TIANSHAN ALUMINUM(002532)

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本周!美联储将大幅降息?早有资金进场布局!有色龙头ETF(159876)近20日吸金1.63亿元,规模创新高!
Xin Lang Ji Jin· 2025-09-15 06:11
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the recent performance and investment trends in the non-ferrous metals sector, particularly focusing on the Non-Ferrous Metal Leader ETF (159876) which has seen significant net subscriptions and capital inflow [1][2] - The Non-Ferrous Metal Leader ETF (159876) has attracted a total of 33.6 million yuan in the last five days and 163 million yuan over the past 20 days, reaching a historical high of 263 million yuan as of September 12 [1] - The anticipated interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve is expected to boost non-ferrous metal prices due to increased demand for physical assets, a weaker dollar making metals cheaper, and lower borrowing costs for companies [1][2] Group 2 - The macroeconomic environment is favorable for metal prices due to the Federal Reserve's easing policies and domestic initiatives aimed at optimizing production factors and improving profitability [2][3] - The strategic metals such as rare earths, tungsten, and antimony are expected to benefit from global geopolitical dynamics, while lithium, cobalt, and aluminum are influenced by domestic "anti-involution" policies [3] - The supply-demand balance for industrial metals like copper and aluminum remains tight, driven by demand from emerging industries and limited supply increases [3] Group 3 - In terms of individual stock performance, leading companies in the lithium sector, such as Ganfeng Lithium and Tianqi Lithium, have seen significant gains, while some companies in the non-ferrous sector have experienced declines [4]
天山铝业涨2.00%,成交额5.20亿元,主力资金净流入483.12万元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-09-15 05:59
Core Viewpoint - Tianshan Aluminum has shown significant stock price growth and positive financial performance, indicating strong market interest and operational stability [1][2]. Financial Performance - As of June 30, Tianshan Aluminum achieved a revenue of 15.328 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 11.19% [2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the same period was 2.084 billion yuan, reflecting a slight year-on-year growth of 0.51% [2]. - The company has distributed a total of 6.562 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 3.463 billion yuan distributed over the past three years [3]. Stock Market Activity - On September 15, Tianshan Aluminum's stock price increased by 2.00%, reaching 11.71 yuan per share, with a trading volume of 520 million yuan and a turnover rate of 1.09% [1]. - The stock has appreciated by 52.63% year-to-date, with a 11.74% increase over the last five trading days and an 18.88% increase over the last 20 days [1]. - The company had a market capitalization of 54.474 billion yuan as of the latest trading session [1]. Shareholder Information - As of June 30, the number of shareholders for Tianshan Aluminum reached 49,700, an increase of 4.44% from the previous period [2]. - The average number of circulating shares per shareholder was 83,175, which decreased by 4.25% compared to the previous period [2]. - Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited was the seventh-largest circulating shareholder, holding 113 million shares, a decrease of 10.084 million shares from the previous period [3]. Business Overview - Tianshan Aluminum, established on November 3, 1997, and listed on December 31, 2010, is primarily engaged in the production and sale of primary aluminum, aluminum deep-processing products, prebaked anodes, high-purity aluminum, and alumina [1]. - The revenue composition includes 65.26% from aluminum ingots, 24.20% from alumina, 6.89% from aluminum foil and foil materials, 2.10% from high-purity aluminum, and 1.55% from other sources [1]. - The company operates within the non-ferrous metals industry, specifically in the aluminum sector, and is associated with concepts such as battery foil, sodium batteries, lithium batteries, and Xinjiang revitalization [1].
