| 证券代码：300454 | 证券简称：深信服 | 公告编号：2025-065 | | --- | --- | --- | | 债券代码：123210 | 债券简称：信服转债 | | 深信服科技股份有限公司 关于 2025 年第三季度可转换公司债券 转股情况的公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整，没有虚假 记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 重要提示： 1、"信服转债"（债券代码：123210）的转股期限为 2024 年 2 月 2 日至 2029 年 7 月 26 日；"信服转债"最新的转股价格为 110.91 元/股。 2、2025 年第三季度，共有 2,678 张"信服转债"完成转股（票面金额共计 267,800 元），合计转成 2,412 股"深信服"股票（股票代码：300454）。 3、截至 2025 年 9 月 30 日，"信服转债"的债券余额为 12,143,888 张，剩 余票面总金额为 1,214,388,800 元。 根据《深圳证券交易所创业板股票上市规则》的有关规定，深信服科技股份 有限公司（以下简称"公司"）现将 2025 年第三季度可转换公司债券转股及公 司总股 ...

Group 1 - The core point of the news is that 深信服科技股份有限公司 (Deepin Technology Co., Ltd.) experienced a stock decline of 5.05%, with a current share price of 118.71 yuan and a total market capitalization of 500.82 billion yuan [1] - The company, founded on December 25, 2000, and listed on May 16, 2018, specializes in information security, with its main business revenue composition being 47.68% from network security, 46.36% from cloud computing and IT infrastructure, and 5.96% from basic networking and IoT [1] Group 2 - 弘毅远方消费升级混合A (Hongyi Yuanfang Consumption Upgrade Mixed A) fund holds a significant position in 深信服, with 28,000 shares, accounting for 6.68% of the fund's net value, making it the third-largest holding [2] - The fund has a current scale of 12.0353 million, with a year-to-date return of 4.38% and a one-year return of 5.51%, ranking 7050 out of 8166 and 6995 out of 8014 in its category, respectively [2] Group 3 - The fund manager of 弘毅远方消费升级混合A is 章劲, who has a tenure of 19 years and 265 days, with the fund's total asset size at 77.3506 million [3] - During his tenure, the best fund return achieved was 15.55%, while the worst return was -1.53% [3]

Summary of the Conference Call for 深信服 Company Overview - 深信服 operates primarily in the network security (60%-70% of revenue) and cloud computing sectors, with expectations for both to contribute equally by 2025-2026 [2][4] - The company has over 20 years of history, initially focusing on network security before expanding into cloud computing in 2015 [4] Key Insights and Arguments - **Network Security Business**: - Focuses on productization rather than operational services, maintaining a high gross margin of around 80% [5] - Products include VPNs, next-generation firewalls, and situational awareness tools, contributing 7%-8% to total revenue [5] - The business has stabilized and is expected to recover growth through AI-enhanced automated operations [6] - **Cloud Computing Development**: - The company leads the market in hyper-converged infrastructure, particularly benefiting from domestic substitution demand as foreign competitors exit [7] - Achieved nearly 20% growth in the first half of 2024, driven by increased demand from small and medium enterprises [7] - **AI Opportunities**: - 深信服 is well-positioned to leverage AI trends, providing comprehensive solutions for enterprises transitioning to AI, including data preparation, model training, and deployment [8] - The company’s strengths in cloud services and data governance allow it to integrate deeply with both foundational cloud and upper-level AI models [12] - **Financial Performance and Projections**: - Signs of recovery were noted in Q2 2025, with revenue growth, profit turnaround, and improved cash flow [13] - Projected cash flow for 2025 is estimated at 1.3-1.5 billion, with a valuation based on a 30x P/E ratio suggesting a safety margin of approximately 40-45 billion [13] - Long-term conservative valuation could reach 100 billion, significantly driven by cloud computing contributions [13] Additional Important Points - **Market Positioning**: - The company primarily serves mid-tier clients, avoiding direct competition with larger players like Alibaba [12] - **Future Growth Potential**: - If revenue growth reaches 10%-20% in 2026, the valuation could exceed 90 billion, with significant contributions from cloud computing [13] - The overall market sentiment towards the AI industry is positive, allowing for early investment without waiting for 2026 performance [13]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for the computer industry, expecting the industry index to rise more than 5% over the next 3-6 months compared to the benchmark index [15]. Core Insights - The release of DeepSeek V3.2-Exp model is expected to drive the development of the domestic AI ecosystem, showcasing the synergy between domestic chips and large models, which leads to significant improvements in computational efficiency and cost reduction [5]. - The introduction of the DeepSeek Sparse Attention mechanism allows for a substantial enhancement in long text processing efficiency, overcoming traditional computational complexity limitations [5]. - The cost of AI applications is anticipated to decrease significantly, with the DeepSeek API prices reduced by over 50%, making advanced AI models more accessible to developers and businesses [5]. - Investment focus is recommended on domestic chip manufacturers like Cambricon and Hygon, as well as companies within the Huawei supply chain and various AI application firms [5]. Industry Basic Data - The computer industry comprises 337 listed companies with a total market capitalization of approximately 61,619.92 billion and a circulating market capitalization of about 55,710.57 billion [2]. Relative Index Performance - The absolute performance of the computer industry over the past 1 month, 6 months, and 12 months is -1.6%, 24.3%, and 72.1% respectively, while the relative performance is -4.3%, 6.3%, and 47.3% [3].

