Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" rating for the real estate and property management sectors, highlighting the recovery potential of quality real estate companies and commercial real estate [2][31]. Core Insights - The report indicates that the real estate sector is approaching a bottom in its fundamentals after a deep adjustment, with recent central government policies aimed at stabilizing the market. The report emphasizes the importance of quality real estate companies, predicting that their profit recovery will occur sooner and be more resilient [2][31]. - The report recommends several quality real estate companies and commercial real estate firms, including Jianfa International, Binjiang Group, Greentown China, China Jinmao, and Poly Development, as well as commercial real estate firms like New City Holdings and China Resources Land [2][31]. Industry Data Summary New Home Transactions - In the week of January 31 to February 6, 2026, new home transactions in 34 key cities totaled 1.974 million square meters, a week-on-week decrease of 6.9%. The transaction volume in first and second-tier cities decreased by 3.1%, while third and fourth-tier cities saw a significant drop of 39.4% [3][4]. - Year-on-year, new home transactions in February increased by 327.2%, with first and second-tier cities up by 347.8% and third and fourth-tier cities up by 168.9% [4][10]. Second-Hand Home Transactions - In the same week, second-hand home transactions in 13 key cities totaled 1.198 million square meters, also down by 6.9% week-on-week. However, year-to-date transactions showed a 27.4% increase compared to the previous year [10][31]. Inventory and Supply - The report notes that 15 cities had a total of 290,000 square meters of new supply, with a sales-to-supply ratio of 2.62 times. The total available residential area in these cities was 88.525 million square meters, reflecting a slight decrease of 0.52% [21][31]. Policy and News Tracking - The report highlights significant policy developments, including the acceleration of commercial real estate REITs applications, with over 10 applications submitted to exchanges as of February 6, 2026. Additionally, Shanghai is advancing the acquisition of second-hand homes for rental housing, with pilot areas identified [31][32]. - Various regions, including Tianjin, Sichuan, and Hainan, have adjusted the minimum down payment ratio for commercial property loans to no less than 30% [31][32].

Group 1 - The company,招商积余, reported a total of 20,334 shareholders in its consolidated margin financing and securities lending accounts as of January 30, 2026 [2] - The number of shareholders in the non-consolidated margin financing and securities lending accounts is 18,731 [2]

Core Viewpoint - The company, China Merchants Shekou Industrial Zone Holdings Co., Ltd. (招商积余), is committed to reform and innovation as key drivers for its transformation into a leading property asset management operator in China, aiming to enhance its competitive edge through various strategic initiatives [1][11]. Group 1: Organizational Reform and Talent Development - As of the end of 2025, the company aims to maintain its position in the top three of the "Top 500 Property Service Enterprises in China" and "Top 100 Property Service Enterprises" while nurturing five national high-tech enterprises [3][13]. - The organization has streamlined its structure by reducing the number of departments from 13 to 10, enhancing management control, and eliminating inefficient subsidiaries [3][13]. - A differentiated income distribution mechanism has been established to motivate short-term performance, ensure medium-term security, and provide long-term prospects, with plans to adjust 72 key leadership positions by 2025 [3][13]. - The company has developed a comprehensive talent cultivation system, training over 600 "excellent students" and creating an online learning platform to prepare more than 800 key position talents [3][13]. Group 2: Technological Innovation - The company has implemented a "1248" digital strategy, achieving full AI capability in customer service scenarios, which has improved recording efficiency by 90% and enabled 24/7 service with 100% quality inspection [6][16]. - The development of the "Jiyu Suixing" app addresses mobile work challenges, transforming the process from "people finding tasks" to "tasks finding people," and has won an award at a national digital innovation competition [6][16]. - The company has secured 31 invention patents, leveraging technological innovation to create a competitive "moat" [6][16]. Group 3: Cultural Empowerment and Service Innovation - A service culture system named "One Heart, Three Strengths, Eight Essentials" has been established, creating a closed loop of "concept-behavior-touchpoint-communication-incentive" [7][17]. - The company has documented 1,500 visual processes and 200 scenario scripts to make service standards more dynamic, with plans to conduct over 400 cultural classes and customer engagement activities by 2025 [7][17]. Group 4: Business Model Innovation - The company is exploring the "Property + Elderly Care" model to serve the aging economy, launching various elderly-friendly home services, achieving a 30% repurchase rate and 99% customer satisfaction in related projects [11][21]. - A collaborative mechanism has been established, resulting in over 1.2 billion yuan in contracts over the past three years [11][21]. - The company has integrated nearly 1,000 projects through resource reuse and platform management, achieving cost savings of 67 million yuan [9][19].

