Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the chemical industry [1]. Core Insights - The report highlights the potential revaluation of phosphate rock value due to ongoing supply-demand tensions, with increasing demand for phosphate fertilizers and lithium iron phosphate batteries [6][4]. - The chemical industry is expected to enter a restocking cycle in 2025, driven by low inventory levels and improving profitability among leading chemical companies [5][27]. - The report emphasizes the expansion of phosphate production capacity by Batian Co., which is set to increase its phosphate rock extraction capacity to 2 million tons per year [4][6]. Summary by Sections Core Target Tracking - The report tracks key companies in the chemical sector, including Batian Co., which is expanding its phosphate production capacity significantly [4][6]. - It also notes the performance of various chemical products, with a focus on price increases for butadiene and polyester filament due to favorable market conditions [10][14]. Market Observation - The chemical sector has shown a relative performance of 6.7% over the past month, outperforming the CSI 300 index [2]. - The report indicates that the chemical industry is experiencing a recovery phase, with several companies poised for growth due to favorable market dynamics [5][27]. Data Tracking - The report provides detailed tracking of price movements for key chemical products, including butadiene, polyester filament, and various fertilizers, indicating a general upward trend in prices [10][12][17]. - It also highlights the current chemical industry sentiment index at 93.10, reflecting a positive outlook for the sector [6][33]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies with low-cost expansion capabilities, such as Wanhua Chemical and various tire manufacturers, as well as those benefiting from rising product prices [5][7]. - It emphasizes the importance of high dividend yield companies in the chemical sector, particularly state-owned enterprises with stable financials [8][29].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the petrochemical industry, suggesting investment opportunities in key companies [3][5]. Core Insights - The EIA has continuously revised down its oil price forecasts for 2025 and 2026, now predicting an average of $66 and $59 per barrel respectively. The forecast for US natural gas prices is $4.1 and $4.8 per million British thermal units for the same years [6][7]. - Global oil demand growth is expected to remain stable, with IEA projecting increases of 740,000 and 760,000 barrels per day for 2025 and 2026 respectively. OPEC forecasts a demand increase of 1.3 million and 1.28 million barrels per day for the same years [10][11]. - On the supply side, OPEC is expected to contribute additional production, with EIA forecasting a global oil production increase of 1.38 million and 1.3 million barrels per day for 2025 and 2026 respectively [15][18]. Summary by Sections Upstream Sector - Brent crude oil futures closed at $65.41 per barrel, a 2.35% increase week-on-week. WTI futures rose by 2.41% to $62.49 per barrel [25]. - The US oil rig count decreased to 576, down by 2 from the previous week and down 28 year-on-year [38][41]. Refining Sector - The Singapore refining margin increased to $12.72 per barrel, while the US gasoline crack spread rose to $27.41 per barrel [6][19]. - The report anticipates improved refining profitability as oil prices adjust, with a gradual recovery expected as economic conditions improve [6][19]. Polyester Sector - PTA prices have risen, while PTA profitability has declined. The report notes that the overall performance of the polyester industry is average, with a potential improvement expected as new capacities come online [6][19]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on high-quality refining companies such as Hengli Petrochemical, Rongsheng Petrochemical, and Dongfang Shenghong. It also suggests investing in companies with high dividend yields like China National Petroleum and CNOOC [21][22]. - For the downstream polyester sector, companies like Tongkun Co. and Wankai New Materials are highlighted as potential investment opportunities [21][22].

本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容 的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示 ●现场会议召开时间：2025年5月20日 14：00 登录新浪财经APP 搜索【信披】查看更多考评等级 ●网络投票时间： 网络投票系统：上海证券交易所股东大会网络投票系统 网络投票起止时间：自2025年5月20日 至2025年5月20日 采用上海证券交易所网络投票系统，通过交易系统投票平台的投票时间为股东大会召开当日的交易时间 段，即9:15-9:25,9:30-11:30，13:00-15:00；通过互联网投票平台的投票时间为股东大会召开当日的9:15- 15:00。 ●股权登记日：2025年5月14日 桐昆集团股份有限公司（以下简称："本公司"）已于2025年4月26日在指定信息披露媒体及上海证券交 易所网站（www.sse.com.cn）上发布了《桐昆集团股份有限公司关于召开2024年年度股东大会的通知》 （公告编号：2025-028。） 本次股东大会将通过上海证券交易所网络投票系统向社会公众股股东提供网络形式的投票平台，根据中 国证监会《关于加强社会公众股股 ...

