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食品饮料行业周报:茅台量价表现验证观点,推荐茅台为2月金股-20260201
行 业 及 产 业 食品饮料 2026 年 02 月 01 日 茅台量价表现验证观点 推荐茅台为 行 业 研 究 / 行 业 点 评 证 券 研 究 报 告 《白酒持仓继续下降 食品配置环比回升— —食品饮料 2025 年四季度基金持仓分 析》 2026/01/26 《茅台批价坚挺旺季氛围渐起 鸣鸣很忙上 市催化零食板块——食品饮料行业周报 20260119-20260123》 2026/01/25 《贵州茅台(600519)点评: i 茅台全面 向 C,市场化改革全面推进 》 2026/01/09 证券分析师 吕昌 A0230516010001 lvchang@swsresearch.com 周缘 A0230519090004 zhouyuan@swsresearch.com 王子昂 A0230525040003 wangza@swsresearch.com 联系人 王子昂 A0230525040003 wangza@swsresearch.com 本期投资提示: 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 博时基金 博时基金管理有限公司(researchreport@boser ...
行业周报:茅台春节需求韧性超预期,大众品底部改善趋势明确
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2026-02-01 13:30
投资评级:看好(维持) 行业走势图 数据来源:聚源 -10% 0% 10% 19% 29% 2025-02 2025-06 2025-10 食品饮料 沪深300 相关研究报告 《白酒持仓环比降低,茅台需求超韧 性超预期—行业点评报告》-2026.1.30 《黄酒复兴趋势持续,期待 2026 年有 新突破—行业点评报告》-2026.1.30 《预制菜国家标准待出台,市场集中 度有望加速提升—行业点评报告》 -2026.1.29 茅台春节需求韧性超预期,大众品底部改善趋势明确 食品饮料 2026 年 02 月 01 日 ——行业周报 | 张宇光(分析师) | 张思敏(分析师) | | --- | --- | | zhangyuguang@kysec.cn | zhangsimin@kysec.cn | | 证书编号:S0790520030003 | 证书编号:S0790525080001 | zhangsimin@kysec.cn 证书编号:S0790525080001 核心观点:茅台春节需求韧性超预期,大众品底部改善趋势明确 1 月 26 日-1 月 30 日,食品饮料指数涨幅为 1.6%,一级子行业排名第 5 ...
行业周报:茅台春节需求韧性超预期,大众品底部改善趋势明确-20260201
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2026-02-01 11:44
食品饮料 2026 年 02 月 01 日 投资评级:看好(维持) 行业走势图 数据来源:聚源 -10% 0% 10% 19% 29% 2025-02 2025-06 2025-10 食品饮料 沪深300 相关研究报告 《白酒持仓环比降低,茅台需求超韧 性超预期—行业点评报告》-2026.1.30 《黄酒复兴趋势持续,期待 2026 年有 新突破—行业点评报告》-2026.1.30 《预制菜国家标准待出台,市场集中 度有望加速提升—行业点评报告》 -2026.1.29 茅台春节需求韧性超预期,大众品底部改善趋势明确 核心观点:茅台春节需求韧性超预期,大众品底部改善趋势明确 1 月 26 日-1 月 30 日,食品饮料指数涨幅为 1.6%,一级子行业排名第 5,跑赢沪 深 300 约 1.5pct,子行业中白酒(+3.9%)、肉制品(+0.5%)、其他食品(+0.0%) 表现相对领先。个股方面,皇台酒业、李子园、中信尼雅涨幅领先;好想你、*ST 春天、安记食品跌幅居前。白酒市场本周市场关注度非常高,一方面是受地产等 行业改善预期催化,更重要的是茅台批价上涨幅度和韧性超预期。2025 年茅台 批价有较大幅度下降, ...
