Report Summary 1. Investment Rating No investment rating for the industry is provided in the report. 2. Core View The report analyzes the supply, demand, cost, profit, price, and other aspects of offset printing paper. It shows that the production of offset printing paper is expected to increase slightly next week, with stable demand and inventory likely to accumulate. The cost of offset printing paper has risen due to raw material price increases, and production profit is expected to decline. If the price increase is successfully implemented, it may offset the cost increase. In the short - term, the fundamentals show no significant changes. If the price increase is implemented, appropriate long positions can be established at low prices, but risk control should be noted. 3. Summary by Directory Part 1: Offset Printing Paper Overview - **Supply - Demand - Inventory**: Domestic production in the week of 2025/11/7 was 20.80 million tons, a week - on - week increase of 0.20 million tons. The capacity utilization rate was 53.40%, a week - on - week decrease of 0.40%. The monthly import volume was 1.10 million tons, a month - on - month decrease of 0.79 million tons. The weekly apparent demand was 19.60 million tons, a week - on - week increase of 3.00 million tons. The monthly export volume was 5.60 million tons, a month - on - month decrease of 0.08 million tons. Domestic demand was 84.05 million tons, a month - on - month decrease of 3.84 million tons. Enterprise inventory, social inventory, and total spot inventory all increased, with the total inventory reaching 189.50 million tons. It is expected that the production of the double - offset paper industry will continue to increase, about 21.0 million tons next week, and the demand will remain stable, with inventory likely to accumulate [6]. - **Price**: The ex - factory delivery prices of major brands remained unchanged compared to the previous period, but were lower than the same period last year. It is reported that due to the increase in raw material prices, the intended price increase of double - offset paper is 100 yuan/ton, waiting for implementation. The market self - pick - up prices also remained unchanged compared to the previous period but were lower than the same period last year. The futures prices of OP2601 and OP2603 showed an upward trend compared to the previous period, and the futures market is expected to fluctuate or fluctuate strongly [8]. - **Spread and Basis**: The spread between ex - factory and self - pick - up prices remained stable, and the futures spread between 1 - 3 contracts was expected to remain stable. The basis of some brands was expected to weaken. Seasonally, January is a small peak season for spring teaching and auxiliary textbook tenders, and March is a traditional peak season [10]. - **Cost and Profit**: The raw material costs of major pulp types decreased compared to the same period last year but remained unchanged compared to the previous period. The total production cost decreased compared to the same period last year but remained unchanged compared to the previous period. The production profit decreased compared to the same period last year and is expected to decline mainly due to the increase in raw material prices and the difficulty in raising the price of finished products. If the price increase is successful, it may cover the cost increase [12]. - **Strategy Recommendation**: In the industrial chain, the spot price is stable, and transactions are based on rigid demand. In the short - term, the fundamentals show no significant changes. If the price increase is implemented, appropriate long positions can be established at low prices, but risk control should be noted [14]. Part 2: Offset Printing Paper Balance Sheet The balance sheet shows the monthly supply, demand, inventory, and other data of double - offset paper from 2024 to 2025. In 2025, the cumulative import volume, production, total supply, domestic demand, total demand, etc. showed different trends compared to 2024. For example, in January 2025, the cumulative import volume decreased by 18.05% year - on - year, and the production decreased by 10.87% year - on - year [16]. Part 3: Offset Printing Paper Supply - Demand Analysis - **Supply - Production Situation**: In 2025, a total of 140 million tons of cultural paper production capacity has been put into operation, and 225 million tons are yet to be put into operation, mostly in the third quarter. In 2026, the planned production capacity to be put into operation is 120 - 140 million tons. Major companies such as Nine Dragons Paper, Chenming Paper, and Sun Paper have new production capacity plans or capacity resumption plans [18]. Part 4: Offset Printing Paper Cost - Profit - **Raw Material Cost**: The raw material costs of major pulp types such as Ural Needle, Moon, and Goldfish decreased compared to the same period last year but remained unchanged compared to the previous period [12]. - **Profit**: The production profit decreased compared to the same period last year and is expected to decline mainly due to the increase in raw material prices and the difficulty in raising the price of finished products. If the price increase is successful, it may cover the cost increase [12]. Part 5: Offset Printing Paper Price and Spread Analysis - **Spot Quotation**: The ex - factory delivery prices and market self - pick - up prices of major brands remained unchanged compared to the previous period but were lower than the same period last year. It is reported that due to the increase in raw material prices, the intended price increase of double - offset paper is 100 yuan/ton, waiting for implementation [8]. - **Futures - Spot Basis**: The basis of some brands is expected to weaken [10]. - **OP Main Contract Seasonal Chart and Inter - Month Spread**: Seasonally, January is a small peak season for spring teaching and auxiliary textbook tenders, and March is a traditional peak season. The futures spread between 1 - 3 contracts is expected to remain stable [10].

