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长江电力:电量提升、费用下降,水电龙头业绩高增
GF SECURITIES· 2024-09-05 06:10
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4]. Core Views - The company is expected to see a 29% year-on-year increase in performance for the first half of 2024, driven by improved water inflow and reduced costs [2]. - The company achieved a revenue of 34.808 billion yuan in H1 2024, a 12.38% increase year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 11.362 billion yuan, a 27.92% increase year-on-year [2][9]. - The report highlights the company's commitment to a 70% dividend payout ratio during the 14th Five-Year Plan, indicating stable dividend expectations [2][26]. Summary by Sections 1. Performance Improvement - The company reported a significant increase in net profit for H1 2024, with a 27.9% year-on-year growth, attributed to better water inflow and a low base from the previous year [9]. - The total power generation reached 1,206 billion kWh, a 16.9% increase year-on-year, with Q2 showing a remarkable 42.5% increase [2][16]. 2. Water Inflow and Power Generation - The report notes that the recovery of water inflow has led to a substantial increase in power generation, with plans to achieve 3,074 billion kWh in 2024 under normal water conditions [2][16]. - The company has implemented a six-reservoir joint dispatch system to optimize power generation and mitigate water inflow fluctuations [19]. 3. Investment and Growth - The company is actively investing in domestic hydropower companies, with investment income increasing by 8.9% year-on-year in H1 2024 [2]. - The report emphasizes the company's strategy to develop integrated wind and solar power projects alongside hydropower, with a total installed capacity of nearly 2.65 million kW as of H1 2024 [22][25]. 4. Financial Projections - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 34.255 billion yuan, 35.907 billion yuan, and 38.125 billion yuan for the years 2024 to 2026, respectively [26]. - The report suggests a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 23 for 2024, leading to a target price of 32.20 yuan per share [4][26].
长江电力:电量高发蓄水充足,财务费用显著减少
申万宏源· 2024-09-05 04:39
上 市 公 司 证 券 研 究 报 告 - 公用事业 2024 年 09 月 01 日 长江电力 (600900) ——电量高发蓄水充足 财务费用显著减少 | --- | --- | |-------------------------------------------------|-------------------------------| | 市场数据: | 2024 年 08 月 30 日 | | 收盘价(元) | 29.38 | | 一年内最高 / 最低(元) | 31.44/21.58 | | 市净率 | 3.5 | | | 2.79 | | 息率(分红/股价) | | | 流通 A 股市值(百万元) 上证指数 / 深证成指 | 705,333 2,842.21/8,348.48 | | 注:"息率"以最近一年已公布分红计算 | | | --- | --- | |---------------------------------------------|-------------------------------| | | | | 基础数据 : | 2024 年 06 月 30 日 | | ...
长江电力:来水改善带动业绩增长 历史新高之际重申配置价值
Hua Yuan Zheng Quan· 2024-09-04 02:30
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance in the near term [2]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 34.808 billion yuan for the first half of 2024, a year-on-year increase of 12.38%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 11.362 billion yuan, up 27.92%, aligning with expectations [2]. - Improved water inflow and a slight decline in electricity prices are expected to influence the company's performance, with total electricity generation reaching 120.618 billion kWh, a 16.86% increase year-on-year [2]. - Financial expenses decreased more than anticipated, contributing significantly to profit growth, with interest expenses dropping to 5.704 billion yuan, a reduction of 777 million yuan compared to the same period in 2023 [2]. - The report emphasizes the continued attractiveness of hydropower assets, suggesting that the market is re-evaluating the low correlation of hydropower assets, which could lead to a structural bull market for this sector [2]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company achieved a total revenue of 34.808 billion yuan in H1 2024, with a net profit of 11.362 billion yuan, reflecting strong growth [2]. - The financial expenses saw a significant decline, with interest expenses at 5.704 billion yuan, down from the previous year [2]. - Investment income rose to 2.56 billion yuan, marking a 20.55% increase year-on-year [2]. Market Analysis - The report highlights a favorable shift in the discount rate for equity assets, with the implied discount rate for the company decreasing from approximately 10% in 2020 to 7.1% by mid-2024 [2]. - The narrowing of the risk-free rate and credit spread is seen as beneficial for equity assets, particularly in the hydropower sector, which is less affected by macroeconomic fluctuations [2]. Earnings Forecast - The report projects net profits for 2024, 2025, and 2026 to be 33.994 billion yuan, 35.742 billion yuan, and 37.423 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 21, 20, and 19 [4][5].
