Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the performance of the Huatai-PineBridge ETF (159652) in the non-ferrous metals sector, which opened with a gain of 3.96% at 1.891 yuan [1] - The ETF's major holdings include Zijin Mining, which rose by 3.36%, Luoyang Molybdenum by 3.12%, Northern Rare Earth by 2.41%, and others, indicating a positive trend in the sector [1] - The ETF has a performance benchmark based on the CSI Sub-Industry Non-Ferrous Metals Theme Index, managed by Huatai-PineBridge Fund Management Co., Ltd., with a return of 89.27% since its inception on January 16, 2023, and a monthly return of 13.04% [1] Group 2 - Notable stock movements include Ganfeng Lithium increasing by 2.91%, while Shandong Gold experienced a decline of 7.33%, and Zhongjin Gold fell by 8.16%, reflecting volatility within the sector [1] - The article provides a snapshot of the ETF's performance and its key holdings, which are crucial for investors looking at opportunities in the non-ferrous metals market [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" investment rating for the gold, copper, aluminum, tin, and antimony industries [11]. Core Insights - The domestic copper inventory is beginning to decrease, which may lead to stronger prices [6]. - The gold market is expected to stabilize and rise further due to the anticipated interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [5]. - The aluminum supply remains rigid, supporting the investment outlook for the aluminum sector [11]. - Tin prices are expected to be supported by tight supply conditions [11]. - Antimony prices are rebounding after a six-month decline, indicating a positive outlook for the antimony sector [11]. Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The non-ferrous metals sector (Shenwan) has shown significant performance with a 1-month increase of 22.6%, a 3-month increase of 35.7%, and a 12-month increase of 128.5% [3]. Precious Metals - Gold prices reached $4981.85 per ounce, with a week-on-week increase of $35.60, or 0.72%. Silver prices were $103.19 per ounce, up $4.19, or 4.23% [4]. Copper and Aluminum - Copper prices closed at $13,440 per ton on the LME, up $460 per ton, or 3.54%. SHFE copper closed at ¥103,170 per ton, up ¥2,120, or 2.10% [6]. - Domestic aluminum prices were ¥24,640 per ton, with a week-on-week increase of ¥510 [7]. Tin and Antimony - Domestic refined tin prices were ¥423,630 per ton, down ¥110, or 0.03%. The supply and demand for tin are weak, leading to a price fluctuation around high levels [9]. - Antimony prices remain supported due to tight supply conditions, with current prices at ¥160,000 per ton [10]. Recommended Stocks - The report recommends specific stocks in various sectors, including Zhongjin Gold, Shandong Gold, Zijin Mining, and others across gold, copper, aluminum, tin, and antimony industries [12].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the industry and specific companies within the non-ferrous metals sector, highlighting a positive outlook for gold and silver prices in the medium to long term [2][4]. Core Views - The new Federal Reserve Chairman's policies have raised concerns, leading to a correction in gold and silver prices. However, the long-term trend remains bullish due to central bank gold purchases and a weakening dollar credit [2][8]. - The report emphasizes the importance of geopolitical factors and macroeconomic policies in influencing metal prices, particularly in the context of expanding domestic demand in China [8][24]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry and Stock Performance - The SW Non-ferrous Index increased by 3.37% during the week, while the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.44% [8]. - Key companies recommended for investment include Zijin Mining, China Molybdenum, and Yunnan Aluminum, among others, with a focus on their earnings forecasts and valuations [2][8]. 2. Base Metals - Aluminum prices are influenced by geopolitical tensions and domestic production adjustments, with a notable increase in aluminum inventory [24][28]. - Copper prices are expected to remain stable, supported by a weak dollar and increased import activity, despite a generally subdued demand environment [45][48]. - Zinc prices have shown volatility due to external factors and domestic supply disruptions, with a recent increase in prices observed [49][50]. 3. Precious Metals and Minor Metals - Gold and silver prices are projected to rise in the medium term, driven by central bank purchases and a weakening dollar [2][8]. - The report highlights the potential for price increases in cobalt and nickel due to supply constraints and geopolitical factors [2][24][63]. 4. Rare Earths - The report does not provide specific insights into rare earths, focusing instead on the broader non-ferrous metals market [10].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is the anticipation of Kevin Warsh being nominated as the new Federal Reserve Chairman, which has led to a significant drop in the prices of non-ferrous stocks [1] - The market prediction for Warsh's nomination has surged to 87% according to Polymarket, indicating strong market sentiment towards a hawkish candidate [1] - The report from Guojin Securities outlines the main logic for the non-ferrous sector this year, highlighting low supply due to low capital expenditure, domestic anti-competition measures, and overseas resource nationalism [1] Group 2 - The demand for non-ferrous metals is driven by AI, new energy, and the reconstruction of manufacturing in Europe and the US [1] - The report emphasizes strong inventory replenishment due to low existing inventories across supply chains and the initiation of a national reserve cycle in the US [1] - Despite recent price volatility due to regional issues, the fundamental outlook for commodity prices remains strong, with macroeconomic fluctuations being the only potential disruptor [1] Group 3 - As of January 30, 2026, the non-ferrous metal industry index (399395) saw significant declines in major stocks, with Nanshan Aluminum leading at a drop of 10.05% [2] - The non-ferrous ETF Penghua (159880) decreased by 8.66%, with a latest price of 2.39 yuan and a net inflow of 11 million units over the past seven days [2] - The top ten weighted stocks in the non-ferrous metal industry index account for 51.65% of the index, including companies like Zijin Mining and Ganfeng Lithium [2]

