Group 1 - The superconducting index experienced a decline of 2% during intraday trading, with most constituent stocks falling [1] - Zhongtian Technology led the decline with a drop of 6.58%, while other stocks such as Yuguang Jinlan, Tebian Electric Apparatus, Zhongfu Industrial, and Jinbei Electric also saw decreases [1]

Core Viewpoint - The optical fiber and cable industry is experiencing a significant upturn, driven by increased demand from AI data centers and a global supply-demand imbalance, leading to substantial price increases and stock performance in related companies [1][4]. Industry Summary - The optical fiber market has seen a continuous rise in demand, with prices for G.652.D single-mode optical fibers in China reaching over 35 yuan per core kilometer, marking a 75% increase in January alone [1][4]. - A global trend is observed where optical fiber prices are rising sharply, with the Chinese market leading the way, and some manufacturers quoting prices as high as 50 yuan per core kilometer [4]. - The CRU China Optical Fiber and Cable Index (FOCI) has rebounded by 10.8%, indicating a shift from contraction to expansion in the market [4]. - The industry is entering a prolonged period of prosperity, driven by technological upgrades and the explosive growth of AI data centers, which is expected to sustain tight supply for 2-3 years due to the long production cycle of key materials [4][6]. Company Summary - Hangzhou Electric (杭电股份) has seen its stock price rise significantly, with a cumulative increase of 32.97% over three consecutive trading days, prompting the company to issue a risk warning due to potential irrational market speculation [2][3]. - The company reported a negative rolling price-to-earnings ratio of -33.93, significantly higher than the industry average of 24.23, indicating potential volatility in stock trading [2]. - Other companies in the optical fiber sector, such as Longfly Fiber and Hengtong Optic-Electric, have also experienced substantial stock price increases, with Longfly Fiber issuing a risk warning after its stock price deviated significantly from the norm [3][4].

Core Insights - The Chinese optical module industry has evolved from technology introduction during the "11th Five-Year Plan" to achieving technological independence, product upgrades, and scale expansion, becoming a core player in the global optical module market during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, focusing on high-end and domestic production driven by 5G and computing power demands [1] National Policy Summary - Recent policies in China show a collaborative effort between national and local governments, focusing on technological breakthroughs and practical applications in the optical module industry. The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT) has issued multiple documents, including the "2025-2026 Action Plan for Stable Growth in the Electronic Information Manufacturing Industry," which aims to promote the trial of 10G optical networks and the layout of computing power infrastructure [4][5] - Key areas of focus include integrating CPO (Co-Packaged Optics) and high-speed optical modules into critical technological breakthroughs, supporting the mass production of products like 800G and 1.6T [4][5] Provincial Policy Summary - Various provinces have developed their own policies aligned with the national "14th Five-Year Plan," emphasizing the development of optical communication, millimeter-wave, 5G enhancement, and quantum communication technologies. Local governments are also providing funding support for core technology research and development [13] - For instance, Beijing's policies include promoting advanced packaging technology for 1.6T silicon optical modules and enhancing broadband network capabilities to support user experiences exceeding 100 Mbps by 2025 [14] - Shanghai's initiatives focus on deploying 50G PON and 400G optical transmission technologies, aiming to create a fully optical direct connection network for data centers [17] Industry Development Trends - The optical module industry is expected to see significant growth driven by the increasing demand for high-speed data transmission in AI, industrial internet, and other applications. Policies are encouraging the development of high-reliability, low-power products suitable for industrial scenarios [4][5] - The goal is to enhance the domestic production rate of key components and technologies, with specific targets set for the market share of domestic CPO modules to reach 40% by 2025 [5][6] Investment Opportunities - The ongoing policy support and technological advancements present substantial investment opportunities in the optical module sector, particularly for companies involved in high-speed optical modules and related technologies. The focus on domestic production and technological independence further enhances the attractiveness of this sector for investors [1][4][5]

Core Viewpoint - The communication equipment sector experienced a significant increase, with a 2.95% rise on February 3, driven by strong performances from individual stocks like Dekoli and Tianfu Communication [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4067.74, up 1.29%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14127.1, up 2.19% [1] - Dekoli led the gains in the communication equipment sector with a closing price of 191.48, reflecting a 13.94% increase [1] - Other notable performers included Tianfu Communication, which rose by 13.21% to 270.00, and Cheng Tian Wei Ye, which increased by 11.96% to 58.43 [1] Group 2: Trading Volume and Value - Dekoli had a trading volume of 191,500 shares, with a transaction value of 34.72 billion [1] - Tianfu Communication recorded a trading volume of 619,900 shares, with a transaction value of 162.25 billion [1] - The total trading volume and value for the communication equipment sector showed robust activity, indicating strong investor interest [1] Group 3: Capital Flow - The communication equipment sector saw a net inflow of 134 million from institutional investors, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 1.38 billion [2] - Major stocks like Tongyu Communication and Yongding Co. attracted significant net inflows of 10.59 billion and 906 million, respectively [3] - The overall capital flow indicates a divergence in investor sentiment, with institutional investors favoring certain stocks while retail investors withdrew [2][3]

