FF301 股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | H | | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 03866 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 2,291,945,474 | RMB | | | 1 RMB | | 2,291,945,474 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | | | | | RMB | | | | 本月底結存 | | | 2,291,945,474 | RMB | | | 1 RMB | | 2,291,945,474 | | 2. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | A | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 否 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- ...

Core Insights - The recent disclosure evaluation results for listed banks in China for the 2024-2025 period show that all listed banks received ratings of B or above, with 22 banks rated A, indicating a strong performance in information disclosure [1] Summary by Category Overall Ratings - All listed banks achieved a rating of B or higher, with 22 banks rated A, reflecting consistent performance compared to the previous year [1] - Only six banks experienced rating changes, with five banks improving their ratings and one bank, Shanghai Bank, experiencing a downgrade [1] Banks with Rating Changes - The following banks improved their ratings: - Zhangjiagang Bank - Hangzhou Bank - Huaxia Bank - Everbright Bank - Zhejiang Commercial Bank [1] - Shanghai Bank was the only bank to see a downgrade in its rating [1] Detailed Ratings - A selection of banks and their ratings includes: - Ping An Bank: A - Ningbo Bank: A - Agricultural Bank of China: A - Industrial and Commercial Bank of China: A - Shanghai Bank: B (downgraded) [2]

Investment Rating - The report indicates a cautious outlook on the credit growth rate, suggesting a shift towards quality improvement, with expectations for a recovery in corporate loan increments by 2026 [5][9]. Core Insights - Credit growth is expected to slow significantly starting in 2024, but the decline in growth rate is anticipated to moderate by 2026, with corporate loans likely to see a year-on-year increase [7][9]. - The relationship between credit growth and economic growth is weakening, emphasizing the need to optimize credit structure and reduce idle financial resources [9]. - The report highlights that the banking sector's total asset growth will outpace loan growth in 2025, driven by government bond supply and fiscal policies [9]. Summary by Sections Credit Growth Forecast - New RMB loans are projected at 21.3 trillion, 23.6 trillion, and 18.9 trillion yuan for 2022, 2023, and 2024 respectively, with a further estimate of 14.7 trillion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025 [9]. - For 2026, new loans are expected to be between 17.2 trillion and 17.7 trillion yuan, corresponding to a growth rate of 6.3% to 6.5% [9]. Loan Composition - In 2023, the total RMB loans are expected to reach 237.59 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 10.6% [8]. - Retail loans are projected to grow from 80.10 trillion yuan in 2023 to 82.84 trillion yuan in 2024, reflecting a growth rate decline from 5.7% to 3.4% [8]. - Corporate loans are anticipated to increase from 157.07 trillion yuan in 2023 to 171.01 trillion yuan in 2024, with a growth rate of 12.7% [8]. Regional Performance - Regions such as Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Sichuan, and Shandong are expected to continue outperforming the national average in loan growth due to strong economic performance and support from new policy financial tools [12]. Banking Sector Dynamics - The report notes that state-owned banks are expected to maintain a competitive edge due to lower funding costs and capital injections from the Ministry of Finance [12]. - The net interest margin is in a downward trend, but the rate of decline is expected to slow starting in 2025, with some smaller banks potentially stabilizing their margins by 2026 [13][17]. Asset Quality - As of Q2 2025, the non-performing loan (NPL) ratio for listed banks is reported at 1.25%, indicating a stable asset quality despite pressures on retail credit [37]. - The report emphasizes that while retail loan NPLs have increased since 2021, corporate loan clearances have improved significantly, providing a buffer against retail risks [37].

