Core Viewpoint - Shun'an Environment is a leading global player in the refrigeration components industry, with a clear strategy for the synergistic development of refrigeration parts, refrigeration equipment, and automotive thermal management [4] Group 1: Refrigeration Business - The refrigeration business serves as a stable growth foundation, with significant short-term and long-term growth prospects. Short-term highlights include a substantial increase in orders from Gree, with revenue from Gree orders rising from 1.45 billion in 2021 to 2.48 billion in 2024, and a recovery in orders from Midea expected to reach 1.62 billion in 2024 [5] - Long-term growth is anticipated through an improved product structure, focusing on expanding the commercial refrigeration sector and increasing overseas market share. The domestic market share for electronic expansion valves is projected at 28% for Shun'an in 2024, compared to 52% for a competitor, while Shun'an's commercial refrigeration business has significant room for growth [5] Group 2: Automotive Thermal Management - The automotive thermal management segment is showing impressive growth, with revenue expected to reach 810 million in 2024, marking a 72% increase from 2023 and a 305% increase from 2022. Key products include large-diameter electronic expansion valves widely used in new energy vehicle thermal management systems [6] - As of May 2025, Shun'an has secured automotive thermal management orders worth 15 billion, with clients including major manufacturers like BYD and Geely. The revenue ratio between Shun'an and a competitor in automotive parts is approximately 7% [6] Group 3: Long-term Incentive Mechanism - In 2023, the company launched its first phase of a long-term incentive plan, granting 8.98 million restricted shares and 5.07 million stock options to 416 individuals. The performance targets for the company are set for 2024-2027, with non-GAAP net profit goals of no less than 922 million, 1.06 billion, 1.25 billion, and 1.40 billion respectively [7] - This long-term incentive plan is designed to enhance the commitment of management and key technical personnel, supporting the company's steady development [7]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company with a target price of 20.39 CNY, indicating a significant upside potential from the current price of 13.81 CNY [5][7]. Core Insights - The company, Shun'an Environment, is a leading player in the global refrigeration components industry, with a clear strategy focusing on the synergy of three main business areas: refrigeration components, refrigeration equipment, and automotive thermal management [2][23]. - The company is expected to achieve a revenue of 12.7 billion CNY in 2024, with a net profit of 1.04 billion CNY, reflecting a net profit margin of 8.2% [2][5]. - The company has a strong balance sheet, with cash holdings of 1.7 billion CNY, representing 12% of its market value, which is higher than its peers [2][47]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Shun'an Environment is recognized as the global leader in refrigeration components, with the highest market share in shut-off valves and the second highest in four-way and electronic expansion valves as of 2024 [2][23]. - The company has undergone significant restructuring since becoming a subsidiary of Gree Electric Appliances, which has helped stabilize its operations and improve financial performance [29][32]. Future Outlook 1: Refrigeration Business - The refrigeration business is expected to provide stable growth, with short-term drivers including increased orders from Gree and a rebound in orders from Midea [3][57]. - The company aims to enhance its product structure by expanding into the commercial refrigeration sector and increasing its market share in overseas markets [3][4]. Future Outlook 2: Automotive Thermal Management - The automotive thermal management segment is projected to grow significantly, with revenues expected to reach 810 million CNY in 2024, marking a 72% increase from 2023 [4][5]. - The company has secured substantial orders from major clients such as BYD and Geely, indicating strong demand for its products in the electric vehicle market [4][5]. Future Outlook 3: Long-term Incentive Mechanism - The company has implemented a long-term incentive plan to enhance employee engagement and retention, which is expected to support its growth trajectory [4][5]. Profit Forecast, Valuation, and Rating - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 1.09 billion CNY, 1.26 billion CNY, and 1.47 billion CNY for the years 2025 to 2027, respectively, reflecting growth rates of 4%, 16%, and 16% [5][6]. - The report highlights that Shun'an Environment's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is significantly lower than its peers, suggesting that the market undervalues the company [5][14].