Core Viewpoint - Hunan YN Energy (301358) is expected to see a significant increase in net profit for 2025, with projections ranging from 1.15 billion to 1.4 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 93.75% to 135.87% [2][3] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company anticipates a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.15 billion to 1.4 billion yuan for 2025, marking a substantial increase compared to the previous year [2][3] - The net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses is projected to be between 1.1 billion and 1.35 billion yuan, also reflecting a significant year-on-year growth of 92.88% to 136.72% [2][3] - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a net profit of 645 million yuan, indicating that the fourth quarter's net profit could exceed the total of the first three quarters, with an estimated median of around 630 million yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of over 500% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 85% [4] Group 2: Market Demand and Product Development - The rapid development of the new energy vehicle and energy storage markets has driven a surge in demand for lithium battery cathode materials, particularly phosphate materials, leading to a significant increase in sales for Hunan YN Energy [5][6] - The company's long-cycle phosphate lithium products are well-suited to meet the growing demand in the energy storage sector, resulting in a rapid increase in order volume [6] - The optimization of product structure, particularly in high-density and high-energy phosphate lithium, has led to supply shortages, further boosting demand [7][8] Group 3: Capacity Expansion and Utilization - Hunan YN Energy expects to achieve an annual shipment volume of nearly 1.1 million tons in 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of over 50%, with the fourth quarter alone projected to exceed 300,000 tons [9] - The company's capacity utilization rate was 116.82% in the first half of 2025, indicating accelerated capacity release and high operational levels [10] - By the end of September 2025, the company had completed 295,000 tons of phosphate cathode material capacity from its fundraising projects, with an additional 100,000 tons still under construction [13] Group 4: Raw Material Pricing and Cost Management - The price of lithium carbonate is expected to stabilize and rise in the second half of 2025, benefiting from the company's prior accumulation of low-cost raw materials, which will enhance fourth-quarter profits [14] - The company is participating in industry initiatives to curb excessive competition and promote reasonable pricing, with several leading firms announcing price increases for their products starting in December 2025 [14] - Hunan YN Energy is strategically located in low electricity cost regions and is extending upstream to achieve self-supply of key raw materials, thereby reducing procurement costs and enhancing cost advantages [16]

每日经济新闻 （责任编辑：张晓波 ） 【免责声明】本文仅代表作者本人观点，与和讯网无关。和讯网站对文中陈述、观点判断保持中立，不对所包含内容 的准确性、可靠性或完整性提供任何明示或暗示的保证。请读者仅作参考，并请自行承担全部责任。邮箱： news_center@staff.hexun.com 消息面上，1月19日德国政府宣布，联邦政府气候与转型基金拨款30亿欧元，对新购入电动汽车的 家庭提供最高6000欧元的补贴，以推动其电动汽车产业发展，这是德国在2023年底终止原有电动汽车购 车补贴政策后，再次提供类似补贴。 展望后市，华泰证券指出，预计政策可带动电动车新增需求在0~80万辆之间，按照单车带电量 60kWh计算，对应电池新增需求0~48GWh，占26年全球电池需求约0~1.7%。看好锂电需求上修带来业 绩增量，欧洲产业链相关标的弹性更大，看好欧洲敞口大的相关环节标的，首选电池环节宁德时代、亿 纬锂能，当升科技，此外其余锂电产业链也有望受益于需求上修，推荐磷酸铁锂环节湖南裕能。 创业板新能源ETF华夏（159368）是全市场跟踪创业板新能源指数的规模最大ETF基金。创业板新 能源指数主要涵盖新能源和新能源汽 ...

证券研究报告 电力设备与新能源 德国电动车补贴利好锂电产业链 华泰研究 2026 年 1 月 20 日│中国内地 动态点评 锂电需求有望上修，欧洲产业链相关标的弹性更大 我们预计政策可带动电动车新增需求在 0~80 万辆之间，按照单车带电量 60kWh 计算，对应电池新增需求 0~48GWh，占 26 年全球电池需求约 0~1.7%。看好锂电需求上修带来业绩增量，欧洲产业链相关标的弹性更大， 看好欧洲敞口大的相关环节标的，首选电池环节宁德时代、亿纬锂能，三元 正极当升科技，此外其余锂电产业链也有望受益于需求上修，推荐磷酸铁锂 环节湖南裕能、负极环节尚太科技、电解液环节天赐材料。 德国政府 1 月 19 日宣布，联邦政府气候与转型基金拨款 30 亿欧元，对新 购入电动汽车的家庭提供最高 6000 欧元的补贴，以推动其电动汽车产业发 展，这是德国在 2023 年底终止原有电动汽车购车补贴政策后，再次提供类 似补贴。我们认为政策意在扶持电动车产业发展，补贴倾向纯电汽车+中低 收入人群，看好锂电需求上修带来锂电产业链公司业绩增量，推荐宁德时代、 亿纬锂能、当升科技、湖南裕能、尚太科技、天赐材料。 政策意在扶持电动车产 ...

