【免责声明】本文仅代表作者本人观点，与和讯网无关。和讯网站对文中陈述、观点判断保持中立，不对所包含内容 的准确性、可靠性或完整性提供任何明示或暗示的保证。请读者仅作参考，并请自行承担全部责任。邮箱： news_center@staff.hexun.com | 恒生指数 | 26382.28 | +223.16 | +0.85% | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 800000 | | | | | 国企指数 | 9391.06 | +100.72 | +1.08% | | 800100 | | | | | 恒生科技指数 | 6292.07 | +125.01 | +2.03% | | 800700 | | | | (责任编辑：宋政 HN002) 格隆汇9月24日｜恒生科技指数涨幅扩大至超2%。半导体股走强，中芯国际、华虹半导体涨超7%，上 海复旦涨超4%。阿里巴巴涨超6%，美团、京东涨超2%，腾讯涨超1%。 ...

Market Overview - The global NOR Flash market revenue is expected to exceed $2.6 billion by 2025, with applications divided into four main categories: PC (approximately 13%), automotive (approximately 21%), industrial (approximately 27%), and consumer (over 30%) [2] - Emerging consumer applications, including AI headphones, glasses, and toys, show significant demand growth, making them the most prosperous sector [2] - AI server shipments have increased significantly, with strong price support, while demand for AI PCs, automotive electronics, and industrial sectors (non-AI server) has also risen considerably [2] Competitive Landscape - Domestic AI server manufacturers are shifting from "copying" to self-replacement, with an expected replacement share of around 20% this year, indicating a clear trend of replacing Taiwanese manufacturers [2] - This shift presents new market opportunities for A-share storage chip manufacturers such as Zhaoyi Innovation, Beijing Junzheng, Fudan Microelectronics, Dongxin Co., Puran Co., Jucheng Co., and Hengsuo Co. [2] R&D Investment - Zhaoyi Innovation leads in R&D investment with 567.68 million yuan, followed by Fudan Microelectronics with 508.61 million yuan, and Beijing Junzheng with 348.28 million yuan [5] - In terms of R&D expenses as a percentage of revenue, Dongxin Co. ranks first at 30.74%, followed by Fudan Microelectronics at 27.66%, and Hengsuo Co. at 24.58% [7] R&D Personnel - Zhaoyi Innovation has the highest number of R&D personnel at 1,481, followed by Fudan Microelectronics with 1,113, and Beijing Junzheng with 760 [8] Product Development - Zhaoyi Innovation has a diverse product matrix including NOR Flash, SLC NAND Flash, and niche DRAM, covering various applications in consumer electronics, industrial, communications, and automotive sectors [9] - The company launched a dual-voltage supply SPI NOR Flash product for 1.2V SoC applications, enhancing its strategic layout in embedded storage solutions [10] - Beijing Junzheng's storage chip categories include SRAM, DRAM, and Flash, with a strong presence in automotive and industrial markets [11] - Fudan Microelectronics has a comprehensive product layout in non-volatile memory, with new SONOS platform products entering mass production [12] - Puran Co. offers a full range of EEPROM and NOR Flash products, catering to various applications including smartphones and AI devices [13] - Hengsuo Co. is expanding its product line to include DRAM memory products and has launched DDR4 products in 2025 [15] - Dongxin Co. has achieved mass production of its 1xnm flash memory products and is continuously optimizing its design and process [16]

