Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights a significant surge in the non-ferrous metal sector driven by rising risk aversion and expectations of interest rate cuts, with the Penghua Non-Ferrous ETF (159880) rising over 7.3% and 14 constituent stocks hitting the daily limit up [1] - Southwest Securities indicates that both precious metals and industrial copper sectors are showing positive expansion, with resource-advantaged companies continuously increasing reserves and production, and upcoming production from marine gold mining projects [1] - As of January 28, 2026, the Guozheng Non-Ferrous Metal Industry Index (399395) has surged by 6.31%, with significant gains in constituent stocks such as Silver Non-Ferrous (up 10.04%), China Aluminum (up 10.02%), and Yunnan Copper (up 10.02%) [1] Group 2 - As of December 31, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the Guozheng Non-Ferrous Metal Industry Index (399395) include Zijin Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, Northern Rare Earth, and others, collectively accounting for 51.65% of the index [2] - The Penghua Non-Ferrous ETF (159880) closely tracks the Guozheng Non-Ferrous Metal Industry Index, which selects 50 securities from the non-ferrous metal industry based on size and liquidity, reflecting the overall performance of listed companies in this sector [1][2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the strong performance of precious metals, particularly gold and silver, driven by geopolitical risks and central bank purchases [1][2] - As of January 28, the spot gold price surpassed $5200 per ounce, with major gold jewelry brands in China quoting prices above 1600 yuan per gram [1] - The global official gold reserves have surpassed U.S. Treasury securities for the first time in 30 years, indicating a shift in reserve asset preferences [1] Group 2 - In the copper market, Zambia's copper production is expected to grow by 8% to 890,346 tons by 2025, although it falls short of the 1 million tons target [2] - The London Metal Exchange copper price fell below $13,000, but long-term demand is supported by investments in AI data centers and China's State Grid [2] - The silver market has seen a year-to-date increase of over 55%, with a single-day jump of 8% on January 27 [2] Group 3 - The Precious Metals ETF (516650) closely tracks a series of sub-indices, selecting 50 large, liquid listed companies from related sectors, with top holdings including Shandong Gold and Zhongjin Gold [2]

Group 1 - The gold and non-ferrous metal sectors experienced a significant rally in the afternoon, with over 20 stocks including Yun Aluminum, Huafeng Aluminum, Zhongjin Gold, Northern Copper, and Chifeng Gold hitting the daily limit [1]

Core Viewpoint - The aluminum alloy industry in China is projected to experience significant growth, with a notable increase in production and market dynamics from 2025 to 2032 [1] Industry Overview - According to the National Bureau of Statistics, China's aluminum alloy production is expected to reach 1.83 million tons by December 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 13.7% [1] - Cumulative aluminum alloy production in China for 2025 is forecasted to be 19.297 million tons, reflecting a cumulative growth of 15.8% [1] Market Research - The report titled "2026-2032 China Aluminum Alloy Industry Market Operation Pattern and Prospect Strategic Analysis Report" by Zhiyan Consulting provides insights into the operational landscape and future strategies of the aluminum alloy market in China [1] - Zhiyan Consulting is recognized as a leading industry consulting firm in China, specializing in in-depth industry research and offering comprehensive consulting services for investment decisions [1]

数据显示，华泰柏瑞基金旗下1只基金位居云铝股份十大流通股东。华泰柏瑞沪深300ETF（510300）三 季度减持163.84万股，持有股数3538.2万股，占流通股的比例为1.02%。根据测算，今日浮盈赚取约 6722.57万元。 华泰柏瑞沪深300ETF（510300）成立日期2012年5月4日，最新规模4222.58亿。今年以来收益1.73%， 同类排名4579/5549；近一年收益26.46%，同类排名2873/4285；成立以来收益119.93%。 1月28日，云铝股份涨5.75%，截至发稿，报34.93元/股，成交13.84亿元，换手率1.18%，总市值1211.36 亿元。 资料显示，云南铝业股份有限公司位于云南省昆明市呈贡区七甸街道，成立日期1998年3月20日，上市 日期1998年4月8日，公司主营业务涉及铝土矿开采、氧化铝生产、铝冶炼、铝加工及铝用炭素生产。主 营业务收入构成为：电解铝58.12%，铝加工产品40.67%，其他1.21%。 从云铝股份十大流通股东角度 华泰柏瑞沪深300ETF（510300）基金经理为柳军。 截至发稿，柳军累计任职时间16年243天，现任基金资产总规模5509 ...

