Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.01% on January 20, with 20 industries rising, led by the oil and petrochemical sector, which increased by 1.74% [1] - The communication and defense industries experienced the largest declines, with drops of 3.23% and 2.87% respectively [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The main capital outflow from the two markets totaled 95.723 billion yuan, with 11 industries seeing net inflows [1] - The banking sector had the highest net inflow, increasing by 0.80% with a net inflow of 1.472 billion yuan, followed by the real estate sector, which rose by 1.55% with a net inflow of 627 million yuan [1] Oil and Petrochemical Sector - The oil and petrochemical industry rose by 1.74%, with a net outflow of 32.276 million yuan [2] - Out of 47 stocks in this sector, 31 rose while 15 fell, with 18 stocks experiencing net inflows [2] - The top three stocks with significant net inflows were Hengli Petrochemical (1.75 billion yuan), Sinopec (890.169 million yuan), and Continental Oil (587.633 million yuan) [2] Notable Stocks in Oil and Petrochemical Sector - Major stocks with significant net outflows included Rongsheng Petrochemical (-68.2609 million yuan), Baomo Co. (-66.8692 million yuan), and Tongkun Co. (-44.9582 million yuan) [2] - The table of capital flow in the oil and petrochemical sector highlights various stocks, including Hengli Petrochemical with a 6.62% increase and a net inflow of 17.49715 million yuan, and Sinopec with a 1.35% increase and a net inflow of 890.169 million yuan [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for several companies in the chemical industry, including Sinopec, Jiangshan Co., and others [10]. Core Insights - Domestic gasoline and natural gas prices have seen significant increases, while products like hydrochloric acid and liquid chlorine have experienced substantial declines. The report suggests focusing on import substitution, pure domestic demand, and high-dividend opportunities [6][19]. - The international oil prices are expected to stabilize around $65 per barrel in 2026, influenced by geopolitical uncertainties. Companies with high dividend characteristics, such as Sinopec, are expected to benefit from declining raw material costs [6][19]. - The chemical industry is currently in a weak state, with mixed performance across sub-sectors. However, certain sectors like lubricants are performing better than expected, indicating potential investment opportunities [22]. Summary by Sections Chemical Industry Investment Recommendations - The report highlights significant price increases for domestic gasoline (11.38%) and natural gas (8.68%), while products like liquid chlorine (-18.02%) and hydrochloric acid (-13.79%) have seen notable declines [19][20]. - It emphasizes the importance of focusing on sectors that may enter a recovery phase, such as glyphosate, and suggests specific companies for investment [22]. Market Performance - The report notes that the chemical industry is currently facing a weak overall performance, with varying results across different sub-sectors due to past capacity expansions and weak demand [22]. - It recommends monitoring companies with strong competitive positions and growth potential, particularly in the lubricant additives and coal-to-olefins sectors [22]. Price Trends - The report provides insights into the price trends of various chemical products, indicating a mixed performance with some products rebounding while others continue to decline [20][22]. - It also discusses the impact of geopolitical factors on oil prices, which in turn affect the chemical industry [23][24]. Key Companies and Earnings Forecast - The report lists several companies with strong earnings forecasts, including Sinopec, Jiangshan Co., and others, all rated as "Buy" [10][11].

