Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the aluminum industry [2]. Core Views - The macroeconomic sentiment is mixed, with domestic policies aimed at boosting demand and liquidity, while external factors like the US Federal Reserve's interest rate outlook are causing caution in the market [7]. - The aluminum market is experiencing a seasonal inventory accumulation, driven by high prices and reduced downstream purchasing willingness [8]. - Long-term prospects for the aluminum industry remain positive due to limited supply growth and potential demand increases, leading to a sustained high level of industry activity [12]. Summary by Sections 1. Prices - As of January 16, 2026, the LME three-month aluminum closing price is $3,134.0 per ton, down $2.0 from the previous week but up $530.0 year-on-year, reflecting a 20.4% increase [25]. - The Shanghai aluminum active contract closing price is 23,925.0 CNY per ton, down 405.0 CNY week-on-week but up 3,740.0 CNY year-on-year, indicating an 18.5% increase [25]. - The average price of A00 aluminum in Changjiang is 24,000.0 CNY per ton, down 60.0 CNY week-on-week but up 4,040.0 CNY year-on-year, a 20.2% increase [25]. 2. Production - In December 2025, the aluminum production reached 3.781 million tons, an increase of 144,000 tons month-on-month and 197,000 tons year-on-year, marking a 5.5% increase [55]. - The alumina production for December 2025 was 7.520 million tons, up 80,000 tons month-on-month and 18.1% year-on-year [55]. 3. Key Companies and Earnings Forecast - China Hongqiao (1378.HK) is rated "Buy" with an expected EPS of 2.77 CNY for 2026 and a PE ratio of 11.4 [6]. - Tianshan Aluminum (002532.SZ) is also rated "Buy" with an expected EPS of 1.28 CNY for 2026 and a PE ratio of 14.1 [6]. - Shenhuo Co. (000933.SZ) is rated "Buy" with an expected EPS of 2.56 CNY for 2026 and a PE ratio of 12.2 [6]. - China Aluminum (601600.SH) is rated "Buy" with an expected EPS of 0.92 CNY for 2026 and a PE ratio of 14.4 [6]. - Yunnan Aluminum (000807.SZ) is rated "Buy" with an expected EPS of 2.07 CNY for 2026 and a PE ratio of 15.7 [6].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for all key companies listed, including Zijin Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, and Huayou Cobalt, among others [3]. Core Insights - The report highlights that geopolitical tensions are driving up precious metal prices, with gold and silver showing significant increases due to heightened risk aversion [1][9]. - Industrial metal prices are experiencing mixed trends, with aluminum and copper facing downward pressure while zinc and nickel show some resilience [9][15]. - The report emphasizes the importance of domestic policies aimed at boosting demand, which are expected to support industrial metal prices in the near term [9][26]. Industry Performance - The SW Nonferrous Index increased by 3.94% during the week, while the Shanghai Composite Index and CSI 300 Index saw declines of 0.45% and 0.57%, respectively [9]. - Precious metals such as gold and silver have seen price increases of 1.83% and 12.73%, respectively, reflecting strong market demand [9][15]. Industrial Metals - Aluminum prices decreased by 0.65% to $3,129 per ton, while copper prices fell by 1.21% to $12,808.5 per ton [15]. - Zinc prices increased by 1.86% to $3,207.5 per ton, and nickel prices rose by 0.52% to $17,792 per ton [15]. - The report notes that domestic aluminum production is increasing, but demand remains weak, leading to a slight rise in inventory levels [26][28]. Precious Metals - Gold prices are projected to continue rising due to central bank purchases and a weakening dollar, with current prices around 1,034.77 CNY per gram [9][72]. - Silver prices have surged, with a notable increase in demand driven by geopolitical uncertainties [9][72]. Energy Metals - Cobalt prices are expected to rise as supply chain issues persist, with current market dynamics favoring a bullish outlook [9][88]. - Lithium prices have also seen significant increases, reflecting strong demand in the energy sector [9][88].

