[Table_Page] 跟踪分析|银行 证券研究报告 [Table_Title] 银行行业 大行转贴净买入有限 ——银行资负跟踪 20260329 [Table_Summary] 核心观点： | [Table_Gr ade] 行业评级 | 买入 | | --- | --- | | 前次评级 | 买入 | | 报告日期 | 2026-03-29 | [Table_PicQuote] 相对市场表现 [分析师： Table_Author]倪军 -10% -3% 4% 10% 17% 24% 03/25 06/25 08/25 11/25 01/26 03/26 银行 沪深300 | SAC 执证号：S0260518020004 | | | --- | --- | | 021-38003646 | | | nijun@gf.com.cn | | | 分析师： | 林虎 | | SAC 执证号：S0260525040004 | | | SFC CE No. BWK411 | | | 021-38003643 | | | gflinhu@gf.com.cn | | | 请注意，倪军并非香港证券及期货事务监察委员会的注册 ...

2026 年 3 月 27 日 1 经核查本行在任独立董事的任职情况及签署的相关自查文件，本 行董事会认为，2025 年度本行独立董事易骆之先生、王丽君女士、 王宗润先生和曹虹剑先生符合《上市公司独立董事管理办法》《上海 证券交易所上市公司自律监管指引第 1 号--规范运作》《银行保险机 构公司治理准则》等监管规定中独立董事独立性相关要求，不存在可 能影响其独立性的情形。 长沙银行股份有限公司董事会 长沙银行股份有限公司董事会 关于独立董事独立性的专项意见 根据《上市公司独立董事管理办法》《上海证券交易所上市公司 自律监管指引第 1 号--规范运作》《银行保险机构公司治理准则》等 相关监管规定，长沙银行股份有限公司（以下简称"本行"）在任独 立董事开展了独立性自查工作。本行董事会已收到每名独立董事就 其独立性签署的自查文件，并对其独立性进行评估，出具如下专项 意见： ...

长沙银行股份有限公司第八届董事会 独立董事 2026 年第 1 次专门会议决议 长沙银行股份有限公司（以下简称"本行"）第八届董事会独立 董事 2026 年第 1 次专门会议于 2026 年 3 月 19 日以书面传签表决方 式召开。会议由独立董事易骆之召集并主持。会议应出席独立董事 4 人，实际出席独立董事 4 人。董事会秘书、首席风险官彭敬恩列席本 次会议。会议的召开符合《中华人民共和国公司法》《中华人民共和 国证券法》《银行保险机构公司治理准则》《上市公司独立董事管理 办法》等法律法规、监管规定。会议对以下事项进行了审议并表决： 不存在损害本行及全体股东、特别是中小股东利益的情形。 全体独立董事同意将本议案提交本行第八届董事会第四次会议 审议。 表决情况：同意 4 票，反对 0 票，弃权 0 票。 一、关于延长向不特定对象发行可转换公司债券股东会决议有效 期的议案 经审议，独立董事认为：本次延长向不特定对象发行可转换公司 债券股东会决议的有效期，有利于保证本行本次发行相关工作的顺利 开展，符合本行和全体股东的利益，不存在损害本行及全体股东、特 别是中小股东利益的情形。 全体独立董事同意将本议案提交本行第 ...

证券代码：601577 证券简称：长沙银行 编号：2026-006 长沙银行股份有限公司 第八届董事会第四次会议决议公告 本行董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 长沙银行股份有限公司（简称"本行"）第八届董事会第四次会 议于 2026 年 3 月 26 日下午在长沙银行总行 33 楼 3315 会议室以现场 加视频方式召开。会议应出席董事 10 人，实际出席董事 8 人，董事 郭子嘉授权委托董事长张曼代为行使表决权，独立董事王宗润授权委 托独立董事曹虹剑代为行使表决权。会议由董事长张曼主持。董事会 秘书、首席风险官彭敬恩列席会议。会议的召开符合《中华人民共和 国公司法》《中华人民共和国证券法》等法律、行政法规、部门规章、 规范性文件及《公司章程》的有关规定，会议所形成的决议合法、有 效。 会议对以下议案进行了审议并表决： 表决情况：同意 10 票，反对 0 票，弃权 0 票。 本议案已经本行董事会薪酬及提名委员会审议通过，同意提交董 1 事会审议。 三、关于修订《长沙银行股份有限公司金融消费者权益保护工作 管理办法》的议 ...