Group 1 - The refining and trading sector increased by 1.46% on January 19, with Bohai Chemical leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4114.0, up 0.29%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14294.05, up 0.09% [1] - Key stocks in the refining and trading sector showed significant price increases, with Bohai Chemical rising by 10.02% to a closing price of 4.50 [1] Group 2 - The main capital flow in the refining and trading sector saw a net inflow of 562 million yuan, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 475 million yuan [2] - Notable stock performances included Hengli Petrochemical, which rose by 6.91% to a closing price of 25.08, and Runbei Hangke, which increased by 6.04% to 42.13 [1][2] - The trading volume for Bohai Chemical reached 956,500 shares, contributing to a transaction value of 413 million yuan [1]

Group 1 - The price spread for domestic key refining projects this week is 2439 CNY/ton, down 102 CNY/ton (4% decrease) compared to the previous week [1] - The price spread for foreign key refining projects this week is 1102 CNY/ton, down 58 CNY/ton (5% decrease) compared to the previous week [1] - The average PX price this week is 893.7 USD/ton, up 3.0 USD/ton compared to the previous week, with a price spread against crude oil of 422.9 USD/ton, down 18.1 USD/ton [2] Group 2 - The average prices for POY, FDY, and DTY in the polyester sector this week are 6657 CNY/ton, 6879 CNY/ton, and 7779 CNY/ton, respectively, with week-on-week increases of 107 CNY/ton, 129 CNY/ton, and 29 CNY/ton [1] - The weekly average profits for POY, FDY, and DTY are -61 CNY/ton, -179 CNY/ton, and -179 CNY/ton, with week-on-week changes of +79 CNY/ton, +93 CNY/ton, and +27 CNY/ton [1] - The inventory levels for POY, FDY, and DTY are 12.8 days, 17.4 days, and 23.2 days, with week-on-week changes of +1.1 days, -2.1 days, and -1.4 days [1] - The operating rate for long filaments is 90.3%, with a week-on-week increase of 0.1 percentage points [1]

Group 1 - The price spread for domestic key refining projects this week is 2439 CNY/ton, a decrease of 102 CNY/ton (down 4%) compared to the previous week [1] - The price spread for foreign key refining projects this week is 1102 CNY/ton, a decrease of 58 CNY/ton (down 5%) compared to the previous week [1] - The average price of PX this week is 893.7 USD/ton, an increase of 3.0 USD/ton compared to the previous week, with a price spread against crude oil of 422.9 USD/ton, a decrease of 18.1 USD/ton [2] Group 2 - The average prices for POY, FDY, and DTY in the polyester sector this week are 6657 CNY/ton, 6879 CNY/ton, and 7779 CNY/ton, with increases of 107 CNY/ton, 129 CNY/ton, and 29 CNY/ton respectively compared to the previous week [1] - The weekly average profits for POY, FDY, and DTY are -61 CNY/ton, -179 CNY/ton, and -179 CNY/ton, with increases of 79 CNY/ton, 93 CNY/ton, and 27 CNY/ton respectively compared to the previous week [1] - The inventory levels for POY, FDY, and DTY are 12.8 days, 17.4 days, and 23.2 days, with changes of +1.1 days, -2.1 days, and -1.4 days respectively compared to the previous week [1] Group 3 - The operating rate for long filaments is 90.3%, an increase of 0.1 percentage points compared to the previous week [1] - Domestic refined oil prices for gasoline, diesel, and aviation kerosene have decreased this week [2] - In the US, gasoline, diesel, and aviation kerosene prices have increased this week [2] Group 4 - Relevant listed companies in the private refining and polyester filament sector include Hengli Petrochemical (600346), Rongsheng Petrochemical (002493), Hengyi Petrochemical (000703), Tongkun Co., Ltd. (601233), and Xin Fengming (603225) [2]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the given content. 