Core Viewpoint - The city commercial bank sector experienced a decline of 2.11% on January 14, with Beijing Bank leading the drop, while the overall market showed mixed results with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.31% and the Shenzhen Component Index up 0.56% [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The closing price of Beijing Bank was 5.38, down 2.71%, with a trading volume of 4.6089 million shares and a transaction value of 2.514 billion [1] - Other notable declines included Chongqing Bank at 10.30 (-2.37%), Hangzhou Bank at 15.62 (-2.13%), and Qilu Bank at 5.57 (-2.11%) [1] - The city commercial bank sector saw a net outflow of 729 million in main funds, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 53.1975 million [1] Group 2: Fund Flow Analysis - Hangzhou Bank had a main fund net inflow of 1.20 billion, but a net outflow from retail investors of 92.9469 million [2] - Suzhou Bank recorded a net inflow of 52.503 million from main funds, while retail investors had a net outflow of 54.0558 million [2] - Shanghai Bank experienced a main fund net inflow of 45.3249 million, with a retail net outflow of 46.6735 million [2]

一年一度的生肖贺岁纪念币、纪念钞来了！ 今日，2026年马年贺岁纪念币将于22：00率先开启线上预约，同系列纪念钞则于22：30开始 预约，两款产品预约截止日期均为1月14日24时。据央行介绍，上述纪念币面额为10元，纪 念钞为20元，每人领取限额分别为20枚和20张。此外，承担此次预约兑换工作的银行包括工 商银行、农业银行、中国银行、建设银行、交通银行、邮储银行、华夏银行、浦发银行、徽 商银行、长沙银行和陕西省农村信用社联合社。 从近年市场表现看，生肖纪念币和纪念钞的火爆程度堪称"现象级"。2024年12月底，蛇年贺 岁纪念币钞预约通道开启几分钟，多地便已额度售罄，而龙年贺岁纪念币钞在二级市场依旧 保持较高溢价水平。 马年贺岁纪念币钞今晚开抢， 各地区承办银行有所不同 1月13日，2026马年贺岁纪念币、纪念钞即将开抢。其中，纪念币将于22：00率先开启线上 预约，同系列纪念钞则于22：30开始预约，两款产品预约截止日期均为1月14日24时。 从外形看，双色铜合金纪念币正面图案为"中国人民银行"、"10元"字样，汉语拼音字 母"SHIYUAN"及年号"2026"，底纹衬以团花图案。 此外，纪念钞正面主景为马 ...

下一步，武陵区将持续开展形式多样的宣传教育活动，提高金融知识普及的力度和广度，引导居民掌握更多的金融知识和风险防范能力，助力构建和谐的 金融生态环境。 （来源：湖南金融） 为进一步增强居民对非法集资的防范意识，1月13日上午，武陵区金融发展服务中心组织长庚街道、长沙银行武陵支行在仙源社区开展防非宣讲活动。 活动现场，长沙银行工作人员以"守住钱袋子"为主题，结合工作实际和典型案例，为社区居民详细讲解识别与防范非法集资、电信诈骗的实用技巧。随 后，金融发展服务中心工作人员进一步普及金融安全知识，帮助居民提升风险防范意识和自我保护能力。 （来源：湖南金融） 为进一步增强居民对非法集资的防范意识，1月13日上午，武陵区金融发展服务中心组织长庚街道、长沙银行武陵支行在仙源社区开展防非宣讲活动。 下一步，武陵区将持续开展形式多样的宣传教育活动，提高金融知识普及的力度和广度，引导居民掌握更多的金融知识和风险防范能力，助力构建和谐的 金融生态环境。 活动现场，长沙银行工作人员以"守住钱袋子"为主题，结合工作实际和典型案例，为社区居民详细讲解识别与防范非法集资、电信诈骗的实用技巧。随 后，金融发展服务中心工作人员进一步普及金融 ...

