Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Buy" rating for the real estate industry, consistent with the previous rating [2]. Core Insights - The real estate market is showing signs of recovery, with a notable increase in second-hand home subscriptions and a strengthening of transaction confidence [7][15]. - The average daily subscription for second-hand homes in 79 cities reached 3,404 units from January 1 to January 22, 2026, representing a year-on-year increase of 33.1% compared to the same period in 2025 [16][27]. - The report highlights that the market is experiencing a self-driven recovery without significant large-scale stimulus policies being implemented [16]. Summary by Sections 1. Second-Hand Homes: Significant Growth in Subscriptions and Record High Conversion Rates - Overall transactions show a recovery in lower-tier cities, although this has not yet fully translated into net signing [15]. - In key cities, second-hand home subscriptions in first-tier cities like Guangzhou are relatively stable, while many lower-tier cities are experiencing growth [31]. - The conversion rate of visits to transactions has reached a new high, with a 5.6% conversion rate in 70 cities, up from the previous quarter [35]. 2. New Homes: Low Net Signing Levels Across All Tiers - The average daily net signing for new homes in 45 cities was 250,000 square meters, a year-on-year decrease of 42.1% [29]. - All tiers of cities are experiencing varying degrees of decline in new home net signing, with first-tier cities seeing the most significant drops [29]. 3. Price Trends and Market Dynamics - As of January 22, 2026, the average price of second-hand homes in 33 cities has decreased by 17.9% year-on-year compared to 2025 [41]. - The report indicates that the price adjustments in lower-tier cities are more pronounced, aligning closer to residents' psychological expectations, which has led to increased subscriptions [42]. - The report notes a decline in the number of second-hand listings, particularly in key cities, due to factors such as the removal of ineffective listings by agents and homeowners withdrawing listings amid falling prices [41].

证券日报网讯1月23日，招商积余（001914）在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示，医养事业部主要职能 为探索居家康养类增值业务，目前处于前期探索阶段。线上营销融合方面，已在公司线上商城开设康养 专区；线下站点共建方面，已在住宅项目中开始试点，待成熟后复制。目前业务尚处起步，具体商业模 式有待摸索。 ...

证券日报网讯1月23日，招商积余（001914）在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示，根据中国证券登记结 算有限责任公司提供数据，截至2026年1月20日，公司合并融资融券信用账户股东总户数为20858户，未 合并融资融券信用账户股东总户数为19275户。 ...