Industry Overview - The storage chip market, particularly NOR Flash, is experiencing rapid growth driven by advancements in technologies such as artificial intelligence and the Internet of Things, despite a lackluster performance last year due to supply and demand factors [2] - In the first half of this year, the market showed signs of recovery with significant inventory reduction and gradual demand restoration, particularly in industrial markets and supported by long-term demand from AI and high-performance computing [2] - Starting from the third quarter, overall storage demand is rebounding, with prices showing an upward trend, indicating a positive outlook for the second half of the year [2] Company Performance - In the first half of the year, the revenue rankings among storage chip manufacturers are as follows: Zhaoyi Innovation (4150.31 million), Beijing Junzheng (2249.11 million), Fudan Microelectronics (1838.85 million), Puran Co. (906.70 million), Jucheng Co. (574.86 million), Dongxin Co. (342.99 million), and Hengshuo Co. (174.28 million) [3] - Zhaoyi Innovation leads in net profit with 575.48 million, followed by Jucheng Co. (205.15 million) and Beijing Junzheng (203.12 million), while Dongxin Co. and Hengshuo Co. reported losses of 110.97 million and 70.78 million respectively [4] - In terms of gross margin, Jucheng Co. has the highest at 60.25%, followed by Fudan Microelectronics at 56.80%, and Zhaoyi Innovation at 37.21% [5] Inventory Management - Fudan Microelectronics holds the highest inventory at 3088.98 million, followed by Beijing Junzheng (2773.43 million) and Zhaoyi Innovation (2400.65 million) [6] - Inventory turnover days are highest for Fudan Microelectronics at 705 days, with Dongxin Co. at 596 days and Hengshuo Co. at 355.66 days, while Zhaoyi Innovation has the lowest at 163.95 days [7] - In terms of inventory impairment provisions, Fudan Microelectronics has the highest at 548.26 million, followed by Zhaoyi Innovation (287.39 million) and Beijing Junzheng (263.53 million) [7]

Market Overview - On September 17, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.37%, the CSI 300 increased by 0.61%, the STAR 50 gained 0.91%, the CSI 1000 was up by 0.95%, the ChiNext Index climbed 1.95%, and the Hang Seng Index increased by 1.78% [4][5] - The best-performing sectors on September 17 were power equipment (+2.55%), automotive (+2.05%), home appliances (+1.64%), coal (+1.62%), and comprehensive sector (+1.38%). The worst-performing sectors included agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery (-1.02%), retail (-0.98%), social services (-0.86%), food and beverage (-0.5%), and textiles and apparel (-0.41%) [4][5] - The total trading volume for the A-share market on September 17 was 24,029.24 billion yuan, with a net inflow of 9.44 billion HKD from southbound funds [4][5] Important Recommendations - The report highlights Fudan Microelectronics (688385) as a leading domestic integrated circuit company, with expectations for FPGA and MCU products to drive performance beyond expectations. The recommendation is based on the significant market potential in emerging applications such as AI, 5G, data centers, and national defense [6] - The target price for Fudan Microelectronics is set at 83.79 yuan, indicating a potential upside of 39.65% from the current price [6] - Revenue projections for Fudan Microelectronics from 2025 to 2027 are 4,046.51 million yuan, 4,840.94 million yuan, and 5,825.18 million yuan, with growth rates of 12.71%, 19.63%, and 20.33% respectively. Net profit estimates are 657.26 million yuan, 983.28 million yuan, and 1,296.78 million yuan, with growth rates of 14.79%, 49.60%, and 31.88% respectively [6] Important Commentary - The coal industry is facing supply constraints due to capacity replacement policies, which may lead to a tighter supply-demand balance. If capacity indicators for coal mines are not met, there is a risk of capacity revocation [7] - Investment opportunities in the coal sector are expected to gradually balance supply and demand, with coal prices projected to rise steadily. Key companies to watch include China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal and Chemical Industry, and Yanzhou Coal Mining [8] - Catalysts for the coal industry include potential revocation of capacity increases, while risks include a slowdown in overseas economic growth, significant capacity releases, and safety incidents in coal mines [8]

Group 1 - The A-share market experienced fluctuations after a strong opening, with technology sectors like computing chips, semiconductors, and humanoid robots leading the gains [1] - The domestic computing industry chain is benefiting from multiple favorable catalysts, including Haiguang Information's announcement to open its CPU interconnect bus protocol (HSL) to industry partners, enhancing system connectivity and promoting standardization [1] - Alibaba has significantly increased its AI investments, with Q2 capital expenditures reaching 38.6 billion yuan, a 57.1% quarter-on-quarter increase, and plans to issue $3.2 billion in zero-coupon convertible bonds to strengthen cloud infrastructure [1] Group 2 - Lianqi Technology achieved record high performance in Q2 2025, with revenue of 1.411 billion yuan, a 52.12% year-on-year increase, and a net profit of 634 million yuan, up 71.40% [2] - The company capitalized on AI industry trends, with significant increases in shipments of DDR5 memory interface chips and high-performance computing chips, leading to a revenue of 2.461 billion yuan in H1 2025, a 61.00% year-on-year growth [2] - The domestic AI industry is expected to accelerate, with DeepSeek leading the collaboration between domestic AI computing and major model software and hardware, indicating new opportunities for growth [3]

