Core Insights - The top three real estate companies in Shenzhen for the first seven months of 2025 are Hongrongyuan, China Merchants Shekou, and Shenye Group, with sales of 14.26 billion, 8.92 billion, and 5.90 billion yuan respectively [5][6] - The sales thresholds for the top 5, top 10, and top 20 companies are 5.81 billion, 4.31 billion, and 2.77 billion yuan respectively, indicating a competitive market [5][6] Market Performance - New home transactions have decreased, with approximately 2,660 new residential units sold in July 2025, down 18% from the previous month and 22% year-on-year [6][8] - The second-hand housing market has shown signs of recovery, with 4,656 transactions in July, remaining stable compared to the previous month [6][8] Inventory and Sales Cycle - As of the end of July, the inventory of new residential units in Shenzhen was 27,902, an increase of 2,241 units from June, resulting in an average sales cycle of approximately 8.4 months [8][10] Project Performance - There is significant differentiation among projects, with high-quality and competitively priced developments continuing to sell well. Notable projects include Zhongjian Pengchen Yunzhu, Jiayu Jiuxi, and Zhongzhou Yingxi [10][12] Land Market Activity - The land market is highly competitive, with a new record for land price set by China Merchants Shekou at 2.155 billion yuan for a residential plot in the Qianhai area, reflecting strong confidence in Shenzhen's core real estate market [12][13]

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3665.92 points, above the six-month moving average, with an increase of 0.50% [1] - The total trading volume of A-shares reached 1,905.21 billion yuan [1] Stocks Breaking the Six-Month Moving Average - A total of 81 A-shares have surpassed the six-month moving average today [1] - Notable stocks with significant deviation rates include: - Dazhong Technology (688691) with a deviation rate of 6.87% and a price increase of 6.93% [1] - Xiechuang Data (300857) with a deviation rate of 6.82% and a price increase of 11.29% [1] - Desai Xiwai (002920) with a deviation rate of 5.90% and a price increase of 7.44% [1] Detailed Stock Performance - The following stocks have notable performance metrics: - Dazhong Technology: Latest price 68.55 yuan, six-month average 64.15 yuan, turnover rate 14.55% [1] - Xiechuang Data: Latest price 85.66 yuan, six-month average 80.19 yuan, turnover rate 9.12% [1] - Desai Xiwai: Latest price 113.91 yuan, six-month average 107.56 yuan, turnover rate 4.72% [1] - Other stocks with positive performance include: - Chen Zhan Optoelectronics (003019) with a price increase of 7.78% and a deviation rate of 5.72% [1] - Kede Education (300192) with a price increase of 6.12% and a deviation rate of 5.65% [1] Additional Stocks with Minor Deviations - Stocks with smaller deviation rates that have just crossed the six-month moving average include: - China Wuyi (000066) with a deviation rate of 5.59% [1] - Weichuang Technology (688372) with a deviation rate of 2.68% [1] - NetEase Technology (300017) with a deviation rate of 2.04% [1]

智通财经APP讯，天健集团(000090.SZ)披露2025年第二季度建筑业经营情况，公司2025年4-6月新签订 单数量26个，合计金额8.05亿元。 ...

格隆汇7月29日丨天健集团(000090.SZ)公布2025年第二季度建筑业经营情况简报，2025年4-6月新签订单 金额合计8.05亿元，截至2025年6月30日累计已签约未完工订单剩余金额合计216.76亿元。 ...

深圳市天健（集团）股份有限公司董事会 2025 年 7 月 30 日 证券代码：000090 证券简称：天健集团 公告编号：2025-54 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整，没有虚假记载、 误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 根据《深圳证券交易所上市公司自律监管指引第 3 号—行业信 息披露》的规定，现将公司 2025 年第二季度的建筑业经营情况公 布如下，供投资者参考。 深圳市天健（集团）股份有限公司 2025 年第二季度建筑业经营情况简报 以上数据仅为阶段性统计，最终以定期报告披露的数据为准。 特此公告。 1 一、总体情况 序 号 业务模式 2025 年 4-6 月 新签订单 截至 2025 年 6 月 30 日 累计已签约未完工订单 剩余金额 已中标未签约订单 数量 （个） 金额 （万元） 数量 （个） 金额 （万元） 数量 （个） 金额 （万元） 1 施工承包 20 71,295.33 183 1,737,666.95 14 175,429.08 2 工程总承包 1 1,726.67 23 365,187.08 0 0.00 3 道路日常养护 5 7,450.07 43 64,737.38 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the real estate industry [5]. Core Insights - The overall market in Q2 2025 shows weak transaction volumes, stable prices lacking trends, and increasing inventory with heightened de-stocking pressure [3]. - Only 19% of the 27 cities analyzed exhibit signs of market bottoming, indicating a general trend of "volume contraction, price stagnation, and inventory pressure" [12]. - The new housing market is experiencing a downturn, with first-tier cities showing a significant slowdown in sales growth, while the second-hand housing market demonstrates relative resilience but with increasing regional disparities [12][13]. Summary by Sections 1. Transaction Decline and Lengthening De-stocking - The report highlights that the real estate cycle varies significantly across cities due to localized policies and differing reliance on land finance [8]. - A comprehensive scoring model based on seven core indicators is used to assess the real estate cycle of each city, categorizing them into four stages: bottoming, rising, topping, and declining [8][9]. 2. Price Trends: Q2 New and Second-hand Housing Prices Decline - In Q2 2025, new housing prices experienced a slight decline after a period of stabilization, with 85% of cities unable to sustain price increases for more than two months [17]. - Second-hand housing prices also fell, with 78% of cities still in a downward trend by June [17][19]. 3. Transaction Volume: Weak Recovery and Increased Volatility - First-tier cities maintained an upward trend in new housing transactions until June, where a decline of 12% was noted [22]. - Second-tier cities saw a 15% year-on-year drop in new housing transactions in Q2, reflecting greater inventory pressure and declining buyer confidence [22][27]. 4. Demand Entering a Tug-of-War Phase Leading to Rising Inventory Cycles - The de-stocking cycle for first-tier cities increased to 20 months by June 2025, indicating intensified market supply-demand conflicts [29]. - Second-tier cities faced even longer de-stocking cycles, reaching 23 months, highlighting structural issues such as declining population attraction and excess land supply [29]. 5. Company Profit Forecasts - The report includes profit forecasts for key companies, with several companies rated as "Accumulate" based on their projected earnings per share (EPS) and price-to-earnings (PE) ratios [32].