Core Insights - The city commercial bank sector experienced a rise of 1.55% on January 13, with Ningbo Bank leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4138.76, down 0.64%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14169.4, down 1.37% [1] Stock Performance - Ningbo Bank (002142) closed at 29.26, up 4.24%, with a trading volume of 655,400 shares and a transaction value of 1.904 billion [1] - Hangzhou Bank (600926) closed at 15.96, up 3.70%, with a trading volume of 1,208,400 shares and a transaction value of 1.912 billion [1] - Suzhou Bank (002966) closed at 8.26, up 1.35%, with a trading volume of 485,800 shares [1] - Chengdu Bank (601838) closed at 16.29, up 1.24%, with a trading volume of 426,400 shares and a transaction value of 693 million [1] - Nanjing Bank (600109) closed at 10.88, up 1.21%, with a trading volume of 1,192,800 shares and a transaction value of 1.303 billion [1] - Qilu Bank (601665) closed at 5.69, up 1.07%, with a trading volume of 649,900 shares and a transaction value of 368 million [1] - Chongqing Bank (601963) closed at 10.55, up 0.96%, with a trading volume of 99,300 shares and a transaction value of 10.5 million [1] - Jiangsu Bank (616009) closed at 10.60, up 0.95%, with a trading volume of 1,504,800 shares and a transaction value of 1.593 billion [1] - Xi'an Bank (600928) closed at 3.77, up 0.53%, with a trading volume of 363,100 shares and a transaction value of 13.8 million [1] - Changsha Bank (601577) closed at 9.50, up 0.53%, with a trading volume of 183,100 shares and a transaction value of 174 million [1] Capital Flow - The city commercial bank sector saw a net inflow of 238 million from institutional investors, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 199 million [2] - The sector experienced a net outflow of 437 million from speculative funds [2] Individual Stock Capital Flow - Hangzhou Bank (600926) had a net inflow of 70.42 million from institutional investors, while it faced a net outflow of 12.4 million from speculative funds [3] - Shanghai Bank (601229) saw a net inflow of 66.71 million from institutional investors, with a net outflow of 33.15 million from speculative funds [3] - Ningbo Bank (002142) had a net inflow of 37.18 million from institutional investors, with a net outflow of 1.4 million from speculative funds [3] - Suzhou Bank (002966) experienced a net inflow of 34.87 million from institutional investors, while facing a net outflow of 24.25 million from speculative funds [3] - Jiangsu Bank (601577) had a net inflow of 20.83 million from institutional investors, with a net outflow of 15.24 million from speculative funds [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the banking sector [6] Core Insights - The expected M2 growth rate for 2026 is approximately 7.5%, with credit growth around 6.0% and social financing growth at about 8.0%. This aligns with the goal of stabilizing economic growth and ensuring reasonable price recovery [2][18][19] - The banking sector is expected to see a structural differentiation in retail credit, with corporate lending remaining the primary contributor to new loans, accounting for approximately 80% to 85% of new loans [33][37] - The report highlights the importance of deposit flows, particularly the trend of deposits moving from large banks to smaller banks, which will influence the asset-liability gap for large banks in 2026 [3][41] Summary by Sections M2 and Credit Growth - The M2 increment for 2026 is estimated at about 25.4 trillion yuan, with fiscal net injection contributing approximately 12.0 trillion yuan and bank credit (including write-offs and ABS) contributing around 16.8 trillion yuan [2][29][24] - The anticipated new social financing for 2026 is about 35.3 trillion yuan, reflecting a growth rate of approximately 8.0% [30][32] Credit Allocation - Corporate lending is expected to remain strong, while retail lending will show structural improvements, contributing about 10% to 15% of new loans [33][37] - The report notes that retail credit is likely to experience a slight positive growth, particularly in quality consumption scenarios and personal operating loans [33][37] Asset-Liability Dynamics - The asset-liability gap for large banks is projected to continue, with marginal changes primarily driven by the liability side, influenced by deposit flows [3][41] - The report estimates that the maturity of fixed-term deposits for the six major banks in 2026 will be around 57 trillion yuan, with 2-year and longer-term deposits accounting for 27 to 32 trillion yuan [49][52] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on high-quality stocks with improving fundamentals, specifically highlighting Ningbo Bank and Changshu Bank, while also suggesting attention to Changsha Bank and Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank for potential excess returns [4] - Additionally, it emphasizes the value of stable, high-dividend stocks, recommending China Merchants Bank, Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, and Jiangsu Bank [4]

2026年贺岁币每枚面值为10元，每人预约、兑换限额为20枚。 一、预约兑换网点及额度 2026年贺岁钞每张面值为20元，每人预约、兑换限额为20张。 长沙银行湖南省辖内共47个营业网点承担此次"2026年贺岁币"和"2026年贺岁钞"的预约兑换工作，请您 查询公告附件，了解预约兑换网点地址及可预约额度、周末营休信息。 二、预约兑换安排 按照人民银行安排，"2026年贺岁币"和"2026年贺岁钞"采用核查机制，具体核查规定详见中国人民银行 公告〔2019〕第26号。 （一）预约期 2026年贺岁币线上预约期：2026年1月13日22时至1月14日24时。 2026年贺岁钞线上预约期：2026年1月13日22时30分至1月14日24时。 2026年1月9日，长沙银行（601577）发布公告称，根据中国人民银行相关工作安排，长沙银行将承办湖 南省内13个地区的2026年贺岁普通纪念币和2026年贺岁纪念钞（以下简称"2026年贺岁币"和"2026年贺 岁钞"）的预约、兑换工作，现将有关事项公告如下： 三、温馨提示 （一）根据中国人民银行公告〔2019〕第26号，普通纪念币预约、核实和兑换的有效身份证件必须为第 二 ...