2. Core Viewpoints - The cost - end of polyester has strong support, and leading filament producers announced further production cuts. The domestic key large - scale refining and chemical projects' spread this week is 2439 yuan/ton, a week - on - week decrease of 102 yuan/ton (- 4%); the foreign key large - scale refining and chemical projects' spread is 1102 yuan/ton, a week - on - week decrease of 58 yuan/ton (- 5%) [2]. - In the polyester sector, the weekly average prices of POY/FDY/DTY are 6657/6879/7779 yuan/ton respectively, with week - on - week increases of 107/129/29 yuan/ton. The weekly average profits are - 61/- 179/- 179 yuan/ton respectively, with week - on - week increases of 79/93/27 yuan/ton. The inventory levels are 12.8/17.4/23.2 days respectively, with week - on - week changes of + 1.1/- 2.1/- 1.4 days. The filament operating rate is 90.3%, a week - on - week increase of 0.1 pct [2]. - In the refining sector, domestic refined oil prices (gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel) declined this week, while US refined oil prices (gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel) increased [2]. - In the chemical sector, the average PX price this week is 893.7 dollars/ton, a week - on - week increase of 3.0 dollars/ton. The spread compared to crude oil is 422.9 dollars/ton, a week - on - week decrease of 18.1 dollars/ton. The PX operating rate is 90.5%, a week - on - week increase of 1.6 pct [2]. 3. Summary by Directory 1. Big Refining and Chemical Weekly Data Briefing 3.1. Six Private Refining and Chemical Companies' Performance - **Stock price changes**: As of January 16, 2026, the petroleum and petrochemical index had a 1 - week change of - 0.3%, a 1 - month change of 8.3%, a 3 - month change of 13.1%, a 1 - year change of 15.1%, and a change of 11.7% since the beginning of 2025. Among private refining and chemical companies, Rongcheng Petrochemical had corresponding changes of 0.3%, 23.2%, 21.3%, 31.4%, and 30.0%; Hengli Petrochemical had 1.0%, 24.3%, 39.0%, 63.8%, and 58.4%; Hengyi Petrochemical had - 0.3%, 27.1%, 58.0%, 72.1%, and 68.0%; Tongkun Co., Ltd. had 4.2%, 27.8%, 35.2%, 55.6%, and 57.5%; Xin Fengming had 3.1%, 26.8%, 34.4%, 76.8%, and 88.1% [8]. - **Profit forecasts**: For 2024A - 2027E, Hengli Petrochemical's归母 net profit is expected to be 7.0, 8.0, 9.3, and 10.7 billion yuan respectively; Rongcheng Petrochemical's is expected to be 7, 19, 29, and 41 billion yuan respectively; Xin Fengming's is expected to be 1.1, 1.1, 1.7, and 2.3 billion yuan respectively; Tongkun Co., Ltd.'s is expected to be 1.2, 2.0, 3.5, and 4.0 billion yuan respectively; Hengyi Petrochemical's is expected to be 2, 4, 7, and 8 billion yuan respectively [8]. 3.2. Oil Prices and Refining and Chemical Spreads - **International crude oil**: The average price of Brent crude oil this week is 64.5 dollars/barrel, a week - on - week increase of 2.9 dollars/barrel (4.7%), and a year - on - year decrease of 20.2%. In yuan/ton, it is 3300.5 yuan/ton, a week - on - week increase of 143.4 yuan/ton (4.5%), and a year - on - year decrease of 22.2%. The average price of WTI crude oil is 60.0 dollars/barrel, a week - on - week increase of 2.2 dollars/barrel (3.8%), and a year - on - year decrease of 23.5%. In yuan/ton, it is 3085.1 yuan/ton, a week - on - week increase of 108.5 yuan/ton (3.6%), and a year - on - year decrease of 25.4% [8]. - **Refining and chemical spreads**: The spread of domestic refining and chemical projects this week is 2438.8 yuan/ton, a week - on - week decrease of 102.3 yuan/ton (- 4.0%) and a year - on - year increase of 3.1%. The spread of foreign refining and chemical projects is 1102.2 yuan/ton, a week - on - week decrease of 58.4 yuan/ton (- 5.0%) and a year - on - year increase of 19.6% [8]. 