Core Insights - The real estate service sector experienced a significant increase of 3.94% on February 4, with "I Love My Home" leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4102.2, up 0.85%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14156.27, up 0.21% [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - "I Love My Home" (code: 000560) closed at 3.61, with a rise of 10.06% and a trading volume of 4.1629 million shares [1] - "Te Fa Service" (code: 300917) saw a closing price of 42.50, increasing by 6.52% with a trading volume of 166,900 shares [1] - "World Union" (code: 002285) closed at 2.87, up 5.90%, with a trading volume of 984,700 shares [1] - "Huangting International" (code: 000056) closed at 1.88, increasing by 5.03% with a trading volume of 944,200 shares [1] - "Zhongshan Service" (code: 002188) closed at 7.24, up 1.69%, with a trading volume of 250,600 shares [1] Group 2: Capital Flow - The real estate service sector saw a net inflow of 335 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 155 million yuan [2] - "I Love My Home" had a net inflow of 254 million yuan from institutional investors, but a net outflow of 168 million yuan from retail investors [3] - "Te Fa Service" recorded a net inflow of 46.64 million yuan from institutional investors, with a net outflow of 23.48 million yuan from retail investors [3]

Group 1 - The core point of the news is that招商积余 has seen a stock price increase of 5.08%, reaching 12.00 yuan per share, with a total market capitalization of 12.645 billion yuan as of the report date [1] - 招商积余's main business involves property asset management, with revenue composition as follows: property management 35.11%, basic property management 27.33%, non-residential property management 19.61%, residential property management 7.71%, professional value-added services 6.88%, asset management 1.22%, platform value-added services 0.91%, rental and operation of held properties 0.85%, commercial operations 0.37%, and other businesses 0.00% [1] Group 2 - From the perspective of fund holdings, 广发基金 has one fund heavily invested in 招商积余, specifically the 广发金融地产精选股票A (012244), which held 312,600 shares, accounting for 6.89% of the fund's net value, making it the second-largest holding [2] - The fund has a total scale of 20.6596 million yuan and has achieved a year-to-date return of 8.17%, ranking 1415 out of 5562 in its category, and a one-year return of 25.74%, ranking 2768 out of 4285 [2]

Core Insights - The report discusses the implementation of the "Tax Law Principle" and its implications for service industries such as internet and finance, indicating that current tax arrangements are unlikely to change significantly in the short term [2][3][12] - The real estate sector is experiencing a favorable shift in financing policies, with REITs and private placements opening new equity financing channels to alleviate financial pressures on real estate companies [3][13] Tax Law Implementation - The State Council approved the "Implementation Regulations of the Value-Added Tax Law of the People's Republic of China" on December 19, 2025, and subsequent announcements have clarified tax details, suggesting stability in tax arrangements for service industries [2][3][12] - The definition of "basic services" in telecommunications is evolving, with mobile data and internet broadband still classified as "value-added services" subject to a 6% VAT rate, while traditional voice services are recognized as "basic services" with a 9% VAT rate [2][3][12] Real Estate Sector Analysis - The financing environment for the real estate industry is improving, with a shift from debt financing to equity financing, including the introduction of REITs and private placements [3][13] - Recent regulatory changes, such as the gradual retreat from the "three red lines" policy, indicate a more supportive financing environment for real estate companies [13] - The report maintains a "positive" rating for the real estate sector, highlighting the potential for recovery in the industry as financing policies become more favorable [3][13] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends several quality real estate companies for investment, including China Jinmao, Poly Developments, and China Resources Land, among others, due to their potential for recovery and attractive valuations [13] - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring the evolving financing landscape and the impact of government policies on the real estate market [3][13]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the real estate development and service sectors [7] Core Insights - The new policy in Shanghai for acquiring second-hand housing aims to address the rental needs of new citizens, young people, and graduates, potentially stabilizing housing prices and boosting industry confidence [1][4] - The policy is expected to facilitate a balance between supply and demand in the real estate market by replacing new construction with stock acquisition, thus compressing the supply cycle for affordable rental housing [3] - The report highlights the importance of targeted housing supply strategies in key districts, focusing on small units and proximity to industrial areas to meet talent housing needs [2] Summary by Sections Investment Opportunities - The report recommends investing in "three good" real estate companies with strong credit, good locations, and quality products, particularly those with quality reserves in Shanghai [5] - Specific companies highlighted include China Overseas Development, China Resources Land, and Longfor Group, among others, which are expected to benefit from the new policy and market recovery [9][10] Market Dynamics - The report notes that the new policy is not the first of its kind in China, with previous examples in cities like Zhengzhou, but it is expected to have a more significant impact in Shanghai due to its status as a core first-tier city [4] - The anticipated market stabilization is supported by a relatively market-oriented pricing mechanism for affordable rental housing, which could lead to sustainable commercial outcomes [4] Company Performance - Companies such as Greentown Service and Longfor Group are expected to maintain strong performance metrics, with projected earnings per share (EPS) growth and stable cash flow management [11][12] - The report emphasizes the operational capabilities of companies like China Resources Land and Longfor Group, which are positioned to navigate market adjustments effectively [12][13]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the real estate sector, indicating a potential investment return that exceeds the market benchmark index by 5% to 15% over the next 6-12 months [7]. Core Insights - As of early 2026, multiple regions have initiated old housing acquisitions, significantly accelerating the "old-for-new" program, supported by a reduction in the central bank's one-year relending rate from 1.5% to 1.25% [1][3]. - Local governments are actively engaging in funding through various means, including fiscal support and bank loans, to facilitate the acquisition and renovation of old housing, thereby enhancing the supply of affordable rental housing [3]. - The report highlights that the government's direct acquisition of second-hand old houses is an effective measure to streamline the housing exchange process, reduce the exchange cycle, and simplify procedures, ultimately promoting the sales of new homes [3]. Summary by Sections Section 1: Old Housing Acquisition - The "old-for-new" service has been launched in various cities, with Shanghai and Hangzhou being notable examples where initial registrations have been completed and dynamic waiting lists established for families wishing to participate [1][2]. - Specific focus areas include older properties in urban centers, with clear ownership and reasonable pricing, aimed at facilitating housing exchanges for those in need [2]. Section 2: Market Dynamics - By the end of 2025, public funds held a mere 0.43% of their stock investment value in the real estate sector, indicating a significant underweight compared to standard industry allocation [4]. - The report suggests that high-energy cities are likely to benefit from urban renewal initiatives, leading to structural optimization and gradual stabilization of the market [5]. Section 3: Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on three main investment lines: 1. Real estate companies with strong credit advantages and high product reputation in core cities, such as China Merchants Shekou and China Jinmao [5]. 2. Public REITs with rich existing resources and strong operational brand competitiveness, such as China Resources Land and Shanghai Lingang [5]. 3. Long-term growth potential in property services, recommending companies like China Merchants Jiyu and Greentown Service [5].

