证券代码：001914 证券简称：招商积余 公告编号：2025-62 公司已与招商银行股份有限公司深圳分行签署《股票回购增持贷款合同》， 公司回购股份资金来源中的自筹资金，为招商银行股份有限公司深圳分行提供的 股票回购贷款。 一、回购公司股份的具体情况 根据《上市公司股份回购规则》《深圳证券交易所上市公司自律监管指引第 9号——回购股份》等相关规定，公司在回购期间应当在每个月的前三个交易日 内披露截至上月末的回购进展情况。现将回购进展情况公告如下： 截至2025年10月31日，公司累计通过回购专用证券账户以集中竞价交易方式 回购股份数量为1,425,800股，占公司总股本的比例为0.134%，最高成交价为11.61 元/股，最低成交价为10.44元/股，支付的资金总额为人民币15,856,924.46元（含 印花税、交易佣金等交易费用），本次回购符合既定的回购方案和回购报告书， 符合相关法律法规规定。 二、其他说明 公司回购股份的时间、数量、价格及集中竞价交易的委托时段符合《深圳证 券交易所上市公司自律监管指引第9号——回购股份》第十七条和第十八条的相 招商局积余产业运营服务股份有限公司 关于回购公司股份的进 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the real estate industry [3]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes the need for further monetary and fiscal policy support to stabilize the real estate market, highlighting that the macroeconomic policy is set to be positive [9][10]. - It notes a shift in focus towards housing as a consumer good, with potential policy relaxations aimed at meeting both basic and improved housing needs [10]. - The report anticipates continued optimization of the real estate structure, with a focus on revitalizing existing assets and land [11]. - It discusses the construction of a new development model for real estate, which favors quality housing and better supply of affordable housing [12]. - Risk prevention and resolution remain critical, with ongoing support for systemically important real estate companies [12]. Summary by Sections Understanding the "14th Five-Year Plan" Recommendations - The report outlines five key understandings of the recommendations, including the need for coordinated fiscal and monetary policies, a focus on housing consumption, and the importance of optimizing real estate structures [9][10][11][12]. Market Review - The report indicates that the Shenwan Real Estate Index decreased by 0.7%, underperforming the CSI 300 Index by 0.27 percentage points, ranking 26th among 31 Shenwan primary industries [14]. New and Second-Hand Housing Transactions - In the latest week, new housing transaction area in 30 cities was 224.1 million square meters, a 5.8% increase month-on-month but a 39.5% decrease year-on-year [24]. - The second-hand housing transaction area in 14 sample cities totaled 206.0 million square meters, reflecting a 3.1% decrease month-on-month and a 21.1% decrease year-on-year [34]. Credit Bond Issuance - The report notes that eight credit bonds were issued by real estate companies this week, totaling 5.05 billion yuan, a decrease of 12 bonds from the previous week [3]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on real estate-related stocks, particularly those with strong fundamentals and those benefiting from policy changes, including specific companies listed in both H-shares and A-shares [3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" rating for the real estate and property management sectors, highlighting optimism for the "Good House" policy and the revaluation of shopping center values [3][24][28]. Core Insights - The "14th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes promoting high-quality development in real estate, aiming to establish a new development model and improve the basic systems for property development, financing, and sales [3][24]. - Recent data shows a 9.8% week-on-week increase in new home transactions across 34 key cities, with a total of 2.835 million square meters sold [3][4]. - The report identifies a significant decline in year-on-year sales, with October's total transactions down 26.8% compared to the same month last year [6][7]. - The report notes that the average monthly inventory turnover for residential properties in 15 cities is 23.8 months, indicating a slight decrease [20][22]. Industry Data Summary New Home Transactions - New home sales in 34 cities reached 2.835 million square meters last week, a 9.8% increase from the previous week [3][4]. - Year-on-year, October's new home sales totaled 9.261 million square meters, reflecting a 26.8% decline compared to October of the previous year [6][7]. Second-Hand Home Transactions - Second-hand home sales in 13 cities totaled 1.152 million square meters last week, a 1.1% decrease from the previous week [12]. - Cumulatively, second-hand home sales in October were down 22.2% year-on-year [12][13]. Inventory Levels - The total available residential inventory in 15 cities was 89.296 million square meters, with a week-on-week decrease of 0.5% [20][21]. - The sales-to-new inventory ratio was 1.59, indicating a healthy turnover rate [20]. Policy and News Tracking - The report highlights the issuance of the "Urban Commercial Quality Improvement Action Plan" by the Ministry of Commerce and other departments, which supports the issuance of REITs for commercial