Market Overview - The paper sector experienced a decline of 0.27% on November 12, with Jingxing Paper leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4000.14, down 0.07%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13240.62, down 0.36% [1] Individual Stock Performance - Notable gainers included Bohui Paper, which rose by 3.32% to a closing price of 5.92, with a trading volume of 419,400 shares and a transaction value of 244 million yuan [1] - Other gainers included Sun Paper with a 0.72% increase, closing at 15.42, and Kain Co. with a 0.50% increase, closing at 6.02 [1] - Decliners included Zhi Xing Paper, which fell by 3.28% to 5.89, and Yibin Paper, down 1.90% to 23.18 [2] Capital Flow Analysis - The paper sector saw a net outflow of 241 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 261 million yuan [2][3] - The data indicates that while institutional investors withdrew funds, retail investors were actively buying into the sector [2][3] Detailed Capital Flow for Selected Stocks - Bohui Paper had a net inflow of 31.14 million yuan from institutional investors, while it faced a net outflow of 33.86 million yuan from retail investors [3] - Hengfeng Paper experienced a small net inflow of 1.52 million yuan from institutional investors, with retail investors contributing a net inflow of 273,600 yuan [3] - Other stocks like Kain Co. and Huawang Technology saw significant net outflows from institutional investors, indicating a cautious sentiment among larger players [3]

Core Viewpoint - The paper industry sector experienced a slight increase of 0.32% on November 11, with Yibin Paper leading the gains, while the overall market indices showed declines [1]. Group 1: Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4002.76, down 0.39%, and the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13289.0, down 1.03% [1]. - Yibin Paper's stock price rose by 1.94% to 23.63, with a trading volume of 54,200 shares and a transaction value of 128 million yuan [1]. Group 2: Individual Stock Performance - Other notable performers included Minfeng Special Paper, which increased by 1.26% to 7.25, and Huatai Co., which rose by 1.19% to 4.25 [1]. - Qing Shan Paper and Rongsheng Environmental saw increases of 0.98% and 0.82%, respectively, with transaction values of 20.23 billion yuan and 44.36 million yuan [1]. Group 3: Capital Flow - The paper sector saw a net outflow of 354 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 353 million yuan [2]. - The capital flow data indicates that Yibin Paper had a net inflow of 11.48 million yuan from retail investors, despite a net outflow from institutional investors [3].

Group 1: Industry Overview - The number of enterprises in the paper and paper products industry reached 8,131 as of January to September 2025, an increase of 182 compared to the same period last year, representing a year-on-year growth of 2.29% [1] - The proportion of the paper and paper products industry enterprises in the total industrial enterprises is 1.56% [1] Group 2: Company Listings - Listed companies in the paper industry include: Chenming Paper (000488), Kane Co. (002012), Jingxing Paper (002067), Sun Paper (002078), Annie Co. (002235), Qifeng New Materials (002521), Qingshan Paper (600103), Minfeng Special Paper (600235), Huatai Co. (600308), Yueyang Forest Paper (600963), Bohui Paper (600966), Rongsheng Environmental Protection (603165), Xianhe Co. (603733), Songyang Resources (603863), Wuzhou Special Paper (605007), Huawang Technology (605377), and Forest Packaging (605500) [1] Group 3: Research Report - The report titled "Analysis of Development Models and Market Operation Potential of China's Paper Industry from 2026 to 2032" was published by Zhiyan Consulting [1] - Zhiyan Consulting is recognized as a leading industry consulting firm in China, specializing in in-depth industry research reports, business plans, feasibility studies, and customized services [2]