长江电力:北京德恒律师事务所关于中国长江电力股份有限公司2024年第三次临时股东大会的见证法律意见
2024-09-03 09:54
关于中国长江电力股份有限公司 2024 年第三次临时股东大会的 法律意见 德恒 01G20220548-19 号 致:中国长江电力股份有限公司 北京德恒律师事务所 关于中国长江电力股份有限公司 2024 年第三次临时股东大会的 法律意见 北京市西城区金融街 19 号富凯大厦 B 座 12 层 电话:010-52682888 传真:010-52682999 邮编:100033 北京德恒律师事务所 关于中国长江电力股份有限公司 2024 年第三次临时股东大会的法律意见 北京德恒律师事务所 中国长江电力股份有限公司(以下简称"公司")2024 年第三次临时股东 大会(以下简称"本次会议")于 2024 年 9 月 3 日(星期二)召开。北京德恒 律师事务所(以下简称"本所")受公司委托,指派杨兴辉律师、王曦律师(以 下简称"本所律师")出席了本次会议。根据《中华人民共和国公司法》(以下 简称"《公司法》")、《中华人民共和国证券法》(以下简称"《证券法》")、 《上市公司股东大会规则》(以下简称"《股东大会规则》")、《中国长江电 力股份有限公司章程》(以下简称"《公司章程》")的相关规定,本所律师就 本次会议的召 ...
长江电力2024年中报点评:来水偏丰驱动主业增长,投资收益稳中向好
中国银河· 2024-09-03 08:39
公司点评报告 · 公用事业行业 来水偏丰驱动主业增长,投资收益稳中向好 — 长江电力 2024 年中报点评 核心观点 ● ● ● ● ● ● ● 事件:公司发布 2024年中报,上半年实现营收 348.08亿元,同比+12.38%, 实现归母净利 113.62 亿元(扣非 113.70 亿元),同比+27.92%(扣非同比 +33.83%)。24Q2单季度实现营收 191.67亿元,同比+23.05%,实现归母净 利 73.95亿元(扣非 73.91亿元),同比+40.35%(扣非同比+50.04%)。 盈利能力提升,现金流良好:24H1,公司 ROE(加权) 为 5.56%,同比 +1.28pct。毛利率 52.38%,同比+2.45pct;期间费用率 18.76%,同比-3.87pct, 主要得益于财务费用率下降 4.08pct 至 16.23%。24H1,公司实现经营性净现 金流 229.84亿元,同比减少 8.38%,主要系应收电费较期初增加所致。 来水偏丰驱动主业增长,投资收益稳中向好:24H1,乌东德水库来水总量 约 366.60亿立方米,较上年同期偏丰 11.40%;三峡水库来水总量约1479. ...
长江电力:2024年中报点评:来水改善电量高增,财务费用持续缩减
Soochow Securities· 2024-09-03 07:30
证券研究报告·公司点评报告·电力 长江电力(600900) 2024 年中报点评:来水改善电量高增,财务 费用持续缩减 2024 年 09 月 03 日 买入(维持) | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |------------------------------|--------|-------|-------|-------|-------| | 盈利预测与估值 [Table_EPS] | 2022A | 2023A | 2024E | 2025E | 2026E | | 营业总收入(百万元) | 68863 | 78112 | 87230 | 89168 | 90317 | | 同比( % ) | 23.75 | 13.43 | 11.67 | 2.22 | 1.29 | | 归母净利润(百万元) | 23726 | 27239 | 34350 | 36135 | 37656 | | 同比( % ) | (9.69) | 14.81 | 26.10 | 5.20 | 4.21 | | EPS- 最新摊薄(元 / 股) | 0.97 | 1.11 | 1.40 | ...