real estate [24][25]. - The People's Bank of China announced a credit relief policy aimed at assisting the housing market [27]. - Local governments are implementing various housing subsidies, such as a maximum of 15,000 yuan in Yunnan and a combination of housing and consumption vouchers in Hangzhou [27][28]. Company Performance Overview - Several real estate companies reported their Q3 2025 results, with notable declines in net profits for many firms, such as New Town Holdings (9.7 billion yuan, -33.1%) and China Overseas Development (25 billion yuan, -4.0%) [28][30]. - The report mentions the successful listing of a commercial REIT by China Overseas Development, with underlying assets from a shopping center in Foshan [28][30].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [3] Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 13.942 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 14.65%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 686 million yuan, up 10.71% year-on-year [6] - The company continues to diversify its property management business, with a total managed area of 367 million square meters and 2,410 projects under management as of September 2025. The new annual contracts signed in the property management business reached 3.023 billion yuan, a significant increase compared to the end of the first half of 2025 [6] - The asset management business has maintained a high occupancy rate of 94% for its properties, focusing on optimizing service quality and enhancing tenant structure [6] Financial Performance Forecast - Projected operating revenue for 2025 is 18.913 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 10.14%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 937 million yuan, reflecting an 11.51% growth rate [2][8] - The company’s gross margin is forecasted to be 11.93% in 2025, slightly down from 11.96% in 2024, but expected to improve to 12.30% by 2026 [2][8] - Earnings per share (EPS) is projected to be 0.88 yuan in 2025, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 12.91x [7][8] Business Strategy - The company is actively expanding its property management business into various sectors, including office, park, and government projects, while also increasing its focus on residential property management, which saw a 38% year-on-year growth in new contracts [6] - The company has successfully secured contracts for significant projects, including those in Beijing and Guangzhou, indicating a strong market presence and competitive advantage [6] Market Position - As of October 30, 2025, the company's A-share closing price was 11.41 yuan, with a market capitalization of 12.1 billion yuan [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the real estate industry, indicating an expectation of relative performance exceeding the market benchmark over the next 12-18 months [4][16][30]. Core Insights - The 15th Five-Year Plan presents clearer demand-side expressions for real estate compared to the 14th Five-Year Plan, emphasizing the removal of unreasonable restrictions and linking real estate risk resolution with national security [4][16][17]. - The industry is anticipated to stabilize, with an ongoing improvement in the blue-chip competitive landscape [4][16]. - Key recommendations include major developers such as China Vanke, Poly Developments, and China Merchants Shekou, among others, across various segments including residential, commercial, property management, and cultural tourism [4][16]. Summary by Sections Demand-Side Policies - The 15th Five-Year Plan proposes the removal of unreasonable restrictions on consumption, including housing, and aims for balanced development between finance, real estate, and the real economy [4][17]. - It emphasizes the need for improved policies on mergers, bankruptcies, and the activation of inefficient land and idle properties [4][17]. Urban Development - Urban village renovation is expected to accelerate, with a focus on the economical use of rural collective land and the activation of idle properties [4][18]. - The plan highlights the importance of urbanization for the agricultural transfer population, suggesting continued urbanization dividends over the next five years [4][18]. High-Quality Development - The report outlines five feasible paths for promoting high-quality real estate development, including improved fund supervision and enterprise financing [4][19][20]. - It indicates a shift from incremental to stock mode in the industry, aligning affordable housing construction with urban renewal and urbanization needs [4][19][20]. - The focus will also be on enhancing the quality of new housing products and maintaining existing housing [4][19][20].

