Core Insights - The integration of tea culture and tourism is driving rural revitalization in Jiangsu Province, with significant economic benefits for local communities [1][2][3] Group 1: Tea Tourism Development - Qianyuan Village in Yixing has transformed from an economically weak area to a model of rural tourism through "tea-tourism integration," generating over 4 million yuan in revenue for its tourism company in 2024 [2][3] - The village has developed high-end accommodations and received over 1 million visitors annually, resulting in more than 55 million yuan in revenue and creating over 100 jobs for locals [2][3] Group 2: Technological Integration in Tea Production - The Yuzhi Tea Farm in Liyang has implemented a smart agricultural system that integrates water, fertilizer, and light management, allowing for remote management of its 2,000-acre tea garden [5][6] - The introduction of a color sorting machine has improved the quality and appearance of the tea products, enhancing marketability [6] Group 3: Product Innovation and Market Expansion - Jiangsu's tea industry is diversifying with products like tea-flavored ice cream and matcha cakes, enriching the tea culture and attracting tourists [7] - The collaboration with new media platforms for live streaming and short video promotions has expanded the market reach of tea products, particularly among younger consumers [4][7]

江苏天目湖旅游股份有限公司 2024 年年度股东大会会议材料 二〇二五年五月 | 目录 | | --- | | 一、2024 | 年年度股东大会须知 | 1 | | --- | --- | --- | | 二、2024 | 年年度股东大会会议议程 | 3 | | 三、2024 | 年年度股东大会议案 | 3 | | 议案一：关于《2024 | 年年度报告及年报摘要》的议案 | 5 | | 议案二：关于《2024 | 年度董事会工作报告》的议案 | 6 | | 议案三：关于《2024 | 年度财务决算报告》的议案 | 14 | | 议案四：关于《2025 | 年度财务预算报告》的议案 | 22 | | 议案五：关于《2024 | 年度利润分配预案》的议案 | 24 | | 议案六：关于 | 2025 年度委托理财额度的议案 | 24 | | 议案七：关于 | 2025 年度申请银行授信、融资的议案 | 26 | | 议案八：关于支付审计报酬及续聘审计机构的议案 | | 28 | | 议案九：关于修订《公司章程》的议案 | 29 | | | 议案十：关于修订《股东会议事规则》的议案 | | 30 | | 议案十一 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the industry is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [2] Core Viewpoints - The tourism volume is increasing while prices remain stable, with an extended travel radius. The focus is on policy support and advancements in AI applications [3] Summary by Sections Market Review - In April, the social service sector outperformed the benchmark by 1.42 percentage points, with strong performance from tourism and education stocks. The A-share scenic spots and leading education stocks led the gains, while Hong Kong stocks in the supply chain and tea beverage sectors also performed well [3][4][6] May Day Holiday Summary - Domestic spending during the holiday increased by 8.0%, with travel willingness remaining high and an extended travel radius. A total of 314 million domestic trips were made, a year-on-year increase of 6.4%. The average spending per person increased by 1.5%, recovering to 90% of the 2019 level [3][9] Sub-Industries - **Inbound and Outbound Travel**: Inbound travel increased by 28.7% during the holiday, with significant growth in travelers from Hong Kong, Macau, Taiwan, and foreign visitors. The number of inbound foreign visitors under visa-free policies grew by 72.7% [3][21] - **Hotel Industry**: The hotel industry saw a REVPAR of 192 yuan, up 11.5% year-on-year, with occupancy rates and average daily rates also increasing. High-star hotels in county areas outperformed the overall industry [24][22] - **Scenic Spots**: Many scenic spots experienced significant visitor growth, aided by favorable weather and local government promotional activities. For example, Xiangyuan Cultural Tourism received 51.79% more visitors compared to last year [25][28] - **Dining**: Key monitored dining enterprises saw sales increase by 8.7% year-on-year, indicating a recovery in consumer spending [29][30] - **Duty-Free Sales**: Duty-free shopping during the holiday saw a decline of 7% in sales, but the average spending per person remained stable [41][35] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on leading companies benefiting from policy support and marginal improvements, including Tongcheng Travel, Xueda Education, Jiuhua Tourism, and others. Mid-term recommendations include China Duty Free, Meituan, Huazhu Group, and others [3][42]

