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房地产行业26年1月市场总结:市场信心逐步回升,主流标的表现优异
GF SECURITIES· 2026-02-26 14:37
[Table_Page] 投资策略月报|房地产 证券研究报告 [Table_Title] 房地产行业 26 年 1 月市场总结 市场信心逐步回升,主流标的表现优异 [Table_Summary] 核心观点: [Table_Grade] 行业评级 买入 前次评级 买入 报告日期 2026-02-26 [相对市场表现 Table_PicQuote] [分析师: Table_Author]郭镇 SAC 执证号:S0260514080003 SFC CE No. BNN906 021-38003639 guoz@gf.com.cn 分析师: 邢莘 SAC 执证号:S0260520070009 021-38003638 xingshen@gf.com.cn 分析师: 谢淼 SAC 执证号:S0260522070007 SFC CE No. BVB342 021-38003637 xiemiao@gf.com.cn 分析师: 李怡慧 SAC 执证号:S0260524040001 SFC CE No. BVI219 021-38003636 liyihui@gf.com.cn 分析师: 辛恬 SAC 执证号:S026052 ...
上海“沪七条”点评:稳定楼市预期下的上海范本
HTSC· 2026-02-26 02:25
2 月 25 日,上海五部门联合印发楼市新政"沪七条"。在限购松绑、公积 金支持、房产税优化三大维度全面发力,放松力度高于年前的北京新政。我 们认为,新政将有效降低购房门槛、提升支付能力,精准激活刚需与改善需 求,放松力度超市场预期。叠加 2 月 2 日的收储新政,有望推动上海楼市从 "预期底"向"量价修复"加速过渡,为一线城市稳市场提供重要样本,也 有望为房地产市场存量去化与行业转型注入新动能。我们看好"三好"房企、 优秀商业运营商、港资房企、高分红物管公司的投资机遇。 三维发力:大幅降低限购门槛,提升支付能力,疏通置换链条 证券研究报告 稳定楼市预期下的上海范本 ——上海"沪七条"点评 华泰研究 2026 年 2 月 25 日│中国内地 动态点评 新政对非沪籍及持居住证群体的限购政策进行系统性优化:1、将非沪籍外 环内购房社保/个税要求从 3 年大幅降至 1 年;2、社保/个税满 3 年的非沪 籍家庭可在外环内增购 1 套;3、持居住证满 5 年者可直接购房,无需社保 证明。新政在公积金和房产税方面同步发力:公积金首套贷款最高额度从 160 万提至 240 万,叠加多子女及绿色建筑政策后最高可达 324 ...
上海楼市新政点评:沪“新七条”发布,小阳春可期
GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES· 2026-02-25 14:14
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the real estate sector, indicating a positive outlook for the market in 2026 [5][8]. Core Insights - The release of Shanghai's "New Seven Measures" on February 25, 2026, is expected to effectively release pent-up reasonable demand, leading to a simultaneous recovery in both new and second-hand housing markets [3][5]. - The new policies include adjustments to purchase restrictions, optimization of housing provident fund loans, and improvements to property tax regulations, which are designed to stimulate market activity [5][6]. Summary by Sections Policy Changes - The new measures involve: - Reduction of purchase restrictions for non-local residents and single individuals, allowing them to buy multiple properties under certain conditions [5]. - Increase in the maximum loan amount for first-time homebuyers from 1.6 million CNY to 2.4 million CNY, with potential increases for families with multiple children and those purchasing green buildings [5]. - Property tax exemptions for local families under specific conditions, aimed at facilitating housing upgrades [5]. Market Outlook - The report anticipates a "small spring" in the market characterized by increased transaction volumes and stable prices, driven by targeted policy measures that address qualification, funding, and cost [5][6]. - The combination of these policies is expected to effectively release previously accumulated reasonable demand, boosting both new and second-hand housing markets [5][6]. Recommended Stocks - The report recommends several stocks for investment, including: - Development companies: Poly Developments, China Merchants Shekou, and Jin Di Group [5]. - Commercial and residential: China Resources Land and Longfor Group [5]. - Property management: Wanwu Cloud and China Overseas Property [5]. - Cultural tourism: Overseas Chinese Town A [5].
