- Model Name: Expected High Dividend Portfolio; Model Construction Idea: The model uses a two-stage approach to construct the expected dividend yield indicator. The first stage calculates the dividend yield based on the annual report's profit distribution, and the second stage predicts and calculates the dividend yield using historical dividends and fundamental indicators. Additionally, two short-term factors affecting dividend yield—reversal factor and profitability factor—are used to assist in screening, and the selection is made from the CSI 300 constituent stocks to construct the expected high dividend portfolio. The portfolio holds 30 stocks each period and rebalances monthly[3][8] - Model Construction Process: 1. Exclude suspended and limit-up stocks from the CSI 300 constituent stocks to form the candidate stock pool[13] 2. Exclude the top 20% of stocks with the highest short-term momentum (i.e., the top 20% of stocks with the highest 21-day cumulative gains) from the stock pool[13] 3. Exclude stocks with declining profitability (i.e., stocks with a negative year-on-year growth rate of quarterly net profit)[13] 4. Rank the remaining stocks in the stock pool by expected dividend yield and select the top 30 stocks with the highest expected dividend yield to construct the portfolio equally weighted[9] - Model Evaluation: The model's historical performance is outstanding, with a cumulative return of 358.90% and a cumulative excess return of 107.44% relative to the CSI 300 Total Return Index. The annualized excess return is 8.87%, with a maximum rolling one-year drawdown of only 12.26% and a monthly excess win rate of 60.19%[11] Model Backtest Results - Expected High Dividend Portfolio, average return in September 2025: -5.35%, underperformed the CSI 300 Index by 8.09% and the CSI Dividend Index by 3.87%[3][14] - Best performing stocks in September 2025: CITIC Special Steel (3.81%), Yutong Bus (-0.35%), Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (-1.75%), Shuanghui Development (-1.90%)[15] Factor Construction and Evaluation - Factor Name: Expected Dividend Yield Factor; Factor Construction Idea: The factor is constructed by predicting dividend distribution using the method of dividend distribution combined with fundamental indicators. Two short-term factors affecting dividend yield—reversal factor and profitability factor—are used to assist in screening[14] - Factor Construction Process: 1. Calculate the dividend yield based on the annual report's profit distribution[8] 2. Predict and calculate the dividend yield using historical dividends and fundamental indicators[8] - Factor Evaluation: The factor is used to assist in screening and constructing the expected high dividend portfolio, which has shown outstanding historical performance[3][8] Factor Backtest Results - Expected Dividend Yield Factor, average return in September 2025: -5.35%, underperformed the CSI 300 Index by 8.09% and the CSI Dividend Index by 3.87%[3][14]

表决结果：同意 11 票，反对 0 票，弃权 0 票。 特此公告。 中国长江电力股份有限公司董事会 2025 年 10 月 13 日 1 股票代码：600900 股票简称：长江电力 公告编号：2025-048 中国长江电力股份有限公司 第六届董事会第四十七次会议决议公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、 误导性陈述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承 担法律责任。 中国长江电力股份有限公司（以下简称公司）第六届董事会 第四十七次会议于 2025 年 10 月 13 日以通讯方式召开。会议应 到董事 11 人，实到 11 人，符合《公司法》和《公司章程》等有 关规定。会议以通讯表决方式审议通过《关于增设河北青龙冰沟 抽水蓄能有限公司为长江电力子企业的议案》。 同意增设河北青龙冰沟抽水蓄能有限公司为公司二级子企 业。 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the public utility and environmental sectors [1][5][29]. Core Views - The report highlights the significant growth in the public utility and environmental sectors, with the public utility index rising by 3.45% and the environmental index by 1.49% during the week [1][31]. - The report emphasizes the importance of green methanol production, which significantly reduces carbon emissions throughout its lifecycle, and outlines the two main production routes: biological methanol and electro-methanol [2][15]. - The report suggests that coal and electricity prices are expected to decline simultaneously, allowing thermal power profitability to remain reasonable, and recommends major thermal power companies such as Huadian International and Shanghai Electric [3][29]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.51%, while the public utility index rose by 3.45% and the environmental index by 1.49%, with respective relative returns of 3.97% and 2.00% [1][31]. - Within the power sector, thermal power increased by 7.83%, hydropower by 2.30%, and renewable energy generation by 3.72% [1][31]. Important Events - As of October 12, 2025, multiple provinces have released documents related to the "136 Document" and initiated or completed competitive pricing for new energy incremental projects [1][23]. Investment Strategy - The report recommends several companies across different sectors: - For thermal power: Huadian International and Shanghai Electric [3][29]. - For renewable energy: Longyuan Power, Three Gorges Energy, and regional offshore wind companies [3][29]. - For nuclear power: China Nuclear Power and China General Nuclear Power [3][29]. - For hydropower: Yangtze Power [3][29]. - For gas: Jiufeng Energy [3][29]. - For environmental services: China Everbright Environment and Zhongshan Public Utilities [3][30]. Key Company Earnings Forecasts - The report provides earnings forecasts and investment ratings for several companies, all rated as "Outperform" [5][8]: - Huadian International (Code: 600027.SH) - Longyuan Power (Code: 001289.SZ) - China Nuclear Power (Code: 601985.SH) - Yangtze Power (Code: 600900.SH) - Jiufeng Energy (Code: 605090.SH) Special Research - The report discusses the production routes for green methanol, emphasizing the need for renewable hydrogen and carbon sources [2][15]. - It also details the competitive pricing results for new energy projects across various provinces, highlighting specific prices and execution periods [23][26].