Core Viewpoint - The investigation report reveals that a fatal accident occurred at the A006-0941 construction site in Bao'an District, Shenzhen, resulting in one death and direct economic losses of approximately 1.75 million yuan due to inadequate safety management and violation of construction protocols by workers [1][3]. Incident Overview - The accident involved a worker from Jiangsu Fengyi Elevator Engineering Co., Ltd., who fell into a 151-meter deep elevator shaft during installation work [2][3]. - The construction project is managed by Shenzhen Tianjian (Group) Co., Ltd., with multiple companies involved in various capacities, including elevator installation and supervision [2][3]. Responsibility Assessment - The investigation identified multiple parties responsible for the accident, including the project manager and safety personnel from Fengyi Elevator and other involved companies, due to their failure to enforce safety protocols [4][5]. - The direct cause of the accident was determined to be the improper handling of the elevator's steel wire rope, leading to the worker's fall [4][5]. - Shenzhen Municipal Group, the general contractor, was fined 30,000 yuan for its inadequate safety management and oversight of the elevator installation process [5].

[I. Overview of Current Period Performance Forecast](index=1&type=section&id=I.%20Overview%20of%20Current%20Period%20Performance%20Forecast) The company forecasts a substantial year-on-year decline in 2025 first-half net profit, with attributable net profit decreasing by 80.56% to 86.63% Key Financial Performance Indicators | Item | Current Reporting Period (Jan 1 - Jun 30, 2025) | Prior Year Period | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | **Net Profit Attributable to Shareholders of Listed Company** | Profit: 33 million - 48 million yuan | Profit: 246.8668 million yuan | | Year-on-Year Change | Decrease: 80.56% - 86.63% | - | | **Net Profit Excluding Non-Recurring Gains and Losses** | Profit: 16.43 million - 31.43 million yuan | Profit: 222.8435 million yuan | | Year-on-Year Change | Decrease: 85.9% - 92.63% | - | | **Basic Earnings Per Share** | Profit: 0.0028 - 0.0108 yuan/share | Profit: 0.1172 yuan/share | [II. Communication with Accounting Firm](index=1&type=section&id=II.%20Communication%20with%20Accounting%20Firm) The company clarifies that the financial data in this performance forecast remains unaudited and subject to final confirmation - The financial data in this performance forecast has not been audited by the accounting firm[3](index=3&type=chunk) [III. Analysis of Performance Change Reasons](index=1&type=section&id=III.%20Analysis%20of%20Performance%20Change%20Reasons) The significant performance decline is primarily due to reduced revenue and profit in construction and a substantial decrease in high-margin real estate project recognition - The construction business experienced a decline in revenue and profit compared to the prior year due to reduced market investment, decreased market expansion, and fewer project settlements[5](index=5&type=chunk) - High-margin project recognition in the real estate business significantly decreased year-on-year, negatively impacting the company's overall profit[5](index=5&type=chunk) [IV. Risk Warning](index=2&type=section&id=IV.%20Risk%20Warning) The company warns investors that this performance forecast is preliminary, with final data subject to the 2025 semi-annual report, advising caution regarding investment risks - This performance forecast represents the company's preliminary estimates, with specific data subject to disclosure in the 2025 semi-annual report[6](index=6&type=chunk) - The company urges investors to make cautious decisions and be mindful of investment risks[6](index=6&type=chunk)

Core Viewpoint - Tianjian Group (000090) expects a significant decline in net profit for the first half of 2025, with projections indicating a drop of 80.56% to 86.63% compared to the same period last year [1] Financial Performance Summary - The net profit attributable to shareholders is estimated to be between 33 million yuan and 48 million yuan [1] - The net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses is projected to be between 16.43 million yuan and 31.43 million yuan, reflecting a decrease of 85.9% to 92.63% year-on-year [1] - Basic earnings per share are expected to range from 0.0028 yuan to 0.0108 yuan [1] Business Segment Analysis - The decline in performance is primarily attributed to a decrease in revenue from construction business compared to the same period last year [1] - There has been a significant reduction in the turnover of high-margin real estate projects year-on-year [1]

Group 1 - Shenzhen Municipal Group was fined RMB 30,000 due to failure in effectively coordinating and managing safety responsibilities, leading to a fatal accident on a construction site [1][2] - The accident occurred on April 6, 2025, at the "Hejunfu" project site in Bao'an District, resulting in one worker's death [1] - The investigation concluded that Shenzhen Municipal Group and its project manager bore significant management responsibility for the accident, failing to implement safety checks and oversight as required by law [1][2] Group 2 - Shenzhen Municipal Group, established in 1983, is a core enterprise of the Special Zone Construction Group and fully owned by Tianjian Group, with a registered capital of RMB 2.008 billion [2] - The company is recognized as a national high-tech enterprise and is the only municipal public engineering construction general contractor with a special grade in Shenzhen [2] - Shenzhen Municipal Group operates across various sectors, including municipal engineering, highway engineering, and urban rail transit, with over 1,000 technical professionals and more than 390 registered builders [2]