上海225楼市新政点评:楼市改善趋势下政策放松加码,更彰显维稳房价的目标和决心
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2026-02-25 13:05
行 业 及 产 业 房地产 行 业 研 究 / 行 业 点 2026 年 02 月 25 日 楼市改善趋势下政策放松加码,更彰显维稳房 价的目标和决心 看好 ——上海 225 楼市新政点评 事件: ⚫ 2026 年 2 月 25 日,上海市住房城乡建设管理委、市房屋管理局、市财政局、市税务局、 市公积金管理中心等五部门联合印发《关于进一步优化调整本市房地产政策的通知》,其 中:1)优化限购:缩短非沪籍居民购买外环内住房所需缴纳社保或个税年限。对非本市 户籍居民家庭或成年单身人士购买外环内住房的,购房所需缴纳社会保险或个人所得税的 年限,调整为购房之日前连续缴纳满 1 年及以上。符合条件非沪籍居民可在外环内增购 1 套住房。符合条件的持《上海市居住证》群体可在本市购买住房。2)优化住房公积金贷 款政策。3)完善个人住房房产税政策。 点评: 证券分析师 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 博时基金 博时基金管理有限公司(researchreport@bosera.com) 使用。1 评 证 券 研 究 报 告 相关研究 袁豪 A0230520120001 yuanhao@sws ...
招商积余:截至2026年2月13日公司合并信用账户股东总户数21589户
Zheng Quan Ri Bao· 2026-02-24 10:15
(文章来源:证券日报) 证券日报网讯 2月24日,招商积余在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示,截至2026年2月13日,公司合并 融资融券信用账户股东总户数为21589户,未合并融资融券信用账户股东总户数为19987户。 ...
行业点评报告:楼市延续筑底行情,政策宽松下布局时点已至
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2026-02-24 05:44
行业走势图 数据来源:聚源 -24% -12% 0% 12% 24% 2025-02 2025-06 2025-10 房地产 沪深300 相关研究报告 《上海三区启动住房以旧换新,推动 新房去库存 — 行 业 点 评 报 告 》 -2026.2.4 行 业 研 究 2026 年 02 月 24 日 投资评级:看好(维持) 《2025Q4 公募基金延续低配,持股集 中度进一步提升—行业点评报告》 -2026.1.27 《销售延续调整态势,期待政策显效 与市场筑底 — 行 业 点 评 报 告 》 -2026.1.19 楼市延续筑底行情,政策宽松下布局时点已至 ——行业点评报告 | 齐东(分析师) | 胡耀文(分析师) | | --- | --- | | qidong@kysec.cn | huyaowen@kysec.cn | | 证书编号:S0790522010002 | 证书编号:S0790524070001 | huyaowen@kysec.cn 证书编号:S0790524070001 春节市场成交量:一手房网签偏弱,二手房基本持平 一手房方面,2026 年除夕前一周 40 城市合计一手房成交 133.68 ...
