Core Viewpoint - The LMFP (Lithium Manganese Iron Phosphate) market is poised for explosive growth in 2025, with a projected shipment increase of 275% year-on-year, despite current production capacity exceeding actual demand. The expansion efforts by leading companies indicate a strong belief in the material's potential [2][11]. Group 1: Market Dynamics and Growth - In 2025, the domestic LMFP shipment volume is expected to exceed 30,000 tons, marking a significant increase from previous years, driven by technological advancements and performance improvements [2][11]. - Major companies like Hunan YN and others are investing heavily in LMFP production, with plans to significantly increase capacity, indicating confidence in future demand [1][10]. - The LMFP market is projected to reach 80,000 tons by 2026, with expectations of further growth to 500,000 tons by 2030, translating to a market size exceeding 20 billion yuan [11][14]. Group 2: Technological Advancements - Companies have made significant breakthroughs in LMFP technology, addressing previous performance limitations such as low density and poor cycle life, which have historically hindered its adoption [4][5]. - Innovations like the second-generation LMFP battery from Guoxuan High-Tech have improved energy density and charging capabilities, enhancing the battery's appeal for electric vehicles [5][6]. - The introduction of new manufacturing processes, such as solid-phase synthesis, has improved the material's conductivity and stability, further supporting its commercialization [5][6]. Group 3: Application and Market Penetration - LMFP batteries are now being utilized in various applications, including passenger and commercial vehicles, with significant adoption rates in the light vehicle sector [6][7]. - The low-temperature performance of LMFP batteries allows for broader application, particularly in colder climates, enhancing their competitiveness in the market [9][10]. - Companies like EVE Energy and Guoxuan High-Tech are successfully integrating LMFP materials into their product lines, indicating a shift towards more advanced battery technologies [7][9]. Group 4: Cost and Supply Chain Considerations - The cost advantages of LMFP, due to the abundance of manganese compared to nickel and cobalt, allow for a 10%-15% reduction in battery costs when mixed with high-nickel materials [10][15]. - The rapid expansion of LMFP production capabilities, with over 30 companies involved, is creating a competitive landscape that benefits downstream battery manufacturers [10][15]. - The supply chain for manganese is becoming increasingly critical, as demand for LMFP rises, necessitating strategic partnerships for resource acquisition [17].

Core Viewpoint - The report from Zhonghang Securities indicates a strong recovery in the sales of new energy vehicles (NEVs) in nine European countries, projecting sales of 2.885 million units in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 32.6%, with a penetration rate of 29.0%, up by 6.7 percentage points [1][2]. Summary by Sections Overall Market Outlook - In 2025, NEV sales in nine European countries are expected to reach 2.885 million units, representing a 32.6% increase year-on-year, with a penetration rate of 29.0%, up 6.7 percentage points [2]. - The sales of Battery Electric Vehicles (BEVs) are projected at 1.892 million units, a year-on-year increase of 30.6%, while Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicles (PHEVs) are expected to reach 992,000 units, up 36.6% year-on-year [2]. Country-Specific Insights - **Germany**: The BEV sales are projected at 545,000 units, a 43.2% increase year-on-year, and PHEV sales at 311,000 units, up 62.3%. Germany will restart EV subsidies in January 2026, including Chinese brands [2][3]. - **United Kingdom**: BEV sales are expected to be 473,000 units, a 23.9% increase, and PHEV sales at 225,000 units, up 34.7%. EV subsidies will resume from July 2025 [2][3]. - **France**: BEV sales are projected at 326,000 units, a 12.1% increase, with December sales reaching 42,000 units, up 37.7%. Subsidies will continue into 2026 with increased standards [3]. - **Italy**: BEV sales are expected to be 95,000 units, a 44.2% increase, and PHEV sales at 99,000 units, up 89.4%. EV subsidies will be effective from October 22, 2025 [3]. - **Spain**: BEV sales are projected at 102,000 units, a 77.2% increase, and PHEV sales at 124,000 units, up 111.7%. The MOVES III subsidy plan will drive sales [3]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that the EU's proposal to adjust the 2035 emission reduction targets will not hinder the long-term trend of electrification in Europe. Instead, it will promote sales of small electric vehicles [4]. - Investment recommendations include: - **Lithium Batteries**: Recommended companies include CATL, Yiwei Lithium Energy, and Xinwangda [4]. - **Lithium Materials**: Recommended companies include Hunan Youneng and Tianci Materials [4]. - **Lithium Battery Structural Components**: Recommended companies include Minglida and Minth Group [4]. - **Power/Drive Systems**: Recommended companies include Weimaisi and Fute Technology [4]. - **Automotive Safety Components**: Beneficiary companies include Zhongrong Electric and Zhejiang Rongtai [4]. - **Charging Stations and Modules**: Recommended companies include Youyou Green Energy and Tonghe Technology [4].