Group 1: Tourism Market Growth - The tourism market is experiencing explosive growth during the "May Day" holiday in 2025, with visitor numbers exceeding those of the previous year [1] - Various tourism and consumption enterprises in Shanghai are standing out by offering "new scenes, new gameplay, and new experiences" [1] Group 2: Visitor and Revenue Data - Xiangyuan Cultural Tourism (600576.SH) attracted 595,300 visitors and generated revenue of 38.72 million yuan during the first four days of the holiday, with visitor numbers and revenue increasing by 54.63% and 53.28% year-on-year, respectively [2] - Tianmu Lake (603136.SH) reported a 5.31% increase in visitor numbers and a 6.55% increase in revenue compared to 2024 [2] - Huangshan Tourism (600054.SH) welcomed 147,000 visitors, marking a 13.7% year-on-year increase, reaching historical highs [2] Group 3: Hotel Industry Performance - Jinjiang Hotels (600754.SH) received nearly 8.9 million guests from April 30 to May 4, a 13% increase from the previous year, with nearly 10,000 hotels fully booked on May 2, setting a historical record [3] - The inbound tourism market saw a significant boost, with Jinjiang Hotels hosting 4.7 times more foreign guests compared to the previous year during the holiday period [3] Group 4: Revitalization of Traditional Commercial Areas - Companies in Shanghai are enhancing consumer engagement through brand collaborations and resource integration, such as Yonghui Supermarket (601933.SH) creating a one-stop shopping experience for travelers [4] - The Yuyuan Mall reported over 1 million visitors and sales exceeding 100 million yuan during the holiday, reflecting a 100% year-on-year increase [4] - Wangfujing (600859.SH) achieved nearly 20% growth in foot traffic by organizing diverse activities across its stores in 38 cities [4]

Core Viewpoint - The company's Q1 2025 net profit exceeded previous expectations, while 2024 revenue and profit were slightly below prior forecasts. The company aims for aggressive targets in 2025, focusing on the execution pace and effectiveness of new projects [1] Investment Highlights - The forecasted EPS for 2025-2027 is 0.51, 0.54, and 0.65 yuan respectively. Considering the industry average PE of 34 for 2025, the company is assigned a 30X PE valuation, raising the target price to 15.3 yuan and maintaining a buy rating [2] - 2024 performance was slightly below expectations, with revenue of 536 million yuan (down 14.87%) and net profit of 105 million yuan (down 28.80%). The decline was attributed to operational disruptions from hotel renovations and rigid cost pressures [2] - Q4 2024 revenue was 132 million yuan, down 6.9% quarter-on-quarter and down 15.2% year-on-year, with net profit of 19 million yuan, down 41.5% quarter-on-quarter and down 28.6% year-on-year. In Q1 2025, revenue was 105 million yuan (down 1.6%), but net profit rose to 14 million yuan (up 26.45%) [2] Core Scenic Areas and Hotel Performance - Revenue from core scenic areas in 2024 was 282 million yuan (down 13.0%), with a gross margin of 70.4% (down 0.8 percentage points). Hotel revenue was 159 million yuan (down 23.1%), with a gross margin of 21.4% (down 8.5 percentage points) [3] - The company is enhancing growth through the renovation and new construction of scenic areas, such as the Nanshan Xiaozhai Phase II project, to improve brand appeal and market competitiveness [3] 2025 Operational Plan - The company plans to achieve revenue of 580 million yuan and profit of 149 million yuan in 2025, focusing on innovative operations, quality improvement, and project development to leverage its one-stop tourism destination advantage [3]