Market Overview - On January 16, the industrial metals sector declined by 0.69%, with Tibet Summit leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4101.91, down 0.26%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14281.08, down 0.18% [1] Top Gainers in Industrial Metals - He Sheng Co., Ltd. (002824) closed at 20.26, up 6.69% with a trading volume of 168,900 shares and a transaction value of 336 million yuan [1] - Yian Technology (300328) closed at 18.27, up 6.16% with a trading volume of 683,300 shares and a transaction value of 1.23 billion yuan [1] - Haixing Co., Ltd. (603115) closed at 22.04, up 5.40% with a trading volume of 102,000 shares and a transaction value of 223 million yuan [1] Top Losers in Industrial Metals - Tibet Summit (600338) closed at 18.07, down 5.98% with a trading volume of 1,148,400 shares and a transaction value of 2.14 billion yuan [2] - Xinweiling (920634) closed at 27.39, down 5.06% with a trading volume of 55,400 shares and a transaction value of 159 million yuan [2] - Luoping Zinc & Electricity (002114) closed at 9.73, down 4.14% with a trading volume of 938,100 shares and a transaction value of 974 million yuan [2] Capital Flow Analysis - The industrial metals sector experienced a net outflow of 4.936 billion yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 3.93 billion yuan [2] - The sector's overall capital flow indicates a mixed sentiment, with institutional investors withdrawing funds while retail investors are actively buying [2] Individual Stock Capital Flow - Yian Technology (300328) had a net inflow of 11.4 million yuan from institutional investors, but a net outflow of 80.03 million yuan from retail investors [3] - Chuanjiang New Materials (002171) saw a net inflow of 87.82 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors had a net outflow of 107 million yuan [3] - Huayu Mining (601020) experienced a net inflow of 40.5 million yuan from institutional investors, with a net outflow of 83.86 million yuan from retail investors [3]

Core Insights - The demand for fire ladders in China is increasing due to urbanization and the rise of high-rise buildings, which elevate fire risks and rescue challenges [1][6] - Government policies, such as the "14th Five-Year Plan for National Fire Safety Work," are enhancing fire safety standards and regulations, leading to increased investments in fire safety equipment [1][6] - The market size of the fire ladder industry in China is projected to grow from 1.044 billion yuan in 2020 to 1.879 billion yuan by 2024, indicating a strong growth trend [1][6] Industry Overview - Fire ladders are essential equipment used during fire emergencies, designed for portability and ease of use, with various materials including bamboo, wood, aluminum alloy, and steel [3][4] - The industry supply chain includes raw materials (wood, bamboo, aluminum alloy, steel), manufacturing, and application in the fire safety sector [4] Market Dynamics - The aluminum alloy is the primary material for fire ladder manufacturing due to its lightweight and corrosion-resistant properties, with production expected to reach 16.141 million tons by 2024, a 10.7% increase year-on-year [5][6] - The number of fire incidents reported in China has been increasing, with 908,000 incidents expected in 2024, highlighting the growing need for fire safety equipment [6] Competitive Landscape - The fire ladder industry in China is characterized by a fragmented market with many small-scale companies, including notable players like Huangshan Qiyun Fire Equipment Co., Ltd. and Suzhou Baofu Electric Safety Equipment Co., Ltd. [7][8] - As the market develops, competition is expected to intensify, favoring companies with technological and channel advantages [7] Industry Trends - Lightweight design is becoming a key trend in fire ladder development to enhance portability and operational efficiency during emergencies [10] - Customization is increasingly important due to diverse application scenarios, such as residential, commercial, and healthcare settings, each requiring different specifications [11] - The industry is moving towards green practices, utilizing recycled materials and sustainable production methods to meet environmental regulations and enhance market appeal [12]