Group 1 - The A-share market indices continued to rise on September 30, with the technology sector showing strong performance, particularly the AI-focused ETF Huaxia (159381), which saw an intraday increase of over 2% [1] - The National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) announced plans to support various enterprises, including private companies, in participating in the "Artificial Intelligence +" initiative, emphasizing the development of domestic computing power model corpus and increasing support for private enterprises [1] - Tianfeng Securities expressed optimism that 2025 could be a pivotal year for domestic AI infrastructure competition and application development, highlighting ongoing advancements in AI in both China and the U.S. [1] Group 2 - The Huaxia AI ETF (159381) tracks the AI index of the ChiNext board, focusing on leading companies in the AI industry chain, with over 50% weight in optical modules and coverage of domestic software and AI application firms [2] - The ChiNext board has a 20% daily price fluctuation limit, showcasing high growth and elasticity characteristics, with management fees at 0.15% and custody fees at 0.05%, the lowest in its category, facilitating low-cost investment in AI [2]

Core Viewpoint - The digital economy sector is experiencing strong growth, driven by advancements in semiconductor technology, AI demand, and domestic production capabilities [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of September 30, 2025, the CSI Digital Economy Theme Index (931582) rose by 1.28%, with notable gains from stocks such as Zhaoyi Innovation (603986) up 5.85% and Deepin Technology (300454) up 4.19% [1]. - The Digital Economy ETF (560800) increased by 1.11%, with a trading volume of 3.29 million yuan and a turnover rate of 0.46% [1]. - Over the past month, the average daily trading volume of the Digital Economy ETF was 33.59 million yuan [1]. Group 2: Technological Advancements - The Wuhan National Information Optoelectronics Innovation Center achieved a significant breakthrough by launching a fully autonomous 12-inch silicon photonics solution, which has been deployed in over 40 domestic research institutions and enterprises [1]. - Global semiconductor foundry prices are experiencing significant fluctuations, with TSMC's 2nm process pricing up 50% compared to the previous 3nm process, and major players like Samsung and Micron raising DRAM and NAND flash prices by over 30% for certain models [1]. Group 3: Industry Insights - The semiconductor industry is showing robust performance, driven by AI computing demand, domestic substitution logic, and policy support [2]. - The digital chip sector is propelled by AI computing needs, while the semiconductor equipment sector benefits from AI data center demand and deepening domestic substitution [2]. - The CSI Digital Economy Theme Index includes companies involved in digital economy infrastructure and high digitalization applications, reflecting the overall performance of digital economy-related stocks [2]. Group 4: Key Stocks - As of August 29, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the CSI Digital Economy Theme Index accounted for 53.36% of the index, with notable companies including Dongfang Wealth (300059) and Cambricon (688256) [2].

Core Viewpoint - The company announced the establishment of a joint venture named Shanghai YunYue WuJie Technology Co., Ltd. with several partners, indicating a strategic move to expand its business operations in the technology sector [1] Group 1: Investment Details - The board meeting on September 29, 2025, approved the proposal for external investment to set up the joint venture [1] - The registered capital for the new company is set at 10 million yuan [1] - The investment breakdown includes: - Deepin Technology Investment contributing 4 million yuan for a 40% stake - Wanji Technology contributing 3 million yuan for a 30% stake - Huiyun HeRong contributing 2 million yuan for a 20% stake - Ruizhi Investment contributing 1 million yuan for a 10% stake [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the performance of the ChiNext AI ETF (159381), which opened down by 0.97% at 1.632 yuan on September 29 [1] - The major holdings of the ChiNext AI ETF include stocks such as Zhongji Xuchuang, which opened down by 0.87%, and Xinyi Sheng, which fell by 1.04% [1] - The fund's performance benchmark is the ChiNext AI Index return, with a return of 64.43% since its inception on March 14, 2025, and a return of 10.42% over the past month [1] Group 2 - The fund is managed by Huaxia Fund Management Co., Ltd., with the fund manager being Dan Kuan [1] - Other notable stock performances include Tianfu Communication down by 2.21%, Softcom Power up by 1.10%, and Beijing Junzheng up by 2.43% [1] - The article provides a snapshot of the ETF's performance and its key holdings, indicating a mixed performance among its top stocks [1]