[Table_Page] 跟踪分析|银行 证券研究报告 [Table_Title] 银行行业 通胀预期下广谱资产流动性收敛，关注负反馈 ——银行资负跟踪 20260322 [Table_Summary] 核心观点： | [Table_Gr ade] 行业评级 | 买入 | | --- | --- | | 前次评级 | 买入 | | 报告日期 | 2026-03-22 | [Table_PicQuote] 相对市场表现 [分析师： Table_Author]倪军 SAC 执证号：S0260518020004 021-38003646 nijun@gf.com.cn 分析师： 林虎 SAC 执证号：S0260525040004 SFC CE No. BWK411 021-38003643 gflinhu@gf.com.cn 请注意，倪军并非香港证券及期货事务监察委员会的注册 持牌人，不可在香港从事受监管活动。 -10% -3% 4% 10% 17% 24% 03/25 06/25 08/25 10/25 01/26 03/26 银行 沪深300 [Table_ 相关研究： DocReport] | 银行行业:山东 ...

Group 1 - The banking operating environment is characterized by a shift to a "quality over quantity" approach in credit growth, with a slowdown in RMB loan growth to 6% as of February 2026, influenced by weak credit demand and a focus on state-supported industries [4][14] - Fiscal policy remains proactive, with a projected general deficit rate of approximately 8.0% in 2026, which is expected to maintain a strong leverage effect on credit demand similar to 2025 [31][32] - The profitability of banks is gradually stabilizing, with state-owned banks showing positive profit growth due to fiscal policies, while smaller banks face operational pressures [7][35] Group 2 - Retail credit risk remains under pressure, with an increase in non-performing loans, particularly among smaller banks, although there is optimism for state-owned banks' asset quality [7][26] - The investment strategy emphasizes two main lines: focusing on wealth management capabilities in joint-stock banks and identifying city and rural commercial banks with controllable risks and strong profit certainty [6][35] - The credit growth momentum is shifting from traditional industries to emerging sectors supported by government policies, with significant growth in loans to green and high-tech enterprises [19][20]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Buy" [2] Core Insights - The report provides a comprehensive analysis of 219 regional banks in Shandong Province, highlighting their asset structure, profitability, and asset quality compared to listed banks [6][21] - The asset growth rate of major city commercial banks in Shandong is 13.5%, which is lower than the 14.2% growth rate of listed city commercial banks [26] - The report indicates that the loan-to-asset ratio for city commercial banks is 54.9%, while for rural commercial banks it is 51.6%, both showing a slight year-on-year decline [31] - The profitability metrics reveal that the return on assets (ROA) for city commercial banks in Shandong is 50 basis points lower than that of listed city commercial banks, and the return on equity (ROE) is 3.09 percentage points lower [6][31] - The asset quality of regional banks in Shandong is weaker than that of listed banks, with non-performing loan ratios higher by 21 basis points for city commercial banks and 72 basis points for rural commercial banks [6][31] Summary by Sections 1. Economic Structure of Shandong Province - Shandong Province is implementing initiatives to enhance its economic development, focusing on green and high-quality growth [13] 2. Overview of Regional Banks in Shandong - Shandong has 219 commercial banks, including 14 city commercial banks, 91 village banks, and 110 rural commercial banks [21] - The report notes that the majority of these banks were established between 2011 and 2015, with 125 banks founded during this period [21] 3. Asset and Liability Structure - The asset growth of major banks has remained stable since 2017, with city commercial banks showing a growth rate of 13.5% in the first half of 2025 [26] - The report highlights that the loan structure is predominantly corporate loans, with city and rural commercial banks having corporate loan ratios of 72.7% and 64.2%, respectively [32] 4. Profitability and Asset Quality - The report indicates that the profitability of Shandong's regional banks is lower than that of listed banks, with city commercial banks' ROA at 0.66% and ROE at 9.43% [6][31] - The non-performing loan ratio for city commercial banks is reported at 1.21%, which is higher than the average for listed banks [31] 5. Capital Adequacy - The capital adequacy ratios for city and rural commercial banks in Shandong are reported to be 13.4% and 13.8%, respectively, indicating a sufficient safety margin [6][31]

