*免责声明：文章内容仅供参考，不构成投资建议 *风险提示：股市有风险，入市需谨慎 超捷股份：公司为商业火箭箭体结构件制造，包括箭体大部段(壳段)，整流罩，燃料贮箱，发动机阀门 等，客户有蓝箭航天，天兵科技，中科宇航等国内头部民营商业航天企业。 东方日升：公司的p型超薄HJT电池产品适配卷迭式卫星太阳翼，在欧洲及北美地区已有小批量成功交 付。 据央视新闻1月29日报道，从中国航天科技集团获悉，未来集团将实施商业运载能力提升工程，就是要 研制具备国际竞争力的商业运载火箭，实现航班化运输。可重复使用商业火箭方面，形成近地轨道20吨 级重复使用状态运载能力，实现重复使用火箭规模化，商业化成熟应用。重型运载火箭方面，完成重型 运载火箭研制和相关重复使用试验，具备近地轨道百吨级入轨能力。 东吴证券认为，长期以来，我国商业航天的核心痛点在于"星多箭少"，即海量卫星组网需求受制于极度 稀缺的投送能力。步入2026年，行业将迎来技术闭环、订单释放与资本溢价的多重共振。随着长征十号 甲，朱雀三号遥二等可回收火箭进入密集首飞期，叠加 SpaceX星舰V3于2026Q1的试飞，中国商业航天 正进入"加速追赶"的战略快车道，确立了其作 ...