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company with a target price of 20.39 CNY, indicating a significant upside potential from the current price of 13.81 CNY [5][7]. Core Insights - The company, Shun'an Environment, is a leading player in the global refrigeration components industry, with a clear strategy focusing on the synergy of three main business areas: refrigeration components, refrigeration equipment, and automotive thermal management [2][23]. - The company is expected to achieve a revenue of 12.7 billion CNY in 2024, with a net profit of 1.04 billion CNY, reflecting a net profit margin of 8.2% [2][5]. - The company has a strong balance sheet, with cash holdings of 1.7 billion CNY, representing 12% of its market value, which is higher than its peers [2][47]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Shun'an Environment is recognized as the global leader in refrigeration components, with the highest market share in shut-off valves and the second highest in four-way and electronic expansion valves as of 2024 [2][23]. - The company has undergone significant restructuring since Gree Electric became its major shareholder, which has helped stabilize its operations and improve its financial health [29][32]. Future Outlook 1: Refrigeration Business - The refrigeration business is expected to provide stable growth, with short-term drivers including increased orders from Gree and a rebound in orders from Midea [3][57]. - The long-term strategy focuses on enhancing the product mix in the commercial refrigeration sector and increasing market share in overseas markets [3][4]. Future Outlook 2: Automotive Thermal Management - The automotive thermal management segment is projected to grow significantly, with revenues expected to reach 810 million CNY in 2024, marking a 72% increase from 2023 [4][5]. - The company has secured substantial orders from major clients such as BYD and Geely, indicating strong demand in the electric vehicle market [4][5]. Future Outlook 3: Long-term Incentive Mechanism - The introduction of long-term incentive plans is expected to enhance employee retention and align management interests with company performance, supporting sustainable growth [4][5]. Profit Forecast, Valuation, and Rating - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 1.09 billion CNY, 1.26 billion CNY, and 1.47 billion CNY for the years 2025 to 2027, respectively, with growth rates of 4%, 16%, and 16% [5][6]. - The report highlights a significant valuation gap, with Shun'an's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio at 13.5 times compared to an average of 40.6 times for comparable companies [5][14].

Core Points - The stock price of Shun'an Environment increased by 2.03% on October 29, reaching 14.09 CNY per share, with a total market capitalization of 15.012 billion CNY [1] - The company has seen a year-to-date stock price increase of 30.34%, with a recent 5-day increase of 4.53% and a 20-day decrease of 6.00% [1] - Shun'an Environment's main business includes the research, design, production, and sales of refrigeration parts and equipment, contributing 80.42% of its revenue [1] Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Shun'an Environment reported a revenue of 9.723 billion CNY, representing a year-on-year growth of 4.15%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 769 million CNY, up 18.46% year-on-year [2] - The company has distributed a total of 739 million CNY in dividends since its A-share listing, with no dividends distributed in the past three years [3] Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders increased by 19.80% to 46,800, while the average circulating shares per person decreased by 16.53% to 19,644 shares [2] - Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited is the third-largest circulating shareholder, holding 19.6622 million shares, an increase of 6.7727 million shares from the previous period [3]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [9]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 9.723 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 4.15%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 769 million yuan, up 18.46% year-on-year, and the net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses was 737 million yuan, an increase of 17.29% year-on-year. In Q3 2025, the company reported a revenue of 2.993 billion yuan, a slight increase of 0.11% year-on-year, with a net profit of 233 million yuan, up 33.43% year-on-year, and a net profit of 221 million yuan after deducting non-recurring gains and losses, an increase of 35.14% year-on-year [2][6]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company's gross profit margin was 17.91%, a decrease of 0.13 percentage points year-on-year. The operating profit for the same period was 779 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 15.84%, with an operating profit margin of 8.01%, an increase of 0.81 percentage points year-on-year. In Q3 2025, the gross profit margin improved to 19.25%, an increase of 0.81 percentage points year-on-year, with an operating profit of 250 million yuan and an operating profit margin of 8.34%, up 1.81 percentage points year-on-year [13]. Business Strategy - The company focuses on the refrigeration and air conditioning sector, as well as the new energy vehicle industry. It has established a clear strategic positioning for the coordinated development of refrigeration components, refrigeration equipment, and thermal management for new energy vehicles. The company aims to enhance its market position in commercial air conditioning and refrigeration while expanding its overseas market share. The thermal management business for new energy vehicles is expected to provide long-term growth momentum [13]. Future Outlook - The company is positioned as a leader in global refrigeration components. With a renewed focus on its core refrigeration business and the support from its major shareholder, Gree Electric Appliances, the company's operational performance is stabilizing. The domestic air conditioning market still has significant growth potential, and the company is expected to achieve steady growth in revenue and profits through its technological advantages. The new energy vehicle thermal management sector is anticipated to become a core driver of future growth, with orders beginning to ramp up [13].