食品饮料行业点评报告:白酒动销渐起,关注预期差下的板块机会
CAITONG SECURITIES· 2026-02-01 10:30
酒板块眼踪点评报告 TH KE ■ 证券研究报告 因 投资评级:看好(维持) 最近 12 月市场表现 分析师 皇立德 SAC 证书编号: S0160523090004 wuwd01@ctsec.com 分析师 张之 SAC 证书编号: S0160525090004 zhangli01@ctsec.com 任金星 分析师 SAC 证书编号:S0160524010001 renix@ctsec.com 相关报告 1. 《4Q2025 食品饮料基金持仓分析》 2026-01-29 2. 《国标加速推出,利好行业规范和集中 度提升 》 3. 《牛肉进口政策落地,肉奶共振利好牧 业》 2026-01-05 日酒动销渐起,关注预期差下的板块机织 核心观点 作者具有中国证券业协会授予的证券投资咨询执业资格,并注册为证券分析师,具备专业胜任能力,保证报告所采用的数 据均来自合规渠道,分析逻辑基于作者的职业理解。本报告清晰地反映了作者的研究观点,力求独立、客观和公正,结论 不受任何第三方的授意或影响,作者也不会因本报告中的具体推荐意见或观点而直接或间接收到任何形式的补偿。 ● 资质声明 � 风险提示:消费力恢复不及预期,行业竞 ...
融资客一周扫货名单出炉!下周两大板块获投资者看好
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-01 09:53
本周(1月26日至30日),A股融资余额维持在2.7万亿元高位以上,最新为27222.32亿元(截至1月29日),为历史次高。本周A股融资净买入合计52.79亿 元。 分行业来看,有色金属遥遥领先,融资净买入额高达118.8亿元;基础化工、建筑装饰、医药生物、通信融资净买入额超过10亿元。电子遭到融资大额净 偿还,金额为78.5亿元;机械设备、国防军工紧随其后,融资净偿还额均在30亿元以上。 A股融资余额维持2.7万亿元高位。 这些个股融资客大幅买入 个股方面,本周31股融资净买入额在3亿元以上,紫金矿业、天孚通信、中国平安排名前三,融资净买入额依次为28.73亿元、25.59亿元、12.54亿元。 紫金矿业1月26日公告,公司控股的紫金黄金国际联合黄金签署《安排协议》,紫金黄金国际拟收购联合黄金全部已发行的普通股,其核心资产包括在产 的马里Sadiola金矿、科特迪瓦金矿综合体,及将于2026年下半年建成投产的埃塞俄比亚Kurmuk金矿。根据公开披露信息,截至2024年底,联合黄金拥有 金资源量533吨,平均品位1.48克/吨。 西部证券指出,从短期来看,标的均为在产或即将投产项目,并购当年即可贡献产量,叠 ...
白酒指数周涨4.17%,*ST岩石二连涨停,一周仍跌5.63%丨酒市周报
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2026-02-01 09:41
新浪财经"酒价内参"重磅上线 知名白酒真实市场价尽在掌握 每经记者|刘明涛 每经编辑|彭水萍 近期与白酒相关的房地产及内需领域出现积极变化,同时茅台市场化转型激发增量需求,近期批价持续上涨,多因素共同催化行业估值修复。本周Wind白 酒指数周涨幅达到4.17%,板块内多只个股周涨幅超5%。 | 白酒指数 | | 884705 | | --- | --- | --- | | 56632.75 | | -1829.83 -3.13% | | SSE 15:00:05 | | Wind概念指数 / ● + | | 跌 | 16家 平 | 0家 涨 3家 | | 全额 | | 415.06亿 | | 成交量 | | 6.40亿 | | 开盘 | | 58791.66 ( 0.56%) | | 量高 | | 58791.66 ( 0.56%) | | 最低 | | 56632.75 (-3.13%) | | TO ATTM | 18.4 市海率 | 4.87 | | 5日 | 4.17% 20日 | 2.95% | | 60日 | -4.74% 今年 | 2.95% | | 52周高 | 66552.79 52周低 | ...