Core Insights - The report emphasizes the financial impact of rising inflation, particularly due to the recent increase in oil prices, which is expected to have a more significant effect on the price system compared to previous instances, such as during the 2022 Russia-Ukraine conflict [21][22] - The current economic cycle is positioned differently than in 2022, with signs indicating a potential recovery in corporate inventory and an increase in long-term loans, suggesting a shift towards a demand cycle [21][22] - The report predicts that long-term bond rates will likely break through their upper resistance levels as nominal economic recovery continues, with structural monetary policy adjustments being a key focus for the central bank [3][23] Financial Implications - The report outlines three main financial implications: 1. Long-term bond rates are expected to rise, with the ten-year government bond yield likely to break its current range [3][23] 2. A decrease in market risk appetite may lead to a shift from liquidity-driven asset valuation to profit-driven valuation, potentially resulting in a challenging period for financial assets [3][23] 3. The ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East may drive capital flows towards safer assets, including RMB-denominated assets, depending on the pace of financial infrastructure opening [3][23] Banking Sector Adjustments - The banking sector is advised to adjust its mindset regarding the interest rate down cycle, preparing for a scenario where interest rates and funding costs may no longer decline [4][24] - Large banks should focus on reducing the duration of loans and increasing the acquisition of settlement deposits, while smaller banks need to extend the duration of liabilities to mitigate potential impacts from cyclical shifts [4][24] Market Performance - During the observation period from March 9 to March 13, 2026, the banking sector overall increased by 1.5%, outperforming the broader market [19][56] - The report notes that the A-share banking sector showed a positive performance, while H-share banks lagged behind, indicating a divergence in market performance [19][56] Profit Forecasts - The report indicates that profit growth expectations for banks in 2025 remain largely unchanged, with minor adjustments noted for specific banks [20][56]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Buy" [3] Core Views - The expectation for interest rate cuts and reserve requirement ratio reductions has weakened, indicating a shift towards a more cautious monetary policy approach [14] - The central bank is expected to maintain a balanced approach in using monetary policy tools, focusing on supporting the economy while ensuring bank profitability [14] - Personal mortgage rates in China are nearing the average levels seen during the zero interest rate periods in the US, UK, and Japan, reflecting a stable monetary policy stance [14] - The central bank aims to keep interbank liquidity ample without resorting to excessive liquidity injections, supporting banks in capital replenishment and reducing funding costs [14] Summary by Sections Section 1: Weakening Expectations for Rate Cuts - The central bank's recent actions indicate a preference for a "prudent choice" in monetary policy, balancing multiple objectives [14] - The current credit interest rates are at historical lows, with a focus on maintaining bank interest margins while promoting low financing costs through market regulation [14] - The central bank's operations have resulted in a net withdrawal of 2,511 billion CNY, with a focus on maintaining liquidity stability [15] Section 2: Central Bank Dynamics and Market Rates - The central bank conducted 1,765 billion CNY in 7-day reverse repos at a rate of 1.40%, with a net withdrawal of 2,511 billion CNY overall [15] - Market rates have shown slight increases, with R001 and R007 rising to 1.39% and 1.50% respectively [15] - Upcoming liquidity events include a significant reverse repo maturity and tax payment dates, which may affect market liquidity [25] Section 3: Bank Financing Tracking - The total outstanding amount of interbank certificates of deposit (NCD) is 18.47 trillion CNY, with a weighted average interest rate of 1.67% [22] - The issuance of interbank certificates of deposit totaled 8,459 billion CNY, with a completion rate of 94.1% [22] - The commercial bank bond market remains stable, with no new issuances reported during the period [22]

[Table_scodeMsg1] 公司研究丨深度报告丨长沙银行（601577.SH） [Table_Title] 资产质量拐点，PB-ROE 重估 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 丨证券研究报告丨 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 2026 年为新十年战略开局阶段的收官之年，张曼董事长带领下的新一届管理层淡化规模情结， 核心目标是实现风险出清。预计中短期内信贷增速将合理控制在 10%以内，区域投放聚焦省内 异地，投向上以对公为主。长沙银行历史净息差绝对值高于同业，目前正逐步消化高资产收益 率影响。新一届管理层战略重视风控体系重塑，加大不良资产处置力度，预计 2026~2027 年将 陆续实现核心风险指标的拐点。目前长沙银行 PB 估值 0.53x，相较 11.4%的 ROE 显著被低 估，2025、2026 年股息率分别为 4.46%和 4.83%，给予"增持"评级。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] SAC：S0490521120002 SAC：S0490524070002 SFC：BUT916 马祥云 盛悦菲 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 2 / 2 ...