Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" recommendation for the non-ferrous metals sector, driven by rising expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, leading to a rebound in metal prices [2]. Core Views - The report highlights three main industry perspectives: 1. The expectation of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve is likely to benefit both base and precious metals, leading to price increases [6]. 2. Silver prices have reached historical highs due to low inventory levels and rising demand, supported by the Fed's dovish stance [6]. 3. Ongoing supply disruptions in copper mining are expected to lead to reduced smelting capacity and higher copper prices [6]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The non-ferrous metals sector includes 126 listed companies with a total market capitalization of approximately 457.86 billion yuan, representing 3.86% of the overall market [3]. - Recent performance metrics show a 67.3% increase in absolute performance over the past year, with a relative performance increase of 50.4% [4]. Key Events and Impacts - The Federal Reserve's recent meeting indicated a significant division among officials regarding future rate cuts, with market expectations for a 25 basis point cut in December rising to 86.4% [6]. - Silver prices surged to 12,727 yuan per kilogram, marking a 9% increase from the previous week, attributed to low inventory levels and strong demand [6]. - Copper smelting capacity is projected to face reductions due to ongoing supply disruptions, with expectations of a decrease in processing fees, which may support higher copper prices [6]. Company Insights - Yunnan Aluminum Co. plans to acquire stakes in several subsidiaries for 2.267 billion yuan, increasing its electrolytic aluminum capacity by 154,500 tons [8]. - Tianshan Aluminum has initiated a green low-carbon efficiency improvement project, expected to enhance its annual production capacity to 1.4 million tons [8]. - China Hongqiao has completed a share placement, raising approximately 11.49 billion HKD for project development and debt repayment, indicating strong confidence in future growth [10]. Stock Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on precious metals and copper-aluminum sectors, highlighting companies such as Zijin Mining, Jinchuan Group, and China Hongqiao as key investment opportunities [11].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6] Core Views - The expansion project enhances the company's scarce attributes and the green transformation strengthens its cost advantages [2] - The company is expected to benefit from a steady increase in aluminum prices, leading to improved profitability as both volume and price rise [11] Financial Forecast and Investment Recommendations - The earnings per share (EPS) forecasts for 2025-2027 are maintained at 1.05, 1.35, and 1.51 yuan respectively [4] - Based on comparable company valuations, a target price of 14.85 yuan is set for 2026, corresponding to an 11x PE ratio [4] - Revenue projections show a recovery with expected growth rates of 25.5% in 2025, 11.1% in 2026, and 6.1% in 2027 [13] - The company's operating profit is projected to increase significantly, with a forecast of 5,506 million yuan in 2025 and 7,073 million yuan in 2026 [13] Company Progress and Strategic Initiatives - The company is on track to complete its 1.4 million tons electrolytic aluminum green low-carbon efficiency improvement project by Q2 2026, which will enhance its production capacity and energy efficiency [11] - The project utilizes advanced energy-saving technologies, contributing to the company's green transformation and competitive advantage in electricity costs [11] - The company anticipates a significant increase in profitability following the completion of the project, driven by both volume and price increases in the electrolytic aluminum sector [11]

Core Insights - The report by Ernst & Young highlights a growth trend in IPO activities in mainland China and Hong Kong, with A-shares and Hong Kong markets accounting for 16% and 33% of global IPO numbers and fundraising amounts respectively [1] - Chinese companies secured five positions in the global top ten IPOs, with an increase in numbers compared to 2024, primarily in the automotive, mining, energy, and advanced manufacturing sectors [1] - The industrial, technology, and materials sectors are the top three in terms of IPO quantity [1] Market Performance - The A-share market has shown signs of recovery amidst fluctuations, with overall market confidence improving and a strong technical outlook [2] - The "14th Five-Year Plan" policies, capital market developments, and declining interest rates are positively influencing the market, indicating a phase of recovery [2] - Third-quarter reports indicate moderate improvements in fundamentals, which may drive further market recovery [2] Index and ETF Information - The CSI 500 Quality Growth Index selects 100 companies with high profitability, sustainable earnings, and strong cash flow from the CSI 500 Index, providing diverse investment options [2] - As of October 31, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the CSI 500 Quality Growth Index accounted for 21.64% of the index [2] - The top ten stocks include Huagong Technology, Kaiying Network, Dongwu Securities, Tianshan Aluminum, Keda Li, Crystal Optoelectronics, Shunluo Electronics, Chuangfeng Power, Changjiang Securities, and Shanghai Electric [2][4]