Group 1: Macro Economic Insights - The "14th Five-Year Plan" has achieved significant accomplishments, marking a good start for the new journey towards the second centenary goal [6] - The "15th Five-Year Plan" is crucial for transitioning towards a modern socialist society, emphasizing the need to address uncertainties and enhance high-quality development [7] - The implicit target for economic growth during the "15th Five-Year Plan" is around 5%, with necessary growth rates for GNI and GDP projected to exceed 6.3% and 4.6% respectively [8] Group 2: Power Industry Insights - The power demand in China has maintained steady growth, with total electricity consumption reaching 7.77 trillion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 4.8% [22] - The coal price has bottomed out, leading to a stabilization of electricity prices, with the average monthly trading price in Jiangsu rising to 395.60 RMB/MWh, an increase of 82.80 RMB/MWh [23] - The electricity market is expected to see a balanced supply-demand situation, with a focus on enhancing the profitability of thermal power and the growth of renewable energy sources [24] Group 3: Company-Specific Performance - The company "特锐德" reported a net profit of 3.59 billion RMB for Q3 2025, with a year-on-year increase of 41.53% and a gross margin of 27.76% [28] - "富特科技" achieved a net profit of 0.70 billion RMB in Q3 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 186.93%, driven by effective cost management and scale effects [37] - "招商积余" reported a revenue of 139.42 billion RMB for the first three quarters of 2025, with a year-on-year increase of 14.65% and a net profit of 6.86 billion RMB [31] Group 4: Electronics Industry Insights - "深南电路" achieved record high revenues and profits in Q3 2025, with total revenue reaching 167.54 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 28.39% [56] - The company’s gross margin improved to 31.39%, benefiting from an enhanced product mix and increased utilization rates [57]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [10]. Core Insights - The company continues to enhance quality and efficiency, with significant room for valuation improvement as a leading property management firm. The core business operates steadily, with impressive market expansion, consolidating its advantages in non-residential sectors while increasing efforts in residential market expansion. The gross profit margin for basic property management has recovered as expected, and the comprehensive gross profit margin has successfully improved year-on-year in the first three quarters [2][7]. Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 13.94 billion yuan (up 14.7%) and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 690 million yuan (up 10.7%), with a non-recurring net profit of 670 million yuan (up 13.0%) [7][10]. Business Expansion - The company signed new annual contracts worth 3.02 billion yuan (up 3.9%) in the first three quarters, with a notable acceleration in Q3, where new contracts reached 1.26 billion yuan (up 23.9%). The proportion of new contracts from market expansion reached 92.0% [13]. Margin Improvement - The company has focused on improving quality and efficiency rather than blindly pursuing scale. The comprehensive gross profit margin has been restored, with a year-on-year increase of 0.2 percentage points to 11.6% in the first three quarters [13]. Value-Added Services - The company is optimizing its value-added business layout, focusing on high-value segments such as space operation and comprehensive enterprise services. The revenue from property brokerage increased by 79% year-on-year, and the overall occupancy rate of managed properties is 94% [13]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to maintain steady revenue growth driven by both internal and external expansion, with ongoing improvements in property management quality. The projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 940 million, 1.05 billion, and 1.17 billion yuan, corresponding to current valuations of 12.9, 11.5, and 10.4 times [13].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Insights - The company reported double-digit growth in both revenue and profit, with a year-on-year increase in market expansion scale [5][6] - The forecast for net profit attributable to the parent company for 2025-2027 is estimated at 919 million, 1.081 billion, and 1.222 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.87, 1.02, and 1.15 yuan [5] - The current stock price corresponds to a PE ratio of 13.2, 11.2, and 9.9 times for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [5] Revenue and Profit Growth - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 13.942 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14.65%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of 686 million yuan, up 10.71% year-on-year [6] - The operating cash flow was -1.21 billion yuan, with gross and net profit margins at 11.55% and 4.97%, respectively, showing a year-on-year increase of 0.25 percentage points and a decrease of 0.30 percentage points [6] Market Expansion and Contract Growth - As of the end of