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Overweight" rating for the optical fiber industry, indicating a projected increase of over 15% relative to the CSI 300 index [4][33]. Core Insights - The optical interconnection sector shows strong performance expectations, with a focus on the transition opportunities from CPO/OIO technology. The optical fiber industry is experiencing a clear price increase trend, driven by demand from telecom operators and pre-holiday inventory needs [2][9]. - LightCounting forecasts that CPO technology shipments will begin scaling from 800G and 1.6T ports between 2026 and 2027, primarily for large cloud service providers. By 2029, the penetration rates for 800G, 1.6T, and 3.2T CPOs are expected to be 2.9%, 9.5%, and 50.6% respectively [8][9]. - Recent price increases in fiber optics are anticipated to continue due to heightened demand from telecom operators and upcoming procurement activities [9]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The optical interconnection sector is expected to maintain strong performance, with individual company differences but overall manageable conditions projected for 2026 [7]. - The appreciation of the RMB is impacting the optical interconnection sector, particularly for companies focused on overseas exports, with potential profit impacts estimated at under 5% for most, while some may see impacts nearing half of their profits [7]. Investment Highlights - The industry has seen an increase in holding ratios, with valuations at historically elevated levels, reflecting positive expectations driven by the AI industry chain [23]. - AI is driving network upgrades, with strong overseas demand benefiting domestic core enterprises amid a global infrastructure wave [24]. - A new generation of computing infrastructure is emerging in China, with a fully domestic supply chain entering a new cycle [25]. - New connectivity solutions are expected to emerge in 2026, presenting additional investment opportunities [26]. - AI-driven network upgrades are enhancing communication capacity demands, with rapid advancements in network innovation and technology applications [27]. Key Industry News - Corning has signed a long-term supply agreement worth $6 billion with Meta to support its data center expansion in the U.S. [10]. - NVIDIA has invested $2 billion in CoreWeave to enhance AI computing capabilities [12]. - Microsoft has launched its second-generation AI chip, Maia 200, aimed at optimizing AI inference costs [14][15]. - The personal AI assistant ClawdBot has gained significant traction globally, showcasing advanced capabilities [16][17]. - Microsoft and Meta reported substantial increases in capital expenditures, reflecting their commitment to infrastructure growth [18][19].

来源：新浪基金∞工作室 电信ETF汇添富（560300）业绩比较基准为中证电信主题指数收益率，管理人为汇添富基金管理股份有 限公司，基金经理为何丽竹，成立（2023-12-05）以来回报为105.17%，近一个月回报为0.12%。 2月3日，电信ETF汇添富（560300）开盘跌0.15%，报2.045元。电信ETF汇添富（560300）重仓股方 面，中国移动开盘涨0.00%，中国联通涨0.62%，中国电信涨0.00%，中国卫通涨1.97%，中际旭创涨 2.71%，银之杰涨0.73%，新易盛涨4.10%，中兴通讯涨1.08%，天孚通信涨5.66%，中天科技涨1.77%。 声明：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文基于第三方数据库自动发布，不代表新浪财经观点，任何在本文 出现的信息均只作为参考，不构成个人投资建议。如有出入请以实际公告为准。如有疑问，请联系 biz@staff.sina.com.cn。 ...

二月交易日刚开启，大A就跌懵了，主要指数均跌超2%。 今日特高压板块逆势上涨，电网设备ETF(159326)放量上涨1.33%，年初至今累计上涨近18%。 板块轮动，开始了吗？ 01 订单排到两年后 周末消息非常多。 首先，也是关注度最高的，即国际黄金和白银价格遭遇史诗级暴跌，均创下数十年最大单日跌幅。 | | | 金属期货表现 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 代码 | 名称 | 现价 | 涨幅(结)1 | | -13 | aq2604 | 沪银2604 | 24832 | -17.00% | | 2 | pd2606 | #2606 | 413.70 | -16.00% | | ਤੇ | pt2606 | 铝2606 | 552.15 | -16.00% | | র্ব | au2604 | 沪金2604 | 1008.60 | -15.73% | | રે | Ic2605 | 英语:2605 | 132440 | -13.99% | | 6 | ni2603 | 沪煌2603 | 129650 | -11.00% | | 7 | sn2603 | 沪铝 ...