Core Viewpoint - The energy storage industry is experiencing significant differentiation among listed companies, with most companies forecasting profitability for 2025, while only one company, 东方日升, is expected to incur losses due to price pressures in the photovoltaic supply chain [2] Group 1: Tesla - Tesla's energy business achieved a gross profit of $12.8 billion in 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 26.6%, driven by strong demand for its Megapack and Powerwall products [3] - The company anticipates further growth in energy deployment with the introduction of new products, although management warns of potential short-term profit margin pressures due to increased competition and policy uncertainties [3] Group 2: 南网储能 - 南网储能 expects a net profit of between 1.667 billion and 1.727 billion yuan for 2025, marking an increase of approximately 5.41 billion to 6.01 billion yuan compared to the previous year, with a year-on-year growth rate of 47.98% to 53.31% [4] - The company is also expanding its project portfolio, including a 720MW/1440MWh battery storage project set to be operational by mid-2026 [6] Group 3: 智光电气 - 智光电气 forecasts a turnaround with a net profit of 110 million to 160 million yuan for 2025, a significant increase of 133.69% to 149.01% compared to a loss of 326 million yuan in the previous year [7] - The growth is attributed to rapid development in the energy storage sector and improved performance of independent energy storage stations [7][9] Group 4: 远东股份 - 远东股份 anticipates a net profit of 45 million to 65 million yuan for 2025, indicating a turnaround from previous losses, driven by improvements in its smart battery business [10] - The company plans to expand its core technology products and services related to energy and AI [10] Group 5: 东方日升 - 东方日升 expects a loss of between 2.3 billion and 2.9 billion yuan for 2025, primarily due to challenges in the industry cycle [11] - The company aims to enhance its value proposition through integrated solutions in the photovoltaic and energy storage sectors [11] Group 6: 新特电气 - 新特电气 projects a net profit of 40 million to 50 million yuan for 2025, recovering from a loss of 48.51 million yuan in the previous year, driven by growth in its energy storage business [12] - The company is leveraging its expertise in special transformers to expand into energy storage system integration [12] Group 7: 赣锋锂业 - 赣锋锂业 forecasts a net profit of 1.1 billion to 1.65 billion yuan for 2025, recovering from a loss of 2.074 billion yuan, largely due to gains from stock price increases and strategic investments [13] - However, the company still anticipates losses when excluding non-recurring items, indicating ongoing challenges in its core lithium product business [13] Group 8: 多氟多 - 多氟多 expects a net profit of 200 million to 280 million yuan for 2025, recovering from a loss of 308 million yuan, driven by increased demand in the energy storage and electric vehicle markets [14] - The company is actively promoting its battery products for energy storage applications and has achieved significant production capacity [14]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the commercial aerospace industry, indicating a positive outlook for the sector in the coming months [1]. Core Insights - The commercial aerospace industry is expected to undergo a significant transformation by 2026, driven by advancements in launch capabilities and the successful deployment of domestic rockets, which will remove previous constraints on industry growth [8][9]. - The competition in commercial aerospace is fundamentally a "land grab" for space sovereignty and resource allocation, emphasizing the need for increased launch frequency to secure China's position in low Earth orbit [10]. - The report highlights the strategic importance of commercial aerospace in national defense and resource acquisition, particularly in the context of lunar resources like Helium-3, which could reshape global energy dynamics [12]. - Key catalysts for the industry include domestic policy support and capital market developments, with significant IPOs expected from leading aerospace companies in 2026 [13][15]. Summary by Sections 1. Why has the domestic commercial aerospace industry reached a qualitative change? - The industry has transitioned from a limited payload capacity to a robust launch capability, marked by the successful launch of the Zhuque-3 rocket, which signifies a shift from speculative themes to a narrative driven by operational capacity [8]. 2. How to understand the importance of commercial aerospace? - The scarcity of low Earth orbit resources has made the commercial aerospace race a critical national strategy, with the need to enhance launch frequency to secure space assets and maintain competitive advantages [10][11]. 3. What subsequent catalysts are worth paying attention to in commercial aerospace? 3.1. Domestic: Accelerated release of policy and capital dividends - The report anticipates significant policy support and capital market activity, with major aerospace companies expected to enter the IPO market in 2026, reflecting the strategic importance of the sector [13]. 3.2. International: Clear policy framework and tight planning timeline - The U.S. has shifted from a public to a private ownership model for space resources, establishing a legal framework that encourages commercial investment in space resource development [15][16]. 4. Investment Recommendations 4.1. SpaceX Concept - Companies that could potentially enter the SpaceX supply chain are highlighted, indicating a strong future in commercial aerospace [17]. 4.2. Rocket Sector: "Many Stars, Few Rockets" Expected to Breakthrough - The report suggests that advancements in large-capacity reusable rocket technology will lead to significant changes and valuation adjustments in the sector [19]. 4.3. Satellite Sector: Certainty in Implementation - The urgency to secure low Earth orbit resources is driving domestic satellite constellations from planning to large-scale deployment [20]. 4.4. Space Computing and Space Photovoltaics: Next-Generation Core Tracks - The report identifies space computing and space photovoltaics as critical future sectors, emphasizing their role in supporting lunar economies and global intelligence ecosystems [22].

1月27日晚，东方日升（300118.SZ）发布2025年业绩预告，预计2025年全年归属于上市公司股东的净亏 损为23亿—29亿元；预计2025年全年归属于上市公司股东的扣除非经常性损益的净亏损为26亿—32亿 元。 过去一年，东方日升试图从"以组件为主"向"光储协同"战略转型，但期间遭遇了组件业务持续亏损、高 层变动、储能业务不及预期等多重问题，其业绩下滑在预期之内。 相比之下，HJT技术虽然在电站全生命周期发电量方面表现突出——其高转换效率、低光致衰减率及优 异双面发电特性，能够有效降低平准化度电成本，但现阶段生产成本仍高于TOPCon。这主要源于两大 不过，就在近期，随着SpaceX星链计划等商业航天项目的推进，太空光伏概念爆火，拥有异质结 （HJT）技术的东方日升股价在1月23日、26日收盘价格涨幅偏离值累计超过30%。公司在异动公告中 紧急澄清，直言"商业航天、太空光伏应用场景尚处于探索阶段，产业化进程仍面临不确定性"，并明确 表示"公司光伏产品未直接向商业航天卫星公司供货"。这份澄清，犹如一盆冷水，试图浇灭市场无端的 热情。1月27日，其收盘价22.93元/股，涨幅1.82%，总市值261亿元。 ...