股票代码：601233 股票简称：桐昆股份 公告编号：2025-035 网络投票系统：上海证券交易所股东大会网络投票系统 网络投票起止时间：自 2025 年 5 月 20 日 至 2025 年 5 月 20 日 采用上海证券交易所网络投票系统，通过交易系统投票平台的投票时间为股东 大会召开当日的交易时间段，即 9:15-9:25,9:30-11:30，13:00-15:00；通过互联网 投票平台的投票时间为股东大会召开当日的 9:15-15:00。 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示 ●现场会议召开时间：2025年5月20日 14：00 ●网络投票时间： 桐昆集团股份有限公司 关于召开2024年年度股东大会的提示性公告 ●股权登记日：2025年5月14日 桐昆集团股份有限公司（以下简称："本公司"）已于2025年4月26日在指定信 息披露媒体及上海证券交易所网站（www.sse.com.cn）上发布了《桐昆集团股份有 限公司关于召开2024年年度股东大会的通知》（公告编号：2025-028。） 本次股 ...

桐昆集团股份有限公司 2024 年 年度股东大会会议材料 桐昆集团股份有限公司 2025 年 5 月 1 目录 | 桐昆集团股份有限公司 2024 | | 年年度股东大会通知 | | 3 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 桐昆集团股份有限公司 2024 | | 年年度股东大会会议须知 | | 5 | | 桐昆集团股份有限公司 2024 | | 年年度股东大会会议议程 | | 7 | | 议案一：关于 | 2024 | 年度董事会工作报告的议案 | | 8 | | 议案二：关于 | 2024 | 年度监事会工作报告的议案 | | 13 | | 议案三：关于 | 2024 | 年度财务决算报告的议案 | | 16 | | 议案四：关于 | 2024 | 年年度报告全文和摘要的议案 | | 18 | | 议案五：关于 | 2024 | 年度利润分配预案的议案 | | 19 | | 议案六：关于 | 2024 | 年度董事薪酬的议案 | 20 | | | 议案七：关于 | 2024 | 年度监事薪酬的议案 | 21 | | | 议案八：关于聘请 2025 | | 年度财务审计机构 ...

[Table_Main] 证券研究报告 | 公司点评 桐昆股份(601233.SH) 2025 年 05 月 12 日 买入（维持） 所属行业：石油石化/炼化及贸易 当前价格(元)：10.83 证券分析师 王华炳 资格编号：S0120524100001 邮箱：wanghb3＠tebon.com.cn 研究助理 市场表现 -43% -34% -26% -17% -9% 0% 9% 17% 26% 2024-05 2024-09 2025-01 桐昆股份 沪深300 | 沪深300对比 | 1M | 2M | 3M | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 绝对涨幅(%) | 8.30 | -11.95 | -11.16 | | 相对涨幅(%) | 3.98 | -9.47 | -9.96 | | 资料来源：德邦研究所，聚源数据 | | | | 相关研究 1.《桐昆股份(601233.SH)：静待桐花 映日开，方得昆玉照朝晖》，2025.1.27 桐昆股份(601233.SH)：盈利水 平显著提升，稳步扩产龙头巩固 投资要点 事件： 点评： 郝逸璇 邮箱：haoyx＠tebon.com.cn 盈 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2] Core Views - The company achieved a significant increase in revenue and net profit in 2024, with operating income reaching 101.31 billion yuan, up 22.6% year-on-year, and net profit attributable to shareholders at 1.20 billion yuan, up 50.8% year-on-year [6] - The company is the largest polyester filament manufacturer in China and is expected to benefit from industry recovery and new capacity investments in regions like Fujian and Anhui [9] - The report anticipates a steady increase in net profit for 2025-2027, projecting net profits of 2.02 billion yuan, 2.99 billion yuan, and 3.41 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.84 yuan, 1.24 yuan, and 1.42 yuan [9] Financial Performance Summary - In Q4 2024, the company reported a revenue of 25.26 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 20.9%, and a net profit of 195 million yuan, up 283.2% year-on-year [6] - For Q1 2025, the company recorded a revenue of 19.42 billion yuan, down 8.0% year-on-year, but net profit increased by 5.4% year-on-year to 611 million yuan [6] - The company’s polyester production capacity is approximately 13 million tons per year, and it plans to add two new production lines in 2025, which are expected to enhance profit margins [6][9] Industry Outlook - The growth rate of polyester filament production capacity is expected to slow down, with a projected CAGR of 1.5% from 2024 to 2026, down from 7.1% from 2017 to 2023 [7] - The demand for polyester filament is projected to increase by 18% in 2024, with an absolute increment of nearly 5 million tons, indicating a positive market outlook [7] - The industry is undergoing consolidation, with the market share of the top six companies increasing from 48% in 2018 to 66% in 2023, suggesting a more favorable competitive environment for larger manufacturers [7]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the oil and petrochemical industry, suggesting investment opportunities in high-quality refining companies and upstream service providers [2][4]. Core Insights - The European refining sector is undergoing significant restructuring due to declining demand, aging facilities, and reduced profitability, with refining capacity decreasing by 4.2 million barrels per day since 2005, a drop of over 23% [4][5]. - The average age of European refineries is 66 years, significantly higher than the global average of 51 years, leading to increased maintenance costs and declining competitiveness [7][10]. - High natural gas prices continue to exert pressure on refinery profitability, with expectations that European gas prices will remain elevated, negatively impacting operational costs [10][12]. - Several refineries are expected to shut down in 2025, including Shell's Rheinland refinery and BP's Gelsenkirchen refinery, collectively removing 390,000 barrels per day of capacity [12][13]. Summary by Sections Upstream Sector - As of May 9, 2025, Brent crude futures closed at $63.91 per barrel, a week-on-week increase of 4.27%, while WTI futures rose by 4.68% to $41.02 per barrel [19]. - U.S. commercial crude oil inventories decreased by 2.032 million barrels to 438 million barrels, which is 7% lower than the five-year average for this time of year [21][22]. - The number of active drilling rigs in the U.S. decreased by 6 to 578, a year-on-year decline of 25 rigs [19][30]. Refining Sector - The Singapore refining margin for major products was $10.90 per barrel as of May 9, 2025, down by $6.31 from the previous week [53]. - The price spread for ethylene was $245.67 per ton, up by $30.80 from the previous week, while propylene saw a decrease in its price spread [4][50]. Polyester Sector - PTA prices increased to an average of 4551.67 RMB per ton, reflecting a week-on-week rise of 0.75% [4][50]. - The overall performance of the polyester industry remains average, with a need to monitor demand changes closely [4][50]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on leading refining companies such as Hengli Petrochemical, Rongsheng Petrochemical, and Dongfang Shenghong due to expected improvements in cost structures and competitive positioning [4][14]. - It also highlights the potential for recovery in the valuation of companies like Satellite Chemical and Tongkun Co., given the anticipated easing of tariffs affecting polyester demand [4][14].

