Performance Forecast - The company expects a net profit of 20 million to 26 million yuan for the current reporting period, a decrease of 47.11% to 31.25% compared to the same period last year, where the net profit was 37.8176 million yuan [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders after deducting non-recurring gains and losses is expected to be a loss of 10 million to 5 million yuan, a significant decline of 138.27% to 119.14% from the previous year's profit of 26.1297 million yuan [1] - Basic earnings per share are projected to be between 0.0272 yuan and 0.0354 yuan, compared to 0.0514 yuan per share in the same period last year [1] Reasons for Performance Change - The company has focused on innovation and customer value creation, actively developing new technologies and expanding markets for its main products, which include hard foam composite polyether and isopropanol amine [1] - Despite an increase in sales volume for the two main products compared to the previous year, the average purchase price of the main raw material, propylene oxide, decreased by over 10%, leading to a corresponding reduction in product prices [1] - The overall gross profit margin declined due to rising prices of some raw materials and increased sales expenses, resulting in a decrease in operating profit compared to the previous year [1]

Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - Hongbaoli (002165) expects a significant decline in net profit for the first half of 2025, with projections indicating a drop of 47.11% to 31.25% compared to the same period last year [1] Financial Performance - The net profit attributable to shareholders is estimated to be between 20 million yuan and 26 million yuan, down from 37.82 million yuan in the previous year [1] - The net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses is expected to incur a loss of between 10 million yuan and 5 million yuan, a decrease of 138.27% to 119.14% from 26.13 million yuan last year [1] - Basic earnings per share are projected to be between 0.0272 yuan and 0.0354 yuan [1] Operational Insights - The company adheres to an innovation-driven approach, actively developing new technologies and markets [1] - Despite an increase in total sales volume of main products, the average procurement price of the main raw material, propylene oxide, has decreased, leading to a reduction in product prices [1] - Rising costs of certain raw materials and increased sales expenses have contributed to a decline in operating profit compared to the previous year [1]

证券代码：002165 证券简称：红宝丽 公告编号：临 2025－037 红宝丽集团股份有限公司 2025年半年度业绩预告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露内容的真实、准确和完整，没有虚 假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏 一、本期业绩预计情况 1、业绩预告期间：2025 年 1 月 1 日-2025 年 6 月 30 日 | 项 目 | 本报告期 | | | | | | 上年同期 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 归属于上市公司股 东的净利润 | 盈利： | 2,000 | 万元 | - | 2,600 | 万元 | 盈利：3,781.76 | 万元 | | | 比上年同期下降：47.11% | | | | - | 31.25% | | | | 扣除非经常性损益 后的净利润 | 亏损： | 1,000 | 万元 | - | 500 万元 | | 盈利：2,612.97 | 万元 | | | 比上年同期下降：138.27% | | | | - | 119.14% | | | | 基本每股收益 | 盈利：0.0272 - | ...

Industry Overview - As of late May 2025, the price of soft foam polyether in China is 0.73 million yuan per ton, a year-on-year decrease of 19.65% [1][9] - The decline in prices is attributed to the fluctuation and decrease in upstream raw material prices, such as propylene oxide, and rapid expansion of domestic production capacity, which reached 9.5 million tons per year by February 2025, with expectations to exceed 11 million tons per year [1][9][10] - The rapid increase in production capacity has led to a significant rise in market supply, while demand growth has not kept pace, resulting in an imbalance between supply and demand [1][9] Industry Development History - The soft foam polyether industry in China has undergone four main stages: the initial stage (1989-1993), rapid development (1993-1999), technological innovation (2000-2010), and green development (2010-present) [3][4][5] - The initial stage saw the establishment of the first large-scale polyether production facility in Tianjin, marking the beginning of industrial production [3] - The rapid development phase was characterized by the introduction of new products and significant increases in production capacity, with a focus on high-end applications [3] - The technological innovation phase involved advancements in production technology and increased government support for new materials [4] - The current green development phase emphasizes technological breakthroughs in catalysts and sustainable practices due to stricter environmental regulations [5] Industry Supply Chain - The upstream of the soft foam polyether industry includes basic chemical raw materials (propylene oxide, ethylene oxide), initiators (glycerol, propylene glycol), catalysts, and production equipment [7] - The midstream involves the manufacturing of soft foam polyether, while the downstream applications span across furniture, automotive, footwear, construction insulation, waterproof coatings, and packaging materials [7] Current Industry Status - The total production capacity of soft foam polyether in China was 9.413 million tons in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 2.34% [10] - Major companies like Wanhua Chemical, Longhua New Materials, and Changhua Chemical dominate the market, leveraging their technological and scale advantages [10][14] - The consumption of soft foam polyether in the first four months of 2025 reached 122.56 thousand tons, a year-on-year increase of 7.15%, driven by recovery in downstream sectors like furniture and automotive [12] Key Companies' Performance - Wanhua Chemical Group, established in 1978, is a significant player in the global polyether market, focusing on technological innovation and expanding its production capacity [18] - Longhua New Materials, founded in 2011, has become a leading company in the domestic soft foam polyether industry, achieving a market share of 30% in polymer polyols [16] - In 2024, Longhua New Materials reported a revenue of 5.624 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 12.01% [16] Industry Development Trends - The industry is expected to see optimization of production capacity and increased concentration, with leading companies like Wanhua Chemical and Longhua New Materials driving capacity consolidation [20] - There is a strong emphasis on technological innovation and green transformation, with companies adopting low-VOC formulations and developing bio-based polyethers [21][22] - Downstream demand is diversifying, with traditional markets slowing while new sectors like automotive and cold chain logistics are emerging as key growth areas [23]

