上 市 公 司 公 司 研 究 / 公 司 深 2026 年 02 月 25 日 桐昆股份 (601233) 报告原因：强调原有的投资评级 投资要点： 市场数据： 2026 年 02 月 24 日 收盘价（元） 24.51 一年内最高/最低（元） 24.80/9.63 市净率 1.6 股息率%（分红/股价） 0.41 流通 A 股市值（百万元） 58,723 上证指数/深证成指 4,117.41/14,291.57 注："股息率"以最近一年已公布分红计算 | 基础数据: | 2025 年 09 月 30 日 | | --- | --- | | 每股净资产（元） | 15.75 | | 资产负债率% | 66.30 | | 总股本/流通 A 股（百万） | 2,400/2,396 | | 流通 B 股/H 股（百万） | -/- | dingying@swsresearch.com 联系人 邵靖宇 A0230524080001 shaojy@swsresearch.com 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 中庚基金 使用。1 ⚫ 风雨四十载铸就全球长丝巨头，产业链一体化优势稳固。公司成立 40 年来专注涤纶长丝产 业 ...

桐昆股份 –2025 年业绩符合预期，长丝及炼化景气回暖盈利大幅 增长 THE TH 2026 年 02 月 25 日 | 报告原因:有业绩公布需要点评 | | --- | | 2 (维持) | | 市场数据: 2026 年 02 月 24 日 | | --- | | 收盘价（元） 24.51 | | 一年内最高/最低（元） 24.80/9.63 | | 市净率 1.6 | | 股息率%（分红/股价） 0.41 | | 流通 A 股市值 (百万元) 58,723 | | 上证指数/深证成指 | | 注："股息率"以最近一年已公布分红计算 | | 基础数据: | 2025年09月30日 | | --- | --- | | 每股净资产 (元) | 15.75 | | 资产负债率% | 66.30 | | 总股本/流通 A 股 (百万) | 2,400/2,396 | | 流通 B 股/H 股 (百万) | -/- | 年内股价与大儒对 桐昆股份 沪深300指数 收益有 相关研究 申万宏源研究微信服务号 投资要点: 财务数据及盈利预测 | | 2024 | 202501-3 | 2025E | 2026E | 20 ...

——2025 年业绩符合预期，长丝及炼化景气回暖盈利大幅 增长 | 报告原因：有业绩公布需要点评 | | --- | | 买入（维持） | | 市场数据： | 2026 年 02 月 24 日 | | --- | --- | | 收盘价（元） | 24.51 | | 一年内最高/最低（元） | 24.80/9.63 | | 市净率 | 1.6 | | 股息率%（分红/股价） | 0.41 | | 流通 A 股市值（百万元） | 58,723 | | 上证指数/深证成指 | 4,117.41/14,291.57 | | 注："股息率"以最近一年已公布分红计算 | | 石油石化 2026 年 02 月 25 日 桐昆股份 (601233) 一年内股价与大盘对比走势： -50% 0% 50% 100% 02-24 03-24 04-24 05-24 06-24 07-24 08-24 09-24 10-24 11-24 12-24 01-24 02-24 桐昆股份 沪深300指数 (收益率) 相关研究 证券分析师 | 基础数据: | 2025 年 09 月 30 日 | | --- | --- | | 每股净资产（ ...

PX：产量增幅有限，供需或仍偏紧 存量负荷提升空间或极为有限。PX 自 2024 年以来已连续两年无新增 产能，供应增量主要来源于存量技改及短流程提负。这一策略在 2024 年效果较为显著，调油逻辑走弱下炼厂开始"减油增芳烃"，PX 在当 年国内无新增产能的情况下，2024 年全年产量同比+12%。而进入 2025 年，尽管 MX 的供应仍在增加（产量同比+13%），PX 的产量增速却大 幅放缓（产量同比+1%），或侧面说明 PX 产能负荷已接近天花板，再 提升的空间较为有限。 2026 年 02 月 24 日 石油石化 大炼化系列一：聚酯链景气向上！ 引言：欧洲化工企业在高企的能源成本与环保合规成本的挤压 下，产能正在加速收缩，而中国企业正在凭借超级工厂的成本优 势，加速抢占市场份额，全球化工行业"东升西落"的态势日益 清晰。我国民营大炼化具备显著的规模效应，同时上下游配套齐 全，资产具备全球竞争力。站在当前时点，"PX-PTA-涤纶长丝" 产业链在供需格局改善的预期下有望率先展现弹性。 2026 年 PX 供需格局或仍偏紧。供给方面，2026 年 PX 新增投产规划 仍较少，仅华锦阿美一套装置（200 万 ...