Core Viewpoint - The company experienced a decline in revenue and net profit in 2024, with a slight recovery in Q1 2025, indicating challenges in the external environment affecting various business lines [1][2][3]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved operating revenue of 536 million, a year-on-year decrease of 14.87%, and a net profit of 101 million, down 27.77% [1]. - For Q1 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 105 million, a decrease of 1.6%, but net profit increased by 34.46% to 13 million [1][3]. - The overall gross margin in 2024 decreased by 1.92 percentage points to 52.42%, while the net margin fell by 4.17 percentage points to 22.55% [2]. Business Segment Analysis - Revenue from various business lines declined due to external environmental factors, with the water park segment experiencing the most significant drop of 41.28% [2]. - The revenue changes for 2024 by business line were as follows: scenic area business down 13.03%, water world down 41.28%, hot spring business down 10.4%, hotel business down 23.1%, and travel agency business down 4.54% [2]. Profitability and Cost Management - In Q1 2025, the gross margin improved by 3.27 percentage points to 41.44%, while the expense ratio increased by 1.49 percentage points to 21.24% [3]. - The company’s strategic focus includes seeking quality acquisition opportunities and upgrading existing projects, such as the Yushui Hot Spring and Longxing Island projects [3]. Strategic Outlook - The company is positioned as a leading player in the scenic area sector, with plans for future growth through new projects and geographical expansion [4]. - Projected net profits for 2025-2027 are estimated at 126 million, 144 million, and 161 million, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 26X, 23X, and 20X [4].

Group 1 - The report highlights three main investment directions: 1) Technology AI+ led by Deepseek breakthroughs and open-source initiatives, 2) Valuation recovery and gradual revival of consumer stocks, 3) The rise of undervalued dividends [2] - Overall industry sentiment shows an upward trend in sectors such as machinery, food and beverage, non-bank financials, real estate, environmental protection, and retail, while sectors like oil and petrochemicals, pharmaceuticals, home appliances, banking, and public utilities are trending downward [2][20] - The report predicts strong performance in specific sub-industries over the next four weeks, emphasizing automotive services, general equipment, logistics, components, specialized equipment, paper, semiconductors, wind power equipment, consumer electronics, motors, textiles, optical electronics, photovoltaic equipment, jewelry, and infrastructure [2][20] Group 2 - In the agriculture sector, there is a strong short-term pig price due to a supply gap and inventory demand driven by state storage and increased channel inventory [3] - The report indicates a growing pressure on pig supply due to increasing inventory levels, with a notable rise in the number of small pigs stored [3] - The report recommends leading breeding companies such as Wens Foodstuffs, Muyuan Foods, and New Hope, while suggesting attention to flexible stocks like Shennong Group and Dekang Animal Husbandry [3] Group 3 - The aerospace industry is experiencing growth, with the domestic C919 aircraft entering commercial operation, leading to increased orders and production capacity [4][7] - The report anticipates significant benefits for the company as a key supplier in the aerospace engine industry, particularly with the development of advanced fighter jets and drones [4][7] - Revenue projections for the company are set at 44.84 billion, 54.48 billion, and 68.54 billion for 2025-2027, with a target price of 33.96 per share [7] Group 4 - The home appliance sector is seeing a return to growth, with new business and scenarios contributing to revenue despite short-term profitability pressure [8][29] - The company reported a revenue of 19.1 billion in 2024, with a slight increase in sales from industrial pumps and significant growth in the commercial pump segment [8][29] - The report maintains a "buy" rating for the company, projecting net profits of 2.7 billion, 3.3 billion, and 3.8 billion for 2025-2027 [29] Group 5 - The report on the food and beverage sector indicates a stable performance for Laobai Ganjiu, with revenue and net profit showing slight increases [10][14] - The company is benefiting from market dynamics in Hebei and Hunan, with a positive outlook for future sales growth [10][14] - The report adjusts profit forecasts for 2025-2026, expecting net profits of 8.87 billion and 10.27 billion, reflecting a cautious but optimistic view of the market [14] Group 6 - The cosmetics and personal care sector is experiencing a temporary performance pressure, but the color cosmetics business is showing remarkable growth [14][15] - The company reported a revenue of 57.36 billion in 2024, with a significant increase in color cosmetics sales [14][15] - The report anticipates a revenue growth trajectory for 2025-2027, with adjusted profit expectations reflecting competitive pressures in the market [15]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price indicating an expected relative return of over 20% within six months [9][16]. Core Views - The company is expected to achieve a revenue of 540 million yuan in 2024, a decrease of 14.9% year-on-year, and a net profit of 100 million yuan, down 28.8% year-on-year due to external market conditions [1]. - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 100 million yuan, a slight decline of 1.6% year-on-year, but a net profit increase of 26.45% year-on-year, indicating effective cost control [1][3]. - The company aims for a revenue of 580 million yuan in 2025, representing an 8.6% growth, and a net profit of 150 million yuan, up 22.8% year-on-year [4]. Revenue Breakdown - In 2024, the scenic area business is projected to generate 280 million yuan, down 13.0% year-on-year, with specific declines in revenue from various attractions [2]. - The hotel business is expected to see a revenue drop of 23.1% to 160 million yuan, while the water world business is anticipated to decline by 41.3% to 7.46 million yuan [2]. Profitability Analysis - The gross margin for 2024 is forecasted at 52.4%, a decrease of 1.9 percentage points year-on-year, with various business segments experiencing declines in gross margins [3]. - In Q1 2025, the gross margin improved to 41.4%, an increase of 3.3 percentage points year-on-year, reflecting better cost management [3]. Financial Projections - The company forecasts a net profit of 140.59 million yuan for 2025, with corresponding P/E ratios of 23, 21, and 18 for the years 2025 to 2027 [4][6]. - The projected revenue growth rates for the years 2025 to 2027 are 8.94%, 9.31%, and 9.52%, respectively [6].