Group 1: Macro Insights - The report highlights that the recent volatility in gold and silver prices is primarily driven by market momentum reversals, with silver attracting high leverage and speculative funds since November 2025 [2][5] - The report anticipates that after the appointment of the new Federal Reserve Chairman, there will be more interest rate cuts than the market expects, with short-term U.S. Treasury yields likely to decline [2][4] - The report notes that the recent decline in the manufacturing PMI does not indicate a weakening economy, as it reflects a temporary fluctuation rather than a downward trend [10] Group 2: Commodity Market Analysis - The report indicates that the recent crash in silver prices has led to liquidity risks that may spread to other commodities, particularly in the non-ferrous metals sector [5][6] - It emphasizes the importance of monitoring the support levels for gold prices, particularly the 60-day moving average, which is currently at $4,400 per ounce [5] - The report suggests that the Shanghai Futures Exchange has implemented measures to manage the risk of a one-sided market in silver futures [5] Group 3: Equity Market Outlook - The report predicts a rebound in the A-share market following the Spring Festival, driven by positive sentiment from performance forecasts and new developments in sectors like AI applications and commercial aerospace [6][10] - It advises a balanced ETF allocation in domestic equities, reflecting a cautious yet optimistic outlook for the market [11] Group 4: Bond Market Perspective - The report notes that the bond market is expected to see increased buying activity due to risk aversion and expectations of monetary easing, with 10-year yields projected to decline to around 1.80% [7][10] - It highlights that the recent adjustments in risk appetite have created trading opportunities in government bonds as a hedge against stock market volatility [4][7]

Investment Performance - The January stock portfolio achieved a return of +15.42%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index and CSI 300 Index by 13.77 percentage points and 8.31 percentage points respectively [2] - The portfolio included one Hong Kong stock with a return of 11.04%, while the Hang Seng Index rose by 6.85% [2] - The top-performing sectors included non-ferrous metals (+23%), media (+18%), and oil and petrochemicals (+16%) [2] February Investment Strategy Outlook - The A-share market has seen increased volatility since late January, influenced by valuation levels and external factors such as precious metals and the US dollar index [3] - The strategy suggests selecting stocks with solid fundamentals and low implied expectations, while maintaining a balanced portfolio to avoid overexposure to any single sector [3] - Key indicators to monitor include the trends in precious metals, the US dollar index, and A-share market trading volume [3] February Stock Recommendations Power Equipment and New Energy - Zhongtian Technology (600522.SH) is recommended due to its leadership in optical fiber and expected benefits from increased demand driven by AI investments and a significant investment plan from the State Grid [5][6] Electronics - Helin Micro-Nano (688661.SH) is favored for its potential growth in the chip testing market, driven by increased complexity and demand for FT probes [7] Robotics - Amperelong (301413.SZ) is highlighted for its expansion in automotive sensor products and its role in the emerging field of humanoid robots [9][10] Media - Alibaba-W (09988.HK) is recommended due to its rapid growth in cloud services and AI-related products, with a significant market share in China's public cloud IaaS market [12][13] Transportation - Southern Airlines (600029.SH) is positioned to benefit from high capacity and operational efficiency, with a projected increase in passenger volume [14] New Materials - Huafeng Aluminum (601702.SH) is expected to benefit from the demand for aluminum materials in the new energy vehicle sector and the trend of "aluminum replacing copper" [16] Building Materials - China Jushi (600176.SH) is recommended as it is positioned to benefit from a market shift in electronic fabrics and the ongoing demand for fiberglass [17] Real Estate - China Merchants Shekou (001979.SZ) is favored for its strong asset structure optimization and focus on core cities, which positions it well in the current market environment [18] Non-Banking Financials - China Life (601628.SH) is expected to perform well in 2026, with strong sales and investment returns [19] North Exchange - Haixi Communications (920405.BJ) is recommended due to its expanding energy storage business and stable traditional operations [22]

来源：新浪基金∞工作室 电信ETF汇添富（560300）业绩比较基准为中证电信主题指数收益率，管理人为汇添富基金管理股份有 限公司，基金经理为何丽竹，成立（2023-12-05）以来回报为110.98%，近一个月回报为3.69%。 声明：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文基于第三方数据库自动发布，不代表新浪财经观点，任何在本文 出现的信息均只作为参考，不构成个人投资建议。如有出入请以实际公告为准。如有疑问，请联系 biz@staff.sina.com.cn。 2月2日，电信ETF汇添富（560300）开盘跌0.47%，报2.100元。电信ETF汇添富（560300）重仓股方 面，中国移动开盘跌3.40%，中国联通跌2.35%，中国电信跌3.33%，中国卫通涨0.79%，中际旭创跌 2.16%，银之杰跌0.70%，新易盛涨9.00%，中兴通讯跌0.73%，天孚通信涨0.54%，中天科技涨0.67%。 ...