Group 1 - The paper sector experienced a slight increase of 0.02% on November 7, with Sun Paper leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3997.56, down 0.25%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13404.06, down 0.36% [1] - Key stocks in the paper sector showed varied performance, with Sun Paper closing at 14.71, up 2.22%, and other notable stocks like Xianhe Co. and Guanmeng High-tech also showing positive gains [1] Group 2 - The paper sector saw a net outflow of 156 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 215 million yuan [2] - The trading volume and turnover for various stocks in the paper sector varied significantly, with Sun Paper leading in both volume and turnover [2] - Specific stocks like Songyang Resources and Laifeng Co. experienced significant declines, with Songyang Resources down 5.01% [2] Group 3 - Sun Paper had a net inflow of 82.83 million yuan from institutional investors, while it faced outflows from retail and speculative investors [3] - Other stocks like Bohui Paper and Guanmeng High-tech also showed mixed net inflows and outflows from different investor categories [3] - The overall sentiment in the paper sector appears to be cautious, with significant net outflows from institutional and speculative investors [3]

股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年10月31日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 山東晨鳴紙業集團股份有限公司 FF301 呈交日期: 2025年11月4日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | A | | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 否 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 000488 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 1,706,765,684 | RMB | | | 1 RMB | | 1,706,765,684 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | | | | | RMB | | | | 本月底結存 | | | 1,706,765,684 | RMB | | | 1 RMB | | 1,706,765,684 | ...

Core Viewpoint - The report highlights the growth and export potential of China's paper and paper products industry, with a focus on recent statistics and future projections [1] Industry Summary - As of September 2025, the export value of China's paper and paper products industry reached 7 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 0.1% [1] - Cumulatively, from January to September 2025, the total export value amounted to 59.49 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year growth of 2.2% [1] - The report provides a comprehensive analysis of the development patterns and market operation potential of the paper industry from 2026 to 2032 [1] Company Summary - The report mentions several listed companies in the paper industry, including Chenming Paper (000488), Kane Co. (002012), Jingxing Paper (002067), and others, indicating a broad spectrum of players in the market [1] - The analysis is supported by data from the National Bureau of Statistics and insights from Zhiyan Consulting, a leading industry consulting firm in China [1]

Core Insights - The company, Shandong Chenming Paper Holdings Limited (ST Chenming), has shown signs of recovery in its third quarter financial performance, with key operational indicators improving and production capacity gradually resuming [1][2] Financial Performance - In the third quarter, ST Chenming's production of paper increased by 41% compared to the previous quarter, and the gross profit margin for products improved by 13% [1] - The company has implemented a "full-chain cost reduction and efficiency enhancement" initiative, leading to a significant decrease in operating expenses. In the first three quarters, financial, management, and sales expenses collectively decreased by 14% year-on-year [1] Governance and Management - On October 28, the company completed a new board of directors' election, marking an important milestone for corporate reform and governance improvement [2] - The new leadership team aims to focus on stabilizing operations, promoting reforms, strengthening management, and enhancing efficiency to guide the company into a new phase of stable development [2]

Core Viewpoint - Chenming Paper Industry (01812.HK) announced the resignation of Hu Changqing as an authorized representative, effective from October 28, 2025, and appointed Jiang Yanshan as the new authorized representative in accordance with the Hong Kong Stock Exchange Listing Rules [1] Group 1 - Hu Changqing will no longer serve as the company's authorized representative after his resignation [1] - Jiang Yanshan has been appointed as the company's authorized representative, effective from October 28, 2025 [1] - The appointment of Jiang Yanshan complies with the Hong Kong Stock Exchange Listing Rules, specifically Article 3.05 [1]

Core Points - Chenming Paper (01812) announced the resignation of Mr. Hu Changqing, who will no longer serve as the company's authorized representative effective October 28, 2025 [1] - The company's executive director, Mr. Jiang Yanshan, has been appointed as the new authorized representative effective October 28, 2025, in accordance with the Hong Kong Stock Exchange Listing Rules Section 3.05 [1]