中国化工品牌价值增幅最大，荣盛石化首现前五。 【中国北京】当地时间2025年5月7日，《Brand Finance（品牌金融）2025年全球化工品牌价值榜》正式发布。报告包含全球化工品牌价值50强与全球油漆涂 料品牌价值10强的权威排名。凤凰网作为中国独家首发媒体，同步公布该报告的最新动态。 报告显示，全球前50大化工品牌的总价值下降了1.6%，目前为824.5亿美元，这一变化主要归因于美国和德国等关键西方市场表现欠佳。相比之下，中国化 工品牌在2025年实现了显著的品牌价值增长，增幅达到17.6%。 荣盛石化的品牌价值同比增长5.6%，达到32.3亿美元，排名上升一位，成为首个进入全球化工品牌价值排行榜前五的中国品牌，展现出卓越的市场竞争力。 近期，公司舟山绿色石化基地二期项目的顺利投产，标志着其在高端聚酯材料领域实现了关键技术突破。此外，荣盛石化在海外市场拓展方面亦取得新的进 展，与沙特阿美合资建设的炼化一体化项目稳步推进，进一步巩固并提升了品牌的国际影响力。 万华（品牌价值增长39.8%，达到20.1亿美元）、卫星化学（品牌价值增长33.9%，达到6.4亿美元）以及恒力石化（品牌价值增长31.9%，达到 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's profitability has significantly improved year-on-year, reinforcing its leading position in the industry [1] - The company achieved a revenue of 101.31 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 22.59%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.20 billion yuan, up 50.80% year-on-year [6] - The demand for polyester filament is expected to continue improving, with the company benefiting from its leading market position and production capacity [6] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 101,306.83 million yuan and a net profit of 1,201.90 million yuan, with respective year-on-year growth rates of 22.59% and 50.80% [3] - For Q1 2025, the company recorded a revenue of 194.20 billion yuan, down 8.01% year-on-year, but net profit increased by 5.36% year-on-year to 6.11 billion yuan [6] Market Position - The average operating load for polyester direct-spun filament exceeded 90% in 2024, an increase of 7.8 percentage points from 2023, leading to a production increase of approximately 10% [6] - The company produced 12,818.9 thousand tons of polyester filament in 2024, with sales reaching 12,978.1 thousand tons, marking year-on-year increases of 22.41% and 25.46%, respectively [6] Future Outlook - The polyester filament supply-demand balance is expected to improve further, with the industry likely to eliminate 200-250 thousand tons of outdated capacity between 2024 and 2025 [6] - The company is advancing key projects and diversifying its market presence, including the completion of various projects and the initiation of new ones, which will enhance its competitive edge [6] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The forecasted net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 2.36 billion yuan, 3.59 billion yuan, and 4.43 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.98 yuan, 1.49 yuan, and 1.84 yuan [6] - The company is expected to maintain a strong competitive advantage as an integrated leader in the industry, with a PE ratio of 11.15X for 2025 [6]