Group 1: Express Delivery Industry Insights - The express delivery industry is focusing on cost reduction at the terminal stage, with significant potential for cost control as terminal delivery costs account for 60.64% of total costs in 2024 for companies like YTO Express [3][4] - Cost elasticity is high for express delivery companies; for instance, a 0.1 CNY increase in per parcel profit for Zhongtong Express could lead to an additional 34 million CNY in performance, indicating a 34% elasticity [4] - Various cost reduction measures are being explored by express companies, including the use of collection points, direct delivery models, and the introduction of unmanned vehicles for deliveries [4][5] Group 2: Unmanned Vehicle Implementation - The use of unmanned vehicles is gaining traction, with companies like Zhongtong Express and SF Express investing heavily in this technology, aiming to reduce delivery costs significantly [8][9] - Cost reduction potential is substantial; for instance, using unmanned vehicles could lower the transportation cost per parcel from 0.16 CNY to 0.05 CNY, achieving a 69% reduction [9] - The regulatory environment is becoming more favorable for unmanned vehicles, with many cities granting road rights, which is expected to accelerate the adoption of this technology [6][7] Group 3: Agricultural Chemical Market Dynamics - Glyphosate prices have increased, with the current price at 24,800 CNY per ton, reflecting a recovery in demand and inventory depletion in the industry [17][18] - The glyphosate industry is experiencing a demand recovery, with significant inventory reduction observed, dropping by 43,000 tons since April 2025 [19] - The potential bankruptcy of Bayer's glyphosate production could benefit domestic competitors, as Bayer holds a 32% global market share [20][21] Group 4: Investment Opportunities in Glyphosate - The report highlights several key companies in the glyphosate market, such as Jiangshan Chemical and Xingfa Group, which are well-positioned to benefit from the industry's recovery [22][23] - The overall outlook for the agricultural chemical sector is positive, with expectations of continued profit recovery for companies involved in glyphosate production [21] Group 5: Photovoltaic Equipment Industry Developments - The photovoltaic equipment industry is witnessing advancements in perovskite solar cells, with significant efficiency improvements reported by various manufacturers [26][27] - The industry is entering a phase of large-scale production, with at least three GW-level production lines expected to be operational by 2025 [26] - Investment opportunities are emerging in the perovskite equipment sector, with a focus on suppliers of key manufacturing equipment [29]

Core Viewpoint - The express delivery industry has been exposed for a long-standing practice of "rounding up" charges, which is illegal and harms consumers, similar to issues seen in other sectors like markets and sanitary products [1][3][4]. Group 1: Industry Practices - The practice of "rounding up" in the express delivery sector has been ongoing for years, with many companies admitting to this behavior [5][7]. - A recent evaluation found that half of the eight major express companies engaged in "rounding up" during weight-based billing [4][5]. - Complaints about this practice have been recorded since at least 2020, indicating it is not a new issue [7][9]. Group 2: Financial Implications - The "rounding up" rule allows express companies to charge for "air weight," significantly increasing their profits without corresponding costs [16][18]. - With an estimated 500 billion packages handled annually, even a small increase in charges can lead to substantial profits, potentially exceeding hundreds of millions [16][18]. - The average additional charge per package, when applied to a large volume, can result in significant revenue for companies, highlighting the economic motivations behind this practice [16][20]. Group 3: Regulatory Context - New national standards for express services were introduced in December 2023, which require accurate weight measurement and billing, yet many companies have not complied [14][20]. - The "rounding up" practice is deemed illegal under existing consumer protection laws, which require transparency in pricing [21][22]. - The ongoing use of such practices reflects a lack of accountability and responsibility within the industry, potentially leading to a decline in consumer trust [21][24]. Group 4: Consumer Impact - Complaints related to express delivery services have surged, with a significant increase in issues reported, including disputes over shipping costs [22][24]. - The rise in complaints indicates a growing dissatisfaction among consumers, which could threaten the long-term viability of companies relying on such practices [22][24].