Market Overview - The city commercial bank sector experienced a decline of 0.89% on January 8, with Chongqing Bank leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4082.98, down 0.07%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13959.48, down 0.51% [1] Individual Stock Performance - Zhengzhou Bank closed at 1.94 with no change, while Lanzhou Bank also remained unchanged at 2.33 [1] - Shanghai Bank closed at 9.95, down 0.10%, and Chengdu Bank closed at 16.23, down 0.18% [1] - Chongqing Bank saw a significant decline of 2.70%, closing at 10.45, with a trading volume of 99,000 shares [2] Trading Volume and Turnover - The trading volume for Zhengzhou Bank was 769,900 shares with a turnover of 149 million yuan, while Lanzhou Bank had a trading volume of 363,100 shares and a turnover of 84.51 million yuan [1] - The highest turnover was recorded for Nanjing Bank at 1.342 billion yuan with a trading volume of 1,217,000 shares [2] Capital Flow Analysis - The city commercial bank sector saw a net inflow of 6.7397 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 70.5351 million yuan [2] - Chengdu Bank had a net inflow of 87.0825 million yuan from institutional investors, but a net outflow of 46.0321 million yuan from retail investors [3] Summary of Capital Flows - Institutional investors showed a positive net flow for several banks, including Hangzhou Bank with 77.8301 million yuan and Qingdao Bank with 8.4480 million yuan [3] - Conversely, Chongqing Bank had a negative net flow of 535,600 yuan from institutional investors, indicating a lack of confidence [3]

1月8日，据长沙银行（601577）披露，该行发行的金芙蓉2026年长福净值01期封闭式净值型理财产品认 购期为2026年1月8日—2026年1月14日。认购起点金额为1万元，发行规模下限为2000万元，上限为10亿 元。产品类型为固定收益类，内部风险评级为中等风险，产品期限448天，业绩比较基准为 2.25%-3.05%。 以上理财产品信息仅供参考，具体应以《产品说明书》等销售文件为准。本文不构成任何投资建议，投 资者据此操作，风险自担。 注：业绩比较基准不是预期收益率，不代表产品的未来表现和实际收益，不构成对产品收益的承诺。 ...

Market Performance - The city commercial bank sector experienced a slight increase of 0.0% on January 7, with Hangzhou Bank leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4085.77, up 0.05%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14030.56, up 0.06% [1] Individual Stock Performance - Hangzhou Bank (600926) closed at 15.80, with a rise of 1.61% and a trading volume of 817,400 shares [1] - Ningbo Bank (002142) closed at 29.12, up 0.83%, with a trading volume of 411,100 shares [1] - Other notable performances include Jiangsu Bank (601963) at 10.64 (+0.38%) and Shanghai Bank (601229) at 9.96 (+0.30%) [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The city commercial bank sector saw a net outflow of 170 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 188 million yuan [2] - The overall capital flow indicates a mixed sentiment, with institutional investors withdrawing funds while retail investors increased their positions [2] Detailed Capital Flow by Bank - Jiangsu Bank had a net inflow of 123 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net outflow of 27 million yuan [3] - Hangzhou Bank experienced a net inflow of 84 million yuan from institutional investors, but retail investors had a significant outflow of 132 million yuan [3] - Chengdu Bank recorded a net inflow of 55 million yuan from institutional investors, with retail investors also experiencing a net outflow [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform the Market" rating for the banking sector [4][5]. Core Insights - The banking industry is expected to see a reasonable M2 growth target of approximately 7.5%, with credit growth around 6.0% and social financing growth at about 8.0% for 2026. This aligns with the anticipated nominal GDP growth of about 5.0% and actual GDP growth of approximately 4.9% [1][15][21]. - The report highlights that the flow of deposits will be a key factor affecting the asset-liability structure of banks in 2026, with a significant amount of term deposits maturing, estimated at around 57 trillion yuan [3][49]. - The credit allocation is expected to show strong support for corporate lending, contributing approximately 80% to 85% of new loans, while retail lending is projected to improve marginally, contributing about 10% to 15% [2][36]. Summary by Sections M2 and Credit Growth - The M2 growth target for 2026 is set at approximately 7.5%, with an expected M2 increment of about 25.4 trillion yuan, driven by fiscal net injection of around 12.0 trillion yuan and bank credit issuance of about 16.8 trillion yuan [1][21][22]. - The anticipated credit growth for 2026 is around 6.0%, with new social financing expected to reach approximately 35.3 trillion yuan, reflecting an 8.0% growth rate [21][26][30]. Deposit Flow and Asset-Liability Structure - The report indicates that the flow of deposits from large banks to smaller banks will be a critical factor in determining the marginal changes in the asset-liability gap for large banks in 2026. The pressure from deposit migration is expected to ease somewhat [2][41][54]. - The maturing term deposits for the six major banks are estimated to be between 27 trillion and 32 trillion yuan, with a significant portion being long-term deposits [3][49][50]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on two main lines for investment in 2026: high-quality companies with improving fundamentals, such as Ningbo Bank and Changshu Bank, and stable high-dividend stocks like China Merchants Bank and Industrial and Commercial Bank of China [3][4].