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能源金属行业周报:碳酸锂价格短期或继续上行,看好价格重估背景下的关键金属全面行情-20260125





HUAXI Securities· 2026-01-25 11:07
Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Recommended" [3] Core Views - Short-term raw material supply tightness is expected to support nickel prices, with LME nickel spot price reaching $18,630 per ton, up 5.70% from January 16 [1] - The cobalt market is anticipated to see continued price increases due to structural supply tightness, with electrolytic cobalt priced at 438,000 yuan per ton, down 3.74% from January 16 [2][5] - Domestic antimony supply remains tight, providing price support, with antimony ingot prices at 160,500 yuan per ton [6] - Lithium carbonate prices are expected to continue rising, with a market average of 171,100 yuan per ton, up 8.36% from January 16 [8][19] - Supply uncertainties in the rare earth market are expected to support prices, with significant global supply concentration in China [10][20] - Tin prices are supported by overseas supply uncertainties, with LME tin prices at $54,200 per ton, up 9.66% from January 16 [11][21] - Tungsten market supply-demand imbalance is notable, with white tungsten concentrate prices at 535,500 yuan per ton, up 5.93% from January 16 [13][22] - Uranium supply tightness is expected to persist, with global uranium prices at $63.51 per pound [14][15] Summary by Sections Nickel and Cobalt Industry Update - Nickel prices are supported by supply constraints, with Indonesia's nickel mining production quota expected to be reduced to 250-260 million tons [1][16] - Cobalt supply is projected to tighten further, with Congo's export quotas confirmed to extend into 2026 [2][17] Antimony Industry Update - Antimony supply remains tight, with domestic prices expected to rise due to export restrictions and seasonal supply issues [6][18] Lithium Industry Update - Lithium carbonate prices are expected to remain strong due to demand support and supply uncertainties, particularly regarding the recovery of key lithium mines [8][19] Rare Earth Industry Update - The rare earth market is facing supply tightening due to export bans and geopolitical factors, with China maintaining a dominant position [10][20] Tin Industry Update - Tin prices are supported by uncertainties in overseas supply, particularly from Myanmar and Congo [11][21] Tungsten Industry Update - The tungsten market is experiencing a supply-demand imbalance, with prices expected to rise due to limited new supply [13][22] Uranium Industry Update - Uranium prices are supported by ongoing supply tightness and geopolitical factors affecting production [14][15]
有色金属大宗金属周报(2026/1/19-2026/1/23):库存累积,铜铝价格高位震荡-20260125
Hua Yuan Zheng Quan· 2026-01-25 09:03
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the non-ferrous metals industry is "Positive" (maintained) [4] Core Views - The report highlights that copper prices are experiencing high-level fluctuations amidst inventory accumulation, with short-term price adjustments expected to be limited due to the financial attributes of copper supported by rising gold prices. The supply-demand balance for copper may shift from tight equilibrium to shortage in the medium to long term, driven by insufficient capital expenditure in copper mines and frequent supply disruptions. The report suggests monitoring companies such as Zijin Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, Jiangxi Copper, and others [5] - For aluminum, the report notes that both alumina and aluminum prices are under pressure due to high inventory levels. The short-term outlook for aluminum prices is expected to remain stable amidst high demand, particularly in the air conditioning and consumer goods sectors [5] - Lithium demand remains strong despite seasonal trends, with lithium carbonate prices entering an upward cycle driven by supply-demand reversal. The report recommends focusing on companies with high self-sufficiency in lithium resources [5] - Cobalt prices are expected to continue rising due to tight raw material supply, with the report suggesting companies like Huayou Cobalt and others for investment [5] Summary by Sections 1. Industry Overview - The report provides insights into macroeconomic indicators, including the U.S. core PCE price index and unemployment claims, which align with expectations [9] - Key announcements include Zijin Mining's completion of the second phase of the Jilong Copper Mine, significantly increasing its production capacity [10] 2. Market Performance - The non-ferrous metals sector outperformed the Shanghai Composite Index, with a weekly increase of 6.03% compared to the index's 0.84% rise [11] - The report lists the top-performing stocks in the sector, highlighting significant movements in various sub-sectors [11] 3. Valuation Changes - The report notes that the TTM PE for the non-ferrous metals sector is 33.82, with a change of 1.79, while the PB is 4.18, reflecting a significant premium over the broader market [20][23]
避险情绪持续升温,金银引领商品价格大涨
Guolian Minsheng Securities· 2026-01-25 08:29
有色金属周报 20260125 避险情绪持续升温,金银引领商品价格大涨 glmszqdatemark 重点公司盈利预测、估值与评级 | 代码 | 简称 | 股价(元) | | EPS(元) | | | PE(X) | | 评级 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | | | 601899.SH | 紫金矿业 | 37.56 | 1.21 | 2.00 | 2.71 | 31 | 19 | 14 | 推荐 | | 603993.SH | 洛阳钼业 | 22.76 | 0.63 | 0.88 | 1.29 | 36 | 26 | 18 | 推荐 | | 000807.SZ | 云铝股份 | 32.64 | 1.27 | 1.94 | 2.31 | 26 | 17 | 14 | 推荐 | | 603799.SH | 华友钴业 | 78.65 | 2.50 | 3.15 | 4.17 | 31 | 25 | 19 | 推 ...