Investment Rating - The report rates the transportation industry as "Outperform" [2] Core Insights - The easing of tensions in the Middle East has led to a decline in oil tanker rates, with the VLCC market experiencing a significant price drop of 14.31% compared to June 19, with current rates at WS59.88 [3][12] - In the shipping sector, the demand for European routes has improved, resulting in a 10.6% increase in spot market booking prices, while the US routes have seen a decline of 7.0% and 11.9% for the West and East coasts, respectively [3][14] - During the summer travel season, Hainan Airlines plans to operate nearly 2,500 flights daily, with domestic ticket bookings reaching 17.9 million, a 5% increase year-on-year [3][15] - The newly unveiled Zhuque eVTOL has a range of 600 kilometers, and from January to May, national railway freight volume increased by 3.1% year-on-year, totaling 1.641 billion tons [3][22] Summary by Sections 1. Industry Hot Events - The Middle East situation has calmed, leading to a reduction in oil tanker rates and a return to supply-demand fundamentals [12] - Hainan Airlines is set to launch 75 new domestic and international routes during the summer travel season, with a daily flight plan of nearly 2,500 [15] - The Zhuque eVTOL was showcased, achieving a range of 600 kilometers, while railway freight volume showed a year-on-year increase [22] 2. High-Frequency Data Tracking - Air logistics: The overall trend for routes to the Asia-Pacific remains stable, with air freight prices showing a decline [25] - Shipping ports: The domestic container shipping price index has decreased, while dry bulk freight rates have also fallen [43] - Express logistics: In May 2025, express delivery volume increased by 17.20% year-on-year, with revenue rising by 8.20% [54] - Air travel: The average daily international flights in the last week of June 2025 increased by 17.51% year-on-year [3] - Road and rail: The number of freight trucks on highways increased by 0.88% week-on-week [3] 3. Investment Recommendations - Focus on the equipment and manufacturing export chain, recommending companies like COSCO Shipping, China Merchants Energy Shipping, and Huamao Logistics [4] - Attention to low-altitude economy investment opportunities, recommending CITIC Offshore Helicopter [4] - Investment opportunities in the road and rail sector, recommending Sichuan Chengyu, Gansu Expressway, and others [4] - Interest in cruise and ferry investment opportunities, recommending Bohai Ferry and Haixia Co [4] - E-commerce and express delivery investment opportunities, recommending SF Express, Jitu Express, and Yunda [4] - Investment opportunities in the aviation sector, recommending China National Aviation, Southern Airlines, and others [4]

Core Viewpoint - The company emphasizes a shift from scale competition to value competition, focusing on intelligent operations, flexible services, and sustainable development to enhance long-term competitiveness [1] Group 1: Digital Transformation - The company has achieved a full-link delivery time of under 43 hours, ranking first among major e-commerce platforms in terms of efficiency [2] - The implementation of a digital twin platform, "Visible Kunlun," allows for 100% process visualization and dynamic resource optimization through AI algorithms [2] - The company has installed 120,000 cameras for real-time monitoring, processing over 200 million images daily, significantly reducing damage rates and enhancing security [2] Group 2: Flexible Solutions - The company’s flexible solutions have led to a 260% increase in large customer business, with significant cost reductions and improved delivery times in remote areas [4] - The flexible service model has expanded across over 40 industries, enhancing customer experience and driving business growth [5] - The company has signed contracts with leading brands, showcasing the effectiveness of its flexible solutions in boosting client satisfaction and business performance [4][5] Group 3: Future Goals and Performance - The company aims to achieve the best customer experience within three years, with projected business volume growth rates of 29.83% for 2024 and 26.60% for Q1 2025 [4] - The net promoter score (NPS) reached 93, significantly above the industry average, indicating high customer satisfaction [5] - The company prioritizes quality growth through technological advancements and customer trust, establishing a differentiated competitive strategy [6]