证券日报网讯1月23日，招商积余（001914）在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示，招商积余数字科技(深 圳)有限公司系公司主要的数字化研发平台，以"招商π"为主平台进行数字化能力打磨，已完成10大业态 全业务场景、全工作链条数字化能力覆盖，累计申请专利32项。包括该企业在内，公司目前旗下拥有5 家国家高新技术企业。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The real estate service sector experienced a decline of 0.44% on January 23, with TeFa Service leading the drop. Meanwhile, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.33% and the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 0.79% [1]. Group 1: Market Performance - The closing price of TeFa Service was 39.84, reflecting a decrease of 3.65% with a trading volume of 100,900 shares and a transaction value of 402 million yuan [2]. - The real estate service sector saw a net outflow of 125 million yuan from major funds, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 165 million yuan [2][3]. Group 2: Individual Stock Performance - The stock performance of various companies in the real estate service sector showed mixed results, with notable declines in TeFa Service, which fell by 3.65%, and Wo Ai Wo Jia, which decreased by 0.63% [2]. - The trading volume and transaction values for key stocks included: - Wo Ai Wo Jia: 3.14, -0.63%, 1.71 million shares, 536 million yuan [2] - New Dazheng: 14.18, +0.50%, 58,000 shares, 80.91 million yuan [2] - ST Mingcheng: 1.71, +1.18%, 137,300 shares, 23.38 million yuan [2]. Group 3: Fund Flow Analysis - Major funds showed significant outflows in several stocks, including: - Wo Ai Wo Jia: -37.63 million yuan, -7.02% [3] - Ningbo Fuda: -19.99 million yuan, -12.08% [3] - Shijian Hang: -10.16 million yuan, -6.04% [3]. - Retail investors showed a positive net inflow in several stocks, with New Dazheng receiving a net inflow of 521,000 yuan, representing 6.44% of its trading volume [3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the real estate development and services sectors [7] Core Insights - The approval of Vanke's debt extension plan alleviates short-term pressure on leading real estate companies, contributing to a stabilization of market expectations and creating favorable conditions for the industry to "stop falling and stabilize" [1][3] - The threefold guarantees in Vanke's proposal, including optimized repayment arrangements, fixed repayment schedules, and enhanced credit measures, are crucial for easing liquidity pressures and balancing creditor interests [2][3] - The ongoing debt reduction efforts among major real estate companies are essential for addressing industry pain points and are a focal point for risk prevention policies [4] Summary by Sections Investment Recommendations - The report recommends investing in "three good" real estate stocks characterized by good credit, good cities, and good products, such as China Resources Land, China Overseas Development, and Longfor Group [5] - It also highlights companies with strong operational capabilities that can manage cash flow during market adjustments, such as China Resources Land and New Town Holdings [5] - Local Hong Kong real estate firms benefiting from market recovery, like Sun Hung Kai Properties, are also recommended [5] - Companies with stable cash flow and dividend advantages, such as Greentown Service and China Resources Mixc Lifestyle, are highlighted as attractive investment opportunities [5] Key Company Insights - Longfor Group's commercial operations continue to grow, while development sales have decreased year-on-year, indicating a focus on quality land acquisition [13] - Greentown Service maintains its annual performance guidance and emphasizes cash dividends and share buybacks, showcasing its competitive advantages in service quality and brand premium [14] - Greentown China reported a 23% year-on-year decline in revenue, but its sales performance remains better than the industry average, with a focus on improving debt structure and cash flow [15] - Link REIT, as Hong Kong's first listed REIT, is expected to benefit from factors like RMB appreciation and population recovery, leading to valuation recovery [14] - China Overseas Development's revenue decreased by 4% year-on-year, but its development scale and operational advantages remain strong, with plans for new project launches [15] - China Jinmao's revenue increased by 14% year-on-year, driven by improved project turnover and margin [16]

Market Overview - On January 22, the real estate service sector rose by 0.29% compared to the previous trading day, with Huangting International leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4122.58, up 0.14%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14327.05, up 0.5% [1] Individual Stock Performance - Huangting International (000056) closed at 2.10, up 1.94%, with a trading volume of 400,500 shares and a transaction value of 83.39 million yuan [1] - Ningbo Fuda (600724) closed at 6.83, up 1.49%, with a trading volume of 270,200 shares and a transaction value of 186 million yuan [1] - ST Mingcheng (600136) closed at 1.69, up 1.20%, with a trading volume of 102,000 shares and a transaction value of 17.16 million yuan [1] - Zhongtian Service (002188) closed at 6.81, up 1.19%, with a trading volume of 169,000 shares and a transaction value of 114 million yuan [1] - Nandu Property (603506) closed at 14.46, up 0.84%, with a trading volume of 36,800 shares and a transaction value of 53.12 million yuan [1] - Other notable performances include: - China Merchants Jiyu (001914) at 11.73, up 0.43% [1] - Wo Ai Wo Jia (000560) at 3.16, unchanged [1] - Shilianhang (002285) at 2.86, unchanged [1] - Tefa Service (300917) at 41.35, down 0.58% [1] - Xinda Zheng (002968) at 14.11, down 1.40% [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The real estate service sector experienced a net outflow of 88.39 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 94.48 million yuan [2] - The detailed capital flow for individual stocks shows: - Tefa Service (300917) had a net inflow of 2.93 million yuan from institutional investors [3] - ST Mingcheng (600136) had a net inflow of 1.67 million yuan from institutional investors [3] - Huangting International (000056) had a net inflow of 1.21 million yuan from institutional investors [3] - Other stocks like Zhujiang Co. (600684) and Xinda Zheng (002968) faced significant net outflows from institutional investors [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the real estate development and services sectors [7] Core Insights - The real estate market in 2025 showed signs of stabilization, with a reduction in the rate of decline in both supply and demand, although overall sales still decreased year-on-year [1][2] - Structural opportunities exist in core cities and certain second and third-tier cities, with some companies poised to strengthen their competitive advantages [1][50] - The report emphasizes the importance of housing prices as a key indicator for market stabilization, with a focus on observing signals of price stabilization [3][32] Summary by Sections New Homes - In 2025, the total sales area of new homes was 880 million square meters, a year-on-year decrease of 9%, but the decline was less severe than in 2024 [11] - The number of new homes sold in 60 sample cities fell by 16% year-on-year, a reduction of 5 percentage points compared to 2024 [2] - The inventory of new homes in 80 cities decreased by 5% year-on-year, but the de-stocking period extended to approximately 32 months, the highest level since 2010 [37] Second-Hand Homes - The second-hand home market showed resilience, with total transactions in 2025 reaching approximately 2.39 million units, a slight year-on-year decline of 0.8% [3][26] - The price index for second-hand homes in 70 cities fell by 6.1% year-on-year, but the decline was less than in 2024 [32] - The proportion of second-hand home transactions continued to rise, reaching 66% in 16 key cities, up from 43% in 2021 [31] Cities and Companies - Certain cities, such as Beijing, Shanghai, and Chengdu, showed improvements in both sales volume and prices, indicating potential recovery [4][46] - Leading real estate companies like China Jinmao and China State Construction maintained or increased their market share despite overall market challenges [4][46] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on "three good" real estate stocks characterized by good credit, good cities, and good products, such as China Overseas Development and China Resources Land [5][50] - Companies with strong operational capabilities that can manage cash flow during market adjustments are also highlighted as potential investment opportunities [5][50] - Local Hong Kong real estate firms are expected to benefit from market recovery, along with property management companies with stable cash flows and dividend advantages [5][50]