Core Viewpoint - The lithium battery industry is expected to see significant growth in production and demand in 2025, with domestic battery and lithium iron phosphate (LFP) cathode material output notably higher than in 2024 [1][2] Production - In December 2025, domestic battery production is projected to reach 201.7 GWh, representing a year-on-year increase of approximately 62% and a month-on-month increase of about 14% [1][2] - The output of domestic lithium iron phosphate cathode materials in December 2025 is expected to be 26.93 million tons, showing a year-on-year growth of 32.48% and a month-on-month increase of 0.16%, with a capacity utilization rate of 59.85% [1][2] Pricing - As of January 16, 2026, the price of industrial-grade lithium carbonate has risen to 153,000 yuan per ton, with a weekly increase of 10.87% [3] - The price of lithium iron phosphate (power type) was reported at 47,100 yuan per ton on January 9, 2026, up 4.43% from January 4 [3] - The average price of square lithium iron phosphate energy storage cells remained stable, with specific capacities showing slight increases in price [3] Demand - In December 2025, the monthly loading volume of lithium iron phosphate batteries reached 79.8 GWh, a year-on-year increase of 30.82% and a month-on-month increase of 5.98%, marking a new high for the year [4] - The monthly loading volume of ternary power batteries was 18.2 GWh, remaining stable compared to November and showing a year-on-year increase of 27.27% [4] - In November 2025, global sales of new energy vehicles reached 2 million units, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 8.53% and a month-on-month increase of 4.63% [4] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies involved in the production of lithium batteries and related materials, particularly those with strong positions in both domestic and overseas markets [5] - Recommended companies include CATL (300750.SZ), EVE Energy (300014.SZ), Xinwangda (300207.SZ), Hunan Youneng (301358.SZ), Tianci Materials (002709.SZ), and Dofluorid (002407.SZ) [5]

Core Viewpoint - Hunan YN Energy (301358) is expected to see a significant increase in net profit for 2025, with projections ranging from 1.15 billion to 1.4 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 93.75% to 135.87% [2][3] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company anticipates a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.15 billion to 1.4 billion yuan for 2025, marking a substantial increase compared to the previous year [2][3] - The net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses is projected to be between 1.1 billion and 1.35 billion yuan, also reflecting a significant year-on-year growth of 92.88% to 136.72% [2][3] - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a net profit of 645 million yuan, indicating that the fourth quarter's net profit could exceed the total of the first three quarters, with an estimated median of around 630 million yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of over 500% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 85% [4] Group 2: Market Demand and Product Development - The rapid development of the new energy vehicle and energy storage markets has driven a surge in demand for lithium battery cathode materials, particularly phosphate materials, leading to a significant increase in sales for Hunan YN Energy [5][6] - The company's long-cycle phosphate lithium products are well-suited to meet the growing demand in the energy storage sector, resulting in a rapid increase in order volume [6] - The optimization of product structure, particularly in high-density and high-energy phosphate lithium, has led to supply shortages, further boosting demand [7][8] Group 3: Capacity Expansion and Utilization - Hunan YN Energy expects to achieve an annual shipment volume of nearly 1.1 million tons in 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of over 50%, with the fourth quarter alone projected to exceed 300,000 tons [9] - The company's capacity utilization rate was 116.82% in the first half of 2025, indicating accelerated capacity release and high operational levels [10] - By the end of September 2025, the company had completed 295,000 tons of phosphate cathode material capacity from its fundraising projects, with an additional 100,000 tons still under construction [13] Group 4: Raw Material Pricing and Cost Management - The price of lithium carbonate is expected to stabilize and rise in the second half of 2025, benefiting from the company's prior accumulation of low-cost raw materials, which will enhance fourth-quarter profits [14] - The company is participating in industry initiatives to curb excessive competition and promote reasonable pricing, with several leading firms announcing price increases for their products starting in December 2025 [14] - Hunan YN Energy is strategically located in low electricity cost regions and is extending upstream to achieve self-supply of key raw materials, thereby reducing procurement costs and enhancing cost advantages [16]