Core Viewpoint - The volatility in the bond market and the narrowing net interest margin have pressured the revenue of several listed banks in the first three quarters of this year, leading to a gradual decline in the benefits from the "bond bull" market [1][2] Group 1: Revenue Impact - Many listed banks have faced revenue pressure due to bond market fluctuations and a slowdown in credit expansion, with investment income becoming a crucial support for profits [2][3] - As of the end of Q3 2025, 24 out of 42 listed banks reported a year-on-year decline in non-interest income, and 8 banks saw a drop in net investment income [2] - Notably, China Merchants Bank reported a significant loss of 8.827 billion yuan in fair value changes, with a quarterly loss of 4.008 billion yuan in Q3 alone [2][3] Group 2: Strategies to Mitigate Losses - Some banks have managed to achieve year-on-year growth in investment income by actively selling bonds to lock in floating profits during high market conditions [4] - For instance, China Construction Bank's investment net income increased by 150.55%, while several other banks reported over 70% growth in investment income [4] - The strategy of "selling bonds to realize floating profits" is based on the classification of financial assets, where certain assets can confirm investment income upon sale [4] Group 3: Future Outlook and Adjustments - Analysts suggest that the sustainability of the "selling bonds to supplement profits" strategy will decline as previously accumulated floating profits are exhausted [5] - The People's Bank of China has signaled a return to government bond trading operations, which is expected to enhance monetary policy flexibility and stabilize market expectations [6] - As the bond market enters a low-volatility phase, banks are shifting their investment strategies from relying solely on interest margin gains to enhancing active trading and risk management capabilities [7]

Core Viewpoint - The volatility in the bond market and the narrowing net interest margin have pressured the revenue of several listed banks in the first three quarters of the year, leading to a gradual decline in the benefits from the "bond bull" market [1][2]. Group 1: Revenue Impact - Many listed banks have faced revenue pressure due to bond market fluctuations and a slowdown in credit expansion, with investment income becoming a crucial support for profits [2][3]. - As of the end of Q3 2025, 24 out of 42 listed banks reported a year-on-year decline in non-interest income, and 8 banks saw a drop in net investment income [2]. - Notably, China Merchants Bank reported a loss of 8.827 billion yuan in fair value changes, with a quarterly loss of 4.008 billion yuan in Q3 alone [2][3]. Group 2: Strategies to Mitigate Losses - Some banks have managed to achieve year-on-year growth in investment income by actively selling bonds to lock in profits during high market conditions [4]. - For instance, China Construction Bank's investment net income increased by 150.55%, while several other banks also reported over 70% growth in investment income [4]. - The strategy of "selling bonds to realize floating profits" is based on the classification of financial assets, where certain assets can confirm investment income upon sale [4]. Group 3: Future Outlook and Adjustments - Analysts suggest that the sustainability of the "selling bonds to supplement profits" strategy will decline as previously accumulated floating profits are exhausted [5]. - The People's Bank of China has signaled a return to government bond trading operations, which is expected to enhance monetary policy flexibility and stabilize market expectations [6]. - As the bond market enters a low-volatility phase, banks are shifting their investment strategies from relying solely on interest margin gains to enhancing active trading and risk management capabilities [7].

Core Insights - The performance of A-share listed banks in the third quarter of 2025 shows significant differentiation among small and medium-sized banks, with city commercial banks leading, rural commercial banks in the middle, and joint-stock banks under pressure [1] Group 1: City Commercial Banks - City commercial banks have demonstrated outstanding performance, with 14 out of 17 banks reporting year-on-year revenue growth and 16 reporting net profit growth [2] - Chongqing Bank reported the highest performance, achieving revenue of 11.74 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.4%, and a net profit of 4.879 billion yuan, up 10.19% [2] - Other banks like Qingdao Bank, Nanjing Bank, and Ningbo Bank also showed steady growth, with Qingdao Bank's revenue at 11.013 billion yuan (5.03% increase) and net profit at 3.992 billion yuan (15.54% increase) [2] Group 2: Rural Commercial Banks - Most rural commercial banks also reported increases in both revenue and net profit, but the growth rates were relatively moderate, with most banks showing single-digit growth [3] - A few rural banks achieved double-digit growth, contrasting with the performance of city commercial banks [3] Group 3: Joint-Stock Banks - Joint-stock banks faced a decline in both revenue and net profit, although the rate of decline has narrowed compared to the first half of the year, indicating signs of stabilization [3] - For instance, Ping An Bank reported revenue of 100.668 billion yuan, down 9.8%, and net profit of 38.339 billion yuan, down 3.5%, with declines narrowing by 0.2 and 0.4 percentage points respectively [3] Group 4: Asset Quality - The overall asset quality of small and medium-sized banks has improved, with non-performing loan ratios remaining low [4] - Specific banks like Wuxi Rural Commercial Bank and Nanjing Bank maintained non-performing loan ratios of 0.78% and 0.83% respectively, while Chongqing Bank's ratio decreased to 1.14% [4] - Factors contributing to the improvement in asset quality include enhanced risk management, focused regional market strategies, and effective macroeconomic policies [4]