2026 年 01 月 27 日 铜铝下游开工率有所回升，高价接受度提升 推荐(维持) 投资要点 | 分析师：傅鸿浩 | S1050521120004 | | --- | --- | | fuhh@cfsc.com.cn | | | 分析师：杜飞 | S1050523070001 | | dufei2@cfsc.com.cn | | 行业相对表现 表现 1M 3M 12M 有色金属(申万) 24.5 37.5 131.2 沪深 300 1.1 -0.2 23.3 市场表现 资料来源：Wind，华鑫证券研究 -50 0 50 100 150 (%) 有色金属 沪深300 相关研究 1、《有色金属行业周报：1 月美联 储进一步降息的概率较高，黄金上 行动力较足》2026-01-20 2、《有色金属行业周报：美国非农 就业人数不及预期，贵金属进一步 上行》2026-01-13 3、《有色金属行业周报：LME 铜库 存注销，推动铜价走高》2025-12- 09 ▌贵金属：PCE 数据温和叠加年内仍将降息，支撑贵 金属价格 价格方面，周内伦敦黄金价格为 4946.25 美元/盎司，环比 1 月 16 日+335.20 ...

Investment Rating - The report indicates a strong performance of public actively managed equity funds in 2025, with a notable increase in the allocation to non-ferrous metals and non-bank financials, while reducing exposure to media and electronics sectors [1][3][40]. Core Insights - Public actively managed equity funds showed robust excess returns in 2025, with the mixed equity fund index (885001.WI) rising by 33.19%, outperforming major broad-based indices [1][14]. - The allocation to Hong Kong stocks decreased significantly, while the proportion of investments in the ChiNext board increased [2][30]. - There was a substantial increase in allocations to non-ferrous metals and non-bank financials, while reductions were seen in media and electronics sectors [3][42]. Summary by Sections Fund Performance - As of Q4 2025, the total scale of public actively managed equity funds is approximately 3.90 trillion, reflecting a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 4.10% [1][12]. - The share of public actively managed equity funds decreased by 2.53% in Q4 2025 [18]. Sector Allocation Changes - The allocation to non-ferrous metals increased to 8.03%, up by 2.14 percentage points from the previous quarter, marking a continuous rise over four quarters [42]. - The allocation to the electronics sector decreased to 23.78%, down by 1.85 percentage points [43]. - The proportion of investments in the ChiNext board rose from 23.72% in Q3 to 24.91% in Q4 2025 [2][30]. Top Holdings - The top individual stock in public fund allocations is Zhongji Xuchuang, with a holding ratio of 4.04%, primarily due to its price increase rather than new acquisitions [4][40]. - The most actively increased holdings include China Ping An (+0.43 percentage points) and Dongshan Precision (+0.41 percentage points) [4].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the projected decline in China's aluminum material production, with a cumulative decrease of 0.2% expected by the end of 2025, totaling 6,750.4 million tons [1][1][1] - According to the National Bureau of Statistics, the aluminum material production in December 2025 is estimated to be 6.14 million tons [1][1][1] - The article references a report by Zhiyan Consulting, which provides insights into the market development potential and investment risks in the aluminum material industry from 2026 to 2032 [1][1][1] Group 2 - Listed companies in the aluminum sector include China Aluminum (601600), Yun Aluminum (000807), Shenhuo Co. (000933), Jiaozuo Wanfang (000612), and Nanshan Aluminum (600219) [1][1][1] - Zhiyan Consulting is recognized as a leading industry consulting firm in China, specializing in in-depth industry research reports, business plans, feasibility studies, and customized services [1][1][1] - The firm emphasizes its commitment to providing comprehensive industry solutions to empower investment decisions through professional insights and market acumen [1][1][1]