Q3 2025, the company managed 2,410 property projects, a year-on-year increase of 7.0%, with a management area of 367 million square meters, down 8.5% year-on-year [7] - The new contract amount for property management in the first three quarters was 3.023 billion yuan, up 3.9% year-on-year, with market-oriented projects accounting for 92% of the new contracts [7] - The company focused on high-value-added sectors such as space operation and home services, with a 24% year-on-year increase in space resource efficiency and a 79% increase in real estate brokerage revenue [7] Financial Summary and Valuation Metrics - The company’s revenue is projected to grow from 15.627 billion yuan in 2023 to 22.947 billion yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate of approximately 9.0% [9] - The gross margin is expected to improve from 11.6% in 2023 to 12.9% in 2027, while the net margin is projected to increase from 4.7% to 5.3% over the same period [9][12] - The return on equity (ROE) is forecasted to rise from 7.5% in 2023 to 9.4% in 2027 [9]

Core Viewpoint - 招商积余 is a leading property asset management company in China, achieving the highest revenue and net profit in the industry for Q3 2025, with significant growth in contract signings and operational metrics [2][6][7]. Group 1: Business Performance - In Q3 2025, 招商积余 reported revenue of 13.942 billion yuan, the highest in the industry, significantly surpassing the second-place competitor, 皇庭国际, which reported 3.311 billion yuan [2]. - The net profit for the same period was 0.693 billion yuan, again leading the industry, with the second-place 南都物业 reporting only 0.162 billion yuan [2]. - The company achieved a year-on-year revenue growth of 15% and a net profit growth of 11% for the first three quarters of 2025 [6][7]. Group 2: Financial Ratios - As of Q3 2025, 招商积余's asset-liability ratio was 43.07%, lower than the industry average of 68.54%, indicating strong debt repayment capability [3]. - The gross profit margin for Q3 2025 was 11.55%, which, while an improvement from the previous year, remains below the industry average of 16.32% [3]. Group 3: Management and Shareholder Structure - The chairman, 吕斌, has a rich background in the industry, having held various significant positions within the company and its parent group [4]. - As of September 30, 2025, the number of A-share shareholders decreased by 2.70% to 19,200, while the average number of shares held per shareholder increased by 2.77% to 55,100 [5]. Group 4: Market Position and Growth - The company signed new annual contracts worth 1.26 billion yuan in Q3 2025, a year-on-year increase of 24%, contributing to a total of 3.02 billion yuan for the first three quarters, which is a 4% increase year-on-year [6][7]. - The total managed area reached 367 million square meters by the end of Q3 2025, reflecting healthy expansion in management scale [7].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the real estate sector [4][13]. Core Insights - The "14th Five-Year Plan" has been more explicit in addressing the demand side of real estate, emphasizing the removal of unreasonable restrictive measures and linking high-quality development and risk mitigation in real estate to national security capabilities [2][4]. - The report is optimistic about the industry entering a stable phase, with a continuous optimization of the blue-chip competitive landscape [4]. Summary by Sections Investment Recommendations - The report recommends maintaining an "Overweight" rating, highlighting the clearer expression of demand-side content in the "15th Five-Year Plan" compared to the "14th Five-Year Plan" [4]. - Key recommended stocks include: 1. Development: A-shares - Vanke A, Poly Developments, China Merchants Shekou, JinDi Group; H-shares - China Overseas Development 2. Commercial and Residential: China Resources Land, Longfor Group 3. Property Management: Wanwu Cloud, China Resources Vientiane Life, China Overseas Property, Poly Property, China Merchants Jiyu, New Dazheng 4. Cultural Tourism: Overseas Chinese Town A [4]. Policy Insights - The "15th Five-Year Plan" proposes the removal of unreasonable restrictions on consumption, including housing, and emphasizes the need for efficient land planning [4]. - It aims to enhance the management of land supply throughout the entire cycle and accelerate urban village renovations and urban renewal [4]. High-Quality Development - The report identifies five actionable paths for promoting high-quality development in real estate, including: 1. Strengthening fund supervision and enterprise financing to protect buyers' rights 2. Transitioning from an incremental to a stock model in housing supply 3. Focusing on improving housing supply to meet demand changes in key cities 4. Enhancing the quality of new housing products 5. Emphasizing maintenance of existing housing and advancing a housing pension system [4][6]. Risk Management - The report notes a shift in the central government's stance on real estate, focusing on preventing systemic risks while not reiterating the previous emphasis on housing as a place to live rather than a speculative asset [4][11].