证券之星消息，1月21日房地产服务板块较上一交易日下跌0.63%，招商积余领跌。当日上证指数报收于 4116.94，上涨0.08%。深证成指报收于14255.12，上涨0.7%。房地产服务板块个股涨跌见下表： 从资金流向上来看，当日房地产服务板块主力资金净流出2.97亿元，游资资金净流入9643.49万元，散户 资金净流入2.01亿元。房地产服务板块个股资金流向见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 002968 | 新大正 | 14.31 | 1.71% | 12.30万 | | 1.77亿 | | 600684 | 珠江股份 | 4.82 | 1.69% | 49.40万 | | 2.40亿 | | 603506 | 南都物业 | 14.34 | 0.99% | 4.95万 | 7097.83万 | | | 002188 | 中天服务 | 6.73 | 0.15% | 19.04万 | | 1.27亿 | | 600136 | ST明诚 | 1.67 | 0 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the real estate industry [2] Core Views - The report highlights a rebound in sales on a month-on-month basis, supported by policies aimed at improving housing conditions for residents [7] - The overall market performance is weak, with the Shenwan Real Estate Index declining by 3.52% compared to a 0.57% drop in the CSI 300 Index, resulting in a relative return of -2.95% [4][12] - The report emphasizes the importance of financially stable real estate companies, suggesting a focus on leading firms that can effectively navigate market fluctuations [7] Summary by Sections Weekly Market Review - The Shenwan Real Estate Index decreased by 3.52%, while the CSI 300 Index fell by 0.57%, indicating underperformance of the sector relative to the broader market [4][12] Industry Fundamentals - For the week of January 9-15, 2026, the total number of new homes sold in 38 key cities was 21,770 units, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 14.7% but a month-on-month increase of 12.4%. The total area sold was 201.4 million square meters, down 25.3% year-on-year but up 12.8% month-on-month [5][22] - In the same week, the total number of second-hand homes sold in 16 key cities was 18,991 units, with a year-on-year decline of 11.5% and a month-on-month increase of 17.2%. The total area sold was 188 million square meters, down 11.6% year-on-year but up 18.3% month-on-month [5][40] Land Market Analysis - During the week of January 5-11, 2026, land supply was 2,198.8 million square meters, a year-on-year decrease of 2.6%, with an average supply price of 858 yuan per square meter, down 42% year-on-year. Land transactions totaled 1,503.1 million square meters, down 41.4% year-on-year, with a transaction value of 18.91 billion yuan, down 49.5% year-on-year [6] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on financially sound leading real estate companies such as Yuexiu Property, China Merchants Shekou, Poly Developments, and others, which are expected to perform well in the current policy environment [7]