Group 1: Strategy Overview - The report emphasizes the resilience of the A-share market amidst multiple overseas risks and signals of regulatory easing in China, suggesting that the relationship between market performance and regulatory changes warrants further consideration [5][12] - It highlights the significant outperformance of the A-share market compared to other major indices, particularly the CSI 300, which has faced substantial redemption pressure [5][12] - The report suggests that investors should not overly worry about the CSI 300's performance, as it has already aligned with regulatory easing requirements, reducing the necessity for further pressure [5][12] Group 2: Economic Insights - China's exports continued to show strong performance in December, driven by overseas investment during a global easing cycle, positively impacting sectors like electrical and mechanical equipment [6][13] - Domestic consumption is recovering, with a rebound in per capita consumer spending in the fourth quarter, aligning with the report's annual strategy predictions [6][13] - The report notes that recent government policies aimed at boosting domestic demand and stabilizing real estate are expected to support synchronized recovery in both domestic and external demand [6][13] Group 3: Asset Allocation and Investment Recommendations - The report identifies a dual focus for 2026 on physical assets and Chinese assets, with thematic investments being essential [7][16] - Recommended sectors include physical assets such as copper, aluminum, tin, gold, lithium, and oil, alongside Chinese equipment export chains like electrical grid equipment and renewable energy [7][16] - The report also highlights sectors benefiting from capital market expansion and improving long-term asset returns, such as non-bank financials and consumer sectors like aviation and duty-free retail [7][16] Group 4: Company-Specific Insights - **Yunnan Aluminum Co. (000807.SZ)**: The report recommends a long-term investment due to favorable conditions for aluminum exports and a strong balance sheet, with potential for increased dividends [18] - **Hua Aluminum (600301.SH)**: The company is seen as a strong growth candidate due to rising tin and antimony prices and its position as a key beneficiary of metal consolidation in Guangxi [19] - **Yingliu Co. (603308.SH)**: The report anticipates a surge in global gas turbine demand, positioning the company to increase its market share in turbine blades [20] - **Shangfeng Cement (000672.SZ)**: The company is recognized for its strong cash flow from cement operations and potential for significant dividends [21] - **Pop Mart (9992.HK)**: The company is expected to maintain rapid growth in the entertainment market through IP incubation and diverse monetization strategies [22] - **China Duty Free Group (601888.SH)**: The company is projected to strengthen its market position in the duty-free sector, benefiting from increased inbound tourism and overseas expansion [24] - **China Southern Airlines (1055.HK)**: The airline is expected to benefit from improved industry supply-demand dynamics and a large fleet size [25] - **Li Auto (2015.HK)**: The company is focusing on advancements in AI and smart driving technology, with expectations for increased vehicle sales [26] - **Lante Optics (688127.SH)**: The company is positioned to benefit from strong demand in automotive and smart imaging sectors [27] - **InnoCare Pharma (9606.HK)**: The company is advancing in the ADC field with a robust pipeline and partnerships, with several products nearing clinical registration [29]

Group 1 - The interest of mutual funds in the Hong Kong market slightly decreased in Q4 of last year, with strong capital inflows into the metals and financial sectors [1] - By the end of 2025, the structure of stock holdings in equity and mixed mutual funds diversified, with the top 50 holdings' share of total stock investments dropping from 25.8% to 25.1% [1] - The proportion of Hong Kong stocks in mutual fund heavyweights decreased from a peak of 17.8% to 16.3% [1] Group 2 - Driven by global metal market trends, Chinese mutual funds significantly increased their investments in metal stocks in Q4, with a quarterly rise of 1.7 percentage points [2] - Fund managers showed optimism towards banks and diversified financials, with notable inflows into Industrial Bank and ICBC [2] - For Q1 2026, mutual funds are expected to have a higher risk tolerance post profit-taking, with AI and metals remaining key investment themes [2]

Core Viewpoint - The report highlights the growth trajectory of China's alumina industry, projecting a production increase and emphasizing the importance of market insights for investment decisions [1] Industry Overview - According to the National Bureau of Statistics, China's alumina production is expected to reach 8.01 million tons by December 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 6.7% [1] - The cumulative alumina production in China for 2025 is projected to be 92.446 million tons, with an overall growth of 8% [1] Companies Involved - Listed companies in the alumina sector include China Aluminum (601600), Tianshan Aluminum (002532), Nanshan Aluminum (600219), Yun Aluminum (000807), Shenhuo Co. (000933), Zhongfu Industrial (600595), Jiaozuo Wanfang (000612), Hongchuang Holdings (002379), Minfa Aluminum (002578), and Ningbo Fubang (600768) [1] Research and Consulting - Zhiyan Consulting is identified as a leading industry consulting firm in China, providing in-depth industry research reports, business plans, feasibility studies, and customized services [1] - The firm emphasizes its commitment to delivering comprehensive industry solutions to empower investment decisions through professional insights and quality services [1]

Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - Multiple shareholders across various companies are planning to reduce their holdings, indicating potential shifts in investor sentiment and market dynamics [1]. Shareholder Reductions - **Wancheng Group**: Shareholders Peng Dejian and his spouse Fan Hongjuan plan to reduce their holdings by up to 1.2 million shares [1]. - **Tianyang Technology**: Chairman and General Manager Ouyang Jianping intends to reduce his stake by no more than 3% [1]. - **Sudavige**: Shareholder Yu Zhangxing plans to reduce his holdings by up to 1.99% [1]. - **Aide Biology**: Shareholder Xiamen Keying intends to reduce holdings by up to 1.22% [1]. - **Kanshe Shares**: Multiple shareholders plan to collectively reduce their holdings by no more than 2.59% [1]. - **Bozhong Precision**: Shareholder Xinke Hongchuang plans to reduce holdings by up to 4.4665 million shares [1]. - **Zhonggang Luonai**: Shareholder Guo Xin Shuangbai Yihua plans to reduce holdings by 3.3065 million shares [1]. - **Matrix Technology**: Director and senior manager Cui Ling plans to reduce holdings by up to 300,000 shares [1]. - **Hongchang Technology**: Shareholder Jinhua Honghe plans to reduce holdings by no more than 0.33% [1]. - **Meixin Sheng**: Shareholder WI Harper Fund VII plans to reduce holdings by 1% [1]. Other Notable Information - **ST Xinchao**: The company’s stock may face delisting [1]. - **Changjiang Investment**: The stock may be subject to delisting risk warnings [1].

本期业绩预减主要受主营业务影响，受 2025 年国际油价下行的影响，公司营业收入较去年同期下降 13 %，公司本年利润较上年同期有所下降。根据美国能源信息署（EIA） 公布数据显示，2025 年 WTI 月 平均价格为 65.46 美元/桶，较 2024 年的 76.55 美元/桶下降 14%。 证券之星消息，*ST新潮发布业绩预告，预计2025年全年营业收入72.6亿元。 公告中解释本次业绩变动的原因为： *ST新潮2025年三季报显示，前三季度公司主营收入56.59亿元，同比下降11.99%；归母净利润13.31亿 元，同比下降19.44%；扣非净利润13.31亿元，同比下降27.07%；其中2025年第三季度，公司单季度主 营收入16.86亿元，同比下降18.6%；单季度归母净利润3.73亿元，同比下降22.42%；单季度扣非净利润 3.73亿元，同比下降30.79%；负债率34.61%，财务费用8883.02万元，毛利率43.04%。 以上内容为证券之星据公开信息整理，由AI算法生成（网信算备310104345710301240019号），不构成 投资建议。 ...

Core Insights - The air conditioning aluminum foil industry is experiencing fluctuations in production due to varying market demands and external factors such as the pandemic and extreme weather conditions [2][15]. Industry Overview - Air conditioning aluminum foil is a specialized material used in the heat exchangers of air conditioners, known for its excellent thermal conductivity, corrosion resistance, and structural support [3][16]. - The industry is divided into non-coated and coated aluminum foils, with the latter gaining traction in recent years due to its enhanced functionality and efficiency [3][17]. Production Trends - China's aluminum foil production saw a significant decline in 2022, dropping to 860,000 tons, a 14% decrease year-on-year, primarily due to the pandemic's impact on market consumption [2][15]. - In 2023, production began to recover, driven by increased demand during extreme summer temperatures, with an expected rise to 1,060,000 tons in 2024, reflecting a 1.9% year-on-year increase [2][15]. - However, forecasts for 2025 indicate a potential decrease in production to 1,020,000 tons, a reduction of approximately 40,000 tons or 3.8% from 2024, attributed to rising inventory levels in the air conditioning market [2][15]. Industry Chain - The upstream of the air conditioning aluminum foil industry includes raw materials such as bauxite, alumina, electrolytic aluminum, and recycled aluminum, while the midstream focuses on the production of aluminum foil [5][19]. - Electrolytic aluminum is the primary raw material for aluminum foil production, with its high purity and ductility making it suitable for various applications [20]. Market Demand - The demand for air conditioning aluminum foil is increasing alongside the growth of the air conditioning industry, driven by rising living standards and policies promoting the replacement of old units [22]. - China's air conditioning production is projected to reach 26,598,440 units in 2024, with a slight increase of 1.6% year-on-year in the first eleven months of 2025, although there are signs of oversupply in the market [22].