Investment Rating - The report suggests a positive outlook for the hydropower sector, recommending attention to large hydropower companies due to improved fundamentals [2][5][10]. Core Insights - The report highlights that the autumn floods have positively impacted hydropower generation, with significant increases in water inflow expected to continue [2][5]. - It notes the government's efforts to regulate irrational price competition in the electricity market, which is anticipated to alleviate non-competitive pricing behaviors [6][7]. - The report discusses the fluctuations in global natural gas prices, with U.S. prices remaining low while European prices have rebounded due to geopolitical tensions and increased heating demand [11][19]. Summary by Sections Electricity Sector - The report indicates that the hydropower generation for the first three quarters of 2025 was approximately 235.13 billion kWh, remaining stable compared to the previous year, although Q3 saw a decrease of 5.84% [2][5]. - The government has issued a notice to combat price disorder in the electricity market, promoting fair competition and price stability [6][7]. - Recommendations include focusing on large hydropower companies like Guotou Power and Chuan Investment Energy, as well as green energy firms due to stable returns from existing projects [10]. Natural Gas Sector - As of October 10, 2025, the Henry Hub spot price was $2.90/mmBtu, reflecting a weekly decrease of 9.03%, while European gas prices have seen an increase due to rising demand and geopolitical concerns [11][19]. - The report notes that LNG prices in Northeast Asia have risen to $11.00/mmBtu, influenced by European price trends [26]. - It suggests that the city gas companies are expected to benefit from lower costs and improved profitability due to recent price adjustments [32]. Environmental Sector - The report emphasizes the importance of high-dividend stocks in the environmental sector, recommending companies like Zhongshan Public Utilities and Everbright Environment for their stable performance [10]. - It also highlights the ongoing transition towards cleaner energy sources and the potential for increased returns from environmental value releases [10].

证券研究报告·行业跟踪周报·公用事业 公用事业行业跟踪周报 山东有序推动绿电直连发展，宁电入湘正式 投入商运 增持（维持） [Table_Tag] [投资要点 Table_Summary ] ◼ 投资建议：迎峰度夏关注水电、火电投资机会。1 ）火电： 迎峰度夏建 议关注区域火电投资机会 。 建议关注【建投能源】【华电国际】【华能 国际】【国电电力】【申能股份】【皖能电力】。2 ）水电：量价齐升、 低成本受益市场化。 度电成本所有电源中最低，省内水电市场电价持续 提升，外输可享当地电价。现金流优异分红能力强，折旧期满盈利持续 释放。重点推荐【长江电力】。3 ）核电：成长确定、远期盈利 & 分红提 升。 22/23 年连续两年核准 10 台，24 年再获 11 台核准，成长再提速。 在建机组投运+资本开支逐步见顶。公司 ROE 看齐成熟项目有望翻倍， 分红同步提升。重点推荐【中国核电】【中国广核】，建议关注【中广 核电力 H】。4 ）绿电：化债推进财政发力，绿电国补欠款历史问题有 望得到解决。资产质量见底回升，绿电成长性再次彰显。 重点推荐【龙 净环保】，建议关注【龙源电力 H】【中闽能源】【三峡能源】。5 ）消 ...

Core Viewpoint - The performance of the CSI 300 ETF managed by CICC has shown a decline in its key holdings, reflecting broader market trends and investor sentiment [1] Group 1: ETF Performance - As of the midday close on October 13, the CSI 300 ETF (510320) fell by 1.86%, priced at 1.215 yuan, with a trading volume of 6.6276 million yuan [1] - Since its inception on April 16, 2025, the fund has achieved a return of 23.82%, with a monthly return of 3.84% [1] Group 2: Key Holdings Performance - Major holdings in the CSI 300 ETF include: - Kweichow Moutai down by 0.98% - CATL down by 3.64% - Ping An Insurance down by 1.04% - China Merchants Bank down by 0.62% - Industrial Bank unchanged - Yangtze Power up by 0.14% - Midea Group down by 1.55% - Zijin Mining down by 2.36% - BYD down by 2.57% - Eastmoney down by 2.76% [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" outlook on the hydropower sector, particularly large hydropower projects, due to improved fundamentals and favorable weather conditions [2][6]. Core Insights - The report highlights that the autumn floods have positively impacted hydropower generation, with significant increases in water inflow expected in the coming days [2][6]. - The announcement from the National Development and Reform Commission regarding the regulation of price competition is expected to alleviate irrational competition in the electricity market [2][8]. - Global natural gas prices are experiencing fluctuations, with U.S. prices remaining low while European prices are rebounding due to geopolitical tensions and increased heating demand [12][21]. Summary by Sections Electricity Sector - The report notes that hydropower generation in the Yangtze River basin has reached historical highs due to concentrated rainfall, with a total generation of approximately 235.13 billion kWh in the first three quarters of 2025, remaining stable compared to the previous year [2][6]. - The announcement on regulating price competition aims to create a fair market environment, which is expected to reduce irrational pricing behaviors in the electricity sector [7][8]. - Recommendations include focusing on large hydropower companies such as Guotou Power, Chuan Investment Energy, and Yangtze Power, as well as green energy firms like Xintian Green Energy and Longyuan Power [11]. Natural Gas Sector - As of October 10, 2025, U.S. Henry Hub spot prices were $2.90/mmBtu, reflecting a weekly decrease of 9.03%, while European gas prices, such as the TTF, saw an increase of 5.26% to €32.63/MWh [12][14]. - The report indicates that the natural gas consumption in August 2025 showed a year-on-year increase of 1.8%, with total consumption reaching 364.1 billion m³ [34]. - Investment recommendations include focusing on integrated natural gas companies like Kunlun Energy and New Hope Energy, as well as gas trading firms [36]. Environmental Sector - The report suggests that companies with stable performance and high dividend yields, such as Zhongshan Public Utilities and Everbright Environment, should be monitored for potential investment opportunities [11]. - The ongoing development of carbon trading markets and environmental regulations is expected to enhance the performance of companies in the environmental sector [46].