地产及物管行业双周报(2026/2/7-2026/2/20):春节期间新房成交同比小增,商业不动产REITs半月申报12单-20260223
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2026-02-23 07:36
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" rating for the real estate and property management sectors, highlighting the potential for recovery in quality real estate companies and commercial properties [3]. Core Insights - The report indicates that new home sales during the Spring Festival period saw a year-on-year increase of 5.4%, with a total of 9.3 million square meters sold across 16 major cities [3][13]. - The overall sentiment in the real estate market is improving, driven by recent government policies aimed at stabilizing the market and addressing local government debt risks [3]. - The report emphasizes that the fundamental bottom of the real estate sector is approaching, with expectations for quality companies to recover profits more quickly and flexibly [3]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry Data - New home sales in 34 key cities during the week before the Spring Festival totaled 192.3 million square meters, a decrease of 1.1% week-on-week, but an increase of 56.6% compared to the average weekly sales this year [4]. - In February, new home sales in 34 cities increased by 88.5% year-on-year, with first and second-tier cities showing a 96.8% increase [9]. - The inventory of new homes in 15 cities was reported at 8,870.4 million square meters, with a slight decrease of 0.1% week-on-week [54]. 2. Policy News - The report notes that the government has reiterated its commitment to stabilizing the real estate market, with various local policies being introduced to optimize housing supply and manage existing stock [3]. - Specific measures include the promotion of REITs in commercial real estate, with 12 applications submitted recently [3]. 3. Company Dynamics - Sales data for major real estate companies in January showed mixed results, with China Jinmao reporting a 13.6% increase in sales, while other companies like Poly Developments saw a 13.3% decrease [3]. - The report highlights the performance of the property management sector, which has shown resilience compared to the broader market [3]. 4. Market Performance - The SW Real Estate Index fell by 0.69%, underperforming the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index, which rose by 0.36% [3]. - The report suggests that the current valuation levels for quality real estate companies are at historical lows, making them attractive for investment [3].
招商积余:截至2026年2月10日,公司合并融资融券信用账户股东总户数为21600户
Zheng Quan Ri Bao Wang· 2026-02-11 11:13
Group 1 - The core point of the article is that as of February 10, 2026, the total number of shareholders in the combined margin financing and securities lending accounts of the company is 21,600, while the number of shareholders in the non-combined margin financing and securities lending accounts is 19,941 [1] Group 2 - The company is actively engaging with investors through an interactive platform to provide updates on shareholder numbers [1] - The data reflects the company's efforts to maintain transparency and communication with its investor base [1] - The figures indicate a significant level of participation from shareholders in the company's financing activities [1]
招商积余:目前正在依据交易合同的约定,办理国有资产产权变更审批及相关交割手续
Zheng Quan Ri Bao· 2026-02-11 08:37
Group 1 - The company,招商积余, is currently processing the approval for the change of state-owned asset ownership and related delivery procedures according to the terms of the transaction contract [2]
房地产行业“以旧换新”专题报告:上海重启试点,逻辑顺、预期效果强、值得期待
GF SECURITIES· 2026-02-10 04:12
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the real estate sector, indicating a positive outlook for investment opportunities in this area [4]. Core Insights - The "old-for-new" policy is being reintroduced in Shanghai, which is expected to effectively stabilize housing prices and stimulate market activity [10][26]. - The policy focuses on acquiring second-hand homes to address inventory issues and enhance market liquidity, with specific criteria for eligible properties [10][26]. - The anticipated financial impact includes a potential market transaction increase of approximately 1,080 billion yuan, representing a 9% boost to total market transactions and a 24% increase in new home sales [3][10]. Summary by Sections 1. Background of the "Old-for-New" Policy - The central government has emphasized the need for policies that control inventory and improve supply, with the "old-for-new" initiative aligning closely with these goals [10][11]. 2. Historical Experience of "Old-for-New" - The "old-for-new" model is categorized into acquisition and assistance types, with the acquisition model being more effective in driving sales [16][21]. - The acquisition model has been implemented in over 20 cities, with a total of 14,520 units identified for trial [16][21]. 3. Shanghai's "Old-for-New" Policy - The policy aims to stabilize housing prices by focusing on second-hand homes, with specific requirements for properties built before 2000 and under 400 million yuan [3][10]. - The estimated funding requirement for the acquisition of 27,000 units is approximately 54 billion yuan, leveraging a 1:2 replacement ratio to maximize market impact [3][10]. 4. Feasibility of the Latest "Old-for-New" Policy - Shanghai is positioned as a key city for the implementation of this policy due to its strong government credibility and market stability [3][10]. - The second-hand housing market in Shanghai has shown signs of stabilization, with a reduction in the average transaction cycle to 22.2 months and a 2% month-on-month price rebound [3][10]. 5. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that the current environment, characterized by improving transaction volumes and prices in the second-hand market, presents significant investment opportunities [3][10].