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.32% on July 4, with 13 out of the 28 sectors experiencing gains, led by the banking and media sectors, which increased by 1.84% and 0.91% respectively [1] - The sectors that saw the largest declines were beauty care and non-ferrous metals, with decreases of 1.87% and 1.60% respectively [1] - The basic chemical industry ranked third in terms of decline today [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The net outflow of capital from the two markets was 21.74 billion yuan, with 8 sectors experiencing net inflows [1] - The computer industry had the largest net inflow of capital, totaling 2.81 billion yuan, despite a slight decline of 0.05% in its stock price [1] - The banking sector also saw a net inflow of 758 million yuan, with a daily increase of 1.84% [1] Basic Chemical Industry Performance - The basic chemical industry fell by 1.22%, with a total net outflow of 2.174 billion yuan [2] - Out of 401 stocks in this sector, 41 stocks rose, and 354 stocks fell, with 4 stocks hitting the daily limit down [2] - The top three stocks with the highest net inflow in the basic chemical sector were Huafeng Super Fiber (1.62 billion yuan), Dongcai Technology (1.39 billion yuan), and Limin Co., Ltd. (1.24 billion yuan) [2] Basic Chemical Industry Capital Inflow and Outflow - The top stocks with capital inflow included: - Huafeng Super Fiber: +1.83%, 16.59% turnover, 161.85 million yuan inflow - Dongcai Technology: +10.01%, 11.12% turnover, 138.64 million yuan inflow - Limin Co., Ltd.: +5.83%, 22.57% turnover, 124.30 million yuan inflow [2][3] - The top stocks with capital outflow included: - Dazhongnan: +2.55%, 38.91% turnover, -195.83 million yuan outflow - Wanhua Chemical: -0.86%, 0.72% turnover, -137.99 million yuan outflow - Yanhai Co., Ltd.: -2.43%, 0.88% turnover, -98.39 million yuan outflow [3]

Industry Overview - Polyether polyols are essential raw materials for polyurethane, widely used in furniture, automotive, home appliances, and building insulation industries [1][12] - In 2024, China's polyether polyol production is projected to reach 5.48 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 7.07% [1][12] - Despite reaching a record high, the industry's capacity utilization rate remains below 70%, with intense competition in low-end products [1][12] - High-end specialty polyethers account for less than 30% of the market, with an import dependency exceeding 15%, indicating significant room for industrial upgrades [1][12] Industry Development History - The development of China's polyether polyol industry has gone through four stages, starting from 1980 to 1992, with the establishment of the largest polyether facility in Tianjin [4] - From 1993 to 1999, the industry experienced rapid growth, with production capacity reaching 260,000 tons per year by the end of 1996, a nearly 50% increase from 1994 [4] - The period from 2000 to 2010 focused on technological innovation, with significant advancements in production techniques and government support for new materials [4] - Since 2010, the industry has entered a phase of green development, with production capacity reaching 7.85 million tons by 2023, but with a capacity utilization rate of only about 63.16% [5][6] Industry Chain - The upstream of the polyether polyol industry includes basic chemical raw materials such as propylene oxide and ethylene oxide, as well as initiators and catalysts [8] - The midstream involves the production and manufacturing of polyether polyols, while the downstream applications span automotive, soft furniture, and footwear sectors [8] Current Industry Status - The demand for polyether polyols is driven by the continuous growth of the Chinese economy and consumption upgrades, leading to a steady increase in production [12] - The industry faces challenges such as low-end product homogenization and a need for higher-end product development [12] Key Companies' Performance - Wanhua Chemical, as a leading player, holds a 7% market share in the domestic polyether polyol market, with a production capacity of 1.59 million tons per year [14][16] - Longhua New Material focuses on high solid content and low VOC products, achieving a revenue of 5.513 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 12.28% [18] Industry Development Trends 1. **Accelerated Green Transformation and High-end Development** - The industry is moving towards green low-carbon transformation, with leading companies investing in bio-based raw material technologies [20] - Wanhua Chemical plans to establish a 100,000-ton/year bio-based polyether facility by 2025, reducing carbon emissions by 40% compared to traditional methods [20] 2. **Diversification of Market Demand and Structural Upgrades** - The demand structure is evolving, with traditional soft foam polyols growing slowly while new applications in cold chain logistics and electric vehicles are surging [21][22] 3. **Integration of Industry Chain and Deepening Global Layout** - The industry concentration is increasing, with leading companies enhancing cost advantages through vertical integration [23] - Wanhua Chemical has achieved over 80% self-sufficiency in propylene oxide, significantly reducing costs compared to purchasing raw materials [23]