2月金股组合
Strategy Overview - The core strategy indicates that Trump's nomination of Kevin Warsh as the next Federal Reserve Chairman suggests a hawkish policy stance, advocating for balance sheet reduction and cautious interest rate cuts, which may reverse market expectations for continued liquidity easing and strengthen the dollar, leading to a global tightening of dollar liquidity expectations and asset price reassessment [4][2] - In the short term, after a strong spring rally, the market may enter a rhythm adjustment period due to proactive policy guidance and increased overseas disturbances, presenting rotation opportunities for previously stagnant sectors [4][2] Real Estate Sector: Poly Real Estate Group - The company experienced a 48.1% year-on-year revenue growth in the first half of 2025, driven by increased project completions, with a settlement area of 814,000 square meters, up 20.8% year-on-year, and a settlement amount of 17.37 billion yuan, up 52.5% year-on-year [8] - Despite revenue growth, the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 44.3%, primarily due to a negative investment income of 950 million yuan and an increase in minority shareholder losses [8] - The company’s gross margin improved to 17.5%, up 3.2 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin decreased to 1.3%, down 0.7 percentage points year-on-year [8][9] - The company’s debt structure improved, with interest-bearing debt down 8.6% year-on-year to 68.2 billion yuan, and the average financing cost decreased by 48 basis points to 2.90% [9] - The company’s sales ranking improved to 15th in the industry, with a sales amount of 29.5 billion yuan in the first seven months of 2025, despite a 13.5% year-on-year decline [10] Transportation Sector: CITIC Offshore Helicopter - CITIC Offshore Helicopter is a leading player in China's general aviation sector, operating the largest civil helicopter fleet in Asia with 84 advanced model helicopters [13] - The company has a strong revenue stream from offshore oil services, with nearly 70% of its revenue derived from this segment, and maintains a market share of over 60% in the offshore helicopter service market [14] - The general aviation market in China is expected to grow steadily, supported by policy guidance, with the number of general airports reaching 475 and the number of general aviation enterprises reaching 760 by 2024 [14] Transportation Sector: Air China - Air China is the only flag carrier in China, with passenger transport services accounting for nearly 91% of total revenue in 2024 [16] - The company reported a revenue of 166.7 billion yuan in 2024, up 18.14% year-on-year, with a sales gross margin of 5.11% [16] - The domestic passenger transport volume reached 730 million in 2024, a 17.86% increase year-on-year, marking a historical high [17] Chemical Sector: Zhejiang Longsheng - The company reported a 6.47% year-on-year decline in revenue to 6.505 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, with a gross margin of 29.80%, up 1.87 percentage points year-on-year [19][20] - The dye business saw a slight revenue decline of 3.17% to 3.632 billion yuan, but the gross margin improved by 4.40 percentage points to 34.17% [19] - The company is focusing on cost reduction and efficiency improvements to maintain stable development amid industry challenges [19] Chemical Sector: Yake Technology - The company achieved a revenue growth of 15.37% in the electronic materials segment, with a total revenue of 2.573 billion yuan in the first half of 2025 [24] - The