Group 1 - Hekang New Energy's subsidiary received a government subsidy of 6 million yuan, accounting for 58.27% of the company's latest audited net profit attributable to shareholders [1] - Anhui Construction won two major EPC projects with a total bid price of 2.603 billion yuan [2] - Tianrun Dairy's wholly-owned subsidiary received a government subsidy of 7.9094 million yuan, representing 18.12% of the company's audited net profit for 2024 [2] Group 2 - Yunnan Gold's subsidiary obtained a mining license for the Xinxiao County Tanxi Tungsten Mine, with a production capacity of 990,000 tons per year [5][22] - Yanzhou Coal Energy plans to acquire 100% equity of a high-end support company for 345 million yuan [6] - Heng Rui Pharmaceutical received approval for multiple drug clinical trials, including Sulfate Amexitin tablets [8] Group 3 - Huazhi Jie plans to invest 157 million yuan to establish five wholly-owned subsidiaries to expand its global strategy [1] - Junting Hotel's controlling shareholder is planning a change of control, leading to a continued suspension of trading [4] - Funi Technology's shareholder plans to reduce its stake by up to 1.68% [10] Group 4 - Midea Group's subsidiary received a government subsidy of 6 million yuan, which is 58.27% of the company's latest audited net profit [1] - Hunan Gold's subsidiary obtained a mining license for tungsten, iron, and silver, with a production scale of 990,000 tons per year [5][22] - Xin Hua Pharmaceutical received approval for the listing application of Acetate Prednisone raw material [24][25] Group 5 - Zhejiang Pharmaceutical plans to spin off its subsidiary for a listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange [28] - Kesheng Technology plans to invest 61.2 million yuan to acquire 51% of Shenzhen Guanding [30] - Tian Shan Aluminum's 1.4 million tons electrolytic aluminum green low-carbon energy efficiency improvement project has commenced production [38]

Core Viewpoint - Tianshan Aluminum Group has initiated the first batch of electrolytic cells for its 1.4 million tons green low-carbon energy efficiency enhancement project, aiming to comply with national energy-saving and low-carbon policies [1][2]. Group 1: Project Overview - The project involves upgrading the company's electrolytic aluminum production capacity using advanced energy-saving technology, which includes full graphitization cathode blocks and new energy-saving cathode structures [1]. - Upon completion, the company's electrolytic aluminum production capacity will reach the approved capacity of 1.4 million tons per year, with electricity consumption for aluminum liquid expected to achieve industry-leading levels [2]. Group 2: Competitive Advantage - The project will rely on external green electricity as an energy source, which will increase the proportion of green electricity in the company's energy mix, thereby enhancing its competitive advantage in electricity costs and accelerating the green transformation of its electrolytic aluminum business [2]. Group 3: Bond Redemption and Share Pledge - The controlling shareholder, Jincheng Energy, has fully redeemed and delisted two series of exchangeable bonds, with the redemption prices being RMB 100.4808 and RMB 100.4466 per bond for the first and second series, respectively [4][5]. - Following the redemption, Jincheng Energy has also released part of its pledged shares, indicating a stable financial situation and no immediate risk of forced liquidation or transfer of control over the company [6].

Core Insights - Tianshan Aluminum's stock rose by 4.2% following the successful energization of the first batch of electrolytic cells in its green low-carbon energy efficiency improvement project [1] Company Summary - Tianshan Aluminum has initiated a project aimed at enhancing the energy efficiency of its electrolytic aluminum production, which is expected to contribute to lower carbon emissions [1] - The first batch of electrolytic cells has been successfully powered on, marking a significant milestone in the company's green initiatives [1] Industry Summary - The aluminum industry is increasingly focusing on green and low-carbon technologies to meet environmental standards and improve energy efficiency [1] - Projects like Tianshan Aluminum's are indicative of a broader trend within the industry towards sustainable practices and innovation in production methods [1]

Core Insights - Tianshan Aluminum has demonstrated robust growth in the first three quarters of 2025, with total revenue reaching 22.321 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.34%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 3.340 billion yuan, up 8.31% year-on-year [1] - The company achieved a quarterly net profit of 1.256 billion yuan in Q3, reflecting a quarter-on-quarter increase of approximately 34%, driven by stable aluminum prices and effective cost management [1] - The company is advancing a green low-carbon transformation project for 1.4 million tons of electrolytic aluminum capacity, which is expected to increase total production by nearly 20% [2] Financial Performance - In the first three quarters, the net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses was 3.200 billion yuan, also showing an 8.08% year-on-year growth [1] - Financial expenses decreased by 30.8% year-on-year, contributing to profit growth [1] - The company has implemented a mid-term dividend plan for 2025, distributing 920 million yuan in dividends, with a commitment to maintain a cash dividend ratio of no less than 50% of net profit for 2025 [2] Shareholder Returns - The company has completed a share buyback of 23.7052 million shares, accounting for 0.51% of total shares, with a total expenditure exceeding 200 million yuan [3] - The recent decision to cancel 23.148 million shares from earlier buybacks, amounting to 150 million yuan, is viewed as a "quasi-dividend" operation, enhancing shareholder value [3] - The shareholder return strategy is reinforced by high dividends and share buybacks, reflecting the company's confidence in its value [3] Industry Position and Future Outlook - Tianshan Aluminum is strategically enhancing its upstream resource layout with projects in Guangxi, Guinea, and Indonesia, which are expected to improve self-sufficiency in bauxite and strengthen cost advantages [3] - The company has established a three-dimensional development framework characterized by stable profitability, growth potential, and substantial returns, positioning it as a high-value investment target in the non-ferrous sector [4] - The combination of green capacity expansion, optimized resource layout, and a high dividend policy is expected to enhance the company's defensive capabilities and growth potential amid industry cycles [4]