3.3. Polyester Sector - **Upstream products**: PX average price is 893.7 dollars/ton, a week - on - week increase of 3.0 dollars/ton, with a spread of 422.9 dollars/ton compared to crude oil, a week - on - week decrease of 18.1 dollars/ton, and an operating rate of 90.5%, a week - on - week increase of 1.6 pct; MEG average price is 3699.3 yuan/ton, a week - on - week increase of 17.1 yuan/ton, with a spread of 398.8 yuan/ton, a week - on - week decrease of 126.3 yuan/ton, inventory of 73.3 tons, a week - on - week increase of 5.0 tons, and an operating rate of 64.9%, a week - on - week increase of 0.3 pct; PTA average price is 5047.1 yuan/ton, a week - on - week decrease of 20.7 yuan/ton, with a single - ton net profit of - 160.9 yuan/ton, a week - on - week decrease of 19.9 yuan/ton, inventory of 3.6 days, no week - on - week change, and an operating rate of 77.4%, a week - on - week increase of 2.3 pct [10]. - **Polyester filaments**: POY average price is 6657.1 yuan/ton, a week - on - week increase of 107.1 yuan/ton, with a single - ton net profit of - 60.5 yuan/ton, a week - on - week increase of 79.1 yuan/ton, and inventory of 12.8 days, a week - on - week increase of 1.1 days; FDY average price is 6878.6 yuan/ton, a week - on - week increase of 128.6 yuan/ton, with a single - ton net profit of - 179.0 yuan/ton, a week - on - week increase of 93.3 yuan/ton, inventory of 17.4 days, a week - on - week decrease of 2.1 days, an operating rate of 90.3%, a week - on - week increase of 0.1 pct, and a sales - to - production ratio of 68.4%, a week - on - week increase of 19.7 pct; DTY average price is 7778.6 yuan/ton, a week - on - week increase of 28.6 yuan/ton, with a single - ton net profit of - 179.0 yuan/ton, a week - on - week increase of 26.9 yuan/ton, and inventory of 23.2 days, a week - on - week decrease of 1.4 days [10]. - **Short fibers and bottle chips**: Polyester short - fiber average price is 6512.9 yuan/ton, a week - on - week decrease of 20.0 yuan/ton, with a single - ton net profit of 9.7 yuan/ton, a week - on - week decrease of 5.3 yuan/ton, inventory of 5.9 days, a week - on - week decrease of 0.1 days, an operating rate of 90.7%, a week - on - week increase of 1.3 pct, and a sales - to - production ratio of 63.1%, a week - on - week increase of 4.9 pct. Polyester bottle - chip average price is 6098.6 yuan/ton, a week - on - week increase of 68.6 yuan/ton, with a single - ton net profit of - 132.6 yuan/ton, a week - on - week increase of 53.5 yuan/ton [10]. - **Downstream products**: The inventory of weaving is 28.2 tons, a week - on - week increase of 0.7 tons, and the operating rate is 54.9%, a week - on - week decrease of 3.0 pct [10]. 3.4. Refining Sector - **China**: Gasoline average price is 146.5 dollars/barrel, a week - on - week decrease of 0.3 dollars/barrel, with a spread of 82.0 dollars/barrel, a week - on - week decrease of 3.2 dollars/barrel; in yuan/ton, it is 7526.1 yuan/ton, a week - on - week decrease of 25.4 yuan/ton, with a spread of 4225.6 yuan/ton, a week - on - week decrease of 168.8 yuan/ton. Diesel average price is 123.3 dollars/barrel, a week - on - week decrease of 1.2 dollars/barrel, with a spread of 58.8 dollars/barrel, a week - on - week decrease of 4.1 dollars/barrel; in yuan/ton, it is 6334.6 yuan/ton, a week - on - week decrease of 70.7 yuan/ton, with a spread of 3034.1 yuan/ton, a week - on - week decrease of 214.1 yuan/ton. Jet fuel average price is 102.1 dollars/barrel, a week - on - week decrease of 0.1 dollars/barrel, with a spread of 37.6 dollars/barrel, a week - on - week decrease of 3.0 dollars/barrel; in yuan/ton, it is 5246.8 yuan/ton, a week - on - week decrease of 11.8 yuan/ton, with a spread of 1946.3 yuan/ton, a week - on - week decrease of 155.2 yuan/ton [10]. - **US**: Gasoline average price is 