Core Viewpoint - The Shenzhen State-owned Enterprise ESG Index (970055) closed at 1472.43 points, up 0.27%, with a trading volume of 49.598 billion yuan and a turnover rate of 1.79% [1] Group 1: Index Performance - On the day, 23 constituent stocks rose, with Zhongtung High-tech leading with a 5.52% increase, while 25 stocks fell, with Taisen Wind Power leading the decline at 6.2% [1] - The index's constituent stocks experienced a net outflow of 1.149 billion yuan from major funds, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 1.065 billion yuan [1] Group 2: Top Constituents - The top ten constituents of the Shenzhen State-owned Enterprise ESG Index include: - Hikvision (sz002415) with a weight of 9.57%, latest price at 31.29 yuan, down 0.45% [1] - Wuliangye (sz000858) with a weight of 9.23%, latest price at 106.09 yuan, down 0.89% [1] - Xugong Machinery (sz000425) with a weight of 8.83%, latest price at 11.12 yuan, up 0.54% [1] - Weichai Power (sz000338) with a weight of 7.59%, latest price at 20.20 yuan, up 4.18% [1] - Luzhou Laojiao (sz000568) with a weight of 7.52%, latest price at 115.36 yuan, down 1.28% [1] - Yun Aluminum (sz000807) with a weight of 5.93%, latest price at 33.16 yuan, up 1.44% [1] - Inspur Information (sz000977) with a weight of 5.93%, latest price at 68.13 yuan, down 2.04% [1] - AVIC Optoelectronics (sz002179) with a weight of 3.53%, latest price at 36.77 yuan, down 3.44% [1] - Yanghe Distillery (sz002304) with a weight of 3.17%, latest price at 62.95 yuan, down 0.55% [1] - Guangxun Technology (sz002281) with a weight of 2.96%, latest price at 78.50 yuan, up 1.79% [1] Group 3: Fund Flow Details - Major funds saw significant inflows in stocks such as: - Deep Technology (000021) with a net inflow of 503 million yuan [2] - Weichai Power (000338) with a net inflow of 1.12 million yuan [2] - Zhongtung High-tech (000657) with a net inflow of 95.263 million yuan [2] - Conversely, stocks like Yun Aluminum (000807) and Xugong Machinery (000425) experienced net outflows from major funds [2]

Core Viewpoint - The non-ferrous metal sector is experiencing a significant market transformation, with strong price increases across various metals, making it a focal point for investment in 2026 [3][26]. Group 1: Market Performance - Non-ferrous metals have shown a strong upward trend in both futures and stock markets, with the non-ferrous mining ETF rising 14.88% in the first nine trading days of 2026 [1][3]. - From mid-2025, metals like aluminum, cobalt, lithium, and rare earths entered a super-upward cycle, with tin futures prices soaring from 261,400 CNY/ton to 443,400 CNY/ton, a nearly 70% increase [4][10]. - In 2025, cobalt and silver prices increased by 173% and 148% respectively, while gold rose by 59.27% [7][8]. Group 2: Price Trends - The price of lithium carbonate futures surged to 174,000 CNY/ton, nearly three times the price in Q2 2025 [8]. - Key industrial metals like copper and aluminum also saw significant price increases, with copper futures rising from 78,000 CNY/ton to 105,600 CNY/ton [10]. - The price of tungsten increased from 122,000 CNY/ton to 455,000 CNY/ton, marking a 272% rise [10]. Group 3: Supply and Demand Dynamics - Geopolitical factors, such as the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict, have increased demand for gold as a strategic reserve, with central banks globally increasing their gold holdings [10][11]. - Supply disruptions in metals like copper and tin due to mining accidents and export restrictions have contributed to a widening supply-demand gap [11][21]. - Historical data indicates a strong correlation between precious metals and interest rate cuts, suggesting that monetary easing periods lead to increased prices for both precious and industrial metals [11][12]. Group 4: Investment Trends - The global gold ETF holdings increased significantly in 2025, with a total of 3,985.94 tons, marking the second-largest annual increase since 2004 [14]. - Non-ferrous themed ETFs saw a net subscription of over 51 billion CNY in 2025, with total assets growing nearly ninefold [16]. - Major non-ferrous companies like Zijin Mining and Luoyang Molybdenum reported substantial profit increases, with Zijin's net profit growing by 55.45% year-on-year [20][21]. Group 5: Future Outlook - The non-ferrous metal sector is expected to continue its strong performance due to macroeconomic liquidity, geopolitical tensions, and robust demand from industries like renewable energy and electric vehicles [26]. - The non-ferrous mining ETF is positioned to benefit from rising metal prices, with a historical performance showing significant price elasticity compared to the underlying commodities [23][25].