Group 1 - The overall probability of achieving long-term excess returns in the consumer sector is greater compared to other industries, with consumer stocks serving as a stable "ballast" [1][18][19] - The food and beverage, and home appliance sectors show a trend of excess returns that can be divided into two phases: pricing boom and pricing stability, with ROE growth surpassing the overall market [1][19] - The electrical equipment sector benefits from sustained demand and has a higher historical probability of achieving long-term excess returns compared to other cyclical industries [1][19] Group 2 - Recent industry trends indicate that coal, oil and petrochemicals, electrical equipment, machinery, electronics, pharmaceuticals, textiles, automotive, non-bank finance, public utilities, and retail are on an upward trajectory, while food and beverage, home appliances, banking, real estate, and environmental protection are declining [2][22] - The report predicts that industries such as rail transit equipment, automotive parts, commercial vehicles, and lighting equipment will perform well in the next four weeks [2][22] Group 3 - The convertible bond market saw an increase this week, with the China Securities convertible bond index rising by 1.47% and the weighted average rising by 1.37% [3][28] - The overall market weighted average conversion value increased to 101.05 yuan, with a conversion premium rate of 40.44% [3][28][29] - The report highlights that sectors like defense, electronics, and computers led the market gains, while communications and beauty care lagged [3][28] Group 4 - The report on Dinglong Co. indicates a projected revenue of approximately 945 million yuan for Q3 2025, with a year-on-year growth of about 4.20% [7] - The CMP polishing pad business is expected to continue growing, with a 51% increase in revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 compared to the previous year [7] - The semiconductor display materials segment is also seeing a steady increase in market share, with new products receiving positive feedback [7] Group 5 - Yangjie Technology reported a revenue of 5.348 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 20.89% [8] - The company is focusing on expanding its market presence in automotive electronics and artificial intelligence, which are driving order and shipment growth [8] - The forecast for net profit for 2025-2027 is set at 1.256 billion, 1.485 billion, and 1.728 billion yuan respectively [8]

Core Viewpoint - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders for Shun'an Environment (002011) is reported to be 46,801 [1] Company Summary - Shun'an Environment has engaged with investors through an interactive platform, providing updates on shareholder numbers [1]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price not specified [6] Core Views - The company has shown stable revenue performance with a year-on-year increase in revenue of 4.1% for the first three quarters of 2025, reaching 9.72 billion yuan, and a net profit increase of 18.5% to 770 million yuan [1] - The company is focusing on expanding its automotive thermal management business, which is expected to continue its growth trend [2] - The gross margin has improved to 19.3%, reversing the downward trend observed in the first half of the year, with a net profit margin of 7.8% [3] - The company is positioned as a leader in the refrigeration components sector, with ongoing structural upgrades in its home appliance business and a focus on high-growth areas such as new energy vehicle thermal management [4] Financial Summary - For 2025, the company is projected to achieve a net profit of 1.08 billion yuan, with corresponding dynamic P/E ratios of 13.9x, 11.8x, and 10.2x for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [4] - The revenue forecast for the years 2025 to 2027 is 13.47 billion yuan, 15.29 billion yuan, and 17.33 billion yuan, with growth rates of 6.26%, 13.50%, and 13.37% respectively [5] - The company’s net profit is expected to grow from 1.08 billion yuan in 2025 to 1.47 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting a growth rate of 16.13% [5]