[Table_Summary] 2025Q1，公司实现营业收入 1.05 亿元，同比下降 1.6%，实现扣非归母净利润 0.13 亿元，同 比增长 34.46%。远期来看，公司仍为景区板块中组织治理最优、成长逻辑最顺公司。 新项目 维度，未来三年溧阳"根据地"将以"零星增量完善功能+动物王国重磅项目落地"为主线，同 时异地扩张上有望取得突破，在地方国资扶持下成长为全国性休闲旅游龙头。预计 2025-2027 年公司归母净利润分别为 1.26/1.44/1.61 亿元，对应 PE 分别为 26X/23X/20X，维持"买入" 评级。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 丨证券研究报告丨 公司研究丨点评报告丨天目湖（603136.SH） [Table_Title] 2024 年年报暨 2025 年一季报点评：新老项目 稳步推进，2025 年业绩韧性复苏 报告要点 赵刚 杨会强 马健轩 SAC：S0490517020001 SAC：S0490520080013 SFC：BUX176 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 天目湖（603136.SH） ...

社会服务 | 证券研究报告 — 调整盈利预测 2025 年 4 月 28 日 603136.SH 买入 原评级：买入 市场价格:人民币 12.39 板块评级:强于大市 股价表现 (%) 今年 至今 1 个月 3 个月 12 个月 绝对 7.6 1.5 7.9 (37.0) 相对上证综指 6.6 3.7 6.6 (44.9) (27%) (19%) (11%) (3%) 4% 12% Apr-24 May-24 Jul-24 Aug-24 Sep-24 Oct-24 Nov-24 Dec-24 Jan-25 Feb-25 Mar-25 Apr-25 天目湖 上证综指 | 发行股数 (百万) | 270.13 | | --- | --- | | 流通股 (百万) | 270.13 | | 总市值 (人民币 百万) | 3,346.87 | | 3 个月日均交易额 (人民币 百万) | 86.08 | | 主要股东持股比例（%） | | | 溧阳市城市建设发展集团有限公司 | 26.86 | 资料来源：公司公告， Wind ，中银证券 以 2025 年 4 月 25 日收市价为标准 相关研究报告 《天目湖》2024 ...