截至发稿，闫冬累计任职时间6年345天，现任基金资产总规模217.96亿元，任职期间最佳基金回报 456.3%， 任职期间最差基金回报-41.27%。 从桐昆股份十大流通股东角度 声明：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。 本文基于第三方数据库自动发布，不代表新浪财经观点，任何在本 文出现的信息均只作为参考，不构成个人投资建议。如有出入请以实际公告为准。如有疑问，请联系 biz@staff.sina.com.cn。 数据显示，鹏华基金旗下1只基金位居桐昆股份十大流通股东。鹏华中证细分化工产业主题ETF联接A （014942）三季度新进十大流通股东，持有股数2527.48万股，占流通股的比例为1.05%。根据测算，今 日浮盈赚取约2931.87万元。 责任编辑：小浪快报 2月24日，桐昆股份涨5%，截至发稿，报24.34元/股，成交3.92亿元，换手率0.69%，总市值584.22亿 元。 鹏华中证细分化工产业主题ETF联接A（014942）成立日期2022年3月8日，最新规模1.16亿。今年以来 收益9.61%，同类排名1182/5580；近一年收益49.39%，同类排名877/4297；成立以来收益1.3%。 资料显示 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the significant performance of six leading companies in the chemical fiber industry, with stock prices increasing by over 30% since mid-December 2025 [3][4] - The six leading companies include Tongkun Co., Ltd. (601233.SH), Hengyi Petrochemical (000703.SZ), Dongfang Shenghong (000301.SZ), Hengli Petrochemical (600346.SH), Rongsheng Petrochemical (002493.SZ), and Xin Fengming (603225.SH) [3] - The article notes that the performance of the chemical fiber industry, particularly polyester filament, has shown significant differentiation over the past five years, with ordinary polyester industrial yarn experiencing the most price volatility [4][6] Group 2 - Among the six leading companies, Hengli Petrochemical achieved a net profit of 15.5 billion in 2021, while in the downturn of 2024, Dongfang Shenghong reported a loss of nearly 2.3 billion [6]

Core Insights - The chemical industry is at the beginning of a new prosperity cycle globally, with Chinese chemical companies showing stronger profit foundations and elasticity due to past expansions and capital expenditures [5][11][29] - Focus on cyclical chemical products, particularly those with resource attributes and potential in the real estate chain [4][5] - The demand from major economies like China and the US is expected to improve, with China's GDP projected to exceed 140 trillion yuan, growing at 5.0% year-on-year [5][22] Group 1: Global and Domestic Chemical Landscape - The global chemical landscape is improving, with China's chemical sector becoming more resilient [9][12] - China's share of the global chemical market has significantly increased from 13% in 2004 to 47% in 2024, indicating its growing importance in the global chemical industry [14][29] - The capital expenditure in the global chemical sector has paused, with many overseas chemical companies reducing production, which may benefit Chinese companies [14][16] Group 2: Resource Attributes in Chemical Products - Three main resource directions are emphasized: mineral resources (like phosphate and potash), indicator resources (such as pesticides and refrigerants), and channel resources (like compound fertilizers) [5][33] - China's phosphate reserves rank second globally, with a steady increase in demand driven by both traditional fertilizer needs and emerging sectors like lithium iron phosphate for batteries [33][36] - The supply of fertilizers is expected to contract in 2025, with production of monoammonium phosphate and diammonium phosphate projected to decrease by 6.73% and 6.86% respectively [39] Group 3: Real Estate Chain Chemical Products - The market currently has low expectations for the recovery of demand in the real estate chain, but there is potential for significant improvement due to government stimulus policies [5][22] - The supply concentration of chemical products related to the real estate chain is gradually increasing, which may lead to faster and easier supply-demand improvements [5] Group 4: New Materials and Domestic Substitution - The report highlights the importance of domestic substitution and the development of new materials in line with China's strategic plans for emerging industries [7][8] - Key areas of focus include lubricating oil additives, semiconductor materials, and bio-based materials [7] Group 5: Investment Recommendations - Suggested companies for investment include Hualu Chemical, Xin Fengming, Yuntianhua, and others, focusing on those with strong market positions and innovative capabilities [7][8]

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 1.26% on February 13, with only 2 sectors rising, namely Comprehensive and Defense Industry, which increased by 2.06% and 0.65% respectively [1] - The sectors with the largest declines were Non-ferrous Metals and Building Materials, down by 3.36% and 3.10% respectively [1] Oil and Petrochemical Industry - The Oil and Petrochemical sector dropped by 3.09%, with a net outflow of 885 million yuan in main funds [1] - Out of 47 stocks in this sector, 7 stocks rose while 38 stocks fell [1] - The stocks with the highest net inflow were Tongkun Co., Ltd. with 56.42 million yuan, followed by China Petroleum and Hengyi Petrochemical with net inflows of 35.29 million yuan and 10.21 million yuan respectively [1] - The stocks with the largest net outflows included Sinopec Oilfield Service, China National Offshore Oil Corporation, and Intercontinental Oil and Gas, with net outflows of 129 million yuan, 111 million yuan, and 109 million yuan respectively [1] Fund Flow in Oil and Petrochemical Sector - The top stocks by fund flow in the Oil and Petrochemical sector included: - Sinopec Oilfield Service: -3.30% change, -128.75 million yuan net outflow [1] - China National Offshore Oil Corporation: -3.24% change, -111.14 million yuan net outflow [1] - Intercontinental Oil and Gas: -3.14% change, -109.09 million yuan net outflow [1] - Other notable stocks with significant net outflows include: - Haiyou Engineering: -5.25% change, -89.95 million yuan net outflow [1] - Rongsheng Petrochemical: -3.57% change, -82.54 million yuan net outflow [1] - Stocks with positive performance included: - Daqing Huake: +1.87% change, -4.03 million yuan net outflow [2]