从评级调整方向来看，6只个股评级维持不变，2只个股为首次评级。 从获买入评级个股所属Wind行业来看，资本货物、技术硬件与设备、材料Ⅱ买入评级个股数量最多， 分别有2只、1只、1只。 Wind数据显示，1月20日，共有8只个股获券商买入评级，其中2只个股公布了目标价格。按最高目标价 计算，湖南裕能、科士达目标涨幅排名居前，涨幅分别达42.37%、18.62%。 ...

2025-2026年磷酸铁锂新扩产落地的产能将超过200万吨，届时全球磷酸铁锂产能将逼近900万吨，磷酸 铁锂行业仍难摆脱供过于求格局，过剩主要集中在二、三代材料，而四代高端材料依旧短缺。在企业抢 出口、新能源汽车及储能政策利好的共同驱动下，乐观估计2026年中国磷酸铁锂正极材料总产量将达 580万吨，同比增长约53%。 2026年国内磷酸铁锂材料新扩产的产线大多做的是更高端的产品，而非低端产品的简单复制，行业竞争 格局正呈现"头部集中、中小出清"的态势。湖南裕能、德方纳米、龙蟠科技等龙头企业纷纷加码高压 实、长循环等高端产品布局。 当前，国内磷酸铁锂行业面临结构性过剩，但高性能产品需求旺盛。未来企业能否在磷酸铁锂行业立 足，关键取决于两大核心能力：一是高端差异化产品的研发与生产能力，二是大规模生产下的产品一致 性控制能力。 图2 2025年我国磷酸铁锂材料主要企业产量占比 图3 我国磷酸铁锂正极材料出口量(吨) 近一年来，国内磷酸铁锂行业出现了一轮总额超2400亿元的巨额订单锁定潮，涉及宁德时代、楚能新能 源、亿纬锂能、欣旺达、比亚迪等多个头部电池厂商，其中宁德时代是最大买家，其采购金额占总额的 绝大部分。 ...

Market Overview - The three major A-share indices collectively closed lower on January 20, with a total market turnover of approximately 2.8 trillion yuan, and over 2,200 stocks rose, including 63 stocks hitting the daily limit [1] Institutional Ratings - A total of 11 buy ratings were issued by institutions today, covering 9 stocks, with Hunan YN and Keda receiving 2 buy ratings each [2] - Among the stocks with buy ratings, 6 companies provided earnings forecasts for 2025, with Hunan YN expected to see a net profit increase of 114.81% year-on-year, followed by Zhenyu Technology and Keda with expected increases of 106.74% and 59.82% respectively [2] Industry Focus - The power equipment industry was the most favored by institutions, with 4 stocks including Hunan YN and Keda listed [2] - The automotive and food & beverage industries also attracted institutional attention, each having 2 stocks featured [2] Institutional Trading - In the top trading list, 17 stocks had net buying amounts exceeding 10 million yuan, with Hunan Baiyin leading at 80.83 million yuan, followed by Tongyu Communications at 55.55 million yuan [4] - Among the net selling stocks, Sanwei Communication faced the highest net sell of 194 million yuan [4] Northbound Capital - 12 stocks on the northbound trading list saw net buying, with Tongyu Communications leading at 97.57 million yuan, followed by Tiantong Co. and Hunan Baiyin, both exceeding 60 million yuan [6] Company Announcements - ST Saiwei (300044) announced an expected net profit loss of 720 million to 1.02 billion yuan for 2025, influenced by litigation and arbitration judgments [7] - Kangxin New Materials (600076) plans to acquire 51% of Wuxi Yubang Semiconductor Technology for 392 million yuan, marking its expansion into the semiconductor sector [8] - Huadian Technology (601226) signed a procurement contract worth approximately 374 million yuan for a wind-solar hydrogen project [8] - China Merchants Energy (601872) plans to build 4 container ships with a total investment of up to 1.324 billion yuan [9] - Anhui Construction (600502) received project bids totaling 13.76 million yuan for two projects [9]

