Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for major real estate companies, indicating a positive outlook for the sector [3]. Core Insights - The real estate industry is entering a "quality era," with a recovery in the opening sales rate, which is a key indicator of market sentiment and profitability trends [2][11]. - The opening sales rate in key cities for the first three quarters of 2025 was 56%, an increase of 8 percentage points compared to the entire year of 2024, and a 16 percentage point increase from Q3 2024 [2][26]. - The report highlights that the improvement in sales rates is driven by enhanced product quality and design, with average renovation costs in nine cities rising by 7% in the first three quarters of 2025 compared to 2024 [2][26]. Summary by Sections 1. Finding the Turning Point in the New Housing Market - The opening sales rate is identified as the most effective indicator for gauging market sentiment and predicting profitability trends [2][11]. - Historical data shows that the opening sales rate can effectively signal the start of a market rally [2][15]. 2. "Good Houses" Driving Sales Rate Improvement - The overall sales rate has shown a stable upward trend, with key cities experiencing a recovery from a low of 41% in Q3 2024 to 56% in the first three quarters of 2025 [2][26]. - The report emphasizes that the improvement in sales rates reflects genuine sales recovery rather than structural issues [2][26]. 3. City and Sector Analysis - There are significant differences in sales rates across different cities, with top-tier companies showing clear operational advantages [2][26]. - The report categorizes cities into three tiers based on their sales performance, indicating a narrowing range of high sales rate cities over the past decade [2][26]. 4. Performance and Characteristics of Real Estate Companies - Most major real estate companies have improved their sales rates in 2025, with leading firms like Poly, Jinmao, and China Overseas Development showing notable increases [2][26]. - The report suggests that companies with high land acquisition scores and strong sales performance are likely to perform well in 2026 [2][26]. 5. Key Company Valuations and Financial Analysis - The report provides detailed financial metrics for major companies, including Vanke, China Merchants Shekou, and Poly Developments, all rated as "Buy" with projected reasonable values indicating potential upside [3].

2025年12月11日，由北京中指信息技术研究院主办，中国房地产指数系统、中国物业服务指数系统承办的"2025中国房地产大数据年会暨2026中国房地产 市场趋势报告会"在北京召开。招商积余凭借扎实的服务功底、领先的企业运营实力和卓越的品牌影响力，荣获"2025华东区域物业服务市场地位领先企 业"。招商积余上海公司荣获"2025上海市物业服务市场地位领先企业"和"2025上海市物业服务满意度领先企业"，其在管的森兰美伦项目获评"2025年上海 市品质物管好楼宇"奖项，同时招商积余杭州公司荣获"2025浙江省物业服务市场地位领先企业"殊荣。 CERTIFICATE 秉承公正、客观、全面的原则，基于科学的方法体系及对全国主要城市物业服务企业经营状况的跟 踪研究,结合营业收入、在管面积、项目个数、满意度等关键指标,综合评价各城市物业服务企业市场 地位, 特授予: 招商积余上海公司 2025上海市物业服务市场地位领先企业 16 云五五年十二月 CERTIFICATE 秉承公正、客观、全面的原则，基于科学的方法体系及对全国主要城市物业服务企业经营状况的跟 踪研究,结合营业收入、在管面积、项目个数、满意度等关键指标,综合评 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Buy" [2] Core Viewpoints - The Central Economic Work Conference emphasizes stabilizing the real estate market, focusing on risk resolution and encouraging the acquisition of existing properties for affordable housing [5][8] - The overall tone of the conference is the most positive of the year, indicating a responsive approach to the industry's downward trend [14] - The policy shift from "stimulating demand" to "digesting inventory and optimizing supply" reflects a strategic change in real estate policy [14] Summary by Sections Economic Work Conference Insights - The conference held on December 11, 2025, updated its stance on real estate, focusing on stabilizing the market and managing risks effectively [5][8] - Key measures include controlling new land supply, revitalizing existing land and commercial properties, and promoting the construction of quality housing [5][8] Policy Evolution - The shift in policy from "stimulating demand" to "controlling increment, reducing inventory, and optimizing supply" has been noted since April 2024 [14] - The emphasis on "risk prevention" suggests that 2026 may see intensified contradictions within the real estate sector [14] Company Valuation and Financial Analysis - The report includes a detailed valuation and financial analysis of key companies in the real estate sector, with several companies rated as "Buy" [6] - Notable companies include Vanke A, China Overseas Development, and Poly Developments, all showing potential for strong performance [6][17] Recommendations - The report recommends several A-share and H-share companies for investment, indicating a focus on both development and property management sectors [17]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the real estate development and service sectors [7]. Core Insights - The central economic work conference emphasizes the need to stabilize the real estate market, indicating that the task of "stabilizing the market" is ongoing and requires sustained efforts [2][3]. - Policies aimed at controlling new supply, reducing inventory, and optimizing supply will be further implemented in 2026, potentially supported by interest rate cuts [1][3]. - The report highlights the importance of product strength as a core competitive advantage for real estate companies to navigate through market cycles [1]. Summary by Sections Market Stability - The conference reiterates the importance of addressing issues in the real estate market as a key focus for risk mitigation in critical areas [2]. - The transition period for the real estate market is acknowledged, suggesting that stabilization will take time and require ongoing policy support [2]. Inventory Reduction - The conference introduces measures such as city-specific policies to control new supply and reduce inventory, encouraging the acquisition of existing properties for affordable housing [3]. - The concept of "inventory reduction" is highlighted as a significant focus, marking its first mention since 2016, and aligns with previous discussions on optimizing housing policies [3]. Housing Fund Reform - The report discusses the deepening of housing provident fund reforms, which aim to enhance the efficiency of fund utilization and lower housing costs [4]. - Over 260 policies related to housing provident funds have been introduced since 2025, focusing on expanding coverage and easing usage conditions [4]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends real estate stocks with strong credit, location, and product quality, such as China Overseas Development and China Resources Land [5]. - Companies with robust operational capabilities that manage cash flow effectively during market adjustments are also highlighted, including Longfor Group and New Town Holdings [5]. - Local Hong Kong real estate firms benefiting from market recovery, such as Sun Hung Kai Properties, are recommended [5]. - Property management companies with stable cash flow and dividend advantages, like Greentown Service and China Resources Vientiane Life, are also suggested [5]. Key Company Recommendations - The report lists specific companies with target prices and investment ratings, including: - Wanwu Cloud (Buy, target price 32.29 HKD) [9] - Longfor Group (Buy, target price 15.21 HKD) [9] - Greentown China (Buy, target price 13.69 HKD) [9] - China Overseas Development (Buy, target price 19.08 HKD) [9] - Greentown Service (Buy, target price 6.56 HKD) [9] - Link REIT (Buy, target price 50.59 HKD) [9] - China Resources Land (Buy, target price 36.45 HKD) [9] - New Town Holdings (Buy, target price 18.90 HKD) [9] - China Jinmao (Increase, target price 1.81 HKD) [9]