长江新能源产业混合型A:2025年第四季度利润1224.32万元 净值增长率10.18%
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-24 08:44
AI基金长江新能源产业混合型A(011446)披露2025年四季报,第四季度基金利润1224.32万元,加权平均基金份额本期利润0.1594元。报告期内,基金净值 增长率为10.18%,截至四季度末,基金规模为1.23亿元。 该基金属于偏股混合型基金。截至1月21日,单位净值为1.932元。基金经理是张剑鑫,目前管理的2只基金近一年均为正收益。其中,截至1月21日,长江新 能源产业混合型A近一年复权单位净值增长率最高,达76.8%;长江新兴产业混合型发起式A最低,为68.58%。 基金管理人在四季报中表示,报告期内,本基金聚焦于新能源产业及其上下游,结合不同细分产业环节所处的阶段和变化趋势,寻找产业供需反转、景气向 上的机会,以及新能源产业内新兴技术、新材料的应用机会。后续,我们将继续持续跟踪与寻找上述方向上的投资机会,同时也积极关注相对滞涨板块中供 需变化、技术升级带来的机会。 截至1月21日,长江新能源产业混合型A近三个月复权单位净值增长率为27.27%,位于同类可比基金7/621;近半年复权单位净值增长率为59.78%,位于同类 可比基金27/621;近一年复权单位净值增长率为76.80%,位于同类可比 ...
钢铁股拉升,酒钢宏兴、武进不锈涨停
Ge Long Hui· 2026-01-23 06:05
1月23日,A股市场钢铁股午后涨幅扩大,其中,酒钢宏兴、武进不锈拉升10CM涨停,大中矿业涨超 7%,抚顺特钢、永兴材料涨超6%,三钢闽光、沙钢股份、盛德鑫泰涨超4%, | 代码 | 名称 | | 涨幅% ↓ | 总市值 | 年初至今涨幅% | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 600307 | 酒钢宏兴 | 1 | 10.11 | 130亿 | 25.45 | | 603878 | 武进不锈 | 米 | 10.05 | 50.39亿 | -3.02 | | 001203 | 大中矿业 | 1 | 7.80 | 498亿 | 6.00 | | 600399 | 抚顺特钢 | 1 | 6.16 | 139亿 | 21.06 | | 002756 | 永兴材料 | 1 | 6.11 | 300亿 | 2.69 | | 002110 | 三钢闽光 | -06 | 4.73 | 113亿 | 5.92 | | 002075 | 沙钢股份 | 1 | 4.19 | 136亿 | 8.17 | | 300881 | 盛德鑫泰 | | 4.18 | 45.83 乙 | 23.0 ...
A股钢铁股拉升,酒钢宏兴、武进不锈涨停
Ge Long Hui· 2026-01-23 06:04
格隆汇1月23日|A股市场钢铁股午后涨幅扩大,其中,酒钢宏兴、武进不锈拉升10CM涨停,大中矿业 涨超7%,抚顺特钢、永兴材料涨超6%,三钢闽光、沙钢股份、盛德鑫泰涨超4%, ...