Summary of Conference Call Notes Industry Overview - The focus is on the PTA (Purified Terephthalic Acid) industry and its supply-demand dynamics for 2026, which is recognized as a consensus within the industry [1][2] - The high expansion cycle of the PTA industry is officially ending, with no new capacity expected in 2026 due to the completion of several major projects in 2025 [1][2] Key Points on Supply and Demand - The downstream polyester sector (including filament, staple fiber, and bottle-grade) is expected to expand by 3-4 million tons, which will drive demand for PTA [1][2] - There is a clear mismatch in supply and demand, leading to an improvement in the market structure [2][3] Corporate Strategies and Market Dynamics - The PTA industry faced significant losses in October 2025, with losses exceeding 200 RMB per ton, creating immense operational pressure on producers [3] - Companies like Xinfonming, Yisheng, Sanfangxiang, and Dongfang Shenghong have begun to reduce or halt production, signaling a positive shift towards industry collaboration and improved profitability [3] - Three major polyester filament manufacturers have implemented successive production cuts to align inventory with downstream demand, particularly ahead of the Chinese New Year [3] Price Trends and Market Conditions - Oil prices have been in a downward trend in 2024 and 2025, affecting the pricing dynamics of polyester filaments [4] - Current oil prices are at a low point, suggesting limited downside potential, which may facilitate price increases for polyester filaments [5] Demand Drivers - Two marginally positive factors are identified: 1. Rising cotton prices may lead to increased demand for polyester filaments as a cost-effective alternative [6] 2. The reduction of tariffs on Chinese textile and apparel products by the U.S. could stimulate demand for domestic filament products [7] Profitability Expectations - Companies anticipate a profit increase of 100-200 RMB per ton compared to the previous year, supported by the favorable market conditions [7] Investment Recommendations - Suggested companies to watch include Hengli Petrochemical, Rongsheng Petrochemical, Hengyi Petrochemical, Tongkun Co., Xinfonming, Dongfang Shenghong, and Sanfangxiang [8]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the importance of tax compliance in various industries, showcasing exemplary cases from advanced manufacturing, electronic information, and ice and snow industries to guide businesses in enhancing their tax compliance awareness and practices [1][9]. Advanced Manufacturing Industry - Five advanced manufacturing companies, including Tongkun Co., Wangli Security, Huafeng Chemical, Crystal Optoelectronics, and Sanhua Intelligent Control, were recognized for their tax compliance practices, all maintaining an A-level tax credit rating for several consecutive years [3]. - Tongkun Co. established a dedicated tax management department in 2018 to oversee tax affairs across the group, implementing internal compliance guidelines and ensuring tax compliance in major decisions, with an average annual tax payment of approximately 360 million yuan from 2023 to 2025 [3]. - Wangli Security integrated tax compliance into contract review processes, ensuring that tax obligations are clearly defined in contracts, which led to the successful modification of a contract with an overseas institution to clarify tax responsibilities [4]. - Sanhua Intelligent Control developed a digital system to enhance invoice review efficiency, integrating 298 audit standards to ensure compliance across all financial documents, with a projected tax payment of 370 million yuan in 2025 [6]. - Huafeng Chemical created dual compliance defenses through digital means, including a supplier management system and real-time monitoring of business operations, with a tax payment exceeding 90 million yuan in 2025 [7]. Electronic Information Industry - The Guangdong Provincial Taxation Bureau published typical tax compliance cases from the electronic information sector, including companies like Fangbang Co., Desay SV, and Aohai Technology, which have implemented various compliance measures [1]. Ice and Snow Industry - The Jilin Provincial Taxation Bureau released tax compliance cases from the ice and snow industry, including Changbai Mountain, which provided tax compliance guidance to its subsidiaries and improved financial management through an integrated information system, resulting in a total tax payment of 53.07 million yuan in 2025 [10]. - The article emphasizes the growing importance of integrity and compliance management in the expanding ice and snow tourism market, with companies adopting proactive measures to ensure accurate tax reporting and compliance [10][11].