Core Insights - The report highlights the expansion of the top 50 property service companies in China, with a total new contract area of approximately 52.16 million square meters in November 2025, indicating a competitive landscape among leading firms [1] - The overall third-party expansion scale decreased by 24.73% compared to October, with a total of 4,735 million square meters added [1] - The leading sectors for third-party expansion were residential (27.6%), schools (22.9%), and offices (18.5%) [12][15] Group 1: New Contract Areas - The top 50 companies added a total of approximately 52.16 million square meters in new contract areas, with the top 10 companies contributing 30.83 million square meters, accounting for 59.08% of the total [1] - China Resources Vientiane Life had the highest new contract area in November, reaching 4.49 million square meters [1] - The threshold for the top 10 companies' expansion scale slightly decreased from 1.68 million square meters in October to 1.31 million square meters in November [1] Group 2: Project Expansion and Performance - In November, the total new third-party expansion scale was 4,736 million square meters, with 4 companies expanding between 3 million to 5 million square meters, representing 28.3% of the total [12] - The top three companies in terms of new project expansion were China Resources Vientiane Life, Poly Property, and Shimao Services, with expansion areas of 352 million square meters, 340 million square meters, and 336 million square meters, respectively [12][15] - The report indicates a growing trend among property companies to diversify into non-residential sectors, seeking new profit growth points [15] Group 3: City Service Projects - The top city service project in November was the Fuding City Urban Sanitation Integration Project, contracted by Country Garden Services for approximately 139.06 million yuan, with a service period of 3 years [20] - The total contract amount for the top 10 city service projects reached 480 million yuan, accounting for about 93.79% of the overall city service project contracts [20] - The report lists various city service projects across different provinces, highlighting the competitive landscape in urban management services [20] Group 4: Associated Area Analysis - The top five companies in terms of newly contracted associated areas were Poly Property, Wanwu Cloud, China Overseas Property, China Resources Vientiane Life, and China Railway Construction Property, indicating strong area conversion capabilities [23] - The total scale of newly contracted associated areas for the top 50 companies was 19.64 million square meters, showing a significant increase of 70.1% compared to October [23] - Poly Property led with 1.84 million square meters in associated area contracts, demonstrating its strong market position [23]

| 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 001914 | 招商积余 | 11.23 | -0.71% | 4.15万 | 4677.73万 | | 002285 | 世联行 | 3.05 | -0.65% | 129.78万 | 3.93亿 | | 000560 | 我爱我家 | 3.08 | -0.65% | 142.66万 | 4.37 乙 | | 600136 | ST明诚 | 1.79 | -0.56% | 7.17万 | 1287.78万 | | 600724 | 宁波富达 | 5.58 | -0.36% | 19.25万 | 1.08亿 | | 300917 | 特发服务 | 42.25 | -0.07% | 4.96万 | 2.09亿 | | 603506 | 南都物业 | 12.42 | 0.00% | 3.46万 | 4284.85万 | | 000056 | 皇庭国际 | 2.29 | 0.44% | 30.39万 | 6973.22万 | | 600684 | 珠江 ...