每日经济新闻 （责任编辑：张晓波 ） 【免责声明】本文仅代表作者本人观点，与和讯网无关。和讯网站对文中陈述、观点判断保持中立，不对所包含内容 的准确性、可靠性或完整性提供任何明示或暗示的保证。请读者仅作参考，并请自行承担全部责任。邮箱： news_center@staff.hexun.com 消息面上，1月19日德国政府宣布，联邦政府气候与转型基金拨款30亿欧元，对新购入电动汽车的 家庭提供最高6000欧元的补贴，以推动其电动汽车产业发展，这是德国在2023年底终止原有电动汽车购 车补贴政策后，再次提供类似补贴。 展望后市，华泰证券指出，预计政策可带动电动车新增需求在0~80万辆之间，按照单车带电量 60kWh计算，对应电池新增需求0~48GWh，占26年全球电池需求约0~1.7%。看好锂电需求上修带来业 绩增量，欧洲产业链相关标的弹性更大，看好欧洲敞口大的相关环节标的，首选电池环节宁德时代、亿 纬锂能，当升科技，此外其余锂电产业链也有望受益于需求上修，推荐磷酸铁锂环节湖南裕能。 创业板新能源ETF华夏（159368）是全市场跟踪创业板新能源指数的规模最大ETF基金。创业板新 能源指数主要涵盖新能源和新能源汽 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for several companies in the lithium battery supply chain, including Ningde Times, Yiwei Lithium Energy, and others, while recommending "Overweight" for companies like Dongsheng Technology [8][11]. Core Insights - The German government announced a €3 billion subsidy program for electric vehicle purchases, providing up to €6,000 per household to stimulate the electric vehicle industry, particularly benefiting pure electric vehicles and low-income families [1][2]. - The policy is expected to drive new electric vehicle demand between 0 to 800,000 units, translating to an additional battery demand of 0 to 48 GWh, which represents approximately 0 to 1.7% of the global battery demand in 2026 [3]. - The report highlights the potential for increased lithium battery demand, particularly benefiting companies with significant exposure to the European market, such as Ningde Times and Yiwei Lithium Energy [3]. Summary by Sections Policy Objectives - The policy emphasizes the environmental benefits and economic viability of electric vehicles, aiming to promote their adoption and support the automotive industry in Germany and Europe [10]. - Households with an annual income below €90,000 can apply for subsidies, which vary based on income and number of children, with higher subsidies for pure electric vehicles [10]. Expected Impact - The subsidy program is anticipated to enhance the penetration rate of pure electric vehicles, with the government expecting to allocate funds for the purchase of 800,000 vehicles [10]. - The report forecasts that the demand for lithium batteries will increase, leading to performance growth for companies in the lithium battery supply chain [3][10]. Company Recommendations - **Ningde Times (300750 CH)**: Target price of 566.18, rated "Buy" due to strong performance and market demand [11]. - **Yiwei Lithium Energy (300014 CH)**: Target price of 96.96, rated "Buy" based on expected volume and profit growth [11]. - **Dongsheng Technology (300073 CH)**: Target price of 75.57, rated "Overweight" due to positive developments in product lines [11]. - **Hunan Youneng (301358 CH)**: Target price of 112.98, rated "Buy" due to strong earnings forecast [11]. - **Shangtai Technology (001301 CH)**: Target price of 130.32, rated "Buy" based on anticipated demand growth [11].

从评级调整方向来看，6只个股评级维持不变，2只个股为首次评级。 从获买入评级个股所属Wind行业来看，资本货物、技术硬件与设备、材料Ⅱ买入评级个股数量最多， 分别有2只、1只、1只。 Wind数据显示，1月20日，共有8只个股获券商买入评级，其中2只个股公布了目标价格。按最高目标价 计算，湖南裕能、科士达目标涨幅排名居前，涨幅分别达42.37%、18.62%。 ...

2025-2026年磷酸铁锂新扩产落地的产能将超过200万吨，届时全球磷酸铁锂产能将逼近900万吨，磷酸 铁锂行业仍难摆脱供过于求格局，过剩主要集中在二、三代材料，而四代高端材料依旧短缺。在企业抢 出口、新能源汽车及储能政策利好的共同驱动下，乐观估计2026年中国磷酸铁锂正极材料总产量将达 580万吨，同比增长约53%。 2026年国内磷酸铁锂材料新扩产的产线大多做的是更高端的产品，而非低端产品的简单复制，行业竞争 格局正呈现"头部集中、中小出清"的态势。湖南裕能、德方纳米、龙蟠科技等龙头企业纷纷加码高压 实、长循环等高端产品布局。 当前，国内磷酸铁锂行业面临结构性过剩，但高性能产品需求旺盛。未来企业能否在磷酸铁锂行业立 足，关键取决于两大核心能力：一是高端差异化产品的研发与生产能力，二是大规模生产下的产品一致 性控制能力。 图2 2025年我国磷酸铁锂材料主要企业产量占比 图3 我国磷酸铁锂正极材料出口量(吨) 近一年来，国内磷酸铁锂行业出现了一轮总额超2400亿元的巨额订单锁定潮，涉及宁德时代、楚能新能 源、亿纬锂能、欣旺达、比亚迪等多个头部电池厂商，其中宁德时代是最大买家，其采购金额占总额的 绝大部分。 ...