长江电力:来水改善利润高增,财务费用下降
Tebon Securities· 2024-09-03 05:41
[Table_Main] 证券研究报告 | 公司点评 长江电力(600900.SH) 2024 年 09 月 03 日 增持(维持) 所属行业:公用事业/电力 当前价格(元):29.71 证券分析师 郭雪 资格编号:S0120522120001 邮箱:guoxue@tebon.com.cn 联系人 刘正 邮箱:liuzheng3@tebon.com.cn 市场表现 长江电力 沪深300 -29% -14% 0% 14% 29% 43% 57% 2023-09 2024-01 2024-05 沪深300对比 1M 2M 3M 绝对涨幅(%) -1.36 3.49 14.65 相对涨幅(%) 3.15 9.61 23.44 资料来源:德邦研究所,聚源数据 相关研究 1.《长江电力(600900.SH):业绩符 合预期,24Q1 财务费用下降明显》, 2024.5.6 2.《长江电力(600900.SH):Q4 业绩 同比高增,乌白增发效益有望体现》, 2024.1.21 3.《长江电力(600900.SH):Q3 来水 转好,业绩显著提升》,2023.11.6 4.《长江电力(600900.SH):来水偏 枯影响 ...
长江电力:2Q24来水改善,业绩同比高增
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2024-09-02 05:08
长江电力 (600900.SH) 买入(维持评级) 公司点评 证券研究报告 2Q24 来水改善,业绩同比高增 业绩简评 8 月 30 日公司发布 24 年半年报,1H24 全年实现营收 348.1 亿, 同比+12.4%;实现归母净利 113.6 亿,同比+27.9%。2Q24 实现营 收 191.7 亿,同比+23.0%;实现归母净利 74.0 亿元,同比+40.4%。 经营分析 2Q24 来水改善,1H24 公司发电量同比+16.9%。2Q24 来水同比大幅 改善, 1Q24/2Q24 公司六座电站分别完成发电量 527.5/678.7 亿 度,同比分别-5.1%/+42.5%;上半年合计完成发电量 1206.2 亿度, 同比+16.9%,其中节水增发 44.7亿度,主因综合耗水率同比-1.9%。 23年市场化电量占比约4成,平均上网电价小幅下降。 截至 2023 年底,公司市场化交易电量占比约 37.8%,占比提升主因 23年注 入的乌白电站发电量市场化电量占比较高。1H24 公司实现营收同 比+12.4%,略低于发电量增幅,或因:1)水电增发缓解电力供需 矛盾,市场化电价同比下行;2)2Q24 来水改 ...
呃...暑期档跌惨了
猫笔刀· 2024-09-01 14:07
昨天有一些读者不理解黑神话这种单机游戏,我为什么能知道全世界其他玩家的进度,因为它不是纯单机,它玩的时候需要登陆steam、epic、wegame这 种平台来读取之前的进度,同时上传自己的游戏数据,所以平台上有所有玩家的进度统计。 这其实是一种很好的防盗版手段,以前的单机游戏可以脱网玩,盗版随便破解,所以现在单机游戏代码里写入了大量需要联网的互动,盗版就无从下手 了。 这个周末新闻不少,我帮大家捋捋有价值的信息。 1、周五彭博社传中国政府正在考虑调降存量房贷的利率,可信度高,因为有降利率的客观需求也有降利率的客观条件。受利好刺激,周五房地产板块一 度大涨7%。有网友说降存量房贷利率和地产股没关系,不是这样的,没有直接利好,但有间接利好。把视野拉高一点,降存量房贷利率对全社会都是利 好,除了银行和储户要让利。 有个相关数据,2季度个人住房贷款余额37.79万亿,同比下降2.1%,利率不降的话老百姓一有钱就提前还贷。 2、机构统计的中国百城房屋价格指数显示,8月份二手房环比下跌0.71%,同比下跌6.9%,已经连续28个月下跌。另外全国50城租金环比下跌0.2%,同比 下跌2.13%。这个是机构统计的,大概每个月 ...