Market Performance - The real estate service sector increased by 1.52% on February 3, with TeFa Service leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4067.74, up 1.29%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14127.1, up 2.19% [1] Individual Stock Performance - TeFa Service (300917) closed at 39.90, up 3.07% with a trading volume of 86,200 shares and a transaction value of 3.47 billion [1] - World Union (002285) closed at 2.71, up 3.04% with a trading volume of 491,800 shares and a transaction value of 133 million [1] - ST Mingcheng (600136) closed at 1.75, up 2.34% with a trading volume of 166,100 shares and a transaction value of 28.86 million [1] - I Love My Home (000560) closed at 3.28, up 2.18% with a trading volume of 1,884,200 shares and a transaction value of 616 million [1] - Zhongtian Service (002188) closed at 7.12, up 2.15% with a trading volume of 284,700 shares and a transaction value of 204 million [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The real estate service sector experienced a net outflow of 5.73 million from institutional investors and 30.98 million from speculative funds, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 36.70 million [2] - The capital flow for individual stocks shows that I Love My Home had a net outflow of 15.62 million from institutional investors, while retail investors had a net inflow of 10.58 million [3] - World Union had a net inflow of 6.67 million from institutional investors, but a net outflow of 13.87 million from speculative funds [3]

Core Insights - The report maintains a bullish outlook on the real estate market, highlighting the significant debut of commercial real estate REITs, with the first batch of applications exceeding 32.1 billion RMB, accounting for 14% of the existing C-REITs market [5] - The cancellation of the "three red lines" policy marks a pivotal shift, indicating a return to orderly market development and improved financing channels for real estate companies [16][20] - The report notes a strong year-on-year increase in transaction volumes for both new and second-hand homes, with new home transactions in 50 cities up 3.3% week-on-week and 37.2% year-on-year [5][9] Group 1: Central Policies - The cancellation of the "three red lines" policy allows for a more market-oriented development of the real estate sector, which had previously constrained financing for weaker firms [16] - The central government is actively managing expectations and stabilizing the policy environment to facilitate a turning point in the real estate cycle [16] Group 2: Transaction Performance - New home transactions saw a week-on-week increase of 3.3% and a year-on-year increase of 37.2%, reflecting a recovery from last year's low base due to the Spring Festival [5][9] - Second-hand home transactions also showed significant growth, with a year-on-year increase of 154.9%, driven by a favorable comparison to last year's figures [9] Group 3: Market Dynamics - The report indicates that the new home supply has improved, with a week-on-week increase of 34.5%, which is unusual before the Spring Festival, suggesting increased developer confidence [5] - The second-hand market remains robust, with a year-on-year increase in visits and transactions, indicating sustained demand [5] Group 4: Land Market Performance - The land market showed weaker performance, with total land sales in 300 cities amounting to 12.7 billion RMB, down 20% week-on-week and 69% year-on-year [5] - The report highlights a supply of 7.93 million square meters, with a land absorption rate of 51%, indicating a dual weakness in supply and demand [5] Group 5: Company Performance and Recommendations - The report suggests that companies with strong investment fundamentals and low valuations, such as China Jinmao and China Overseas, are leading the sector [5] - The property management sector also performed well, with a 2.6% increase, outperforming the Hang Seng Index [5] Group 6: C-REITs Overview - The C-REITs composite return index rose by 0.36%, with 41 out of 78 REITs showing gains, particularly in the renewable energy and highway sectors [5]