company is actively developing new technologies and products in the LNG and electronic materials sectors, with a focus on semiconductor chemical materials [23] New Energy Sector: Foster - Foster is a leading player in the photovoltaic encapsulation materials market, maintaining a market share of around 50% [27] - The company is exploring new solutions for space environment applications, leveraging its existing technology in photovoltaic materials [28] Medical Sector: Mindray Medical - The company faced revenue pressure in the first half of 2025, with a 23.77% year-on-year decline in Q2 revenue to 8.506 billion yuan [29] - International business revenue increased by 5.39%, accounting for about 50% of total revenue, indicating a growing presence in the global market [30] - The company is focusing on building a digital healthcare ecosystem through the integration of devices, IT, and AI technologies [31] Food and Beverage Sector: Kweichow Moutai - The company is navigating a challenging environment in the liquor industry, focusing on quality and long-term value rather than short-term performance metrics [33] - In Q3 2025, the company reported a revenue of 39.06 billion yuan, a slight increase of 0.6% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 91.3% [34] Social Services Sector: Lingnan Holdings - The company achieved a revenue of 2.09 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, up 8.52% year-on-year, with a net profit of 50 million yuan, up 24.39% [36] - The company is expanding its travel agency and hotel management services, with a focus on enhancing its operational capabilities [38] Electronics Sector: Zhaoyi Innovation - The company expects a revenue of approximately 9.203 billion yuan in 2025, a 25% year-on-year increase, driven by demand from AI computing and the storage industry [39]
厦门和合肥调研反馈、周观点:旺季效应凸显,春节行情可期-20260201
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2026-02-01 06:24
证券研究报告 | 行业周报 gszqdatemark 2026 02 01 年 月 日 食品饮料 厦门和合肥调研反馈&周观点:旺季效应凸显,春节行情可期 投资建议:1、白酒:顺周期政策积极催化,短期白酒春节旺季效应启动, 茅台动销与批价率先破冰引领行业实现超预期改善,情绪与预期修复先 行、静待基本面改善,短期建议关注春节刚需,中期布局各价位带龙头, 建议配置:1)短期春节刚需及弹性标的:贵州茅台、古井贡酒、迎驾贡 酒、泸州老窖、金徽酒等;2)中长期龙头:五粮液、山西汾酒、今世缘 等。2、大众品:短期重点关注春节备货催化,餐饮改善与改革并行,零 食旺季催化显著,优先关注成长机会、后续切换复苏:1)成长主线布局 零食、饮料及α个股:鸣鸣很忙、万辰集团、卫龙美味、盐津铺子、西麦 食品、有友食品、东鹏饮料、农夫山泉、安琪酵母、H&H 国际控股;2) 复苏主线大餐饮链、乳制品等β弱修复可期:安井食品、巴比食品、宝立 食品、立高食品、新乳业、伊利股份、燕京啤酒、青岛啤酒、仙乐健康等。 分析师 李依琳 安井食品:新品稳健增量,内生势能向上。销售端,公司近期动销较好, 2026 年 1 月起对部分单品收缩促销费用。产品端,2 ...
食品饮料行业周报:茅台动销批价上行,零食迎接备货行情
茅台动销批价上行,零食迎接备货行情 [Table_Industry] 食品饮料 ——食品饮料行业周报 | | | 投资要点: [Table_Report] 相关报告 食品饮料《白酒筑底,政策、批价双重催化》 2026.01.30 食品饮料《食饮获配比例回落,乳品、零食板块 加配》2026.01.29 食品饮料《白酒探底,餐供积极》2026.01.25 食品饮料《茅台市场化转型,消费触底反弹可 期》2026.01.18 食品饮料《渠道变革,精酿崛起》2026.01.13 证 券 研 究 报 告 股 票 研 究 [Table_Invest] 评级: 增持 | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 訾猛(分析师) | 021-38676442 | zimeng@gtht.com | S0880513120002 | | 颜慧菁(分析师) | 021-23183952 | yanhuijing@gtht.com | S0880525040022 | | 张宇轩(分析师) | 021-23154172 | zhangyuxuan ...
食品饮料行业周报:茅台动销批价上行,零食迎接备货行情-20260201
国泰海通· 2026-02-01 03:16
——食品饮料行业周报 | | | [Table_Invest] 评级: 增持 茅台动销批价上行,零食迎接备货行情 [Table_Industry] 食品饮料 | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 訾猛(分析师) | 021-38676442 | zimeng@gtht.com | S0880513120002 | | 颜慧菁(分析师) | 021-23183952 | yanhuijing@gtht.com | S0880525040022 | | 张宇轩(分析师) | 021-23154172 | zhangyuxuan@gtht.com | S0880525040039 | | 李美仪(分析师) | 021-38038667 | limeiyi@gtht.com | S0880524080002 | 本报告导读: 白酒板块动销和批价上行。大众品板块中零食、乳制品有望迎来春节备货投资行 情。 投资要点: [Table_Report] 相关报告 食品饮料《白酒筑底,政策、批价双重催化》 2026.01.30 食品饮 ...