Market Overview - The three major A-share indices collectively closed lower on January 20, with a total market turnover of approximately 2.8 trillion yuan, and over 2,200 stocks rising, including 63 stocks hitting the daily limit [1] Institutional Ratings - A total of 11 buy ratings were issued by institutions today, covering 9 stocks, with Hunan YN and Keda receiving 2 buy ratings each [2] - Among the stocks with buy ratings, 6 companies provided earnings forecasts for 2025, with Hunan YN expected to see a net profit increase of 114.81% year-on-year, followed by Zhenyu Technology and Keda with expected increases of 106.74% and 59.82%, respectively [2] - The power equipment industry was the most favored, with 4 stocks listed, while the automotive and food & beverage industries also attracted attention with 2 stocks each [2] Institutional Trading - In the top trading list, 17 stocks had net buying, with 13 stocks seeing net buying amounts exceeding 10 million yuan. Hunan Baiyin topped the list with a net buying amount of 80.83 million yuan [4] - The net selling stocks included Sanwei Communication, which faced a net selling of 194 million yuan, followed by Redxiang Shares and Zhitex New Materials, both exceeding 20 million yuan in net selling [4] Company Announcements - ST Saiwei (300044) announced an expected net loss of 720 million to 1.02 billion yuan for 2025, influenced by litigation and arbitration judgments, with a potential negative net asset value [7] - Kangxin New Materials (600076) plans to acquire 51% of Wuxi Yubang Semiconductor Technology Co., Ltd. for 392 million yuan, marking its expansion into the semiconductor field [8] - Huadian Technology (601226) signed a procurement contract worth approximately 374 million yuan for a wind-solar hydrogen project [8] - China Merchants Energy (601872) announced plans to build four container ships with a total investment of up to 1.324 billion yuan, with delivery scheduled for 2027-2028 [9] - Anhui Construction (600502) received project bids totaling 13.76 billion yuan, including a hydrogen installation project and a chip industry park project [9]

Group 1 - 14 stocks received buy ratings from institutions today, with notable upgrades for Saisir and first-time attention for Jianghuai Automobile and Yirui Technology [1] - The average performance of stocks with buy ratings declined by 0.42%, underperforming the Shanghai Composite Index, with five stocks experiencing price increases [1] - The top gainers included Nanshan Aluminum, Hunan YN, and Zhongsheng Pharmaceutical, with respective increases of 7.49%, 2.77%, and 1.80% [1] Group 2 - Among the stocks rated by institutions, eight released annual performance forecasts, with Hunan YN expecting a net profit growth of 114.81%, followed by Zhenyu Technology and Lintai New Materials with expected growths of 106.74% and 75.22% respectively [1] - The power equipment industry was the most favored, with four stocks including Keda and Hunan YN making the buy rating list, while the automotive and food & beverage sectors also attracted attention with three and two stocks respectively [1]

电力设备行业资金流出榜 电力设备行业资金流入榜 | 代码 | 简称 | 今日涨跌幅（%） | 今日换手率（%） | 主力资金流量（万元） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 300750 | 宁德时代 | 0.20 | 0.83 | 32147.01 | | 301358 | 湖南裕能 | 2.77 | 10.86 | 25837.53 | | 002028 | 思源电气 | -3.75 | 3.68 | 18355.29 | | 688779 | 五矿新能 | 3.12 | 5.47 | 17746.35 | | 600151 | 航天机电 | -1.04 | 17.19 | 13502.50 | | 002249 | 大洋电机 | 3.55 | 12.92 | 11363.64 | | 601126 | 四方股份 | 1.71 | 6.14 | 8054.33 | | 002498 | 汉缆股份 | 10.00 | 0.55 | 7946.59 | | 002487 | 大金重工 | 1.60 | 3.31 | 7787.88 | | 300850 | 新强联 | -0 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the significant growth in the lithium battery materials market, particularly for phosphate materials, driven by the rapid development of the electric vehicle and energy storage markets, leading to a structural supply shortage and increased demand for high-performance battery materials [1][3]. Summary by Sections 2025 Performance Forecast - Hunan Youneng (301358) expects a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.15 billion to 1.4 billion yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 93.75% to 135.87% [1][2]. - The forecasted net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses is projected to be between 1.1 billion and 1.35 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 92.88% to 136.72% [1][2]. Market Dynamics - The surge in the new energy vehicle and energy storage markets has led to a significant increase in demand for lithium battery cathode materials, resulting in structural shortages [3]. - The company's phosphate cathode material sales have seen substantial growth, aligning with downstream market demands for higher energy density, faster charging capabilities, and larger cell capacities [3]. Competitive Advantage - Hunan Youneng's new products meet the evolving requirements of the market, showcasing strong order acquisition capabilities [3]. - The recovery of lithium carbonate prices in the second half of 2025, combined with the company's integrated layout and effective cost control, has significantly enhanced overall profitability [3]. - As a leading player in lithium battery materials, Hunan Youneng benefits from high industry demand and its technological barriers, confirming its expanding market share and providing solid fundamental support for its stock price [3].