Focus 1: Jianlong Micro-Nano (688357) - The company has terminated the planning of a major asset restructuring, which was intended to acquire at least 51% of Shanghai Hanxing Energy Technology Co., Ltd. through cash payment for equity [1] Focus 2: Industrial Fulian - The company has adjusted the maximum repurchase price for its shares from 19.36 yuan per share to 75.00 yuan per share, reflecting confidence in its future development and market conditions [2] Focus 3: *ST Dongtong - The company received a prior notice from the Shenzhen Stock Exchange regarding the proposed termination of its stock listing [3] Focus 4: Fundraising & Restructuring - Aolaide plans to raise up to 299.71 million yuan through a simplified procedure for issuing shares to specific targets, with proceeds allocated for OLED display core material production and working capital [4] - Maigemi has received approval from the Shenzhen Stock Exchange for its application to issue shares to specific targets, meeting all necessary conditions [4] - Su Yan Jingshen has also received approval for its share issuance application, pending final registration with the China Securities Regulatory Commission [4] Focus 5: Important Matters - Baiao Chemical's major shareholders are transferring a total of 10% of the company's shares to Liu Hongjun, resulting in him holding 10% of the total share capital post-transfer [5][6] - Zhejiang Pharmaceutical is planning to spin off its subsidiary for a listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, which will not affect its control over the subsidiary [6] - Huafeng Aluminum is acquiring 100% of Shanghai Huafeng Puen Polyurethane Co., Ltd. for 100.06 million yuan, which will enhance its operational efficiency and market competitiveness [7] Focus 6: New Investments - Fuda Co. is establishing a wholly-owned subsidiary with an investment of 30 million yuan to enhance its forging business and related manufacturing capabilities [8] - Jianghai Co. is forming a joint venture to establish an innovation research institute with a registered capital of 50 million yuan, focusing on strategic technology research [9][10] Focus 7: Capital Market Activities - Zhongshan Bank has issued 60 billion yuan of subordinated debt with a fixed interest rate of 2.16% for a term of 10 years [17] - China Iron and Steel Group plans to increase its stake in China Iron and Steel Co. by investing between 65 million and 130 million yuan over the next six months [18]

Core Viewpoint - Tianshan Aluminum announced a green low-carbon energy efficiency upgrade project for its 1.4 million tons of electrolytic aluminum capacity, aligning with national energy-saving policies [1] Group 1: Project Details - The project will utilize advanced domestic electrolytic aluminum energy-saving technology and is located on the reserved site east of the Shihezi plant [1] - It involves the use of fully graphitized cathode carbon blocks and new energy-saving cathode structure technology, which offers high lining life, low resistivity, low sodium expansion rate, good thermal shock resistance, stable operation, and high current efficiency [1] - The project has been approved by the company's sixth board of directors' fifteenth meeting, and the first batch of electrolytic cells has begun energization [1] Group 2: Expected Outcomes - Upon completion, the company's electrolytic aluminum production capacity will reach the approved capacity of 1.4 million tons per year, with the comprehensive AC power consumption of aluminum liquid reaching industry-leading levels [1] - The project will rely on external green electricity as an energy guarantee, and once fully operational, the proportion of green electricity in the company's energy mix will further increase [1] - This upgrade is expected to enhance the company's competitive advantage in electricity costs and accelerate the green transformation of its electrolytic aluminum main business [1]

Core Viewpoint - Tianshan Aluminum has officially powered on the first batch of electrolytic cells for its 1.4 million tons green low-carbon efficiency enhancement project, aiming to improve the green and low-carbon level of its electrolytic aluminum production [1] Group 1: Project Details - The project utilizes fully graphitized cathode carbon blocks and new energy-saving cathode structure technology [1] - Upon completion, the company's electrolytic aluminum production capacity will reach the approved capacity of 1.4 million tons per year [1] - The comprehensive AC power consumption of aluminum liquid will be at an industry-leading level [1] Group 2: Energy and Competitive Advantage - The project will rely on external green electricity as an energy guarantee [1] - Once fully completed, the proportion of green electricity in the company's energy mix will further increase [1] - This enhancement will strengthen the company's competitive advantage in electricity costs and accelerate the green transformation of its electrolytic aluminum main business [1]