75.7 dollars/barrel, a week - on - week increase of 3.0 dollars/barrel, with a spread of 11.2 dollars/barrel, a week - on - week increase of 0.1 dollars/barrel; in yuan/ton, it is 3873.7 yuan/ton, a week - on - week increase of 148.6 yuan/ton, with a spread of 573.1 yuan/ton, a week - on - week increase of 5.2 yuan/ton. Diesel average price is 92.5 dollars/barrel, a week - on - week increase of 3.5 dollars/barrel, with a spread of 28.0 dollars/barrel, a week - on - week increase of 0.6 dollars/barrel; in yuan/ton, it is 4731.1 yuan/ton, a week - on - week increase of 171.2 yuan/ton, with a spread of 1430.6 yuan/ton, a week - on - week increase of 27.8 yuan/ton. Jet fuel average price is 82.0 dollars/barrel, a week - on - week increase of 3.3 dollars/barrel, with a spread of 17.5 dollars/barrel, a week - on - week increase of 0.4 dollars/barrel; in yuan/ton, it is 4198.0 yuan/ton, a week - on - week increase of 162.0 yuan/ton, with a spread of 897.5 yuan/ton, a week - on - week increase of 18.5 yuan/ton [10]. - **Europe**: Gasoline average price is 84.9 dollars/barrel, a week - on - week increase of 1.3 dollars/barrel, with a spread of 20.4 dollars/barrel, a week - on - week decrease of 1.6 dollars/barrel; in yuan/ton, it is 4362.3 yuan/ton, a week - on - week increase of 59.5 yuan/ton, with a spread of 1061.8 yuan/ton, a week - on - week decrease of 83.9 yuan/ton. Diesel average price is 86.6 dollars/barrel, a week - on - week increase of 3.0 dollars/barrel, with a spread of 22.1 dollars/barrel, a week - on - week increase of 0.1 dollars/barrel; in yuan/ton, it is 4449.7 yuan/ton, a week - on - week increase of 148.6 yuan/ton, with a spread of 1149.2 yuan/ton, a week - on - week increase of 5.2 yuan/ton. Jet fuel average price is 98.5 dollars/barrel, a week - on - week increase of 4.0 dollars/barrel, with a spread of 34.0 dollars/barrel, a week - on - week increase of 1.1 dollars/barrel; in yuan/ton, it is 5061.2 yuan/ton, a week - on - week increase of 200.5 yuan/ton, with a spread of 1760.7 yuan/ton, a week - on - week increase of 57.1 yuan/ton [10]. - **Singapore**: Gasoline average price is 71.8 dollars/barrel, a week - on - week increase of 1.3 dollars/barrel, with a spread of 7.4 dollars/barrel, a week - on - week decrease of 1.5 dollars/barrel; in yuan/ton, it is 3673.8 yuan/ton, a week - on - week increase of 62.2 yuan/ton, with a spread of 373.3 yuan/ton, a week - on - week decrease of 81.2 yuan/ton. Diesel average price is 81.1 dollars/barrel, a week - on - week increase of 2.8 dollars/barrel, with a spread of 16.6 dollars/barrel, a week - on - week decrease of 0.1 dollars/barrel; in yuan/ton, it is 4147.7 yuan/ton, a week - on - week increase of 136.0 yuan/ton, with a spread of 847.2 yuan/ton, a week - on - week decrease of 7.5 yuan/ton. Jet fuel average price is 82.6 dollars/barrel, a week - on - week increase of 2.0 dollars/barrel, with a spread of 18.2 dollars/barrel, a week - on - week decrease of 0.9 dollars/barrel; in yuan/ton, it is 4228.6 yuan/ton, a week - on - week increase of 95.6 yuan/ton, with a spread of 928.1 yuan/ton, a week - on - week decrease of 47.8 yuan/ton [10]. 3.5. Chemical Products Sector - **EVA**: EVA photovoltaic material average price is 9400 yuan/ton, a week - on - week increase of 250 yuan/ton, with a spread of 6099 yuan/ton, a week - on - week increase of 107 yuan/ton; EVA foaming material average price is 9300 yuan/ton, a week - on - week increase of 100 yuan/ton, with a spread of 5999 yuan/ton, a week - on - week decrease of 43 yuan/ton [10]. - **Polyethylene**: LDPE average price is 9207 yuan/ton, a week - on - week increase of 207 yuan/