Core Viewpoint - The recent performance of the non-ferrous metal ETF (512400) indicates a strong upward trend, driven by significant capital inflows and favorable macroeconomic conditions, particularly in the context of U.S. inflation data and expectations for interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of January 15, 2026, the non-ferrous metal ETF (512400) rose by 1.82%, marking its fifth consecutive increase, with a trading volume of 1.964 billion yuan and a turnover rate of 6.22% [1]. - The ETF has seen continuous net inflows over the past eight days, surpassing a total scale of 30 billion yuan [1]. - Key stocks within the index, such as Huayou Cobalt, rose by 6.77%, while other notable performers included Zhong Rare Earth (up 4.92%) and Chihong Zn & Ge (up 4.67%) [1]. Group 2: Economic Indicators - On January 13, 2026, the U.S. Labor Department reported that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for December 2025 increased by 2.7% year-on-year, with the core CPI rising by 2.6%, both figures below market expectations [1]. - The lower-than-expected inflation data has strengthened the market's anticipation of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, with the probability of a rate cut in April rising to 42% [1]. Group 3: Industry Outlook - China Galaxy Securities suggests capitalizing on the "AI leap + century change" resonance, indicating a super cycle in non-ferrous metals driven by the "AI technology revolution" and "global order reshaping" [2]. - Historical patterns show that each super copper cycle corresponds with strong macro narratives, and the current cycle is expected to have significant strategic implications [2]. - The non-ferrous metal index, which tracks 50 listed companies in the sector, reflects the overall performance of the industry, with major constituents including Zijin Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, and Northern Rare Earth [2].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the growth in China's primary aluminum (electrolytic aluminum) production, with a reported output of 3.79 million tons in November 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 2.5% [1] - Cumulative production from January to November 2025 reached 41.165 million tons, also showing a growth of 2.5% compared to the previous year [1] - The article references a report by Zhiyan Consulting, which outlines the development strategy and investment opportunities in the Chinese primary aluminum industry from 2026 to 2032 [1] Group 2 - The listed companies in the aluminum sector include China Aluminum (601600), Nanshan Aluminum (600219), Yun Aluminum (000807), Xinjiang Zhonghe (600888), Shenhuo Holdings (000933), Zhongfu Industrial (600595), Jiaozuo Wanfang (000612), Dongyangguang (600673), Tianshan Aluminum (002532), and Minfa Aluminum (002578) [1] - The data presented is sourced from the National Bureau of Statistics and organized by Zhiyan Consulting, indicating the reliability of the statistics [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights the strong performance of the non-ferrous metal ETF (512400), which has seen a 2.51% increase, marking five consecutive days of gains, with a trading volume of 6.65 billion yuan [1] - The non-ferrous metal ETF has experienced continuous net inflows over the past eight days, indicating strong investor interest [2] - The recent surge in prices for precious metals, including silver and gold, as well as base metals like tin and copper, reflects a bullish market sentiment, with silver breaking through $91/ounce and gold approaching $4640/ounce [2] Group 2 - The lithium industry is expected to see a supply growth slowdown, with 2026 potentially marking a turning point, while energy storage demand is anticipated to become a second growth driver [3] - The Congolese government's implementation of cobalt export quotas and stricter approvals for Indonesian nickel mines are expected to tighten supply, supporting higher cobalt prices and stabilizing nickel prices [3] - The non-ferrous metal index closely tracks the performance of 50 listed companies in the non-ferrous metal and non-metal materials sectors, with the top ten weighted stocks including Zijin Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, and Ganfeng Lithium [3]

Core Viewpoint - Yun Aluminum Co., Ltd. has shown a positive stock performance with significant increases in both revenue and net profit for the year, indicating strong operational growth and investor interest [2][3]. Group 1: Stock Performance - As of January 15, Yun Aluminum's stock price increased by 2.02%, reaching 33.35 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 8.22 billion CNY and a turnover rate of 0.72%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 115.66 billion CNY [1]. - Year-to-date, the stock price has risen by 1.55%, with a 0.63% increase over the last five trading days, a 25.56% increase over the last 20 days, and a 53.83% increase over the last 60 days [2]. Group 2: Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Yun Aluminum achieved a revenue of 44.07 billion CNY, representing a year-on-year growth of 12.47%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 4.40 billion CNY, which is a 15.14% increase compared to the previous year [2]. - The company has distributed a total of 6.07 billion CNY in dividends since its A-share listing, with 3.88 billion CNY distributed over the last three years [3]. Group 3: Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders for Yun Aluminum was 79,100, a decrease of 8.51% from the previous period, with an average of 43,857 circulating shares per shareholder, which is an increase of 9.30% [2]. - Among the top ten circulating shareholders, Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited holds 269 million shares, an increase of 72.09 million shares from the previous period [3].