Market Overview - On July 2, both Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets closed lower with a decrease in trading volume [1] - Steel and photovoltaic equipment sectors showed the highest gains, while components and communication equipment sectors experienced the largest declines [1] Top Stocks - The top stock by popularity was Haoshanghao (002198), which closed at 35.16 with a rise of 4.77% and a popularity value of 10.6962 million [2] - Hongbaoli (002165) ranked second, closing at 10.8 with a gain of 6.82% and a popularity value of 5.5133 million [2] - Yaxing Anchor Chain (601890) reached a closing price of 10 with a gain of 10% and a popularity value of 2.8643 million [2] - Anni Shares (002235) and Great Wall Military Industry (601606) were among the stocks with the largest declines, closing at 10.49 with a drop of 10.03% and 29.6 with a drop of 7.38% respectively [2] Company Highlights - Haoshanghao (001298) saw its popularity exceed 10 million, driven by its involvement in storage chip and AI glasses concepts, with a focus on TWS Bluetooth chip development [3] - Hongbaoli (002165) experienced a resurgence in popularity after a significant price increase of over 200% from March to April, with its main business in epoxy propylene derivatives [4] - Yaxing Anchor Chain (601890) closed at a high after a strong performance, benefiting from government support for the marine economy, with its main products including ship anchor chains and offshore platform mooring chains [6]

Market Overview - The two markets experienced a net outflow of 14.488 billion yuan in large orders, with 1,880 stocks seeing net inflows and 2,805 stocks seeing net outflows [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed up 0.39% [1] Industry Performance - Among the 11 industries with net inflows, the pharmaceutical and biological sector led with a net inflow of 2.063 billion yuan and an index increase of 1.80% [1] - The utilities sector followed with a net inflow of 786 million yuan and a 1.05% increase [1] - The computer industry had the highest net outflow of 5.699 billion yuan, followed by the power equipment sector with a net outflow of 2.993 billion yuan [1] Individual Stock Performance - 14 stocks had net inflows exceeding 200 million yuan, with Hongbaoli leading at 566 million yuan [2] - Huada Technology and Xuanji Information followed with net inflows of 519 million yuan and 483 million yuan, respectively [2] - Stocks with the highest net outflows included Dongfang Caifu with 772 million yuan, followed by Sifang Precision and Hanwujing with outflows of 766 million yuan and 765 million yuan, respectively [2][4] Stock Price Movements - Stocks with net inflows over 200 million yuan saw an average increase of 9.82%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index [2] - Notable performers included Zhongchuan Emergency and Xuanji Information, which closed at their daily limit [2] Sector Concentration - The sectors with the highest concentration of stocks with significant net inflows were electronics, light industry manufacturing, and non-ferrous metals [2]

Group 1 - The chemical sector experienced a collective rebound on July 1, with Hongbaoli leading the surge by hitting the daily limit up [1] - Other stocks such as Shandong Heda, Changqing Technology, and Baihehua also reached the daily limit up, indicating strong market interest in the sector [1] - Hongbaoli's trading volume reached 240 million yuan, with a turnover rate of 3.57%, highlighting its active trading status [1] Group 2 - The chemical industry is a fundamental sector of the national economy, with products widely used in construction, automotive, and electronics [2] - The performance of the chemical sector is closely linked to macroeconomic trends, reflecting the industry's sensitivity to economic conditions [2]

Group 1 - The company received a notification from its largest shareholder, Jiangsu Baoyuan Investment Management Co., Ltd., regarding the pledge of 6.0607 million shares [1] - The pledged shares represent 4.19% of the company's total share capital and 0.82% of the total shares held by the shareholder [1] - The pledge was registered with Nanjing Bank Co., Ltd. on June 13, 2025, and the maturity date for the financing is June 15, 2026 [1] Group 2 - As of the announcement date, Baoyuan Investment holds a total of 1,445.84 million shares, accounting for 19.66% of the company's total share capital [2] - Out of the total shares held, 579.60607 million shares have been pledged, which constitutes 40.09% of the shares held by Baoyuan Investment and 7.88% of the company's total share capital [2]