降息周期开启在即,有色板块后续节奏怎么看
2025-09-15 01:49
Summary of Conference Call Records Industry Overview: Non-Ferrous Metals - The non-ferrous metals sector is benefiting from the global macro cycle, with U.S. interest rate cuts and Trump-era policies releasing liquidity, driving resource prices into an upward cycle [1][2] - The anticipated interest rate cuts in Q4 2025 and the increase in the U.S. debt ceiling are expected to have significant impacts on the sector [1][2] Key Insights on Gold Stocks - Gold stocks have shown high certainty in the current market, experiencing a 20% pullback despite gold price fluctuations [4] - Historical data indicates that prior to price increases, gold stocks typically see a rise in both EPS and PE [4] - The average gold price in 2025 is projected to be significantly higher than in 2024, suggesting strong performance for companies like Shandong Gold, Chifeng Jilong Gold, and Zhongjin Gold [4] Electrolytic Aluminum Sector - The supply of electrolytic aluminum is constrained, with actual new capacity in early 2025 expected to be around 500,000 to 600,000 tons, lower than the anticipated 1 million tons [5] - Global PMI recovery is expected to gradually restore demand for electrolytic aluminum, with price expectations increasing [5] - The sector's valuation is at historical lows, with mainstream stocks valued at less than 10 times earnings, indicating significant room for recovery [6] Copper Sector Outlook - The copper sector presents investment opportunities driven by financial and industrial attributes, with expectations of price increases due to U.S. interest rate cuts and improved demand from China [7][8] - Supply disruptions from global mining events are contributing to a tightening supply situation, while demand is expected to grow due to macroeconomic factors [7][8] Tungsten Market Dynamics - The rise in tungsten prices is driven by supply contraction, export controls, and its strategic importance [3][9] - China's tungsten product exports have significantly decreased, leading to shortages in overseas markets [10] - The impact of export quotas on prices is critical, with expectations of a potential price increase if the second batch of quotas is reduced [12] Companies to Watch - Recommended companies include Shandong Gold, Chifeng Jilong Gold, Zhongjin Gold, Xiamen Tungsten, China Tungsten High-Tech, and Anyuan Coal Industry, which are seen as having investment potential in the current market environment [4][14]
重视银金比修复,内外共振铜铝普涨突破
Changjiang Securities· 2025-09-14 23:30
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the industry [9] Core Insights - The report emphasizes the recovery of the silver-gold ratio and the simultaneous rise in copper and aluminum prices due to both domestic and international factors [5][6] - Weak employment data in the U.S. has led to increased expectations for a 50 basis point rate cut in September, which is expected to boost precious metals [5][6] - The report suggests that while gold remains a focus for investment, the recovery of the silver-gold ratio indicates potential for silver as well [5][6] Summary by Sections Precious Metals - The report highlights the weak performance of the U.S. labor market and its implications for precious metals, particularly gold and silver [5][6] - It suggests that gold stocks may experience a quarterly-level resonance in terms of price, valuation, and style due to anticipated rate cuts [5][6] - For silver, the report advises attention to its potential to converge with gold as inflation expectations rise [5][6] Industrial Metals - Industrial metals have seen a broad increase, with LME copper rising by 1.7% and aluminum by 3.8% [6][27] - The report notes that domestic policies aimed at stabilizing growth are expected to enhance demand outlook [6] - It indicates that while demand for copper and aluminum may decline in the second half of the year, supply constraints will limit the extent of this decline [6] Strategic and Minor Metals - The report discusses the strategic reassessment of rare earths and tungsten, with a focus on their long-term value due to government policies and market dynamics [7] - It highlights the upward price trend for cobalt and nickel, driven by supply constraints and increasing demand in the battery sector [7] - The report also mentions the bottoming out of lithium prices, with a cautious outlook on future price movements [7]