证券代码：001914 证券简称：招商积余 公告编号：2025-81 本公司及董事会全体成员保证公告内容的真实、准确和完整，没有虚假记载、 误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 招商局积余产业运营服务股份有限公司 关于回购股份注销完成暨股份变动的公告 重要内容提示： 1、招商局积余产业运营服务股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）本次回购 股份已实施完毕。公司本次注销的股份为6,626,202股，占注销前公司总股本 （1,060,346,060股）的0.62%，本次注销的股份数量与公司实际回购的股份数量 一致。 2、公司于2025年12月5日在中国证券登记结算有限责任公司深圳分公司办理 完成上述股份的注销手续。本次股份回购注销完成后，公司总股本由 1,060,346,060股变更为1,053,719,858股。 一、回购股份实施情况 公司于2024年12月10日首次以集中竞价方式实施股份回购，具体内容详见公 司于2024年12月11日披露的《关于首次回购公司股份的公告》（公告编号： 2024-64）。回购期间，公司按规定于每个月的前三个交易日内披露截至上月末 的回购进展情况，具体内容详见公司刊登在巨潮资讯网的相关进展公告。 截至 ...

招商积余公告，公司本次注销的股份为662.62万股，占注销前公司总股本（1,060,346,060股）的 0.62%，本次注销的股份数量与公司实际回购的股份数量一致。公司于2025年12月5日在中国证券登记 结算有限责任公司深圳分公司办理完成上述股份的注销手续。本次股份回购注销完成后，公司总股本由 10.6亿股变更为10.54亿股。 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the real estate industry [5] Core Insights - Recent "14th Five-Year Plan" proposals from various regions emphasize the need for "good housing" and a "market + guarantee" supply-side policy, aiming for high-quality urban renewal and improved housing supply for low-income families [1][10] - The real estate sector is under pressure, with a significant year-on-year decline in new home sales, indicating a challenging market environment [2][22] - The report suggests that the policy environment is expected to strengthen, with a focus on improving the competitive landscape, particularly benefiting leading state-owned enterprises and quality developers [3] Summary by Sections 1. "14th Five-Year Plan" Proposals - Multiple regions have released proposals highlighting the importance of quality housing and a balanced supply system, focusing on urban renewal and affordable housing for disadvantaged families [1][10] 2. Market Review - The Shenwan Real Estate Index decreased by 2.2% this week, underperforming the CSI 300 Index by 3.43 percentage points, ranking 30th among 31 Shenwan primary industries [11] - A total of 30 stocks rose, while 82 stocks fell, indicating a challenging market sentiment [11] 3. New and Second-Hand Housing Transactions - New home sales in 30 cities totaled 176.6 million square meters this week, down 6.5% month-on-month and 47.7% year-on-year [2][22] - Second-hand home sales in 14 cities amounted to 190.7 million square meters, reflecting a 5.3% decrease from the previous week and a 40.8% decline year-on-year [33] 4. Credit Bond Issuance - This week, 9 credit bonds were issued by real estate companies, totaling 6.568 billion yuan, a decrease of 11.272 billion yuan from the previous week, with a net financing amount of -2.132 billion yuan [3][42]

Core Insights - The report maintains a "stronger than market" rating for the real estate sector, indicating a positive outlook despite ongoing challenges in the market [1] - The real estate market in 2025 is characterized by an initial recovery followed by a decline, with high inventory levels and weak demand impacting overall performance [4][13] - The report anticipates that the supportive policies for the real estate market will continue into 2026, although market confidence will take time to recover [4][5] Market Review - In 2025, the national real estate market experienced a decline in sales, with a 9.6% year-on-year drop in sales amount from January to October, although the decline was less severe than in 2024 [13] - The second-hand housing market outperformed the new housing market, with a reported 8% increase in transactions for the top ten cities compared to a 10.5% decline in new homes [13][46] - The overall market remains in an adjustment phase, with supply-demand relationships still needing improvement [13] 2026 Outlook - Positive factors are expected to converge, leading to a gradual stabilization of the real estate market, particularly in core urban areas and quality housing [4][5] - The report predicts a 6% decline in sales area and an 8.5% decline in investment for 2026, reflecting ongoing market pressures [4][5] Investment Opportunities - The demand for "good houses" is projected to grow, with an average annual improvement demand of 590 million square meters from 2025 to 2030, representing 67% of total demand [4] - Quality real estate companies with strong land acquisition and product capabilities are expected to benefit first from the "good house" trend, with companies like China Overseas Development and China Resources Land highlighted as potential beneficiaries [5][6] - The Hong Kong real estate market is showing signs of stabilization, with a 20.3% year-on-year increase in transaction volume for the first ten months of 2025, presenting investment opportunities for Hong Kong-based real estate firms [4][5][52] Key Company Forecasts - The report includes earnings forecasts for several key companies, indicating a positive outlook for firms like Poly Developments and China Overseas Development, with expected earnings per share (EPS) growth over the next few years [6][7] - Companies with stable cash flow and dividends, such as China Resources Vientiane Life and Poly Property, are also recommended for investment consideration [5][6]