| 代码 | 名称 | | 涨幅% ↑ | 总市值 | 年初至今涨幅%。 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 300118 | 东方日升 | 1 | -7.33 | 242亿 | 44.95 | | 603806 | 福斯特 | | -5.34 | 463亿 | 27.08 | | 002865 | 钧达股份 | 1 | -5.08 | 289亿 | 80.97 | | 002506 | 协鑫集成 | 1 | -4.61 | 206亿 | 25.71 | | 688599 | 天合光能 | 长 | -4.53 | 464亿 | 19.58 | | 605117 | 德业股份 | 1 | -4.40 | 820亿 | 4.64 | | 600537 | 亿闘米甲 | | -4.14 | 38.35亿 | -22.12 | | 300274 | 阳光电源 | 1 | -4.01 | 3148亿 | -11.23 | | 300554 | 三超新材 | 报 | -3.80 | 29.51亿 | 11.43 | | 603398 | *ST沐邦 | | -3.10 | ...

1月28日，东方日升跌5.36%，截至发稿，报21.70元/股，成交22.17亿元，换手率10.73%，总市值247.38 亿元。 资料显示，东方日升新能源股份有限公司位于浙江省宁波市宁海县梅林街道塔山工业园区，成立日期 2002年12月2日，上市日期2010年9月2日，公司主营业务涉及销售、生产太阳能电池组件、EVA胶膜、 太阳能电池片、太阳能系统等光伏制造产品以及太阳能电站的投资、建设和运营。主营业务收入构成 为：太阳能电池及组件51.12%，太阳能电站EPC与转让35.49%，储能系统、灯具及辅助光伏产品 6.39%，光伏电站电费收入3.90%，其他3.10%。 天弘中证光伏A（011102）基金经理为祁世超。 截至发稿，祁世超累计任职时间1年7天，现任基金资产总规模325.69亿元，任职期间最佳基金回报 74.55%， 任职期间最差基金回报12.99%。 声明：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。 本文基于第三方数据库自动发布，任何在本文出现的信息（包括但 不限于个股、评论、预测、图表、指标、理论、任何形式的表述等）均只作为参考，不构成个人投资建 议。受限于第三方数据库质量等问题，我们无法对数据的真实性及完整性进 ...

1月27日，沪指涨0.18%，深成指涨0.09%，创业板指涨0.71%。全市场成交额2.92万亿元，较前一交易日缩量3592亿元， 超3400股下跌。贵金属、培育钻石、光伏设备、保险、CPO等板块涨幅靠前。 龙虎榜单日净买入额前三为平潭发展、东芯股份、华天科技，分别为9.31亿元、7.82亿元、6.14亿元。 龙虎榜单日净卖出额前三为中国铀业、东方日升、红宝丽，分别为4.38亿元、3.94亿元、2.52亿元。 龙虎榜中涉及机构专用席位的个股中，单日净买入额前三为宏景科技、协鑫集成、晓程科技，分别为2.31亿元、2.18亿 元、1.42亿元。 龙虎榜中涉及机构专用席位的个股中，单日净卖出额前三为中国铀业、拉普拉斯、天奇股份，分别为3.40亿元、2.45亿 元、1.89亿元。 个股方面，贵金属板块白银有色6连板、四川黄金9天5板、招金黄金7天4板、湖南黄金2连板，太空光伏概念股拓日新能 10天5板，AI应用端的天地在线7天4板。 下面我们来看下今日龙虎榜情况： 部分榜单个股题材： 平潭发展(福建自贸区+林木主业+菌草纤维板) 1、据2025年4月25日年度报告，公司注册地位于平潭综合实验区，国务院批准的《平潭综合 ...