铝行业周报:旺季需求继续提升,铝锭库存拐点初现-20250914
Guohai Securities· 2025-09-14 12:04
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the aluminum industry [1] Core Viewpoints - The demand for aluminum continues to rise during the peak season, with signs of a turning point in aluminum ingot inventory [1] - The macroeconomic environment is favorable, with expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, which may further support aluminum prices [6][11] - The aluminum processing sector is experiencing a recovery in operating rates, indicating a potential increase in demand [11] Summary by Sections 1. Prices - As of September 12, 2025, the LME three-month aluminum closing price was $2701.0 per ton, up $98.5 from the previous week, a 3.8% increase [23] - The Shanghai aluminum active contract closing price was 21120.0 CNY per ton, up 425.0 CNY from the previous week, a 2.1% increase [23] - The average price of A00 aluminum in Changjiang was 21050.0 CNY per ton, up 370.0 CNY from the previous week, a 1.8% increase [23] 2. Production - In August 2025, the production of electrolytic aluminum was 373.3 million tons, a month-on-month increase of 1.1 million tons, and a year-on-year increase of 5.0 million tons [56] - The production of alumina in August 2025 was 773.8 million tons, a month-on-month increase of 8.8 million tons, and a year-on-year increase of 56.5 million tons [56] 3. Key Companies and Earnings Forecast - China Hongqiao (1378.HK) is rated "Buy" with an EPS forecast of 2.35 CNY for 2024, increasing to 2.89 CNY by 2026 [5] - Tianshan Aluminum (002532.SZ) is rated "Buy" with an EPS forecast of 0.96 CNY for 2024, increasing to 1.27 CNY by 2026 [5] - Shenhuo Co. (000933.SZ) is rated "Buy" with an EPS forecast of 1.91 CNY for 2024, increasing to 2.56 CNY by 2026 [5] - China Aluminum (601600.SH) is rated "Buy" with an EPS forecast of 0.72 CNY for 2024, increasing to 0.99 CNY by 2026 [5] - Yunnan Aluminum (000807.SZ) is rated "Buy" with an EPS forecast of 1.27 CNY for 2024, increasing to 2.07 CNY by 2026 [5] 4. Inventory - As of September 11, 2025, the domestic electrolytic aluminum ingot inventory was recorded at 625,000 tons, with a week-on-week decrease of 1,000 tons [7] - The aluminum rod inventory in major domestic consumption areas was 132,500 tons, with a week-on-week decrease of 750 tons [7] 5. Demand - The arrival of the traditional peak season has led to improved order conditions for most profile enterprises, with various downstream sectors showing varying degrees of recovery [7] - The operating rate of aluminum processing leading enterprises increased by 0.4 percentage points to 62.1% [7]
天山铝业(002532) - 关于实际控制人部分股份解除质押的公告
2025-09-12 08:30
证券代码:002532 证券简称:天山铝业 公告编号:2025-056 2、股东股份累计质押基本情况 天山铝业集团股份有限公司 关于实际控制人部分股份解除质押的公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整,没有虚假 记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整,没有 虚假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 一、股东股份质押后续进展 (一)股东股份解除质押 天山铝业集团股份有限公司(以下简称"本公司"或"公司")近日接到股东、 实际控制人曾超懿函告,获悉其所持有本公司的部分股份解除质押,具体事项如 下: | 股东 | 是否为控股 股东或第一 | 本次解除质 押股份数量 | 占其所持 | 占公司 总股本 | 质押起始 | 解除质押日 | 质权人 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 名称 | 大股东及其 | (万股) | 股份比例 | 比例 | 日 | 期 | | | | 一致行动人 | | | | | | | | 曾超 | 是 | 7,500.00 | 19.05% | 1.61% | 2 ...