锂矿股走强,赣锋锂业、金圆股份涨超4%
Ge Long Hui· 2026-01-23 03:40
Group 1 - The A-share market saw a strong performance in lithium mining stocks, with notable gains from companies such as Chuaneng Power, which rose over 7%, and Tibet Summit and Guocheng Mining, which increased by over 6% [1] - The main contract for lithium carbonate surged by more than 5%, reaching a new high of 178,000 yuan per ton [1] Group 2 - Chuaneng Power's stock increased by 7.72%, with a total market capitalization of 25.8 billion yuan and a year-to-date increase of 19.83% [2] - Tibet Summit's stock rose by 6.47%, with a market cap of 19 billion yuan and a year-to-date increase of 37.83% [2] - Guocheng Mining's stock increased by 6.38%, with a market cap of 34.6 billion yuan and a year-to-date increase of 5.00% [2] - Other notable performers include Dazhong Mining (up 5.37%), Yiyaton (up 5.36%), and Ganfeng Lithium (up 4.54%) [2]
A股锂矿股走强,赣锋锂业、金圆股份涨超4%
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2026-01-23 03:33
格隆汇1月23日|A股市场锂矿股走强,其中,川能动力涨超7%,西藏珠峰、国城矿业(维权)涨超 6%,大中矿业、怡亚通涨超5%,赣锋锂业、永兴材料、奥联电子(维权)、金圆股份(维权)涨超 4%,德方纳米、新迅达(维权)、江特电机、西部矿业、华友钻业、融捷股份涨超3%。消息面上,碳 酸锂主力合约一度涨超5%,报178000元/吨,创阶段新高。 | 代码 | 名称 | | 涨幅% ↓ | 总市值 | 年初至今涨幅% | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 000155 | 川能动力 | | 7.72 | 258亿 | 19.83 | | 600338 | 西藏珠峰 | | 6.47 | 190亿 | 37.83 | | 000688 | 国城矿业 | 1 | 6.38 | 346亿 | 5.00 | | 001203 | 大中矿业 | | 5.37 | 487亿 | 3.62 | | 002183 | 怡亚通 | 4 | 5.36 | 153亿 | 23.95 | | 002460 | 赣锋锂业 | 1 | 4.54 | 1531亿 | 16.11 | | 002756 ...
天津市普瑞矿业有限公司成立,注册资本30000万人民币
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-23 03:31
天眼查显示,近日,天津市普瑞矿业有限公司成立,法定代表人为徐凤,注册资本30000万人民币,由 永兴特种材料科技股份有限公司全资持股。 企业名称天津市普瑞矿业有限公司法定代表人徐凤注册资本30000万人民币国标行业租赁和商务服务业 >商务服务业>综合管理服务地址天津自贸试验区(空港经济区)西三道158号5幢902-B(天津信至嘉商务秘 书有限公司托管第1497号)企业类型有限责任公司(法人独资)营业期限2026-1-22至无固定期限登记机关 中国(天津)自由贸易试验区市场监督管理局 序号股东名称持股比例1永兴特种材料科技股份有限公司100% 经营范围含金属矿石销售;贸易经纪;国内贸易代理;货物进出口;技术进出口;进出口代理;企业管 理咨询;信息咨询服务(不含许可类信息咨询服务);矿山机械销售。(除依法须经批准的项目外,凭 营业执照依法自主开展经营活动) 来源:市场资讯 ...
稀有金属ETF基金(561800)盘中最高涨超2%,成分股西部材料10cm涨停,稀有金属供需格局正加速重构
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-23 03:07
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the strong performance and upward trends in the rare metals market, driven by increasing demand and supply constraints [1][2][3] Group 2 - As of January 23, 2026, the CSI Rare Metals Theme Index (930632) rose by 1.28%, with key stocks like Western Materials hitting the daily limit up and others like Chuaneng Power and Zhuhai Group also showing significant gains [1] - The top ten weighted stocks in the CSI Rare Metals Theme Index accounted for 59.54% of the index, with companies such as Luoyang Molybdenum, Northern Rare Earth, and Ganfeng Lithium leading the list [1] - The rare metals ETF fund (561800) saw a 1.41% increase, with a maximum intraday rise exceeding 2%, and recorded a turnover rate of 6.48% with total transactions of 14.6183 million yuan [1] - The price of battery-grade lithium carbonate increased by 4,000 yuan to 152,500 yuan per ton on January 20, 2026, reflecting a more than 28% rebound from the year's low, driven by surging storage demand and supply constraints [2] - New energy storage technologies are expanding rapidly, with lithium battery shipments in China reaching 430 GWh in the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 99.07% [2] - The supply-demand dynamics for rare metals are undergoing significant changes, with tungsten concentrate prices rising by 4.3% week-on-week to 507,000 yuan per ton, and prices for praseodymium-neodymium oxide and dysprosium oxide also increasing [3] - The CS Rare Metals Index, tracked by the rare metals ETF fund, is one of the highest in energy metal content, particularly lithium and cobalt, and is expected to benefit from ongoing market trends [3]