Core Insights - The express delivery industry is experiencing a technological upgrade, particularly in the fruit delivery sector, with the lychee season being a significant peak period after major shopping events like Double Eleven and 618 [1][10] Group 1: Lychee Delivery Trends - The lychee season in Guangdong's Maoming is marked by a substantial increase in delivery volume, with one express outlet reporting a record high of 900 tons this year, compared to 200 tons last year [4] - The demand for lychee delivery has surged, with a nearly 30% share of fruit orders during peak days at the express outlet [4] - The logistics of lychee delivery are complex due to the fruit's high freshness requirements, necessitating rapid delivery and specialized packaging [4][10] Group 2: E-commerce and Order Sources - Orders for lychees are diversified across multiple e-commerce platforms, with significant contributions from Pinduoduo and Douyin [5] - Search volume for lychees on Meituan has increased by 179% compared to the same period last year, with certain varieties seeing over 200% growth [8] - JD.com reported a more than fivefold increase in sales of Guangdong lychees this year [9] Group 3: Technological Advancements in Delivery - The express delivery sector is increasingly utilizing technology for route planning and monitoring, enhancing efficiency in the lychee delivery process [5][10] - Automation in sorting processes has been introduced, allowing for a significant increase in sorting capacity from 150 to 8000 packages per hour [11] - The express industry has implemented cost-saving measures for farmers, including providing packaging materials and optimizing delivery routes, which has reduced delivery costs to 50% of the market average [11]

Core Insights - The conference themed "Moving Towards a Green Future" focused on the application of intelligent new energy heavy trucks in the express delivery industry, highlighting the latest advancements and future trends [1] Group 1: Industry Developments - The postal and express delivery industry is actively promoting energy-saving and low-carbon transportation methods, with policies supporting the purchase and use of new energy vehicles [3] - By the end of 2024, the number of new energy and clean energy vehicles in Jiangsu's postal and express delivery sector is expected to reach approximately 7,000, with over 80% of newly added or updated vehicles being new energy or clean energy vehicles [3] - New energy heavy trucks demonstrate significant advantages over traditional fuel heavy trucks in cost control, environmental protection, and technological innovation [3] Group 2: Economic Impact - New energy heavy trucks help express companies reduce transportation costs and improve economic efficiency, with suggestions for enhancing purchase subsidies, tax incentives, and road access rights to lower operational costs [3] - The average monthly mileage of Shentong Express's mainline vehicles exceeds 30,000 kilometers, significantly higher than the social average of 9,000 kilometers, indicating improved loading rates and operational efficiency [3] Group 3: Future Projections - In 2024, it is projected that 364,200 new energy logistics vehicles will be added nationwide, three times the number in 2021, although the proportion of new energy urban logistics vehicles remains low [4] - Fuel costs currently account for 31.85% of the transportation cost structure in self-owned vehicle fleets, indicating a strong need for new energy vehicles to reduce logistics costs [4] Group 4: Technological Advancements - Shentong Express has become the first express brand in China to scale the application of new energy heavy trucks, with significant cost savings observed during trial operations [5] - The use of intelligent driving technology has led to a 67% reduction in collision warnings and a 75% reduction in braking instances per 10,000 kilometers, effectively lowering labor costs by 4% [5] Group 5: Collaborative Efforts - The conference served as a platform for industry stakeholders, including representatives from CATL, DeepWay, Huawei, and SAIC, to discuss battery performance, service refinement for the express industry, and strategies for transitioning fleets to new energy [5] - The ongoing application of new energy heavy trucks in the express delivery sector is expected to inject new momentum into the comprehensive green transformation of the logistics industry [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for companies such as Shentong Express and Yunda Express, indicating a positive outlook for these firms in the express delivery sector [8]. Core Insights - The express delivery industry continues to show strong performance, with May 2025 data indicating a business volume of 17.32 billion pieces and revenue of 125.55 billion yuan, reflecting year-on-year growth of 17.2% and 8.2% respectively [3]. - The demand for express delivery is driven by trends such as the increasing popularity of small and light packages, the rise of reverse logistics, and the benefits from lower-tier markets [6]. - The competitive landscape is intensifying, with major players adjusting strategies to focus on market share rather than aggressive price competition, suggesting a controlled environment for price wars compared to previous years [6]. Summary by Sections Industry Data - In May 2025, the express delivery sector achieved a total business volume of 173.2 billion pieces and revenue of 1255.5 billion yuan, with cumulative revenue from January to May reaching 5924.6 billion yuan, up 10.3% year-on-year [3]. - The cumulative business volume for the same period was 787.7 billion pieces, marking a year-on-year increase of 20.1% [3]. Company Performance - For May 2025, the revenue and business volume for major companies were as follows: - SF Express: Revenue of 19.38 billion yuan, business volume of 1.48 billion pieces, with a year-on-year growth of 13.4% and 32% respectively [4]. - Shentong Express: Revenue of 4.41 billion yuan, business volume of 2.26 billion pieces, with a year-on-year growth of 13.0% and 16% respectively [4]. - Yunda Express: Revenue of 4.42 billion yuan, business volume of 2.30 billion pieces, with a year-on-year growth of 6.7% and 13% respectively [4]. - YTO Express: Revenue of 5.85 billion yuan, business volume of 2.76 billion pieces, with a year-on-year growth of 14.8% and 21% respectively [4]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that the express delivery sector is currently undervalued, with expectations of continued growth driven by the expanding e-commerce market and new demands from lower-tier markets [6]. - It recommends focusing on leading companies in the e-commerce express delivery space, including ZTO Express, YTO Express, Yunda Express, Shentong Express, and Jitu Express, as well as the logistics leader SF Express [6].