Core Viewpoint - Qingdao Bank, established in 1996 and listed in 2019, is a competitive regional bank in Shandong province, offering diversified financial services [1] Financial Performance - As of Q3 2025, Qingdao Bank reported revenue of 11.013 billion yuan, ranking 10th among 17 banks in the industry, with the industry leader, Jiangsu Bank, at 67.183 billion yuan [2] - The net profit for the same period was 4.125 billion yuan, placing it 11th in the industry, with Jiangsu Bank leading at 31.895 billion yuan [2] Financial Ratios - The asset-liability ratio for Qingdao Bank in Q3 2025 was 93.84%, higher than the industry average of 92.63% [3] - The gross profit margin was 42.57%, which is below the industry average of 45.51% but improved from 39.97% in the previous year [3] Executive Compensation - Chairman Jing Zailun's compensation for 2024 was 2.4978 million yuan, a decrease of 26,100 yuan from 2023 [4] Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, the number of A-share shareholders decreased by 9.96% to 45,900, while the average number of circulating A-shares held per shareholder increased by 11.06% to 67,800 [5] - The bank's revenue growth rate was 5.0% and net profit growth rate was 15.5% for the first three quarters of 2025, with notable increases in net interest income and corporate loans [5] Business Highlights - Key business highlights include a 12.0% increase in net interest income, a 14.6% growth in corporate loans, and a reduction in the non-performing loan ratio to 1.10% with a provision coverage ratio of 270% [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Qingdao Bank [9]. Core Insights - Qingdao Bank's revenue growth for the first three quarters is 5.0%, while net profit attributable to shareholders grows at 15.5%, indicating sustained high profit growth. Net interest income increases by 12.0%, primarily driven by rapid credit expansion. Non-interest income declines by 10.7%, mainly due to a weak bond market in the third quarter. Total assets grow by 11.0% compared to the beginning of the year, with loans increasing by 10.2%, and corporate loans rising significantly by 14.6% [2][6]. Summary by Relevant Sections Performance - Interest income remains robust, with net interest income up 12.0% year-on-year. The third quarter shows a high growth of 11.6%. Non-interest income declines by 10.7%, largely due to weak bond market performance, with investment income and other non-interest income down 15.5%. The cost-to-income ratio and tax expenses have decreased significantly, supporting high profit growth [2][6][12]. Scale - The asset-liability structure is improving, with total assets increasing by 11.0% and loans by 10.2% year-to-date. Corporate credit has surged by 14.6%, primarily directed towards manufacturing and retail sectors. Retail loans have decreased by 4.6% due to a strategic tightening of credit standards. Overall, credit growth is expected to stabilize around 11% for the year, mainly driven by corporate lending [2][6][12]. Interest Margin - The focus is on enhancing efficiency, with net interest margin significantly outperforming peers since 2023. The third quarter's net interest margin decreased by 5 basis points to 1.68%. The yield on loans is expected to remain in a downward trend, with the average yield on interest-earning assets dropping by 9 basis points to 3.55% [2][6][12]. Asset Quality - Loan quality is steadily improving, reaching the best level since the bank's listing. The non-performing loan ratio decreased to 1.10%, down 2 basis points from the previous quarter and 4 basis points from the beginning of the year. The coverage ratio for provisions has significantly improved to 270%, up 17 percentage points [2][6][12]. Investment Recommendation - The report highlights sustained high profit growth and steady improvement in asset quality, validating the logic of enhancing quality and efficiency in the bank's three-year strategic plan. The major shareholder, Guoxin Group, plans to significantly increase its stake, reflecting strong confidence in the bank's long-term value. Current valuations indicate significant room for recovery, with PB ratios at 0.72x/0.56x and PE ratios at 6.2x/4.8x [2][6][12].

