饮料行业2025年四季度基金持仓分析:食饮板块超配比例略有回升,乳品、预加工食品等获得增持
Guoxin Securities· 2026-01-25 12:49
Investment Rating - The food and beverage industry maintains an "Outperform" rating [4][5]. Core Insights - The food and beverage sector's fund holding ratio is 4.48%, with a slight decrease of 0.25 percentage points from the previous quarter, ranking eighth among Shenwan's primary industries. The sector continues to be overweight, with an overweight ratio increasing by 0.02 percentage points [1][11]. - The white liquor sector remains the most heavily weighted, but its overweight ratio has decreased. Conversely, the dairy, snacks, and seasoning sectors have seen an increase in fund holding ratios [2][16]. - Key individual stocks such as Kweichow Moutai and Wuliangye have seen a decrease in their heavy holding ratios, while Yuran Dairy and Angel Yeast have received increased allocations [3][27]. Summary by Sections Fund Holdings Analysis - The food and beverage industry has a fund holding ratio of 4.48%, with a total heavy holding market value of approximately 117.8 billion yuan. The sector's overweight ratio is 0.64%, indicating a maintained overweight status [1][11]. Subsector Analysis - The white liquor sector's fund holding ratio is 3.32%, with an overweight ratio of 0.84%. Excluding Kweichow Moutai, the ratio drops to 1.84% with an overweight ratio of 0.85%. The dairy sector's fund holding ratio has increased to 0.25%, ranking third among subsectors [2][16][17]. Individual Stock Analysis - Kweichow Moutai's heavy holding ratio has decreased to 1.47%, despite an increase in the number of funds holding it to 296. Other major stocks in the white liquor sector, such as Wuliangye and Shanxi Fenjiu, have also seen declines in their heavy holding ratios [3][27][28].
食品饮料行业 2025 年四季度基金持仓分析:食饮板块超配比例略有回升,乳品、预加工食品等获得增持
Guoxin Securities· 2026-01-25 12:40
Investment Rating - The food and beverage industry maintains an "Outperform" rating [4][5][35] Core Views - The food and beverage sector's fund holding ratio is 4.48%, with a slight decrease of 0.25 percentage points from the previous quarter, ranking eighth among Shenwan's primary industries. The sector continues to be overweight, with an overweight ratio increasing by 0.02 percentage points [1][11] - The white liquor sector remains the most heavily weighted, but its overweight ratio has decreased. Conversely, the dairy, snacks, and seasoning sectors have seen an increase in fund holding ratios [2][16] - Key individual stocks such as Kweichow Moutai and Wuliangye have seen a decrease in their heavy holding ratios, while Yuran Dairy and Angel Yeast have received increased allocations [3][27] Summary by Sections Fund Holdings Analysis - The food and beverage industry has a fund holding ratio of 4.48%, with a total institutional heavy holding market value of approximately 117.8 billion yuan [1][11] - The white liquor sector's fund holding ratio is 3.32%, while the ratio excluding Kweichow Moutai is 1.84% [2][16] Subsector Performance - White liquor: Fund holding ratio decreased by 0.37 percentage points to 3.32%, with an overweight ratio down to 0.84% [2][16] - Dairy: Fund holding ratio increased by 0.10 percentage points to 0.25%, with an overweight ratio up to -0.16% [17] - Snacks: Fund holding ratio increased by 0.03 percentage points to 0.22%, with an overweight ratio up to 0.12% [17] Individual Stock Analysis - Kweichow Moutai's heavy holding ratio decreased to 1.47%, despite an increase in the number of funds holding it to 296 [3][27] - Wuliangye's heavy holding ratio decreased to 0.41%, with a reduction in the number of funds holding it [3][27] - Yuran Dairy's heavy holding ratio increased to 0.07%, indicating a positive shift in fund allocations [3][27]