点评：针对近期市场热议的"商业航天""太空光伏"概念，公司明确澄清：相关应用尚处于探索阶段，产 业化面临不确定性;且公司光伏产品未直接向商业航天卫星公司供货，主营业务仍聚焦光伏组件及储 能。公司提醒投资者理性判断，注意概念炒作风险。 点评：受近期市场对"太空光伏"概念关注度攀升影响，板块热度较高。公司重申主营为光伏电池生产设 备，提示投资者警惕市场热度对公司业务拓展预期的影响，理性投资。 NO.1东方日升：光伏产品未直接向商业航天卫星公司供货 NO.3钧达股份：公司近期布局的领域目前仍处于技术探索阶段 1月26日，东方日升公告称，公司股票交易价格连续两个交易日收盘价格涨幅偏离值累计达到30.10%， 属于股票交易异常波动情形。近期资本市场对"商业航天""太空光伏"等概念关注度较高，相关板块市场 表现较为活跃。截至目前，"商业航天""太空光伏"应用场景尚处于探索阶段，产业化进程仍面临不确定 性，公司主营业务以太阳能电池组件的研发、生产、销售为主，业务亦涵盖了光伏电站EPC、光伏电站 运营、储能领域等，公司光伏产品未直接向商业航天卫星公司供货，请投资者注意理性判断。 NO.2迈为股份：公司在光伏行业的主要产品为太 ...

东方日升今日上涨1.82%，全天换手率32.66%，成交额68.24亿元，振幅13.88%。龙虎榜数据显示，机构 净卖出1.41亿元，深股通净卖出1.42亿元，营业部席位合计净卖出1.10亿元。 深交所公开信息显示，当日该股因日换手率达32.66%上榜，机构专用席位净卖出1.41亿元，深股通净卖 出1.42亿元。 证券时报·数据宝统计显示，上榜的前五大买卖营业部合计成交17.57亿元，其中，买入成交额为6.82亿 元，卖出成交额为10.75亿元，合计净卖出3.94亿元。 具体来看，今日上榜的营业部中，共有4家机构专用席位现身，即买二、买三、买四、买五、卖二、卖 三、卖五，合计买入金额4.17亿元，卖出金额5.58亿元，合计净卖出1.41亿元，深股通为第一大买入营 业部及第一大卖出营业部，买入金额为2.64亿元，卖出金额为4.06亿元，合计净卖出1.42亿元。 东方日升1月27日交易公开信息 | 买/卖 | | 会员营业部名称 | 买入金额（万元） | 卖出金额（万元） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 买一 | 深股通专用 | | 26409.03 | 40615.77 ...

三维通信：共同设立私募股权基金 紫金矿业：拟以280亿元收购联合黄金100%股权 1月27日，紫金矿业(601899)发布公告称，公司控股的紫金黄金国际有限公司拟以44加元/股的价格，收 购在多伦多证券交易所和纽约证券交易所两地上市的Allied Gold Corporation（简称"联合黄金"）全部已 发行的普通股，收购对价共计约55亿加元（约合人民币280亿元）。联合黄金的核心资产包括在产的马 里Sadiola金矿、科特迪瓦金矿综合体（含Bonikro和Agbaou金矿），以及将于2026年下半年建成投产的 埃塞俄比亚Kurmuk金矿。截至2024年底，联合黄金拥有金资源量533吨，平均品位1.48克/吨；联合黄金 2023、2024年分别产金10.7吨、11.1吨；预计2025年产金11.7~12.4吨；依托Sadiola项目改扩建及Kurmuk 项目建成投产，预计2029年产金将提升至25吨。 海科新源：签署长期合作协议 1月27日，海科新源(301292)发布公告称，公司与深圳市比亚迪锂电池有限公司（简称"比亚迪锂电 池"）签署长期合作协议暨湖北项目管输合作协议，协议有效期三年，在协议有效期内，海 ...