有色ETF基金(159880)涨超1%,机构称工业金属社会库存去化有望加速
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-11 05:43
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that the non-ferrous metal industry is experiencing a strong upward trend, driven by expectations of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve, which has led to increased market optimism and rising prices for industrial metals [1][2] - As of September 11, 2025, the Guozheng Non-Ferrous Metal Industry Index (399395) rose by 1.57%, with significant gains in constituent stocks such as Placo New Materials (300811) up 13.16%, Dongyang Sunshine (600673) up 7.03%, and China Rare Earth (000831) up 5.61% [1] - The non-ferrous ETF fund (159880) also saw an increase of 1.19%, with the latest price reported at 1.53 yuan [1] Group 2 - The Guozheng Non-Ferrous Metal Industry Index tracks 50 prominent securities in the non-ferrous metal sector, reflecting the overall performance of listed companies in this industry on the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges [2] - As of August 29, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the index include Zijin Mining (601899), Northern Rare Earth (600111), and Luoyang Molybdenum (603993), collectively accounting for 50.35% of the index [2]
天山铝业涨2.02%,成交额8691.54万元,主力资金净流入261.46万元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-09-11 02:22
Company Overview - Tianshan Aluminum Industry Co., Ltd. is located at 9th Floor, ProLogis Building, No. 2389 Zhangyang Road, Pudong New District, Shanghai, established on November 3, 1997, and listed on December 31, 2010 [1] - The company primarily engages in the production and sales of primary aluminum, aluminum deep processing products and materials, prebaked anodes, high-purity aluminum, and alumina [1] - The revenue composition includes 65.26% from aluminum ingots, 24.20% from alumina, 6.89% from aluminum foil and aluminum foil raw materials, 2.10% from high-purity aluminum, and 1.55% from other sources [1] Financial Performance - As of June 30, 2025, Tianshan Aluminum achieved operating revenue of 15.328 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 11.19% [2] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the same period was 2.084 billion yuan, with a slight year-on-year increase of 0.51% [2] - Cumulative cash dividends since the A-share listing amount to 6.562 billion yuan, with 3.463 billion yuan distributed in the last three years [3] Stock Performance - As of September 11, Tianshan Aluminum's stock price increased by 2.02%, reaching 10.63 yuan per share, with a total market capitalization of 49.45 billion yuan [1] - The stock has seen a year-to-date increase of 38.56%, with a 3.10% rise over the last five trading days, 9.81% over the last twenty days, and 30.11% over the last sixty days [1] - The number of shareholders as of June 30, 2025, was 49,700, an increase of 4.44% from the previous period, while the average circulating shares per person decreased by 4.25% to 83,175 shares [2] Capital Flow - The net inflow of main funds was 2.6146 million yuan, with large orders accounting for 27.74% of purchases and 23.52% of sales [1] - The top ten circulating shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, which holds 113 million shares, a decrease of 10.084 million shares from the previous period [3]
天山铝业集团股份有限公司关于实际控制人部分股份质押的公告
Shang Hai Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-09-10 18:48
Group 1 - The core point of the announcement is that the actual controller of Tianshan Aluminum, Zeng Chaoyi, has pledged part of his shares, which does not involve major asset restructuring or performance compensation obligations [1] - As of the announcement date, the total number of pledged shares by Zeng Chaoyi and his concerted actors is 13.2 million shares, accounting for 6.76% of his holdings and 2.84% of the company's total share capital, with a corresponding financing balance of 350 million yuan [2] - The pledged shares are primarily used to repay existing debts, and there are no non-operating fund occupations or illegal guarantees that would harm the interests of the listed company [2][3] Group 2 - The company confirms that the current production and operation situation is normal, and Zeng Chaoyi maintains a positive outlook on the company's long-term stable development [3] - Zeng Chaoyi's credit status is good, and he has the ability to repay the funds, with no risk of forced liquidation or transfer of shares, ensuring that there will be no impact on the company's operations or governance [2][3] - The company will continue to monitor the progress of the share pledges and fulfill its information disclosure obligations as required [3]
天山铝业:石河子市锦隆能源产业链有限公司累计质押股数约为3.09亿股
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-09-10 09:56
Company Summary - Tianshan Aluminum Industry (SZ 002532) announced that as of the announcement date, Shihezi Jinlong Energy Industry Chain Co., Ltd. has pledged approximately 309 million shares, accounting for 33.9% of its holdings [1] - Shihezi Jinhui Energy Investment Co., Ltd. has pledged approximately 173 million shares, representing 50% of its holdings [1] - Zeng Chao Yi has pledged approximately 188 million shares, which is 47.77% of his holdings [1] - Zeng Chao Lin has pledged approximately 137 million shares, accounting for 45.42% of his holdings [1] - For the first half of 2025, Tianshan Aluminum's revenue composition is 100% from the aluminum industry [1] - As of the report, Tianshan Aluminum's market capitalization is 48.5 billion yuan [1]