Group 1: Aviation Sector - The aviation sector is expected to see strong demand during the summer peak season, with a recommendation to focus on pre-peak investment opportunities. The industry has gradually emerged from the low-demand season since March, with rational pricing strategies from airlines supporting demand [3][12]. - In 2024, the total revenue of six listed airlines is projected to reach 521.8 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14%, with a tax pre-profit of 3 billion yuan, a significant recovery from a loss of 9 billion yuan in 2023. Different airlines show varying degrees of profit improvement [10][12]. - The report highlights that the international oil price decline will significantly enhance airline profits. A 5% drop in Brent crude oil prices could increase the pre-tax profits of major airlines by 29 billion yuan for Air China and 23 billion yuan for Eastern Airlines [14][15]. Group 2: Express Delivery Sector - The express delivery sector is anticipated to maintain strong growth resilience, with business volumes expected to increase by 21.5% in 2024 and 21.6% in Q1 2025. The total business volume for 2024 is projected to reach 1.758 billion pieces [32][35]. - The market concentration in the express delivery industry is on the rise, with the CR8 index expected to reach 85.2% in 2024 and 86.9% in Q1 2025, indicating a more consolidated market [32][35]. - Revenue for the express delivery industry is forecasted to grow by 13.8% in 2024, reaching 1.4 trillion yuan, with a slight pressure on average ticket prices, which are expected to decline by 14.2% [35][36]. Group 3: Dividend and Asset Value - The report emphasizes the value of dividend assets in the transportation sector, with cash dividend ratios for highways, railways, and ports projected at 51%, 47%, and 36% respectively for 2024, indicating strong cash flow stability [44][45]. - The TTM dividend yields for these sectors are expected to be 3.0% for highways, 3.3% for railways, and 2.3% for ports, reflecting a stable increase compared to previous years [44][45]. Group 4: Shipping Sector - The shipping sector faces short-term pressure due to US-China tariff disputes, but structural opportunities may arise. The report suggests that the tariff situation could lead to a shift in import demands, particularly for agricultural products, which may benefit dry bulk shipping [48][56]. - Historical data indicates that previous trade disputes have led to increased shipping rates for certain routes, suggesting potential for similar outcomes in the current context [48][56].

证券代码：002468 证券简称：申通快递 公告编号：2025-053 上述快递服务单票收入计算如有差异为四舍五入原因所致。上述数据未经审计，与定期报告 披露的数据之间可能存在差异，请以公司定期报告为准。 特此公告。 申通快递股份有限公司董事会 2025年6月20日 申通快递股份有限公司 2025 年 5 月经营简报 本公司及董事会全体成员保证公告内容的真实、准确和完整，不存在虚假记载、误导性 陈述或者重大遗漏。 根据《深圳证券交易所上市公司自律监管指引第3号—行业信息披露》的有关规定，公司现 披露2025年5月份相关数据信息如下： | 项 目 | 2025年5月 | 同比增长 | | --- | --- | --- | | 快递服务业务收入（亿元） | 44.10 | 13.01% | | 完成业务量（亿票） | 22.64 | 16.35% | | 快递服务单票收入（元） | 1.95 | -2.99% | ...

金十数据6月19日讯，申通快递晚间公告，公司2025年5月快递服务业务收入44.1亿元，同比增长 13.01%；完成业务量22.64亿票，同比增长16.35%。 申通快递：5月快递服务业务收入同比增长13.01% ...