Summary of the Conference Call for 深信服 Company Overview - **Company**: 深信服 (Sangfor Technologies) - **Industry**: Cloud Computing, AI, and Cybersecurity Key Financial Metrics - **Revenue**: In the first half of 2025, revenue reached 3.009 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11.16% [2][5] - **Overseas Revenue**: Increased by 35% to 254 million yuan, indicating strong growth potential in international markets [2][5] - **Net Loss**: Reduced to 228 million yuan, with the second quarter marking the first profitable quarter [2][5] - **Future Revenue Projections**: Expected revenues for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 8.424 billion, 9.467 billion, and 10.699 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 12%-13% [4][9] Business Segments - **Cloud Computing**: Grew by 26% in the first half of 2025, nearing 1.4 billion yuan in revenue, becoming a key growth driver [2][3] - **AI Initiatives**: Launched the fourth version of Security GPT, applied in over 400 enterprises, enhancing product competitiveness [2][3][16] - **Cybersecurity**: Maintains a leading position with high market share despite overall industry slowdown; expected stable growth in the next three years [2][19] Strategic Initiatives - **Channel Strategy**: Over 90% of sales are achieved through channel partners, with a focus on diversifying sales models by developing direct sales projects [2][17] - **Cost Control**: Sales and R&D expense ratios have decreased, contributing to improved profitability [4][13][22] Market Trends - **Cybersecurity Industry**: Expected global market growth of 11.92% from 2023 to 2028, with China's growth at 9.2% [14] - **Cloud Computing Industry**: China's cloud computing market is projected to grow significantly faster than the global average, driven by government initiatives [15] Future Outlook - **Profitability Forecast**: Expected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 413 million, 500 million, and 752 million yuan, with growth rates of 109.7%, 42.7%, and 27.7% respectively [4][9] - **Cloud Computing Revenue Growth**: Anticipated growth rates of 25%, 23%, and 20% for 2025, 2026, and 2027 [20] - **International Market Expansion**: Strong growth in overseas markets, particularly in Southeast Asia, with expectations of maintaining a 30-40% growth rate [18] Additional Insights - **AI and Cloud Integration**: The introduction of large models like Deepseek is lowering the cost of AI applications, facilitating rapid growth in AI infrastructure and cloud services [3][20] - **Overall Financial Health**: The company is expected to maintain a strong rating due to diverse growth potential across its business segments and effective cost management [23]

Group 1: Market Outlook - The mid-term upward momentum in the market is expected to continue, with the upcoming 20th Central Committee's Fourth Plenary Session discussing the "14th Five-Year Plan" serving as an important policy window[3] - Investment recommendations focus on sectors benefiting from policy dynamics and industrial prosperity, particularly technology growth (AI, semiconductors, consumer electronics, innovative pharmaceuticals), advanced manufacturing (new energy), and cyclical sectors (non-ferrous metals, building materials)[3] Group 2: Recommended Stocks - Gannee Pharmaceutical (603087.SH): Steady growth in core business with innovative products expanding overseas, total market value of ¥476 billion, PE of 51.7, PB of 4.4[4] - Kailai Pharmaceutical (002821.SZ): Industry recovery with new business driving growth, total market value of ¥397 billion, PE of 37.7, PB of 2.4[13] - Zhuhai Guanyu (688772.SH): Major supplier of consumer batteries, benefiting from partnerships with brands like Apple and Huawei, total market value of ¥274 billion, PE of 61.4, PB of 4.0[20] - Tuojing Technology (688072.SH): Leading in film deposition equipment with significant growth potential, total market value of ¥697 billion, PE of 106.6, PB of 12.9[24] - Haiguang Information (688041.SH): Leading domestic computing power enterprise with substantial growth in H1 2025, total market value of ¥6,227 billion, PE of 273.2, PB of 29.5[32] - Shenxinfeng (300454.SZ): Cloud computing driving revenue growth, achieved profitability in Q2, total market value of ¥521 billion, PE of 92.8, PB of 5.8[37] - Penghui Energy (300438.SZ): Leading position in small-scale energy storage cells, total market value of ¥184 billion, PE of -48.1, PB of 3.7[44] - Mingyang Smart Energy (601615.SH): High demand in offshore wind power, total market value of ¥321 billion, PE of 108.6, PB of 1.2[52] - Xingye Silver Tin (000426.SZ): Strong resource positioning with expected silver price recovery, total market value of ¥482 billion, PE of 33.4, PB of 5.7[55] - Huaxin Cement (600801.SH): Rapid overseas business development with expected domestic price recovery, total market value of ¥332 billion, PE of 13.0, PB of 1.2[62]