Core Viewpoint - The colored metal ETF (512400) is experiencing significant growth, driven by rising prices in precious and industrial metals, with expectations for continued upward momentum in the sector due to various macroeconomic factors [1][2][3]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of January 26, 2026, the colored metal ETF (512400) increased by 4.62%, with a trading volume of 1.108 billion yuan and a turnover rate of 2.8% [1]. - The index tracking the colored metal sector, the Zhongzheng Shenwan Colored Metal Index, saw notable gains in individual stocks, including silver rising by 10.03%, Hunan Gold by 10.01%, and Xingye Silver Tin by 9.99% [1]. - The colored metal sector has attracted significant investment, with over 36 billion yuan net inflow into colored metal-themed ETFs (excluding gold) this year, bringing the total scale to over 100 billion yuan [2]. Group 2: Price Trends and Predictions - On January 26, spot gold prices surpassed $5,080 per ounce, marking a new high with an intraday increase of over 2%, while spot silver rose over 3% to reach $106.83 per ounce [2]. - Historical patterns suggest that gold prices may increase between 10% and 35% in 2026, influenced by expectations of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, instability in the US dollar, midterm elections, and geopolitical uncertainties [2]. - The recent surge in metals such as gold, silver, tin, and lithium indicates a potential bull market for colored metals, with ongoing valuation adjustments lagging behind commodity price increases [2]. Group 3: Investment Sentiment and Strategies - Fund companies and investors are increasingly focusing on the colored metal sector, with public funds significantly increasing their positions in this industry by the fourth quarter of 2025 [2]. - Current market narratives driving global asset performance include the weakening of the US dollar credit cycle, the formation of a new monetary system anchored by gold pricing, and the reconfiguration of global supply chains [3]. - The colored metal ETF (512400) closely tracks the Zhongzheng Shenwan Colored Metal Index, which comprises 50 listed companies in the colored metal and non-metal materials sectors, reflecting the overall performance of this industry [3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" outlook on the non-ferrous metals industry [5] Core Viewpoints - The gold-silver ratio has broken through 50, indicating that precious metals are likely to lead industrial metals in accelerating price increases. Recent significant price increases in silver reflect a broader trend of rising physical metal prices as a response to the weakening trust in fiat currency systems [7][12] - The long-term debt cycle is entering its late stage, with rising physical metal prices signaling a loss of confidence in existing fiat currency systems. This trend is expected to continue, with precious metals likely to set new historical price records in 2026 [12] - Zinc is viewed as an overlooked foundational material in the context of de-globalization, with favorable supply-demand dynamics suggesting continued price increases. The report highlights the potential for increased demand from re-industrialization efforts in Asia, Africa, and Latin America [13] - The aluminum sector is expected to benefit from geopolitical concerns, with China's electrolytic aluminum industry poised to enjoy valuation premiums due to its supply chain security and competitive advantages [13] Summary by Sections Precious Metals - The report emphasizes the potential for precious metals to lead industrial metals in price increases, driven by a breakdown in the gold-silver ratio and a late-stage long-term debt cycle [7][12] - Specific investment opportunities include companies like Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining (600988) and others in the precious metals sector [7] Zinc Sector - The report identifies zinc as a critical material in the context of re-industrialization, with supply constraints and increasing demand expected to drive prices higher [13] Aluminum Sector - The report highlights the competitive advantages of China's electrolytic aluminum industry, which is expected to benefit from geopolitical tensions and supply chain security [13] Steel Sector - The steel industry is currently facing weak fundamentals as it approaches the seasonal low period before the Spring Festival, with expectations for policy measures to support the industry [14] - Steel production and consumption metrics indicate a slight increase in iron output but a decrease in rebar demand, reflecting a mixed outlook for the sector [19][26] New Energy Metals - The report notes significant increases in lithium and cobalt prices, with production metrics showing substantial year-on-year growth in lithium carbonate output [37][46] - The demand for new energy vehicles remains strong, with production and sales figures indicating continued growth in the sector [41] Industrial Metals - The report discusses the overall upward trend in industrial metal prices, driven by political policy risks and supply reduction expectations [56] - Specific metrics indicate rising copper production and declining refining fees, suggesting a tightening supply environment [57]