Core Insights - Qingdao Bank reported a revenue of 11.013 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 5.03% and a net profit of 3.992 billion yuan, up 15.54% year-on-year [1] - The bank's total assets reached 765.571 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14.44%, with loans totaling 375.298 billion yuan, growing 13.34% year-on-year [1][2] - Non-interest income decreased by 10.72% year-on-year to 2.874 billion yuan, primarily due to fair value changes [3] Financial Performance - Interest income for the first three quarters of 2025 was 8.139 billion yuan, a 12.00% increase year-on-year, despite a decline in net interest margin to 1.68% [2] - The bank's non-performing loan ratio improved to 1.10%, down 4 basis points from the end of 2024, indicating a positive trend in asset quality [3] - The provision coverage ratio increased to 269.97%, reflecting a stronger safety margin [3] Strategic Focus - Qingdao Bank is focusing on expanding loans in key sectors such as green finance, blue economy, and rural revitalization, while enhancing the quality of liabilities [1][2] - The bank is actively managing its liability structure and costs, leading to a steady growth in both corporate and personal deposits [1] Future Outlook - The bank is expected to maintain strong profit growth, with projected net profit growth rates of 19.5%, 18.52%, and 19.98% for 2025-2027 [4] - Earnings per share (EPS) forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 0.88 yuan, 1.04 yuan, and 1.24 yuan, respectively [4]

Core Insights - Qingdao Bank reported a revenue growth of 5.0% year-on-year in Q3 2025, compared to 8.8% in the first half of 2025, while net profit increased by 15.5% year-on-year, slightly down from 16.1% in 1H 2025 [1] - The bank's net interest margin showed resilience, with a slight decrease of 2 basis points to 1.66% in Q3 2025, while the annualized asset yield decreased by 4 basis points to 3.52% [1] - The bank's loan growth remained robust, with total loans increasing by 13.3% year-on-year, driven primarily by corporate loans, which grew by 19%, while retail loans faced a decline of 4.8% [1] Revenue and Profitability - Q3 2025 revenue growth was impacted by fluctuations in the bond market, leading to pressure on other non-interest income, which declined by 10.7% year-on-year [2] - The bank's fee income showed signs of recovery, with a year-on-year decline of only 3.5% in Q3 2025, compared to a 13.4% decline in 1H 2025 [3] Asset Quality - The non-performing loan (NPL) ratio slightly decreased to 1.10% in Q3 2025, with a year-on-year decline in the NPL generation rate by 20 basis points [3] - The provision coverage ratio improved, rising by 17.2 percentage points to 269.99% in Q3 2025, indicating a strengthening of the bank's asset quality [3] Capital and Valuation - The core Tier 1 capital adequacy ratio decreased by 30 basis points to 8.75% [4] - The bank's projected price-to-book (PB) ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 0.77X, 0.55X, and 0.51X, respectively, while the price-to-earnings (PE) ratios are projected at 6.16X, 5.55X, and 5.04X [4] - The bank is expected to maintain favorable growth in credit and performance, leveraging its roots in Qingdao and the economic dynamics of Shandong [4]