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the petrochemical industry [1]. Core Insights - The report highlights that the reduction in production of polyester filament supports the upward movement of product prices [1]. - Domestic and international refining project price differentials are tracked, with domestic key refining project price differential at 2474.39 CNY/ton, a decrease of 21.68 CNY/ton (-0.87%) week-on-week, while the international price differential is at 1105.24 CNY/ton, down by 57.47 CNY/ton (-4.94%) [2][3]. - Brent crude oil's weekly average price is reported at 64.50 USD/barrel, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 4.69% [2]. Summary by Sections Refining Sector - The report discusses the impact of geopolitical tensions in Venezuela and Iran, which have influenced oil prices. Initially, oil prices rose due to these tensions, but later eased as the situation in Iran stabilized and Venezuelan oil exports resumed [2][15]. - Domestic refined oil prices have shown a slight decline, with diesel, gasoline, and aviation kerosene averaging 6334.57 CNY (-70.71), 7526.14 CNY (-25.43), and 5246.79 CNY (-11.79) per ton respectively [15]. Chemical Sector - The chemical products' prices have generally increased due to strong cost support. Polyethylene prices are fluctuating, while polypropylene prices are rising due to reduced supply pressure from increased maintenance [2][43]. - EVA prices have significantly increased due to the cancellation of export tax rebates for photovoltaic products, leading to improved price differentials [2][43]. - Benzene prices have risen, but the price differential remains stable, while styrene prices have increased due to strong overseas demand and declining inventory [2][43]. Polyester & Nylon Sector - In the polyester segment, cost support remains strong, but weak demand in the textile sector has led to a slight increase in PX prices. The overall operating rate has decreased due to maintenance and production cuts in filament plants, resulting in price increases driven by supply-side support [2][43].

Core Viewpoint - Tongkun Group Co., Ltd. successfully redeemed its second phase of ultra-short-term financing bonds for 2025, demonstrating its financial stability and commitment to fulfilling debt obligations [1] Group 1: Financing Details - The company issued the second phase of ultra-short-term financing bonds (referred to as 25 Tongkun SCP002) on April 18, 2025, with a total issuance amount of 500 million RMB [1] - The bonds had a maturity period of 270 days and an interest rate of 2.02%, with the total principal and interest repayment amounting to 507,471,232.88 RMB upon maturity [1] - The funds raised were fully received by the company on April 21, 2025 [1] Group 2: Redemption Information - The bonds matured on January 16, 2026, and the company completed the repayment of both principal and interest on that date [1] - The total amount repaid included both the principal and interest, indicating the company's ability to manage its financial obligations effectively [1]

证券日报网讯1月16日，桐昆股份（601233）在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示，公司出口欧盟地区的 收入在公司整体营业收入中的占比较小，销售方式为直接出口。 ...

Group 1 - The stock price of Tongkun Co., Ltd. (601233) closed at 18.41 yuan on January 16, 2026, down 2.07% from the previous trading day, with a total market capitalization of 44.272 billion yuan [1] - On the same day, the stock opened at 19.0 yuan, reached a high of 19.1 yuan, and a low of 18.32 yuan, with a trading volume of 517 million yuan and a turnover rate of 1.16% [1] - The company announced the issuance of the second phase of ultra-short-term financing bonds for 2025 on April 18, 2025, with a total issuance amount of 500 million yuan, a term of 270 days, and an interest rate of 2.02% [1] Group 2 - The financing bonds matured on January 16, 2026, and the company fully repaid the principal and interest, totaling 507,471,232.88 yuan [1]