Group 1 - The A500ETF by Jiashi has a recent trading turnover of 1.89% with a transaction volume of 221 million yuan, and the average daily transaction volume over the past year is 2.273 billion yuan [2] - The latest scale of A500ETF Jiashi has reached 11.864 billion yuan, with a net inflow of 39.6982 million yuan recently, and a total of 37.2251 million yuan in the last four trading days [2] - As of October 10, 2023, the net value of A500ETF Jiashi has increased by 15.15% over the past year, with the highest monthly return since inception being 11.71% and the longest consecutive monthly increase being 5 months with a total increase of 28.61% [2] Group 2 - The Huajin Strategy maintains that the long-term trend of a slow bull market in A-shares remains unchanged, despite short-term emotional pressures [2] - The structural recovery of A-share profits and potential credit recovery are expected to support the slow bull trend, with the long-term profit trend influenced by China's economic and policy factors [2] - The top ten weighted stocks in the CSI A500 index include Ningde Times, Kweichow Moutai, and China Ping An, collectively accounting for 19% of the index [3] Group 3 - The top ten stocks by weight in the A500 index show varied performance, with Kweichow Moutai down by 0.76% and Ningde Times up by 0.48%, indicating mixed market reactions [5] - Investors without stock accounts can access the A500ETF Jiashi through the Jiashi A500 ETF linked fund (022454) for exposure to the top 500 A-shares [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the utility sector [8] Core Insights - The auction results for mechanism electricity prices in Yunnan show that the clearing prices for photovoltaic projects are 0.33 CNY/kWh and for wind projects are 0.332 CNY/kWh, both very close to the auction ceiling [2][10] - The market expectations for Yunnan's new energy market are relatively stable and rational, with strong auction results reinforcing previous weak profitability expectations for new energy, especially photovoltaic [2][10] - Multiple provinces have initiated auction mechanisms for 2025 electricity prices, indicating a divergence in regional development rhythms, with provinces facing significant consumption pressure or high photovoltaic ratios likely to slow down photovoltaic development [2][10] Summary by Sections Auction Results - Yunnan's first auction for incremental new energy projects had a high bid success rate of 96.22%, with 509 out of 529 projects winning bids [10] - The auction price ranges for photovoltaic and wind projects were 0.22-0.3358 CNY/kWh and 0.18-0.3358 CNY/kWh respectively, with the clearing prices very close to the upper limits [10] Regional Development - Several provinces, including Jiangxi, Shanghai, Heilongjiang, and Xinjiang, have released their 2025 mechanism electricity price auction plans, with varying total scales and auction price ranges [10] - The report suggests that provinces with high photovoltaic ratios may see a slowdown in development through mechanism electricity allocation [10] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on quality transformation coal power operators such as Huaneng International, Datang Power, and Guodian Power, as well as hydropower companies like Yangtze Power and State Power Investment [10] - In the new energy sector, it suggests investing in companies like Longyuan Power, Xintian Green Energy, China Nuclear Power, and Zhongmin Energy, indicating a potential recovery in the industry [10]

Core Points - The company reported that the total water inflow for the Wudongde Reservoir was approximately 83.489 billion cubic meters, a decrease of 6.04% compared to the same period last year [1] - The total water inflow for the Three Gorges Reservoir was approximately 298.880 billion cubic meters, a decrease of 4.54% compared to the same period last year [1] - The total power generation from the company's six domestic cascade power stations for the first three quarters of 2025 was approximately 235.126 billion kilowatt-hours, remaining stable compared to the same period last year [1] - In the third quarter, the total power generation from these power stations was approximately 108.470 billion kilowatt-hours, a decrease of 5.84% compared to the same period last year [1]