Market Overview - The three major A-share indices collectively closed lower on January 20, with a total market turnover of approximately 2.8 trillion yuan, and over 2,200 stocks rose, including 63 stocks hitting the daily limit [1] Institutional Ratings - A total of 11 buy ratings were issued by institutions today, covering 9 stocks, with Hunan YN and Keda receiving 2 buy ratings each [2] - Among the stocks with buy ratings, 6 companies provided earnings forecasts for 2025, with Hunan YN expected to see a net profit increase of 114.81% year-on-year, followed by Zhenyu Technology and Keda with expected increases of 106.74% and 59.82% respectively [2] Industry Focus - The power equipment industry was the most favored by institutions, with 4 stocks including Hunan YN and Keda listed [2] - The automotive and food & beverage industries also attracted institutional attention, each having 2 stocks featured [2] Institutional Trading - In the top trading list, 17 stocks had net buying amounts exceeding 10 million yuan, with Hunan Baiyin leading at 80.83 million yuan, followed by Tongyu Communications at 55.55 million yuan [4] - Among the net selling stocks, Sanwei Communication faced the highest net sell of 194 million yuan [4] Northbound Capital - 12 stocks on the northbound trading list saw net buying, with Tongyu Communications leading at 97.57 million yuan, followed by Tiantong Co. and Hunan Baiyin, both exceeding 60 million yuan [6] Company Announcements - ST Saiwei (300044) announced an expected net profit loss of 720 million to 1.02 billion yuan for 2025, influenced by litigation and arbitration judgments [7] - Kangxin New Materials (600076) plans to acquire 51% of Wuxi Yubang Semiconductor Technology for 392 million yuan, marking its expansion into the semiconductor sector [8] - Huadian Technology (601226) signed a procurement contract worth approximately 374 million yuan for a wind-solar hydrogen project [8] - China Merchants Energy (601872) plans to build 4 container ships with a total investment of up to 1.324 billion yuan [9] - Anhui Construction (600502) received project bids totaling 13.76 million yuan for two projects [9]

Market Overview - The three major A-share indices collectively closed lower on January 20, with a total market turnover of approximately 2.8 trillion yuan, and over 2,200 stocks rising, including 63 stocks hitting the daily limit [1] Institutional Ratings - A total of 11 buy ratings were issued by institutions today, covering 9 stocks, with Hunan YN and Keda receiving 2 buy ratings each [2] - Among the stocks with buy ratings, 6 companies provided earnings forecasts for 2025, with Hunan YN expected to see a net profit increase of 114.81% year-on-year, followed by Zhenyu Technology and Keda with expected increases of 106.74% and 59.82%, respectively [2] - The power equipment industry was the most favored, with 4 stocks listed, while the automotive and food & beverage industries also attracted attention with 2 stocks each [2] Institutional Trading - In the top trading list, 17 stocks had net buying, with 13 stocks seeing net buying amounts exceeding 10 million yuan. Hunan Baiyin topped the list with a net buying amount of 80.83 million yuan [4] - The net selling stocks included Sanwei Communication, which faced a net selling of 194 million yuan, followed by Redxiang Shares and Zhitex New Materials, both exceeding 20 million yuan in net selling [4] Company Announcements - ST Saiwei (300044) announced an expected net loss of 720 million to 1.02 billion yuan for 2025, influenced by litigation and arbitration judgments, with a potential negative net asset value [7] - Kangxin New Materials (600076) plans to acquire 51% of Wuxi Yubang Semiconductor Technology Co., Ltd. for 392 million yuan, marking its expansion into the semiconductor field [8] - Huadian Technology (601226) signed a procurement contract worth approximately 374 million yuan for a wind-solar hydrogen project [8] - China Merchants Energy (601872) announced plans to build four container ships with a total investment of up to 1.324 billion yuan, with delivery scheduled for 2027-2028 [9] - Anhui Construction (600502) received project bids totaling 13.76 billion yuan, including a hydrogen installation project and a chip industry park project [9]