Core Viewpoint - The U.S. Department of Commerce's Bureau of Industry and Security (BIS) has added 23 Chinese entities, including Fudan Microelectronics, to its Entity List, impacting the semiconductor sector [3] Company Summary - Fudan Microelectronics has increased its strategic reserves of wafers and key raw materials, with inventory growing from approximately 600 million yuan at the end of 2020 to about 3.1 billion yuan by mid-2025, enhancing supply chain stability and risk resilience [3] - The company has begun wafer production at local fabs since 2023 and is gradually shifting FPGA production to mainland China, indicating preparedness for supply chain disruptions [3] - Morgan Stanley's report suggests limited impact on demand, as overseas sales accounted for only 6% of the company's total revenue last year, although short-term selling pressure may arise [3]

Group 1 - The China Securities Chip Industry Index (H30007) has seen a strong increase of 1.28%, with notable gains from companies such as Longxin Zhongke (688047) up 13.14% and Haiguang Information (688041) up 8.12% [1] - The Chip 50 ETF (516920) has experienced a significant rise, with a weekly increase of 8.16%, ranking 2nd among comparable funds [1] - The Chip 50 ETF has shown a notable increase in trading volume, with a turnover rate of 4.69% and a total transaction value of 31.14 million yuan [1] Group 2 - Nvidia is under investigation by the Chinese market regulatory authority for potential violations of antitrust laws, which may impact the domestic chip industry by increasing the willingness of local customers to switch suppliers [4] - Longxin Zhongke has completed the development of its first GPGPU chip, the 9A1000, with plans for delivery in the third quarter [4] Group 3 - The rapid growth in AI demand is driving the global semiconductor industry, with semiconductor materials market size steadily expanding and key segments like photoresists and wet electronic chemicals showing growth [5] - The Chip 50 ETF tracks the China Securities Chip Industry Index, with the top ten constituent stocks accounting for 57.15% of the total [5]

每经AI快讯，9月16日，港股上海复旦(01385.HK)再涨近7%，截至发稿，涨6.61%，报40.32港元，成交 额2.2亿港元。 ...

智通财经APP获悉，上海复旦(01385)再涨近7%，截至发稿，涨6.61%，报40.32港元，成交额2.2亿港 元。 消息面上，据报道，美国商务部工业与安全局（BIS）将23家中国实体列入实体清单。其中主要包括半 导体领域的复旦微电子等公司。9月14日，复旦微电在微信公众号发文称，公司已针对核心产品线加强 晶圆及关键原材料的战略储备，存货规模自2020年末约6亿元增长至2025年上半年末约31亿元，其中原 材料与在产品合计约21亿元，有效提升了供应链的稳定性和抗风险能力，为持续稳健经营提供了保障。 摩根士丹利研究报告指，上海复旦对供应链中断已做好充分准备，公司自2023年起开始在本地晶圆厂进 行晶圆流片，并逐步将FPGA生产转移至中国大陆。该行认为需求方面影响有限，因去年海外销售仅占 公司总收入6%。该行认为短期可能出现沽售压力，予目标价32.8港元及"增持"评级。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley's research report indicates that Shanghai Fudan is well-prepared for supply chain disruptions caused by being placed on the U.S. trade blacklist, having started local wafer production in 2023 and gradually shifting FPGA production to mainland China [1] Group 1: Company Preparedness - The company has begun wafer production at local fabs since 2023 [1] - FPGA production is being gradually transferred to mainland China [1] Group 2: Demand Impact - The impact on demand is considered limited, as overseas sales accounted for only 6% of total revenue last year [1] Group 3: Market Reaction - There may be short-term selling pressure due to U.S. asset management firms being prohibited from trading Shanghai Fudan's shares [1] - Morgan Stanley has set a target price of HKD 32.8 and maintains an "Overweight" rating on the stock [1]