Market Overview - The home appliance parts sector increased by 0.3% compared to the previous trading day, with Xing Shuai Er leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3996.94, up 1.18%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13489.4, up 1.51% [1] Top Gainers in Home Appliance Parts Sector - Xing Shuai Er (002860) closed at 14.39, up 5.96% with a trading volume of 247,100 shares and a transaction value of 352 million yuan [1] - Tian Yin Ji Dian (300342) closed at 18.39, up 5.15% with a trading volume of 378,900 shares and a transaction value of 684 million yuan [1] - Dun An Environment (002011) closed at 14.05, up 3.77% with a trading volume of 467,400 shares and a transaction value of 657 million yuan [1] Market Capital Flow - The home appliance parts sector experienced a net outflow of 1.062 billion yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 789 million yuan [2] - The sector's overall capital flow indicates a mixed sentiment, with institutional investors withdrawing funds while retail investors are actively buying [2] Individual Stock Capital Flow - Spring Light Technology (603657) had a net inflow of 55.859 million yuan from institutional investors, but saw outflows from both retail and speculative investors [3] - Tian Yin Ji Dian (300342) experienced a net inflow of 29.717 million yuan from institutional investors, with outflows from speculative investors [3] - Xing Shuai Er (002860) had a net inflow of 11.011 million yuan from institutional investors, but also faced outflows from speculative and retail investors [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for Shun'an Environment (stock code: 002011) [2][5][56] Core Views - The company has shown steady performance with a total revenue of 9.723 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.15%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 769 million yuan, up 18.46% year-on-year [5][6] - The gross profit margin has been improving, with a gross margin of 17.91% for the first three quarters of 2025, and 19.25% for Q3 2025, reflecting effective cost control measures [5][12] - The company is actively promoting new growth areas in automotive thermal management and energy storage thermal management, with significant orders from major clients [7][56] Financial Performance Summary - **Revenue Forecasts**: - 2024A: 12.678 billion yuan - 2025E: 13.387 billion yuan (growth of 5.6%) - 2026E: 14.896 billion yuan (growth of 11.3%) - 2027E: 16.735 billion yuan (growth of 12.3%) [2][56] - **Net Profit Forecasts**: - 2024A: 1.045 billion yuan - 2025E: 1.163 billion yuan (growth of 11.3%) - 2026E: 1.343 billion yuan (growth of 15.5%) - 2027E: 1.536 billion yuan (growth of 14.3%) [2][56] - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: - 2024A: 0.98 yuan - 2025E: 1.09 yuan - 2026E: 1.26 yuan - 2027E: 1.44 yuan [2][56] - **Price-to-Earnings (PE) Ratios**: - 2024A: 13.81 - 2025E: 12.40 - 2026E: 10.74 - 2027E: 9.39 [2][56] Business Segment Performance - **Automotive Thermal Management**: Revenue reached 481 million yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 81.84% [6][8] - **Refrigeration and Air Conditioning Components**: Revenue of 5.412 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, up 8.8% year-on-year [6][8] - **Refrigeration Equipment**: Revenue declined by 31.43% to 483 million yuan in the first half of 2025 [6][8] Market Conditions - The domestic air conditioning market is expected to face pressure in the coming months due to reduced support from the old-for-new policy and high base effects from the previous year [5][24] - The company has launched a new stock incentive plan, aiming for significant growth in net profit over the next three years, reflecting confidence in new business developments [5][6]